May 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow jumps 500 points to break four-day losing streak as regional banks and Apple shares surge

Stocks popped on Friday as regional bank shares climbed off their lows and market-darling Apple jumped after posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

Dow……33674 +546.6 +1.65%
Nasdaq12235 +269.02 +2.25%
S&P 500.4136 +75.03 +1.85%

FTSE…..7778 +75.7 +0.98%
Dax……15961 +226.8 +1.44%
CAC……7333 +92.2 +1.26%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.7 +0.12%
HSI………20049 +100.6 +0.50%
Shanghai.3335 -15.96 -0.48%

IDX…..6788.03 -56.40 -0.82%
LQ45….945.05 -7.23 -0.76%
IDX30…492.37 -3.97 -0.80%

IDXEnergy…1954.36 -56.40 -0.82%
IDX BscMat 1114.85 -24.79 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1145.31 -24.79 -2.29%
IDXNONCYC.734.03 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare1485.63 -17.47 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC….816.42 -0.50 -0.06%
IDX Techno..4874.77 -51.03 -1.04%
IDX Transp..1809.64 +5.44 +0.30%
IDX Infrast…..817.74 -4.33 -0.53%
IDX Finance.1378.19 +3.09 +0.23%
IDX Banking.1150.19 +3.07 +0.27%
IDX Property…703 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6543 -0.0048 -0.07%👍
ICBI….358.3823 -0.0739 -0.02%
US2Yr.3.9181 +0.1299 +3.43%‼
US5Yr 3.4104 +0.0852 +2.54%
US10Yr3.4350 +0.0580 +1.72%
US30Yr.3.7500 -0.0200 -0.54%
VIX…… 17.19 -2.90 -14.44%👍

USDIndx101.2140 -0.2110 -0.21%
Como Indx.261.60 +4.80 +1.87%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…153.56 +2.04 +1.35%

IndoCDS.100.49 +1.97 +2.00%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/05)

IDR…..14678.00👍 -7.00 -0.05%
Jisdor.14674.00👍 +42.00 +0.29%

Euro……1.1019 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM..28.60 +0.28 +0.99%
(4197)
EIDO….24.29 +0.13 +0.54%
EEM…..39.39 +0.52 +1.34%

Oil……71.34 +2.78 +4.05%‼
Gold.2024.80 -30.90 -1.50%
Timah..25600.00 -1117.00 -4.40%‼
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..24712.50 +629.50 +2.61%
(Closed 05/05)
Silver……25.93 -0.30 -1.13%
Copper…388.30 +2.00 +0.52%
Iron Ore 62% 103.55 -0.32 -0.31%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas.2.113 +0.0270 +1.29%

Coal price.169.65 -1.00 -0.59%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.168.50 -1.50 -0.88%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.60 +1.30 +0.75%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.60 +3.80 +2.13%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.127.15 +1.85 +1.48%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 +1.65 +1.37%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.20 +2.05 +1.72%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.55 +2.55 +2.14%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3597 +167.00 +4.87%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..596.50 +7.50 +1.27%
SoybeanOil54.33 +1.85 +3.53%
Wheat…..660.25 +15.25 +2.36%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng closing jum’at, US ijo, asia varied, IDX yang merah dalem, sekarang harusnya nyusul ijo tebel

Suku bunga fed naik lagi, USD index turun, biasanya bagus buat komoditas. Oil rebound kenceng, gas ijo, coal masih merah, CPO ijo tebel… Kita liat chart nya

CPO – Kalo MACD nya cross, kita assess AALI LSIP dkk

Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore merah, Nickel Copper ijo, jelek buat ANTM MDKA, bagus buat INCO. ANTM cut loss di rebound hari ini

IHSG – Stoch sell, MACD sell, BD Acc, FF dist, MFI flat, w% down, retracement pattern harusnya mantul dari fibo 23, ditambah factor US Europe closing ijo, harusnya testing neckline lagi ke atas. Tapi beware, kalo hari ini MACD ga berhasil ngebalik mending cuci gudang dulu…

Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI BRIS PNLF RMKE

MACD Buy Signal: ENRG MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: UNVR ADHI ISAT SMRA TKIM

April 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks ended Wednesday’s regular trading session on a down note. The S&P 500
closed 0.41% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite
dropped 0.85%. The Dow snapped a four-day winning streak, ending the day down 38.29 points, or 0.11%.

At the first, the major averages were earlier in the session following the release of March’s consumer price index report, which showed headline pressures slowed last month. The CPI advanced 0.1% month over month in March, and 5% from the prior year.

Traders’ sentiment turned in the afternoon after the release of minutes from the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In particular, the Fed expects the recent banking crisis to cause a recession later this year.

