June 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week

The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……38799 -87.2 -0.22%
Nasdaq17133 -39.99 -0.23%
S&P 500.5346 -5.97 -0.11%

FTSE…..8245 -39.97 -0.48%
Dax……18557 -95.4 -0.51%
CAC……8001 -38.3 -0.48%

Nikkei..38684 -19.6 -0.05%
HSI…..18367 -109.9 -0.59%
Shanghai.3051 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX….6897.95 -76.95 -1.10%
LQ45..883.93 -8.18 -0.92%
IDX30.441.02 -2.95 -0.66%

IDXEnergy..2262.65 +0.30 +0.01%
IDX BscMat1347.27 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Indstrl. 943.90 -5.91 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.698.28 -1.30 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1431.16 +16.96+1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…733.18 -3.85 -0.52%
IDXTechno3276.82 -43.51 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1265.25 +7.58 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1439.25 -16.33 -1.12%
IDX Finance1351.84 -18.47 -1.35%
IDX Banking1160.38 -11.78 -1.00%
IDX Property…..615 +0.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.9304 +0.0002 +0.002%
ICBI…380.8664 +0.2382 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.889 +0.165 +3.49%‼️
US5Yr 4.461 +0.163 +3.79%‼️
US10Yr4.433 +0.135 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.553 +0.118 +2.66%
VIX..12.22 -0.36 -2.86%

USDIndx 104.8850❗️+0.7830 +0.75%
Como Indx….289.86 -2.56 -0.88%
BCOMIN….153.03 -5.76 -3.63%‼️

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..16195.00 -67.50 -0.42%
Jisdor.16218.00 -61.00 -0.37%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0091 -0.84%

TLKM…18.57 -0.17 -0.88%
( 3011)
EIDO….19.77 -0.35 -1.72%
EEM…..42.04 -0.48 -1.12%

Oil…….75.53 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold..2325.00 -69.50 -2.90%‼️
Timah..31452.00 -746.00 -2.32%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver….29.44 -2.02 -6.42%‼️
Copper.448.35 -18.60 -3.98%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..2.937 +0.116 +4.11%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.45 -2.90 -2.16%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.00 -2.90 -2.13%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 -0.55 -0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.35 +0.95 +0.69%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 -1.85 -1.68%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.60 -0.85 -0.76%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 -0.50 -0.44%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +0.30 +0.26%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3976 +15.00 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..448.75 -3.25 -0.72%
SoybeanOil 43.63 -0.72 -1.62%
Wheat…..627.50 -12.00 -1.88%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US merah europe merah asia merah, US bond yield naik tinggi banget, fixed deh, IHSG tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, tin iron ore down, nickel up sendiri. Oil down gas up coal down, CPO lanjut ijo, ini bubar semua kecuali buat AALI LSIP, tapi kalo index merah dalem ya susah jalan juga

IHSG – technical jelek semua, cuma Elliot wave yang bilang udah deket beres ABC correction sekalian tutup gap, beware, semua open position pasang stop loss

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, KLBF UNTR ASSA BSDE ELSA GTRA SMRA SMAR AMFG MDKI AALI. Ga ada yang big accum, kita assess sekilas, yang emang bagus bisa jadi bagus diambil nanti sore kalau index merah dalem lagi tutup gap

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO

KLBF – technical relative ok semua, memang stoch nya udah tinggi, MACD udah diatas histogram, tapi retracement pattern says up ke fibo 38.Kalo misalnya hari ini dibanting ke deket level 1535 mungkin bagus buat pasang buy disitu plus 1 tick

Spike udah done

Ah, nggak dulu deh, biggest holdernya udah mulai lepas barang, tunggu koreksi dulu deh

UNTR – technical menarik, stoch buy macd up, MFI up, w% sw, tapi BD FF masih dist, ada gap, ASII nya juga udah terlihat siap jalan, BOW bisa ini harusnya

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder lagi hold, mungkin karena index lagi drop. Tapi ga buang, ok ini, bisa BOW UNTR idealnya level deket 22.200. Saya skip karena hold ASII

ASSA – dari chart nya kaya yang mau hajatan… stoch buy, macd almost buy, tapi MFI down karena vol kecil, bandar aja yang main kali, w% up, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, harusnya bisa buy

Ada spike belum done

average aman, biggest holder accum, YP aja buang dikit. bisa buy ini, BOW sedikit diatas support 710 ideal

BSDE – Stoch rev buy belum sampe oversold sih, macd sw, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, mungkin aja beres sidewaysnya dan mau lanjut, tapi index kaya gini dan liat curve nya sih, ke bawah kayanya

