Daily Analysis 20250904
Daily Analysis 20250813
Good morning,
August 13th, 2025
S&P 500 closes above 6,400 for first time as rate cut bets jump after CPI inflation report
The S&P 500 closed above 6,400 for the first time ever amid a broad stock market rally on Tuesday as Wall Street digested fresh inflation data.
Dow…..44459 +483.6 +1.10%
Nasdaq 21682 +296.5 +1.39%
S&P 500 6446 +72.4 +1.14%
FTSE…..9148 +18.1 +0.14%
Dax…..24025 -56.6 -0.23%
CAC…..7753 +54.9 +0.71%
Nikkei…42718 +897.7 +2.15%
HSI………24970 +62.9 +0.25%
Shanghai.3666 +18.4 +0.50%
IDX..7791.70 +186.7 +2.44%‼️
LQ45..823.26 +23.67 +2.96%‼️
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%‼️
IDXEnergy.3601.98 +27.90 +0.92%
IDX BscMat1635.85 -14.41 -0.87%
IDX Indstr..1127.24 +53.75 +5.01%‼️
IDXNONCYC.705.38 +0.99 +0.14%
IDX Hlthcare1625.99 +15.99+0.99%
IDXCYCLC..790.55 +2.21 +0.28%
IDX Techno.9315.88 +486.96 +5.52%‼️
IDX Transp 1539.78 +0.00. +0.01%
IDX Infrast .1929.302 +37.68 +1.99%
IDX Finance 1457.04 +41.19 +2.91%
IDX Banking 1077.47 +44.10 +4.27%
IDX Property..811 -2.90 -0.25%
Indo10Yr.6.5393 -0.0019 -0.29%
ICBI….422.0445 +0.3004 +0.07%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.73 -1.52 -9.35%👍
USDIndx..98.0970❗️-0.423 -0.43%
Como Indx.295.36 -0.33 -0.11%
BCOMIN..142.78 +1.69 +1.19%
IndoCDS 5yr.73.93 -0.94 -1.26%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)
IDR…….16289.50❗️ +10.00 +0.06%
Jisdor…16298.00❗️ +45.00 +0.28%
Euro..1.1677❗️+0.0063 +0.54%
TLKM..19.31 +1.00 +5.46%‼️
( 3147)
EIDO….18.61 +0.63 +3.50%‼️
EEM…49.90 +0.60 +1.22%
Oil…63.10 -1.04 -1.62%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.12 -0.53 -0.77%
(Brent)
Gold.3403.30 +8.90 +0.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3350.79 +3.20 +0.10%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33886.00 +81.00 +0.24%
(Closed 12/08)
Nickel…15293.63 +14.00 +0.09%
(Closed 12/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 102.41 +1.19 +1.18%
(12/08)
Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%
Ammonia China.2450.00 -50 -2.02%
(Domestic Price 12/08)
Coal price111.70 -0.55 -0.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 -1.95 -1.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.00 -1.15 -1.01%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.25 -0.50 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price 100.35 -1.00 -0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.35 -2.25 -2.19%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 -2.25 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 -2.40 -2.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct) 4400 +16 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……394.50 -13.25 -3.25%
SoybeanOil 53.14 +0.14 +0.26%
Wheat…505.00 -10.00 -1.94%
Wood pulp..5876.67 +33.33 +0.74%
(Closed 12/08)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Kemaren hampir semua index regional ijo kecuali german. US treasury bond yield down, cocok buat lanjut ijo hari ini
USD index down, metal2 up kecuali silver copper, oil lanjut down, gas down coal down, CPO up, kenapa ini energy belum jadi jalan?