Dow……33647 -38.3 -0.11%
Nasdaq11929 -102.5 -0.85%
S&P 500.4092 -16.99 -0.41%

FTSE…..7825 +39.1 +0.50%
Dax……15704 +48.4 +0.31%
CAC……7397 +6.7 +0.09%

Nikkei…..28083 +159.3 +0.57%
HSI………20310 -175.4 -0.86%
Shanghai.3327 +13.6 +0.41%

IDX…..6798.96 -12.35 -0.18%
LQ45….943.18 +1.40 +0.15%
IDX30…491.46 +0.62 +0.13%

IDXEnergy…2052.28 -33.74 -1.62%
IDX BscMat 1158.66 -3.28 -0.28%
IDX Indstrl…1204.13 +11.57 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.712.94 -3.69 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1505.43 -8.02 -0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.57 -1.42 -0.18%
IDX Techno..4817.76 -71.02 -1.45%
IDX Transp..1779.01 +6.01 +0.34%
IDX Infrast…..803.45 +0.94 +0.12%
IDX Finance.1391.44 +2.65 +0.19%
IDX Banking.1145.74 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Property…694 -2.0 -0.28%

Indo10Yr.6.7472+0.0047+0.07%
ICBI….354.8340+0.0088+0.00%
US2Yr.3.9682 -0.0647 -1.60%
US5Yr 3.4659 -0.0690 -1.95%
US10Yr3.4000 -0.0320 -0.93%
US30Yr.3.6350+0.010 +0.28%
VIX…… 19.09 -0.01 -0.05%

USDIndx101.5000 -0.6530 -0.64%👍
Como Indx.275.73 +1.00 +0.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.52 +1.82 +1.17%

IndoCDS..92.110 +0.4900 +0.53%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/04)

IDR…..14880.00👍 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.14866.00👍 -22.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0994 +0.0080 +0.73%

TLKM….28.90 +0.05 +0.17%
(4297)
EIDO……23.90 +0.05 +0.17%
EEM……39.39 -0.28 -0.71%

Oil……83.26 +1.73 +2.12%
Gold.2024.90 +5.70 +0.28%
Timah..24308.00 – -%
(Closed 06/04)
Nickel..23565.00 +491.00 +2.13%
(Closed 11/04)
Silver……25.46 +0.27 +1.08%
Copper…408.10 +6.15 +1.53%

Nturl Gas.2.084 -0.1760 -7.91%‼️

Ammonia 3633.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/04)

Coal price.194.60 -0.55 -0.28%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.202.40 -2.60 -1.26%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.90 +1.40 +0.68%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.206.05 -2.10 -1.00%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.133.80 +4.35 +3.36%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.95 +0.95 +0.75%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.35 +0.35 +0.28%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.75 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3775 -120 -3.08%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..627.75 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil54.16 -0.85 -1.55%
Wheat…..679.60 +5.50 +0.82%

Wood pulp..4740.00 -50.00 -1.05%
(Closed 11/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia varied, US dollar index turun, yang consequently means semua commodity yang diikat nilai nya ke dollar cenderung naik. Index mungkin akan sideways tapi saham terkait komoditi harusnya tetep jalan

Oil up, gas drop, coal newcastle down, coal rotterdam jump, cpo drop. Ini sih keliatannya giliran ANTM MDKA INCO TINS untuk jalan lagi

IHSG – stoch masih down, macdp, 833 almostbuy, MFI up, BD flat, FNB,w% flat, retracement pattern keliatan mau bawa naik after mantul di fibo 23, masih optimis double bottom jalan

Kemarin BUMN konstruksi semua digoreng, Infrastructure jadi keliatan jalan, selain JSMR yang sudah run duluan. Industrials ASII kemarin naik tinggi, BMTR semoga nyusul, Financials BBCA BBRI BMRI kemaren jalan,semoga lanjut biar bisa ngangkat index, repot gendong GOTO yang bikin rusak aja

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII PGAS MTEL MTMH MIKA LMSH WINS

MACD Buy Signal: INTP ADHI MTMH PTPP TKIM ANJT

April 12th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed Tuesday as traders await March inflation report

The S&P 500
ended Tuesday’s session flat as investors prepared for the release of key inflation data later this week.