ELSA – belum sih, kemarin udah firm jalan tapi oil price ngebalik, kita tunggu firm naik lagi oil price nya

Tunggu oil price confirm dulu

AALI – belum boleh jalan, balik ke support low kemaren, stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF dist, kesempatan ambil di bawah sih ini, tapi memang resiko, yang berani spec buy boleh, tapi break support buang

Spike nya sih cakep

Average aman, biggest holder udah berhenti buang, second nya accum, berani lah… Saya masih hold AALI

SIDO – technical ok, tapi overpriced, ga ada issue besar juga, skip ah

May 27th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes Friday at record high as Nvidia and the AI trade rallies on

The Nasdaq closed Friday at a fresh record high as gains in chipmaker Nvidia outweighed worries that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts.

Dow……39070 +4.3 +0.01%
Nasdaq16921 +184.8 +1.10%
S&P 500.5305 +36.9 +0.70%

FTSE…..8318 -21.6 -0.26%
Dax……18693 +2.1 +0.01%
CAC……8095 -7.4 -0.09%

Nikkei..38646 -457.1 -1.17%
HSI…..18609 -259.8 -1.38%
Shanghai.3089 -27.5 -0.88%

IDX….7222.38 closed +0%
LQ45..895.84 closed +0%
IDX30..450.75 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2292.57 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1438.10 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl..1023.14 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.701.53 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1416.69closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…738.50 closed +0%
IDXTechno3402.30 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1369.20 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1618.96 closed +0%
IDX Finance1369.20 closed +0%
IDX Banking1174.72 closed +0%
IDX Property…..631 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8787 closed +0%
ICBI…380.2554 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.948 +0.005 +0.09%
US5Yr 4.528 +0.003 +0.07%
US10Yr4.467 -0.006 -0.14%
US30Yr.4.573-0.004 -0.09%
VIX..11.93 -0.84 -6.58%👍

USDIndx 104.7240❗️ -0.38 -0.37%
Como Indx..294.28 +0.50 +0.17%
BCOMIN….164.28 +0.31 +0.19%

IndoCDS..72.25 +1.49 +2.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/05)

IDR…..15995.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15995.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0847 +0.00 +0.30%

TLKM…18.31 +0.05 +0.27%
( 2947)
EIDO….20.50 +0.11 +0.54%
EEM…..43.01 +0.11 +0.24%

Oil…….77.72 +0.85 +1.11%
Gold..2356.90‼️ -2.80 -0.12%
Timah..33229.00 -222.00 -0.66%
(Closed 24/05)
Nickel..20318.00 +234.00 +1.17%
(Closed 24/05)
Silver…..30.50 +0.04 +0.14%
Copper.475.35 -3.90 -0.81%

Iron Ore 62% 117.66 +0.22 +0.19%
(24/05)
Nturl Gas..2.504 -0.154 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.3066.67 -100.00 -3.16% ‼️
(Domestic Price)(23/05)

Coal price 142.80 +0.05 +0.04%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 -1.40 -0.99%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 +0.30 +0.21%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.15 -2.20 -1.50%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.10 -0.10 -0.10%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.95 -1.05 -0.93%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.60 -0.60 -0.51%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.05 -0.45 -0.38%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3886 -8 -0.21%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….464.75 +0.85 +0.16%
SoybeanOil 44.96 -0.24 -0.53%
Wheat…..697.25 -0.75 -0.11%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 26/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

CLosing jum’at US DJI ijo tipis, Nasdaq ijo tebel karena Nvidia, Europe ijo, asia merah, US Bond yield pending naik tipis, panjang turun tipis, sideways kali ya IHSG hari ini, mungkin cenderung ijo malah

USD index down, tapi metal2 juga sebagian turun kecuali Nickel silver iron ore, oil up, gas drop, coal cenderung down, CPO down, belum ok ini…

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI down, w% sw, BD sw FNS, masih nahan nahan… Tapi secara technical udah ok, udah tutup gap, tinggal rally nya aja

Basic Materials, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals. Kalo bener Financials jalan, jadi IHSG start rally

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII ESSA ANJT SGRO. Big accum and freq spike ASII

MACD Buy Signal: ITMG PTPP ANJT CEKA AALI. Menarik AALI kalo harga CPO firm reversal up

CPO price MACD udah buy sih, bisa ini AALI harusnya

Alligator Buy Signal: BMTR BSDE BTPS

May 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes higher as Powell says Fed’s next move is unlikely to be a hike

