September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB

September 05th, 2024

S&P 500 books back-to-back losses as Wall Street grapples with a rocky start to September

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight session in a lackluster start to September.

Dow…….40974 +38.04 +0.09%
Nasdaq. .17084 -52.0 -0.30%
S&P 500 5520 -8.9 -0.16%

FTSE…8269 -28.9 -0.35%
Dax……18592 -155.3 -0.83%
CAC……7501 -74.1 -0.98%

Nikkei….37048 -1638.7 -4.44%‼️
HSI……..17458 -194.2 -1.10%
Shanghai.2784 -18.7 -0.67%

IDX….7672.90 +56.38 +0.74%
LQ45…941.69 -0.59 -0.06%
IDX30.477.78 -0.46 -0.10%

IDXEnergy. 2662.58 -5.04 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1332.31 -11.74 -0.87%
IDX Indstrl..1092.38 +6.14 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC.710.22 -1.87 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1493.19 +23.62 +1.61%
IDXCYCLIC…902.83 +24.35 +2.76%
IDXTechno 3298.12 +13.04 +0.40%
IDX Transp 1441.40 -14.94 -1.02%
IDX Infrast 1639.95 +18.09 +1.12%
IDX Finance1486.92 +11.01 +0.75%
IDX Banking1316.27 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property….722 +7.10 +0.99%

Indo10Yr.6.7160 +0.0230 +0.36%
ICBI….390.7836 -0.1895 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 -0.097 -2.51%
US5Yr 3.556 -0.083 -2.28%
US10Yr3.754 -0.080 -2.08%
US30Yr.4.060 -0.063 -1.53%
VIX..21.32‼️ +0.60 +2.90%

USDIndx 101.3580❗️-0.4670 -0.46%
Como Indx….270.26 -2.54 -0.93%
BCOMIN………140.35 -1.24 -0.87%

IndoCDS..68.23 +0.98 +1.46%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/08)

IDR…….15479.50❗️ -46.50 -0.30%
Jisdor..15490.00❗️ -46.00 -0.30%

Euro…1.1084 +0.0038 +0.34%

TLKM…19.82 +0.17 +0.86%
( 3070)
EIDO…..21.85 +0.26 +1.30%
EEM….42.50 -0.01 -0.02%

Oil……….69.30 -1.09 -1.55%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.70 -1.05 -1.42%
(Brent)
Gold…2525.20 +0.30 +0.01%
(Comex)
Gold…2495.36 +2.17 +0.09%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30499.00 -246.00 -0.80%
(Closed 04/09)
Nickel..16180.00 -311.00 -1.89%
(Closed 04/09)
Silver……28.59 +0.19 +0.67%
Copper.408.50 -0.80 -0.20%

Iron Ore 62% 100.55 +1.85 +1.87%
(30/08)
Nturl Gas 2.146 -0.058 -2.63%
Ammonia China 2623.33 +90.00 +3.55%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/09)

Coal price.139.50 -2.50 -1.76%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.40 -2.70 -1.90%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.60 -2.05 -1.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price..142.00 -2.15 -1.49%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 114.00 -3.45 -2.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.85 -3.40 -2.88%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3888 -45 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 40.16 -0.82 -2.00%
Wheat……580.75 +14.00 +2.47%

Wood pulp.4916.00 +8.00 +0.16%
(Closed 03/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dow Jones ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah asia merah, IHSG ijo sendiri. Tapi US bond yield merah semua, semoga masih ijo lagi IHSG hari ini, beresin wave 3 ke target fibo ext 1.61

USD index down, metal2 mostly up but Tin and Nickel yang tutup dan copper. Oil Gas Down, Coal down, CPO down, Pulp and Paper juga down. Dari sini jadi meragukan mau ngejar target wave 3

IHSG – Technically terlihat berbahaya, stoch down, MACD rev down, MFI down, w% masih uptrend, tapi BD masih accum, FNB masih lanjut, ada kemungkinan testing support 7454 terus lanjut, atau emang wave 3 nya berhenti kemaren sedikit diatas fibo ext 1 aja

Property, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI GOTO ISAT SIDO AUTO SILO WEGE, big accum ISAT AUTO

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ACES

August 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 300 points higher to snap three-day losing run in broad relief rally

Stocks jumped Tuesday, recovering some losses from the previous three trading days as investors took a pause from recession fears and Japanese equities rallied.

Dow…….38998 +294.4 +0.76%
Nasdaq. 16367 +166.8 +1.03%
S&P 500 52540 +53.7 +1.04%

FTSE..8027.2 +18.5 +0.23%
Dax……17354 +15.3 +0.09%
CAC……7130 -18.95 -0.27%

Nikkei..34675 +3217 +10.23%‼️
HSI…….16647 -51.02 -0.31%
Shanghai.2867 +6.6 +0.23%

IDX….7129.22 +69.56 +0.99%
LQ45…899.18 +8.47 +0.95%
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%

IDXEnergy.2390.51 +32.58 +1.36%
IDX BscMat1306.33 +9.39 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl….997.09 -0.80 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC.693.65 +5.09 +0.74%
IDX Hlthcare1439.73+8.36 +0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…752.14 +6.85 +0.92%
IDXTechno.3179.65 +3.18 +0.18%
IDX Transp 1334.95 +16.13 +1.22%
IDX Infrast 1532.78 +24.46 +1.62%
IDX Finance1387.73 +12.90 +0.94%
IDX Banking1232.04 +14.44 +1.19%
IDX Property…..637 +4.90 +0.78%

Indo10Yr.6.8778 +0.0082 +0.11%
ICBI…386.2847 -0.2947 -0.08%
US2Yr.3.992 +0.090 +2.31%
US5Yr 3.743 +0.118 +3.26%‼️
US10Yr3.886 +0.094 +2.48%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.125 +3.07% ‼️
VIX..27.71 -10.86 -28.16%‼️

USDIndx 102.9690❗️+0.28 +0.27%
Como Indx….270.15 +1.36 +0.51%
BCOMIN…..137.12 +1.00 +0.74%

IndoCDS..82.18 +4.98 +6.45%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16164.00❗️ -24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.16183.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0930 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…17.38 +0.35 +2.06%
( 2813)
EIDO….19.87 +0.33 +1.66%
EEM….40.65 +0.18 +0.43%

Oil………..72.87❗️ -1.16 -1.57%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.48 +0.18 +0.24%
(Brent)
Gold…..2430.00 -21.60 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold……2389.02 -19.41 -0.81%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29651.00 +167.00 +0.57%
(Closed 06/08)
Nickel..16415.00 +211.50 +1.31%
(Closed 06/08)
Silver….27.01 -0.35 -1.28%
Copper.400.05 -1.35 -0.34%

Iron Ore 62% 104.18 +0.18 +0.17%
(05/08)
Nturl Gas 2.016 +0.039 +1.97%
Ammonia China 2480.00 +133.33 +5.68%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/08)

Coal price.145.50 +1.80 +1.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.50 +1.75 +1.20%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.00 +2.25 +1.53%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.00 +2.25 +1.52%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.120.80 +1.50 +1.26%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.70 +2.15 +1.80%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.20 +2.40 +2.00%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.05 +3.20 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3707 -33 -0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..405.25 -1.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.97 -0.27 -0.67%
Wheat…..543.25 +3.75 +0.70%

Wood pulp..5130 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 06/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Rebound semua setelah hari sebelumnya terjun bebas… Tapi US bond yield naik, kemaren IHSG udah rebound, kayanya merah lagi hari ini. Bagusnya sih dip sebentar tutup gap baru lanjut wave 3

USD index up, Gold silver copper down, Tin Nickel Iron ore up, oil down, gas up coal up, CPO down, masih resiko, tapi kayanya coal yang rebound duluan. Pulp and Paper Price sempet drop udah 2 hari up, semoga INKP rebound juga

IHSG – soch sell macd still down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB tipis kemaren, double top target done, itungan fibonacci abc done, mungkin udahan, mungkin tutp gap dulu, tapi kalo liat indicators, tutup gap dulu sih

Nah, Financials arahnya membaik, tanda2 index mau rebound…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BBTN BMRI EXCL HRUM DSNG PTRO, big accum BBNI BBTN HRUM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: AMMN KLBF

August 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 500 points lower Thursday as investors’ recession fears awaken

Stocks sold off Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.