Dow……33685 +98.3 +0.29%
Nasdaq12032 -52.5 -0.43%
S&P 500.4109 -0.2 -0.00%

FTSE…..7786 +44.2. +0.57%
Dax……15655 +57.3 +0.37%
CAC……7390 +65.5 +0.89%

Nikkei…..27923 +289.7 +1.05%
HSI………20485 +154.04 +0.76%
Shanghai.3314 -1.8 -0.05%

IDX…..6811.31 +40.08 +0.59%
LQ45….941.78 +6.19 +0.66%
IDX30…490.84 +3.35 +0.69%

IDXEnergy…2086.02 +3.48 +0.17%
IDX BscMat 1161.94 +19.03 +1.66%
IDX Indstrl…1192.56 +9.08 +0.77%
IDXNONCYC.716.63 -2.78 -0.39%
IDX Hlthcare1513.45 +12.14 +0.81%
IDXCYCLIC…..811.99 -2.67 -0.33%
IDX Techno..4888.78 +91.69 +1.91%
IDX Transp..1773.00 +14.59 +0.83%
IDX Infrast…..802.51 +5.12 +0.64%
IDX Finance.1388.79 +6.18 +0.45%
IDX Banking.1141.42 +4.58 +0.40%
IDX Property…696 +12.3 +1.79%

Indo10Yr.6.742$5-0.0290 -0.37%%
ICBI….354.8252+0.3433+0.10%
US2Yr.4.0329 +0.0231 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.5349 +0.0155 +0.44%
US10Yr3.4320+0.0017 +0.50%
US30Yr.3.6250-0.0020 -0.06%
VIX…… 19.10 +0.13 +0.69%

USDIndx102.1530 -0.4250 -0.41%
Como Indx.274.73 +3.04 +1.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.70 +0.36 +0.23%

IndoCDS..91.620 +0.010 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/04)

IDR…..14885.50 -16.50 -0.11%
Jisdor.14888.00 -17.00 -0.11%

Euro……1.0914 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM….28.85 +0.25 +0.87%
(4295)
EIDO……23.70 +0.21 +0.89*%
EEM……39.67 +0.24 +0.61%

Oil……81.53 +1.67 +2.09%
Gold.2019.20 +12.80 +0.64%
Timah..24308.00 – -%
(Closed 06/04)
Nickel..23565.00 +491.00 +2.13%
(Closed 11/04)
Silver……25.19 +0.18 +0.72%
Copper…401.95 +2.85 +0.71%

Nturl Gas.2.2240 +0.0430 +1.97%

Ammonia 3633.33 -66.67 -1.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/04)

Coal price.195.15 +0.40 +0.21%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.00 +1.75 +0.86%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.204.50 -4.15 -1.99%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.208.15 -3.05 -1.44%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.129.45 -5.65 -4.18%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.00 -5.95 -4.51%‼️
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.00 -6.00 -4.58%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.85 -6.85 -5.20%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3895 +65 +1.70%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..651.00 -3.00 -0.46%
SoybeanOil55.01 +0.28 +0.51%
Wheat…..674.00 -4.50 -0.66%

Wood pulp..4790.00 -50.00 -1.03%
(Closed 11/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Dow Jones merah, nasdaq merah, europe ijo, asia hampir semua ijo, kemaren sudah mantul abis tutup gap, semoga lanjut kenceng

Oil gas coal newcastle ijo, coal Rotterdam merah. Metal2 naik semua, cpo juga lanjut naik

IHSG – stoch down, macdup, BD acc, FNB lagi, MFI down w% up, mantul dari fibo 23, harusnya otw 61, sekalian breakout double bottom dan bikin rally wave 1 mulai lagi

Industrials, Property, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI ASSA MIKA

MACD buy signal: BRPT SCMA BMTR TAPG UNIC LMSH

Alligator Buy Signal: BBRI MEDC JSMR

BBNI – BD FF acc terus, stoch buy lagi, MACD uprev, MFIup, w% sw,ada gap di 9500, harusnya lagi wave 5 ini… amannya tunggu breakout high wave 3. Yang mau beli bank konven that is

ASSA – udah ok sejak MACD nya buy, stoch buy lagi, MACD masih up, MFIup w% uptrend, BD FF acc, abis drop jauh udah bikin higher low, ew reverse done, BOW

Belum ada spike significant

harga jelas aman, biggest BD masih inside

MIKA – wait MACD H4

BRPT – stoch down, 833by, macd buy, BD FF ngebalik acc 2 hari, minyak turun, udahan geraknya mungkin short term, abis terjunan udah retrace fibo 61, drop lagi, udah bikin higher low, ada gap diatas, spec buy

Spike ok

Harga aman, CS inside, siap ngangkat

 

SCMA – belum waktunya, masih dist, belum bikin higher low, ,asih bisa bottoming lagi

BMTR – macd buy lagi, stoch down,833 buy, MFI up, last day bd ff acc, bisa spec buy harusnya, tapi check spike dulu deh

Ada spike, firm big player masuk pas kebaca BD FF akum

MEDC – stoch sell, macd u, 833 down, MFI up, w%sw, BD FF dist, harusnya tutup gap dulu sekalian koreksike fibo 23, baru lanjut lagi kalo harga minyaknya terus naik. WNS

April 10th, 2023

Good morning,

US, Europe, and Asian markets on holiday due to Good Friday

Dow……33485 closed +0%
Nasdaq12088 closed +0%
S&P 500.4105 closed +0%

FTSE…..7742 closed +0%
Dax……15598 closed +0%
CAC……7325 closes +0%

Nikkei…..27518 +45.7 +0.17%
HSI………20331 closed +0%
Shanghai.3327 +15.02 +0.45%

IDX…..6792.77 closed +0%
LQ45….937.20 closed +0%
IDX30…488.25 closed +0%

IDXEnergy…2110.30 closed +0%
IDX BscMat 1156.25 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1183.33 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.711.75 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1498.62 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…..819.43 closed +0%
IDX Techno..4952.41 closed +0%
IDX Transp..1773.31 closed +0%
IDX Infrast…..802.66 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1389.60 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1140.96 closed +0%
IDX Property…687 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7561 closed +0%
ICBI…..354.4280 closed +0
*US2Yr.3.9930 +0.1641 +4.29%‼️
US5Yr 3.5161 +0.1423 +4.22%‼️
US10Yr3.4130 +0.1100 +3.33%‼️
US30Yr.3.6230+0.0750 +2.11%
VIX…… 18.40 closed +0%

USDIndx102.0560 -0.0360 -0.04%
Como Indx.271.99 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.87 closed +0%

IndoCDS..91.610 -0.010 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/04)

IDR…..14912.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.14943.00 closed +0%

Euro……1.0909 -0.0008 -0.07%

TLKM….28.37 closed +0%
(4239)
EIDO……23.62 closed +0%
EEM……39.39 closed +0%

Oil……80.97 +0.27 +0.33%
Gold.2020.60 -5.80 -0.29%
Timah..24308.00 +61.00 +0.25%
(Closed 06/04)
Nickel..23073.00 closed. +0%
(Closed 07/04)
Silver……25.11 +0.01 +0.05%
Copper…402.00 +0.40 +0.11%

Nturl Gas.2.021 -0.015 -0.74%

Ammonia 3700.00 -83.33 +2.15%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/05)

Coal price.193.75 closed +0%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.203.25 closed +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.208.65 closed +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.211.20 closed +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.10 closed +0%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.131.95 closed +0%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.00 closed +0%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.85 closed +0%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3800 -24 +0.63%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..643.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil54.53 closed +0%
Wheat…..676.50 closed +0%

Wood pulp..4860.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at pada libur paskah, asia yang buka kecuali IDX dan pada ijo

Oil ijo gas merah coal closed, metal2 ijo tipis kecuali gold yang merah. cpo ijo

Gold Price 4 hari merah, harus dipantau ketat ANTM MDKA for early reversal.

IHSG – stpch buy, macd masih up, mfi up, BD dist FF masih acc terus, masih positive outlook kalo gini, bandar lokal aja lagi profit taking kayanya. Masih optimis akan finish pattern double bottom

Masih Energy Leading, lanjut Property, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, Basic Materials, Technology. Begitu financials mulai gerak lagi harusnya index juga jalan lagi. Industrials sama Infrastructure mulai gerak

Stoch Buy Signal: BBRI. Yang lain banyak banget yang sell ikutan index

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA EKAD

Alligator Buy Signal: ADRO INCO AGII ELSA MBSS

Supertrend Buy Signal: ERAA JSMR

BBRI – masih sideways sih, tunggu breakout aja

ERAA – supertrend buy, vol breakout, MACD ngebalik buy lagi, BD FF acc, MFI up, w% uptrend, breakout CNH, agak ketinggian sih harga sekarang, tapi harusnya otw fibo 61

Spike belum, kalo buat ngejar tapi ga ada spike signfificant ga berani ah

udah diatas average bandar, kalo mau safe tunggu spike atau harga ke 500, dengan resiko ketinggalan kereta… Tapi better safe than sorry kan

EKAD skip

ADRO – lagi slow down, FNS, stoch almost sell, macd masih up, 833 sell, tunggu 833 buy lagi. Udah naik 20%, wajarnya koreksi dulu

ELSA – harga minyak masih naik, OPEC cut production, stoch sell, macd rev down, FF acc, BD dist, MFI sw, w% sw, lagi di fibo 23, HOLD, watch MACD

MBSS – udah beres gorengannya, skip

INCO – biarkan bikin higher low dulu, next swing baru ikutan

JSMR – udah ketinggian, entry pas MACD sekarang harusnya pullback dulu, wns