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell largely ruled out that the central bank’s next move could be a hike, easing investor worries that it was losing control of sticky inflation. The broader market finished lower, however, with losses from

Dow……37903 +87.4 +0.23%
Nasdaq15606 -52.3 -0.33%
S&P 500.5018 -17.3 -0.34%

FTSE…..8121 -22.9 -0.28%
Dax……17932 -186.2 -1.03%
CAC……7985 -80.2 -0.99%

Nikkei..38274 -131.6 -0.34%
HSI…..17763 +16.1 +0.09%
Shanghai.3104 -8.2 -0.26%

*IDX…..7234.20 +78.41* +1.10%
LQ45..926.73 +11.38 +1.24%
IDX30..470.64 +6.24 +1.34%

IDXEnergy..2228.96 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1346.47 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl..1062.90 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.693.58 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1389.52 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…764.27 closed +0%
IDXTechno3359.23 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1329.47 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1621.18 closed +0%
IDX Finance1433.33 closed. +0%
IDX Banking.1265.80closed +0%
IDX Property.. 626 closed +0%

*Indo10Yr.7.1237‼️ closed +0%*
*ICBI…373.3950‼️ closed +0%*
*US2Yr.4.969 -0.077 -1.54%*
*US5Yr 4.660 -0.063 -1.33%*
*US10Yr4.633 -0.054 -1.15%*
*US30Yr.4.759 -0.030 -0.63%*
*VIX…….15.39 -0.26 -1.66%*

*USDIndx 105.7550❗️-0.47 -0.44%*
*Como Indx..285.44 ‼️ -6.02 -2.07%*
*BCOMIN..156.90 -1.53 -0.97%*

*IndoCDS..75.71👍* – 1.02 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(30/04)*

*IDR…..16259.00‼️closed +0%*
*Jisdor.16276.00‼️closed +0%*

*Euro….1.0717* +0.000 +0.05%

TLKM…19.45 unch +0%
*( 3166)*
EIDO……20.83 +0.06 +0.29%
EEM……41.03 -0.55 -1.31%

*Oil…….79.12‼️* +0.12 +0.15%
*Gold..2311.00* +8.10 +0.35%
*Timah..31216.00 -1350.00 -4.15%*
*(Closed 30/04)*
*Nickel..18926.50 -312.00 -1.62%*
(Closed 01/04)
Silver…….26.75 +0.09 +0.35%
Copper…454.60 -1.85 -0.41%

*Iron Ore 62% 110.91* +0.37 +0.33%
(30/04)
*Nturl Gas..1.931 -0.060 -3.01%‼️*
*Ammonia China.2983.33* -16.67 -0.56%
(Domestic Price)(29/04)

*Coal price 147.00 +4.75 +3.38%‼️*
(May/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40 +4.40 +3.08%‼️*
(Jun/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.60 +4.20 +2.93%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.24 +3.30 +2.42%*
(Agt/Newcastle)

*Coal price..107.10 +4.20 +4.08%‼️*
(May/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.108.55 +3.40 +3.23%‼️*
(Jun/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.108.70 +2.85 +2.69%*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 108.25 +2.25 +2.11%*
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3900 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.75 +4.00 +0.90%
SoybeanOil 43.26 +0.25 +0.58%
Wheat….599.25 -4.00 -0.66%

*Wood pulp..5860* unch +0%
(Closed 01/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US DJI ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan merah, IDX closing ijo sebelum mayday, US bond yield down semua, harusnya lanjut ijo lagi hari ini.

USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, tin nickel copper merah, oil ijo gas merah, coal ijo tebel, harusnya start jalan ini ADRO dkk

IHSG – MACD nya buy signal kalo closing di harga yang sama hari ini, harusnya beneran udah mau gerak ke atas lagi sih, yang jeleknya ada opening gap kemaren dan FF masih net sell. technically udah ok buat aggessive belanja. Beware aja gerakan tutup gap dulu

Berduyun duyun bergerak, tapi jelas kalo index mau naik, yang pasti gerak itu big banks, Financials, disusul property biasanya. Di chart ini terlihat Healthcare dan Technology ikutan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS BRPT HRUM ITMG PGAS SMGR ASSA BFIN ELSA GTRA HRTA JSMR MPMX SMAR ANJT AALI. Big accum BRPT HRUM ITMG BFIN

MACD Buy Signal: BRPT BUKA PTMP TOWR AUTO BSDE CTRA IMAS MARK RAJA AUTO. Big Accum BRPT BTPS CTRA

April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID