Oct 23rd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 300 points lower after 10-year Treasury yield tops 5% for the first time since 2007

Stocks retreated Friday as a surge in the 10-year Treasury yield
prompted broader concerns about the state of the economy.

Dow……33127 -286.9 -0.86%
Nasdaq12984 -202.4 -1.53%
S&P 500.4224 -53.8 -1.26%

FTSE…..7402 -97.4 -1.30%
Dax……14798 -246.8 -1.64%
CAC……6816 -105.2 -1.52%

Nikkei…31259 -171.3 -0.54%
HSI…….17172 -123.8 -0.72%
Shanghai.2983 -22.3 -0.74%

IDX….6849.17 +2.74 +0.34%
LQ45….911.89 +1.81 +0.20%
IDX30…470.40 +0.82 +0.17%

IDXEnergy..2076.00 +1.39 +0.07%
IDX BscMat.1242.30 +0.85 +0.07%
IDX Indstrl…1122.38 +0.16 +0.01%
IDXNONCYC.745.20 +0.38 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1484.38+3.41 +0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…853.51 -1.83 -0.21%
IDX Techno.3949.22 -66.56 -1.66%
IDX Transp 1683.76 -28.25 -1.65%
IDX Infrast..1215.98 -9.97 -0.81%
IDX Finance.1356.92 +1.85 +0.14%
IDX Banking.1174.98 +10.95+0.94%
IDX Property…698 -5.40 -0.77%

Indo10Yr.7.1419‼ +0.1088+1.55%
ICBI….361.0366‼-2.0354 -0.56%
US2Yr.5.071‼ -0.038 -0.74%
US5Yr 4.854 -0.100 -2.02%
US10Yr4.914 -0.081 -1.62%
US30Yr.5.078‼ -0.031 -0.61%
VIX…..21.71‼ +0.31 +1.45%

USDIndx 106.1630‼-0.090 -0.08%
Como Indx…286.01 -1.32 -0.46%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..136.16 -0.26 -0.19%

IndoCDS.102.96 +2.96 +2.96%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (20/10)

IDR…..15872.50‼ +57.50 +0.36%
Jisdor.15856.00‼ +18.00 +0.11%

Euro……1.0594 +0.0014 +0.13%

TLKM…23.53 -0.16 -0.68%
(3731)
EIDO….20.92 +0.08 +0.38%
EEM….36.79 -0.45 -1.21%

Oil………88.08‼ -2.26 -2.50%
Gold..1994.40‼ +8.00 +0.40%
Timah..24985.00 -220.00 -0.97%
(Closed 20/10)
Nickel..18648.00 +91.00 +0.49%
(Closed 20/10)
Silver……23.50 +0.35 +1.51%
Copper.356.30 -2.05 -0.57%

Iron Ore 62%118.65 -0.39 -0.33%
(20/10)
Nturl Gas…3.258 +0.303 +10.25%‼
Ammonia China.3700.00 +76.67 +2.12%
(Domestic Price)(19/10)

Coal price.138.00 +1.50 +1.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.00 +1.00 +0.70%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.40 -0.60 -0.41%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price 150.50 -0.45 -0.30%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.00 +0.50 +0.36%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.139.10 +1.00 +0.73%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.136.90 -0.10 -0.07%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.20 -0.05 -0.04%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan)..3771 +25 +0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……495.00 -9.50 -1.88%
SoybeanOil 53.39 +0.28 +0.53%
Wheat….586.00 -8.00 -1.35%

Wood pulp..5700.00 -10 -0.18%
(Closed 22/10)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia.
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at kebakaran semua, bagusnya sih US Bond rate turun, harusnya dampaknya bagus ke saham, USD index turun, Gold silver naik, copper timah nickel iron ore turun, oil turun, gas loncat, Coal tipis2, spot ijo future merah. Harusnya bagus buat ANTM MDKA dan saham2 tambang batubara. PGAS sayangnya ga selalu sejalan sama harga gas, jadi walau loncat ga banyak ngaruh

IHSG – ga jadi buy MACD nya, stoch nya ngebalik sell, masih FNS terus, masih distribusi terus, bikin lower low,jadi terbuka kemungkinan ABC correction nya bukan kaya yang kemaren digambar, tapi di 6750 an targetnya. Masih bagus pegang cash…

Energy, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ICBP AALI TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM BRMS

Stochastic Continuation Signal: SIDO BMTR HMSP LPPF

ICBP – stoch buy macd down, MFI sw, w% baru keluar downtrend area, BD rev acc, FF masih dist, abis wave 5 udah bikin abc correction,udah kemu reg bull div, baru satu cendol. Wait confirmation…

AALI – masih jelek semua kecuali stochastic buy dan ketemu reg bull div, tunggu confirm

TAPG – lebih bagus technicalnya, stoch buy, macd rev up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, bikin higher low, ada reg bear div di chaikin money index, tapi belum berani entry, macd buy signal kita assess lagi

July 07th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower as hot jobs data raises fears of Fed rate hikes

Stocks slid on Thursday after better-than-expected jobs data increased investors’ anxiety around the state of the economy and path of interest rates.

Dow……33922  -366.4   -1.07%
Nasdaq13679  -112.6   -0.82%
S&P 500.4412  -35.2     -0.79%

*FTSE…..7281   -161.6     -2.17%*
*Dax……15529  -409.04   -2.57%*
*CAC……7082   -228.5      -3.13%*

Nikkei…32773 -565.7     -1.70%
*HSI…….18533 -577.3     -3.02%”‼️*
Shanghai.3206 -17.4      -0.54%

IDX…..6757.33  +38.35  +0.57%
LQ45….956.40  +2.95    +0.31%
IDX30…497.11  +1.61    +0.32%

IDXEnergy…1836.94  +35.66 +1.98%
IDX BscMat.1020.99  +9.66   +0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1192.38  +11.71 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.754.59  +0.19   +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare1480.51 -2.80    -0.19%
*IDXCYCLIC….912.79  +19.42 +2.17%*
IDX Techno.4774.82  +26.04 +0.55%
IDX Transp..1948.89  +5.13.  +0.26%
IDX Infrast… .863.76  +0.59   +0.07%
IDX Finance.1422.70 +0.48   +0.03%
IDX Banking.1189.27  -0.74   -0.06%
IDX Property..736       +5.30   +0.73%

*Indo10Yr.6.3021 +0.0112 +0.18%*
*ICBI….368.3600 -0.2405 -0.07%*
*US2Yr.4.9890*  +0.042   +0.85%
*US5Yr 4.3500  +0.101   +2.35%*
*US10Yr4.0330 +0.094   +2.39%*
*US30Yr.3.9960* +0.050  +1.27%
*VIX…….15.44   +1.26    +8.89%‼️*

*USDIndx103.1660* -0.2070  -0.20%
Como Indx…261.92   -0.89      -0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……140.76    -0.74      -0.52%

*IndoCDS.85.19👍  -0.97   -1.13%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(05/07)*
*IDR…..15056.50‼️+38.50 +0.26%*
*Jisdor.15062.00‼️+49.00 +0.33%*

*Euro……1.0890* +0.0036  +0.33%

TLKM…26.26   -0.15    -0.57%
*(3955)*
EIDO….22.82   -0.27    -1.17%
*EEM…38.95   -0.81    -2.04%*

Oil…….71.82       -0.06    -0.08%
Gold…1916.30   -7.40    -0.38%
Timah..27633.00  +313.00   +1.15%
*(Closed 05/07)*
Nickel..21198.50   -24.00      -0.11%
(Closed 06/07)
Silver….. 22.91   -0.34     -1.46%
Copper..374.20  -1.90     -0.51%

*Iron Ore 62%  111.84 +0.97  +0.87%*
(05/07)
Nturl Gas.2.636  -0.019  -0.72%

*Coal price.139.65  -5.15  -3.56%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.143.75  -7.25   -5.04%‼️*
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40  -7.20   -4.66%‼️*
(Sept/Newcastle)
*Coal price.149.45 -6.45   -4.14%‼️*
(Oct/Newcastle)

*Coal price117.25   -6.35  -5.14%‼️*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90  -7.25  -5.94%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90 -6.20  -5.12%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.115.30 -5.80 -4.79%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3911  +49  +1.27%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn….506.50       +13.00  +2.53%*
*SoybeanOil 59.24 -2.16     -3.52%‼️*
*Wheat…668.00     -16.25   -2.41%*

*Wood pulp..4290.00* +40  +0.94%
(Closed 06/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Kemaren IHSG berhasil melawan gravitasi, ijo sendiri, sekarang kayanya ga akan kuat sih… Rata2 pada dalem merahnya

Hampir semua komoditas turun,kecuali Timah, Iron Ore dan CPO. Trailing stop guys, hari hari bantingan hari ini

IHSG – bikin minor IHNS, chart pattern besarnya bikin triple bottom lanjut higher low, sudah harusnya tinggal mantul. Stoch buy MACD up,MFI up w% uptrend, FNB terus, tinggal rally nya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BRPT BUKA ESSA GOTO INCO MEDC SMGR TBIG TINS AGII BABP BFIN DOID ENRG LPPF LTLS SGRO

Yang sambil big accum dan ada faktor lain: BRPT ESSA SMGR

MACD Buy Signal: EXCL AGII BABP BMTR ENRG AMFG

Allgator Buy Signal: BBNI BMTR

Supertrend Buy Signal: SMGR ITMG AGII

July 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slips 100 points to snap 3-day win streak as investors consider Fed’s latest comments

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
slid on Wednesday as Wall Street resumed a holiday-shortened week and digested the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes for insights into the state of monetary policy.

Dow……34289 -129.8 -0.38%
Nasdaq13792 -25.1 -0.18%
S&P 500.4447 -8.8 -0.20%

FTSE…..7442 -77.6 -1.03%
Dax……15938 -101.6 -0.63%
CAC……7311 -59.1 -0.80%

Nikkei…..33339 -83.8 -0.25%
HSI………19110 -305.3 -1.57%
Shanghai.3223 -22.4 -0.69%

IDX…..6718.98 +37.22 +0.56%
LQ45….953.44 +4.71 +0.50%
IDX30…495.50 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…1801.29 +26.50 +1.49%
IDX BscMat.1011.34 +15.97+1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1180.67 +7.99 +0.68%
IDXNONCYC.754.39 +1.75 +0.23%
IDX Hlthcare1483.31 +5.82 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC….893.37 +7.71 +0.87%
IDX Techno.4748.78 +16.41 +0.35%
IDX Transp..1943.76 +21.56 +1.12%
IDX Infrast… .863.17 +8.68 +1.02%
IDX Finance.1422.23 +1.54 +0.11%
IDX Banking.1190.01 +1.23 +0.10%
IDX Property..730 +6.50 +0.90%

Indo10Yr.6.2909👍 -0.0144 -0.23%
ICBI….368.6006👍 +0.1834 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.9470 +0.007 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.2490 +0.058 +1.38%
US10Yr3.9390 +0.085 +2.21%
US30Yr.3.9460 +0.089 +2.31%
VIX…….14.18 +0.48 +3.50%

USDIndx103.3730 +0.3340 +0.32%
Como Indx…262.80 +1.91 +0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.50 -0.17 -0.12%

IndoCDS.85.19👍 -0.97 -1.13%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/07)
IDR…..15017.50‼️+23.00 +0.15%
Jisdor.15013.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro……1.0854 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…26.41 -0.01 -0.04%
(3965)
EIDO….23.09 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..39.76 -0.24 -0.60%

Oil…….71.88 +0.88 +1.24%
Gold…1923.70 -9.40 -0.49%
Timah..27320.00 -57.00 -0.21%
(Closed 04/07)
Nickel..21222.50 +683.0#0 +3.33%‼️
(Closed 05/07)
Silver….. 23.35 +0.18 +0.78%
Copper..376.10 -2.25 -0.59%

Iron Ore 62% 110.87 – -%
(03/07)
Nturl Gas.2.655 -0.087 -3.17%

Coal price.144.80 +1.65 +1.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.00 -0.25 -0.17%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.60 -0.45 -0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.155.90 -1.65 -1.05%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price123.60 +0.30 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.15 +1.25 +1.03%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.45 +1.21%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.65 +1.38%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3862 -22 -0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 61.40 +1.21 +2.01%
Wheat…674.25 +32.50 +5.06%‼️

Wood pulp..4250.00 +20 +0.47%
(Closed 05/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia merah, IHSG aja ijo sendiri, hihihi…. Alamat hari ini merah dulu

USD index up, Gold Copper down, Silver up, tin merah, nickel jump. Perlu liat INCO kita. Oil Coal up, Gas down, CPO down, bagus buat ngejar koreksi LSIP. ELSA MEDC ADRO INDY HRUM dkk lanjut harusnya

IHSG – udah FNB terus, good sign. stoch buy, MACD up,MFI sw, w% up, nyaris double bottom terus mantul, udah bikin higher low, udah diatas EMA20, semoga lanjut rally

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Kalo index lagi ijo emang banyak banget nongol buy signal. Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN INDY SIDO UNTR AGRO BMTR ERAA HEAL HMSP LSIP MLPL MNCN SMRA AMFG

Kita perhatiin yang beneran Big Akum sama yang freq spike nya fresh, dan multiple factors: UNTR ERAA JSMR  LSIP MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM JSMR MLPL PTPP RMKE IGAR

Alligator Buy Signal: BMRI ELSA INCI

Supertrend Buy Signal: ADRO MDKA

June 21st, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a second straight day, Dow sheds 200 points as market rally cools

Stocks fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the week, as a rally that drove the market to levels not seen in more than a year took a breather.

Dow……34054 -245.3 -0.72%
Nasdaq13667 -22.3 -0.16%
S&P 500.4339 -20.9 -0.47%

FTSE…..7569 -19.2 -0.25%
Dax……16111 -89.9 -0.55%
CAC……7294 -19.9 -0.27%

Nikkei…..33389 +18.5 +0.06%
HSI………19608 -305.8 -1.54%
Shanghai.3240 -15.4 -0.47%

IDX…..6660.46 -25.60 -0.38%
LQ45….948.81 -1.21 -0.13%
IDX30…493.61 -0.70 -0.14%

IDXEnergy…1797.12 +2.62 +0.15%
IDX BscMat..990.60 -16.50. -1.64%
IDX Indstrl…1168.07 -7.27 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.738.81 -7.18 -0.96%
IDX Hlthcare1501.75 +2.72 +0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…868.69 -13.39 -1.52%
IDX Techno.4914.43 -64.66 -1.30%
IDX Transp..1911.26 -26.66 -1.38%
IDX Infrast..ẞz. .848.39 -4.66 -0.55%
IDX Finance.1389.73 -2.54 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1171.55 +0.46 +0.04 %
IDX Property..741 +7.40 +1.01%

Indo10Yr.6.383 +0.0308 +0.48%
ICBI..365.9502 -0.3621 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.6900 -0.070 -1.47%
US5Yr 3.9440 -0.042 -1.05%
US10Yr3.7300-0.100 -2.63%
US30Yr.3.8100-0.110 -2.81%
VIX……13.88👍 -0.31 -2.18%

USDIndx102.5400 +0.0180 +0.02%
Como Indx….267.41 -3.49 -1.29%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……146.06 -2.96 -1.99%

IndoCDS.83.21 +0.02 +0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/06)

IDR…..15004.50‼+10.50 +0.07%
Jisdor.15040.00‼ +46.00 +0.31%

Euro……1.0919 -0.0007 -0.06%

TLKM…26.73 +0.02 +0.07%
(4020)
EIDO….22.97 -0.24 -1.03%
EEM…..40.08 -0.80 -1.96%

Oil………70.50 -0.79 -1.11%
Gold…1947.70 -16.40 -0.83%
Timah..26900.00 -51.00 -0.19%
(Closed 18/06)
Nickel..21976.00 -533.00 -2.36%
(Closed 20/06)
Silver….. 23.45 -0.81 -3.33%
Copper..389.35 +1.90 +0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 113.02 +0.09 +0.08%
(16/06)
Nturl Gas.2.485 -0.177 -6.65%‼

Coal price.126.55 -1.80 -1.40%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.55 +1.75 +1.31%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.55 +1.35 +1.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.45 +0.90 +0.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price117.20 +3.15 +2.76%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 +4.85 +4.29%‼
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.75 +4.30 +3.86%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.95 +4.30 +3.89%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3727 -31 -0.82%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……597.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 57.66 -0.21 -0.36%
Wheat…708.75 +7.25 +1.03%

Wood pulp..4280.00 -20 -0.47%
(Closed 20/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren index merah semua kecuali nikkei. USD index naik sedikit tapi semua komoditas turun lagi kecuali copper sama iron ore. Masih lesu…

IHSG – stoch sell lagi,MACD rev down, MFI sw, w% down, BD masih acc nahan biar ga drop jauh, masih FNS terus, breakdown MA 10 dan 20, rada mengkhawatirkan, yang signal ngebalik exit dulu di DCB ya, harusnya ada DCB kalo digebukin begini

Akhirnya Basic Materials sama Energy ikut loyo, hold cash dulu guys

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS MEDC

BMTR dibanting tapi diakum, menarik dicermati

MACD Buy Signal: BBTN MPMX. Group SRTG kayanya mulai gerak goreng sih, sebelumnya MDKA, kemaren AGII, sekarang MPMX

Alligator Buy Signal: SMGR TINS AGRO ENRG MTMH TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: AKRA