Dow……40348 -494.8 -1.21%
Nasdaq17194 -405.3 -2.30%
S&P 500.5447 -75.6 -1.37%

FTSE…..8283 -84.6 -1.01%
Dax……18083 -425.6 -2.30%
CAC……7570 -161.04 -2.14%

Nikkei..38126 -975.9 -2.49%
HSI……..17305 -39.6 -0.34%
Shanghai.2932 -6.4 -0.22%

IDX….7325.98 +70.22 +0.97%
LQ45…925.51 +11.76 +1.29%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2459.65 +8.23 +0.34%
IDX BscMat1371.22 +7.60 +0.56%
IDX Indstrl.1036.57 -4.17 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.705.02+0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1448.34 -1.06 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…759.81 +0.53 +0.07%
IDXTechno.3284.23 -3.28 -0.10%
IDX Transp 1391.58 +10.89 +0.20%
IDX Infrast 1568.46 -6.94 -0.44%
IDX Finance1417.15 +15.2 +1.09%
IDX Banking1263.32 +25.59 +2.07%
IDX Property…..649 +8.20 +1.29%

Indo10Yr.6.9175❗️ -0.0245 -0.35%
ICBI…384.4484❗️ +0.8774 +0.23%
US2Yr.4.156 -0.104 -2.44%👍
US5Yr 3.844👍 -0.073 -1.86%
US10Yr3.970👍 -0.0789 -1.93%
US30Yr.4.280 -0.026 -0.60%
VIX..18.59 +2.23 +13.63%‼️

USDIndx 104.4210 +0.325 +0.31%
Como Indx….273.59 -4.53 -1.63%
BCOMIN…..139.10 -1.33 -0.94%

IndoCDS..75.20 +000 +0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16237.00❗️ -23.00 -0.14%
Jisdor.16294.00❗️ -51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.59 -0.26 -1.46%*
( 2866)
EIDO….20.19 +0.05 +0.27%
EEM……42.20 -0.73 -1.70%

Oil………..76.79 -1.77 -2.25%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.52 -1.20 -1.49%
(Brent)
Gold…..2489.20 -3.10 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold……2448.00 -2.74 -0.11%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29894.00 -162.00 -0.54%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -276.00 -0.92%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.61 -0.61 -2.09%
Copper.406.70 -12.65 -3.02%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 105.94 -0.31 -0.29%
(31/07)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.142.55 +2.45 +1.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +2.40 +1.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 145.25 +3.25 +2.29%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +3.50 +2.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.95 +3.10 +2.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.80 +4.00 +3.42%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.45 +3.90 +3.35%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.55 +4.00 +3.43%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3871 -38 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..398.50 -1.25 -0.31%
SoybeanOil 41.45 -0.87 -2.06%
Wheat…..532.00 +4.75 +0.90%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 01/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, europe juga, asia juga kecuali IHSG, sekarang kemungkinan besar nyusul merah

US Bond yield sebenernya merah, kalo pasar saham US ijo kita hampir pasti ijo juga, tapi ini nggak, US merah, kita masih jadwal wave 2, so kayanya hancur lagi. USD index up, consequently metal2 merah semua, oil gas CPO merah, coal ijo tebel sendiri. PTBA menarik ini

IHSG – kemarin FNB, tapi turnover vol transaksi kecil, ga terlalu valid jadinya. Technically masih jelek, very selective buying, malah amannya diem dulu keep cash

Bubar semua, Basic Materials yang terlihat mau mulai gerak. Healthcare masih bagus arahnya, tapi bukan spesialis contrarian, skip

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, ANTM ICBP INCO KLBF PGEO TOWR UNTR UNVR BRMS CTRA MPMX NISP PWON SMRA TBIG TINS TRON PSSI ISSI, yang accum tapi cuma ANTM INCO PWON SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BMRI BRPT TOWR MICE, big accum ANTM BMRI BRPT