April 04th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher to begin April’s trading, S&P 500 notches fourth day of gains

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
added more than 300 points on Monday, as Wall Street shows resilience despite an oil output cut from OPEC+ that threatens to stoke inflation and recession fears.

Dow……33601 +327.0 +0.98%
Nasdaq12189 -32.5 -0.27%
S&P 500.4125 +15.2. +0.37%

FTSE…..7673 +41.3 +0.54%
Dax…..15581. -47.9 -0.31%
CAC……7346 +23.6 +0.32%

Nikkei…..28188 +146.7 +0.52%
HSI………20409 +9.1. +0.04%
Shanghai.3296 +23.5 +0.72%

IDX…..6827.17 +21.90 +0.32%
LQ45….943.07 +5.39 +0.57%
IDX30…491.28 +3.00 +0.61%

IDXEnergy…2108.29 +4.65 +0.22%
IDX BscMat 1181.75 -2.00 -0.17%
IDX Indstrl…1182.25 -3.32 -0.28%
IDXNONCYC.724.49 -7.15 -0.98%
IDX Hlthcare1536.07 -4.58 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..824.72 +2.40 -0.40%
IDX Techno..5077.11 -23.62 -0.46%
IDX Transp..1784.53 -4.82. -0.27%
IDX Infrast…..812.58 +3.74 +0.46%
IDX Finance.1393.10 +7.27 +0.52%
IDX Banking.1145.11 +8.98 +0.79%
IDX Property…686 -0.9 -0.13%

Indo10Yr.6.7978 +0.0022 +0.03%
ICBI…..353.5184 +0.1977 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.3.9696 -0.0680 -1.68%
US5Yr 3.5079 -0.0757 -2.11%
US10Yr 3.4150 -0.0580 -1.67%
US30Yr.3.6330 +0.1600 +4.61%👍
VIX…… 18.55 -0.15 -0.88%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.271.34 +3.61 +1.35%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.29 -1.69 -1.06%

IndoCDS..95.060 -3.950 -3.99%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/31)

IDR…..14971.50 -24.50 -0.16%👍
Jisdor.14990.00 +13.00 +0.09%👍

Euro……1.0902 +0.0063 +0.58%

TLKM….27.50 +0.23 +0.84%
(4122)
EIDO……23.75 +0.22 +0.94%
EEM……39.54 +0.08 +0.20%

Oil……80.42 +4.75 +6.28%‼️
Gold.2000.40 +14.20 +0.71%
Timah 25835.00 -81.00 -0.31%
(Closed 03/31)
Nickel..23060.50 -684.00 -2.88%
(Closed 04/03)
Silver…..24.02 -0.13 -0.56%
Copper..404.55 -4.90 -1.20%

Nturl Gas.2.117 -0.049 -2.26%

Ammonia 3966.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.200.00 +7.00 +3.63%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.212.00 +12.50 +6.27%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.234.00 +28.30 +13.76%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.234.25 +26.10 +12.53%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +11.10 +8.05%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.146.25 +9.35 +6.75%‼️
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 144.75 +11.50 +8.63%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.55 +13.85+10.43%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3885 +127 +3.38%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..657.75 -2.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil.56.68 +1.19 +2.14%
Wheat…..693.50 +1.25 +0.8%

Wood pulp…5060.00 -20 -039%
(Closed 04/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI lanjut ijo, nasdaq merah dikit. Europe mostly ijo. Asia kemaren ijo semua, semoga hari ini lanjut rally

Oil Coal jump, gas down, gold rebound, metal2 lain lanjut merah. cpo jump

NCF naik tinggi hari kedua, dari hitungan ABC correction sudah done, oscillators says up, supertrend buy alligator sedikit lagi. seems okay

Oil juga price jump, saham minyak belum banyak gerak pas coal naik tinggi, mungkin sekarang gilirannya.

IHSG – masih terus FNB dan bd acc, walau 833 overbought dan sell signal, stoch up macd up mfi up, w% uptrend, masih belum tembus fibo 38, tapi optimis akan touch neckline double bottom

Energy, Financials, Basic Materials, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals

AKRA leading, MEDC INDY udah jalan, yang baru mau gerak PGAS HRUM ELSA

Stochastic Buy Signal: LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM BMTR ELSA SMRA

Alligator Buy Signal (big acc sorted): TBIG BRMS

Supertrend Buy Signal: PTBA MEDC AALI MBSS

March 21th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on Monday as banking crisis fears ease

Stocks closed higher on Monday as traders grew hopeful that a crisis in the banking sector may be easing. The gains followed a forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS engineered by the Swiss government.