IHSG – stoch buy macd rev buy, MFI flat, w% uptrend, bd acc FNB udah 2 hari, sayangnya nambah gap baru lagi, ketemu reg bear div, bisa jadi ga ketahan emang mau dibawa ke atas ini index, dengan kemaren big banks dan big caps lain pada di gas, secara umum yang buy signal bisa buy tapi jangan lupa trailing stop dan stop loss, euforia berlebihan berbahaya
Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property (tapi sudutnya melemah), Healthcare, Transportation, Financials (finally!!!) Kalo firm Financials jalan berarti lanjut rally wave 3
Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI BRIS ICBP JSMR MEDC PTBA BNGA GGRM GJTL PNLF PTRO, big accum ADRO BBRI PTBA GGRM PNLF
MACD Buy Signal: BBRI BBTN EXCL JSMR MAPA SIDO BNGA MIKA, big accum BBRI BBTN EXCL SIDO
Supertrend Buy Signal: BBCA BBNI BBTN BMRI AGRO, Big accum BBCA BBTN BMRI
Daily Analysis 20250707
Good morning,
July 07th, 2025
US markets is holiday due to Independence Day
Dow…..44829 closed +0%
Nasdaq 20601 closed +0%
S&P 500 6279 closed +0%
FTSE…..8823 -0.29 -0.00%
Dax…..23787 -146.7 -0.61%
CAC…..7696 -58.3 -0.75%
Nikkei….39811 +24.98 +0.06%
HSI………23916 -153.9 -0.64%
Shanghai.3472 +11.2 +0.32%
IDX..6865.19 -12.86 -0.19%
LQ45..763.51 -2.07 -0.27%
IDX30.393.11 -1.12 -0.28%
IDXEnergy.2696.40 +6.97 +0.26%
IDX BscMat1472.86 -3.86 -0.26%
IDX Indstr…..914.05 +3.90 +0.43%
IDXNONCYC.671.28 -5.48 -0.81%
IDX Hlthcare1514.16 -0.74 -0.05%
IDXCYCLC…725.37 -3.20 -0.44%
IDX Techno.6496.68 +50.10 +0.78%
IDX Transp 1432.52 -9.15 -0.63%
IDX Infrast .1399.87 -19.06 -1.34%
IDX Finance.1341.98 +4.31 +0.32%
IDX Banking 1004.17 +2.96 +0.30%
IDX Property..720 +2.00 +0.28%
Indo10Yr.6.6693👍 -0.0020 -0.30%
ICBI….415.4030👍 +0.4272 +0.41%
US2Yr.3.885 closed +0%
US5Yr 3.938 closed +0%
US10Yr4.328 -0.09 -0.21%
US30Yr.4. 861 closed +0%
VIX..17.48 +1.10 +6.72%‼️
USDIndx..97.1800❗️+0.067 +0.07%
Como Indx.299.93 closed +0%
BCOMIN..149.68 closed +0%
IndoCDS 5yr.74.56👍 -2.05 -2.68%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/07)
IDR…….16185.00❗️-10.00 -0.06%
Jisdor…16204.00❗️ -5.00 -0.03%
Euro..1.1778 +0.0023 +0.20%
TLKM..16.83 closed +0%
( 2728)
EIDO….17.47 closed +0%
EEM…48.76 closed +0%
Oil…67.00 -0.50 -0.75%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.30 -0.60 -0.87%
(Brent)
Gold.3346.50 +3.60 +0.11%
(Comex)
Gold.3337.15 +11.03 +0.33%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33702.00 -146.00 -0.43%
(Closed 04/07)
Nickel…15281.88 -94.00 -0.61%
(Closed 04/07)
Silver….37.14 +0.06 +0.16%
Copper.506.25 -7.90 -1.53%
Iron Ore 62% 96.24 unch +0%
(04/07)
Nturl Gas .3.390 -0.015 -0.44%
Ammonia China.2350.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price 04/07)
Coal price.109.95 -1.30 -1.17%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price110.85 -1.65 -1.47%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.70 -2.15 -1.89%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.75 -1.85 -1.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.105.75 -2.45 -2.26%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.05 -2.95 -2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.55 -2.70 -2.49%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.106.15 -2.35 -2.17%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep) 4062 -31 -0.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..420.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 54.67 closed +0%
Wheat…556.75 closed +0%
Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/07)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Juma’t US closed ID4, europe merah, asia varied, US treasury bond stagnant, ga ada sentimen apa apa kecuali masih israel serang palestina yang kemungkinan besar masih bikin market khawatir dan harga minyak dan energy cenderung akan naik
USD index up, gold silver up, metal lain down, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, masih meragukan wave 3 nya index ini
IHSG – stoch up macd down MFI sw w% down, BD FF dist, masih jelek, harga ketemu support cloud ichimoku, target double top done, tapi masih ada 2 gap di bawah, WNS guys, tunggu Big Banks mantul
Kan, melemah lagi semua, memang kalo wave 1 nya simple wave 2-3 nya suka complex, tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals yang arahnya bagus
Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ITMG PTMA BRMS BSDE INDY INTP SRTG, big accum AKRA SRTG
MACD Buy Signal: BRIS CTRA MBMA CMRY GGRM HEAL KIJA LSIP MARK MNCN SCMA UNIQ, big accum BRIS CTRA GGRM LSIP SCMA
Daily Analysis 20250625
Good morning,
June 25th 2025
Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool
U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.
Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%
FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%
Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%
IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%
IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️
Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍
USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%
IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)
IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%
Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%
TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%
Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)
Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%
Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)
Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)
Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️
Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50
USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu
IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat
Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah
Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat
Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan
Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON
MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip
Daily Analysis 20250122
January 22th, 2024
Dow gains 500 points, stocks close near records as Trump holds off on tariffs
US stocks gained on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rising back above 44,000 and the S&P 500 topping the 6,000 level as investors digested President Donald Trump’s first policy moves, with promised tariffs on Mexico and Canada front of mind.
Dow……44026 +537.96 +1.24%
Nasdaq 19757 +126.6. +0.64%
S&P 500 6049 +52.6 +0.88%
FTSE…..8548 +27.8 +0.33%
Dax……21042 +51.7 +0.25%
CAC……7771 +37.5 +0.48%
Nikkei…39028 +125.5 +0.32%
HSI…….20107 +180.7 +0.91%
Shanghai.3243 -1.8 -0.05%
IDX…7181.82 +11.08 +0.15%
LQ45…834.45 +0.83 +0.10%
IDX30.430.05 +0.42 +0.10%
IDXEnergy…2871.88 -3.63 -0.13%
IDX BscMat 1239.77 -5.64 -0.45%
IDX Indstrl… ..978.42 -4.22 -0.43%
IDXNONCYC.699.62 +1.30 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1396.95 +8.43 +0.61%
IDXCYCLC…823.64 +5.46 +0.67%
IDX Techno.4247.86 -16.11 -0.38%
IDX Transp 1279.07 -0.89 -0.07%
IDX Infrast 1493.95 +15.58 +1.05%
IDX Finance1423.96 +7.38 +0.52%
IDX Banking1177.17 +10.63 +0.91%
IDX Property. 784 -6.50 -0.82%
Indo10Yr.7.1545❗️-0.0241 -0.33%
ICBI….393.4789❗️+0.6908 +0.18%
US2Yr.4.282 -0.008 -0.19%
US5Yr 4.429 -0.037 -0.84%
US10Yr4.574 -0.010 -0.22%
US30Yr.4.806 -0.048 -0.99%
VIX..15.06 -0.75 -4.74%‼️
USDIndx 108.9510👍-0.153 -0.14%
Como Indx..308.87 -2.21 -0.71%
BCOMIN..145.89 -1.32 -0.90%
IndoCDS…77.19 -1.00 -1.28%
(5-yr INOCD5) (20/01)
IDR…….16343.00‼️-24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.. 16331.00‼️-41.00 -0.25%
Euro…1.0428 +0.0011 +0.11%
TLKM…16.34 -0.15 -0.91%
( 2668)
EIDO….18.68 +0.19 +1.03%
EEM…42.54 +0.44 +1.03%
Oil………75.89 -1.00 -1.30%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………79.37 -0.45 -0.56%
(Brent)
Gold…2759.20 +27.40 +1.00%
(Comex)
Gold…2744.80 +36.59 +1.35%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.30390.00 +615.00 +2.07%
(Closed 20/01)
.Nickel.16070.00 -10.00 -0.06%
(Closed 20/01)
Silver……31.50 +0.30 +0.96%
Copper.434.10 +2.35 +0.54%
Iron Ore 62% 101.21 +0.72 +0.72%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.783 -0.047 -1.23%
Ammonia China. 2410.00 -26.67 -1.09%
(Domestic Price)(20/01)
Coal price.117.75 -0.40 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.45 +2.95 +2.34%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.60 +3.75 +3.03%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.05 +3.25 +2.58%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.20 +1.50 +1.36%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.95 +2.50 +2.26%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.15 +2.70 +2.47%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.30 +4.00 +3.66%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Apr) 4260 +54 +1.28%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………490.00 +5.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 45.77 +0.08 +0.18%
Wheat……558.75 +20.00 +3.71%‼️
Wood pulp…..6524 unch +0%
(Closed 21/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US Europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali china, US treasury bond yield turun, ijo lagi dong harusnya hari ini… BBCA bangun ah
USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil gas turun, Coal CPO lanjut naik, ayo jalan ADRO…
IHSG – stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend BD flat FNS double bottom, harusnya sih tinggal nunggu FNB jalan ya, US juga ijo, Trump ga tau seterusnya ga tau cuma karena pemilihan minta Israel gencatan senjata, harusnya sih bagus buat stock market
Financials Property
Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO CPIN KLBF MIKA ULTJ, big accum ARTO CPIN
MACD Buy Signal: BUKA KLBF SMGR HMSP JPFA, big accum BUKA HMSP
Alligator Buy Signal: ANTM DSNG PTMP
Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS
