Dow……32245 +382.6 +1.20%
Nasdaq11676 +45.03 +0.39%
S&P 500.3952 +34.9 +0.89%

FTSE…..7404 +68.5 +0.93%
Dax…..14934 +165.2 +1.12%
CAC……7013 +87.7 +1.27%

Nikkei…..26946 -388.1 -1.42%
HSI………19000 -517.9 -2.65%
Shanghai.3235 -15.6 -0.48%

IDX…..6612.49 -65.75 -0.98%
LQ45….915.57 -8.69 -0.94%
IDX30…477.53 -4.92 -1.02%

IDXEnergy.1976.31 -37.62 -1.87%
IDX BscMat 1130.20 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1139.55 -12.22 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..715.23 -2.61 -0.36%
IDX Hlthcare1546.87 -16.10 -1.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..787.50 -8.02 -1.03%
IDX Techno..4849.76 -174.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1354.90 -16.77 -0.96%
IDX Banking.1109.55 -8.60 -0.77%
IDX Property….659 -5.10 .-0.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9104 +0.0103 +0.15%
ICBI…..350.8423 -0.0033 -0.00%
US2Yr3.9658 +0.1200 +3.11%
US5Yr 3.5840 +0.0770 +2.20%
US10Yr3.4830 +0.0450 +1.30%
US30Yr.3.6680+0.0410 +1.13%
VIX…… 24.15 -1.36 -5.33%

USDIndx103.2810 -0.4270 -0.41%
Como Indx.255.17 +0.52 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.22 +0.20 +0.13%

IndoCDS..101.480 -7.420 -6.81%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/17)

IDR…..15360.00 +15.00 +0.10%
Jisdor.15372.00 +8.00 +0.05%

Euro……1.0723 +0.0110 +1.04%

TLKM….26.29 -0.11 -0.42%
(4041)
EIDO……22.05 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……37.75 +0.14 +0.37%

Oil….67.65 +0.91 +1.36%
Gold.2000.00‼️+9.80 +0.49%*
Timah .22510.00 +292.00 +1.31%
(Closed 03/17)
Nickel..22800.00 -744.00 -3.16%‼️
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.67 +0.21 +0.93%
Copper..395.60 +6.35 +1.63%

Nturl Gas.2.240 -0.1060 -4.51%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.172.25 -0.75 -0.43%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.05 -1.00 -0.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.176.50 -2.60 -1.45%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.15 -3.95 -2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 unch +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.05 -2.95 -2.32%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.55 -2.70 -2.16%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.25 -2.65 -2.14%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3790 -131 -3.34%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.00 -1.25 -0.20%
SoybeanOil.57.99 +0.53 +0.92%
Wheat…..700.75 -9.75 -1.37%

Wood pulp…5530.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lagi, europe juga, giliran asia nyusul hari ini sepertinya

OIl ijo coal gas merah, metal2 ijo semua kecuali nikel, tinggal tunggu waktunya ANTM MDKA lari ini… CPO masih belum ok juga, masih belum gilirannya

IHSG – kemaren NFS langsung merah dalem, technically mulai konsolidasi, belum saatnya rally memang, bank dulu jalan baru index jalan. Sabar tunggu momentumnya

DI market merah Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare jadi ganjel Property juga tapi ga akan jalan sebelum banking biasanya

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA ICBP INDY INKP AGRO DSNG MTMH TOBA WIFI ANJT LMSH

Ga ada yang big accum posisinya, kemungkinan cuma karena jum’at mantul kenceng jadi yang sudah sangat oversold jadi buy signal

Kita assess beberapa yang sektornya jalan dan mewakili sektor yang ada issue

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBRI INDF BRMS DSNG MTMH

Yang Big Accumulation… ARTO BBCA di Financials, bagus untuk banking mulai dorong index. INCO, tapi harga nikelnya drop, belum dulu, INDF ini ok, sektornya jalan, mau masuk ramadhan lebaran, PTBA DOID di energy, tapi coal price masih belum ok. ERAA sektornya belum, tapi biasanya lebaran baju baru henpon baru so ok buat ditunggu buy signalnya. MTEL hold, masih bagus

March 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 400 points lower on Friday as First Republic and regional banks resume slide

Stocks fell Friday as investors pulled back from positions in First Republic
and other bank shares amid lingering concerns over the state of the U.S. banking sector.

Dow……31862 -384.6 -1.19%
Nasdaq11631 -86.8 -0.74%
S&P 500.3917 -43.6 -1.10%

FTSE…..7335 -74.6 -1.01%
Dax…..14768 -198.9 -1.33%
CAC……6925 -100.3 -1.43%

Nikkei…..27334 +323.2 +1.20%
HSI………19519 +314.7 +1.64%
Shanghai.3251 +23.7 +0.73%

IDX…..6678.24 +112.51 +1.71%
LQ45….924.25 +16.75 +1.85%
IDX30…482.45 +8.52 +1.80%

IDXEnergy.2013.92 +67.06 +3.44%‼️
IDX BscMat 1125.89 +19.00 +1.72%
IDX Indstrl…1151.76 +20.90 +1.85%
IDXNONCYC..717.84 +6.88 +0.97%
IDX Hlthcare1562.97 +23.38 +1.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..795.52 +5.53 +0.70%
IDX Techno..5023.90 -4.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1364.90 +25.22 +1.88%
IDX Banking.1118.15 +21.26 +1.94%
IDX Property….664 +0.30 +0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.9001 +0.0209 +0.30%
ICBI…..350.7112 -0.2133 -0.06%
US2Yr3.8458 -0.3282 -7.86%‼️
US5Yr 3.5070 -0.2261 -6.06%‼️
US10Yr3.4380 -0.1410 -3.94%‼️
US30Yr.3.6270-0.0850 -2.29%
VIX…… 25.51 +2.52 +10.96%‼️

USDIndx103.7080 -0.7100 -0.68%
Como Indx.254.66 -1.99 -0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.02 +1.13 +0.74%

IndoCDS..106.930 +7.886 +7.96%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/15)

IDR…..15345.00 -44.00 -0.29%
Jisdor.15364.00 -54.00 -0.35%

Euro……1.0613 +0.0034 +0.32%

TLKM….26.40 -0.41 -1.53%
(4056)
EIDO……22.00 +0.24 +1.10%
EEM……37.61 -0.23 -0.61%

Oil….66.74 -1.69 -2.47%
Gold.1990.20 +66.50+3.46%‼️
Timah .22464.00 – -%
(Closed 03/15)
Nickel..23545.00 +47.50 +0.20%
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.46 +0.63 +2.88%
Copper..389.25 +1.70 +0.44%

Nturl Gas.2.350 -0.1820 -7.19%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 -66.67 -1.57%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.173.00 -1.00 -0.57%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.175.05 -4.60 -2.56%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.179.10 -5.15 -2.80%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.184.10 -4.00 -2.13%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 -3.50 -2.54%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.00 -5.00 -3.79%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.25 -5.15 -3.95%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.90 -5.75 -4.44%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3921 -14 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..632.75 +6.25 +1.00%
SoybeanOil.57.73+1.39 +2.47%
Wheat…..699.00 -3.75 -0.53%

Wood pulp…5530.00 -40 -0.72%
(Closed 03/18)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US dan Europe closing merah, Asia ijo tebel ikut US hari sebelumnya. Semoga hari ini udah calmed down jadi kalo koreksi juga ga dalem

Energy related commodity drop semua, precious metals naik, Gold Silver naik tinggi, siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – mantul di support kuat, indicator masih belum terlalu ok, tapi w% udah ga downtrend, NFB, BD akum, elliot wave failed, bakal harus reset cycle nya. Semoga terus netbuy dan sentiment positif

Seperti kebiasaan menjelang puasa dan lebaran, consumer non-cyclicals jalan. Healthcare, Property ada gerakan

Abis drop dalem terus kemaren naik tinggi banyak banget stoch buy signal keluar…

Stoch Buy Signal: CPIN EXCL INCO JPFA SMGR SRTG UNTR ASSA BRMS DOID JSMR LSIP MLPL MTEL

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF TPIA

Kita assess yang stoch buy signal dan big accum bandar…

March 03rd 2023

Good morning,

Dow…..33034 +341.7 +1.05%
Nasdaq11463 +84.5 +0.73%
S&P 500.3981 +29.96 +0.76%

FTSE…….7944 +29.1 +0.37%
Dax……..15328 +22.6 +0.15%
CAC……..7284 +49.97 +0.69%

Nikkei…..27499 -17.7 -0.06%
HSI……..20429 -190.3 -0.92%
Shanghai.3311 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…..6857.42 +12.48 +0.18%
LQ45….947.15 +1.33 +0.14 %
IDX30…493.17 +0.87 +0.18%

IDXEnergy…2114.76 +21.21 +1.01%
IDX BscMat 1221.67 -17.63 -1.42%
IDX Indstrl..1206.77 +12.35 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..740.00 +3.00 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1560.95 +4.43 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…847.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Techno.5412.25 -4.87 – 0.09%
IDX Transp..1869.62 -33.57 -1.76%
IDX Infrast….844.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Finance1415.12 +5.57 +0.39%
IDX Banking1140.36 +6.21 +0.55%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9105 +0.0364 +0.53%‼️
ICBI….349.1696 -0.7977 -0.23%‼️
US5Yr 4.3143‼️ +0.0490 +1.16%
US10Yr4.0620‼️ +0.0660 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.0010‼️+0.0480 +1.21%
VIX……. 19.59 -0.99 -4.81%

USDIndx104.9840 +0.6210 +0.60%‼️
Como Indx.271.30 -1.51 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.59 -2.95 -1.79%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15280.00 +45.50 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor.15273.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0599 -0.0069 -0.64%

TLKM….25.71 -0.17 -0.66%
(3927)
EIDO……22.82 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM…….39.19 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…….78.16 +0.47 +0.61%
Gold.. 1840.50 -4.90 -0.27%
Timah 25334 +371 +1.49%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24232 -899.00 -3.58%‼️
(Closed 03/02)
Silver…….20.90 -0.19 -0.92%
Copper..407.60 -8.40 -2.02%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4390.00 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price.193.00 -0.50 -0.26%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.00 +1.25 +0.64%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.65 +1.40 +0.70%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.35 +1.20 +0.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.25 -0.60 -0.42%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 140.00 -3.55 -2.47%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.00 -4.40 -3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.70 -4.90 -3.34%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4293 +105 +2.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.75 -2.00 -0.31%
SoybeanOil..61.90 +1.07 +1.76%
Wheat……712.75 +2.75 +0.39%

Wood pulp…5840.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 03/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lumayan tebel, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG ijo kemaren tapi ada 26 saham ARB, rada anomali

Oil ijo gas coal merah, metal2 merah kecuali timah, nikel malah drop. Belum saatnya belanja saham tambang mineral logam, dikit lagi…

CPO naik tinggi, mungkin ini saatnya mulai rally. Kita check detail di emitennya nanti

IHSG – kemaren sudah FNB, stoch buy, macd masih down but flattening, MFI sw, W% sw, masih jadwal wave 3, keliatan bentuk triangle pattern, semoga breakout ke atas

Industrials Energy Property. Bank2 sudah mulai buy signal tapi sektor Financials nya belum firm

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO BBCA BBNI BUKA TINS AALI BRMS

MACD Buy Signal: INCO PGAS MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID IGAR

Supertrend Buy Signal: ITMG IGAR

ARTO skip

BBCA – buat indikasi aja, bukan mau dibeli, hehehe… stoch buy, macd still down, BD FF net sell, MFI down, w% downtrend, masih jadwal wave 3 tapi lagi jatahnya sideways dulu, belum…

BUKA – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, W% downtrend, BD dist, FF acc tipis, dari IPO drop, belum retrace, pelan2 bottom nya tambah tinggi, sektor bukan leading, belum sih

TINS – stoch buy macdbuy, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD acc, masih NFS tipis, ew reverse done, ketemu regbull div terus mantul, kejedot fibo 23, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy harusnya

Ternyata spike nya ok, spike tinggi pas harga sideways

Harga aman. Ada gap juga di atas, bisa spec buy half, half lagi tunggu firm acc BD dan FF

AALI – stoch buy bolak balik, macd up MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, abis drop mulai gerak naikpelan2 belum ada gerakan signifikan yang diikuti higher low, WNS deh

BRMS – Technical ok, tapi saham bakrie nggak deh

INCO – stoch up macd buy, 833 sell, MFI up, BD FF acc, w% sw, masih konsol di sekitar fibo 61 terjunan abc correction, belum lanjut wave 3. Kalo mau entry tunggu 833 buy lagi while MACD masih firm. Nikel drop jadi agak khawatir dulu

PGAS – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, BD FF acc, w%up, belum breakout resistance, hold, kalo breakout neckline nambah

MAPI – saham hajatan, baru kemaren sell signal MACD sekarang ngebalik lagi, masalahnya udah naik tinggi, udah wave 5 dan udah ketemu bearish divergence, ga ok buat new entry, kalo yang udah pegang berani hold sambil pasang trailing stop

DOID – coal emang pada gerak, stoch up, macd up, alligator buy, MFI sw, W% uptrend, mau breakout patternd double bottom, yang belum punya coal boleh beli ini… Saya pegang HRUM

ITMG – kalo masuk sekarang nanggung, belum pasti breakout resistance, kalo entry dari kemaren pas buy signal MACD ok hold, entry baru mending nunggu konfirmasi breakout resistance 38.675

IGAR skip