January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

January 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower to begin 2024, Nasdaq notches worst day since October

The S&P 500
fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as bond yields inched higher and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023.

Dow……37715 +25.5 +0.07%
Nasdaq14766 -245.4 -1.63%
S&P 500.4743 -27.00 -0.57%

FTSE…..7722 -11.7 -0.16%
Dax……16769 +17.7 +0.11%
CAC……7531 -12.3 -0.16%

Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16789 -258.8 -1.52%
Shanghai.2962 -12.66 -0.43%

IDX…..7323.59 +50.79 +0.70%
LQ45….979.43 +8.86 +0.91%
IDX30…498.42 +3.21 +0.65%

IDXEnergy..2142.96 +42.+2.00%
IDX BscMat.1332.14 +26.67 +1.89%}
IDX Indstrl…1105.51 +11.74 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.724.41 +2.01 +0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1353.56 -22.40 -1.64%
IDXCYCLIC…825.05. +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 -17.60 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1654.96 +53.45 +3.34%‼️
IDX Infrast 1576.31. +6.28 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1452.08 -6.24. -0.43%
IDX Banking.1269.00 -0.55 -0.04%
IDX Property.. 710 -3.60 -0.50%

Indo10Yr.6.6161+0.017 +0.26%
ICBI…374.6896 -0.1294 -0.03&%
US2Yr.4.324 +0.074 +1.74%
US5Yr 3.922 +0.082 +2.14%
US10Yr3.941 +0.075 +1.94%
US30Yr.4.083+0.064 +1.59%
VIX….13.20 +0.75 +6.02%‼️

USDIndx 102.2360 +0.903 +0.89%
Como Indx..262.63 -1.19 -0.45%
BCOMIN……141.17 -1.48 -1.04%

IndoCDS..69.29 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/01)

IDR…..15470.00 +71.00 +0.46%
Jisdor.15473.00 +34.00 +0.22%

Euro….1.0942 – -%

TLKM…25.90 +0.14 +0.54%
(4008)
EIDO….22.21 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM….39.74 -0.47 -1.17%

Oil……..70.38 -1.27 -1.77%
Gold..2073.40 +1.60 +0.08%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16565.00 -106 -0.64%
(Closed 02/01)
Silver……23.95 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper.388.05 -1.00 -0.26%

Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas..2.574 +0.077 +3.08%
Ammonia China.3623.33-183.34 -3.81%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/02)

Coal price.127.75 -9.2 -6.72%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.15 -7.65 -5.72%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.85 -7.10 -5.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.90 -6.55 -5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 -2.15 -1.99%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.55 -2.30 -2.21%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 97.10 -2.75 -2.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .95.20 -3.35 -3.40%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3660 -60 -1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……463.75 -7.50 -1.59%
SoybeanOil 48.29 +0.11 +0.23%
Wheat….606.75 -21.25 -3.38%

Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo, asia merah europe merah US merah, so hari ini kemungkinan merah… Kalo mau belanja sore lebih ok kayanya

Update Global Economic Calendar
2 Jan 2023

INDONESIA MARKET :
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 2.61%
Forecast : 2.85%
Previous : 2.86%

Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 1.8%
Forecast : 1.85%
Previous : 1.87%

Inflation Rate MoM (Dec)
Actual : 0.41%
Forecast : –
Previous : 0.38%

Tourist Arrivals YoY (Nov)
Actual : 30.17%
Forecast : –
Previous : 33.27%

GERMANY MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 43.3
Forecast : 43.1
Previous : 42.6

EURO AREA MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 44.4
Forecast : 44.2
Previous : 44.2

UNITED KINGDOM MARKET :
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 46.2
Forecast : 46.4
Previous : 47.2

U.S MARKET :
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 47.9
Forecast : 48.2
Previous : 49.4

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

Visit our website :
www.phintracosekuritas.com
www.profits.co.id
www.taspro.co.id

Angka Inflasi indonesia lebih baik dari forecast, makanya ijo sendiri kemaren, nah, Europe dan US index manufacture nya dibawah forecast, wajarnya merah, dan hari ini masih pengaruh…

Berita jelek selalu disusul sama naiknya suku bunga, USD index juga naik jadi lengkap untuk bikin merah saham. metal2 merah semua kecuali emas yang ijo tipisoil merah gas ijo, coal DROP, CPO merah, wah masih berantakan ini, semoga ANTM MDKA keganjel harga emas yang lagi tinggi

IHSG – stoch OB, MACD up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, wave 5, hati hati koreksi, curigany mah akan kejedot level all time high baru merosot ABC correction

Index jalan hampir semua sektor jalan,yang arahnya paling deket 45 Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBKP TAPG

 

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget, yang big acc cuma ASSA, yang ada Spike EMTK, layak dipantau ICBP TBIG AALI

Stochastic Continuation Signal banyak, tapi ga ada yang big accum, malah INKP big dist. Paling SMDR yang ada spike

Sept 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 300 points Friday, S&P 500 and Nasdaq suffer second straight week of losses

Stocks fell Friday as investors wrapped up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting.

Dow……34618 -288.9 -0.83%
Nasdaq13708 -217.7 -1.56%
S&P 500.4450 -54.8 -1.22%

FTSE…..7711 +38.3 +0.50%
Dax……15894 +88.2 +0.56%
CAC……7379 +70.2 +0.96%

Nikkei…33533 +364.99 +1.10%
HSI…….18183 +134.97 +0.75%
Shanghai.3118 -8.8 -0.28%

IDX…..6982.79 +23.46 +0.34%
LQ45….961.20 +5.59 +0.59%
IDX30…497.95 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…2153.14 +5.09 +0.24%
*IDX BscMat.1332.21. +26.87 +2.06%*
IDX Indstrl…1183.94 +2.55 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.743.59 +1.20 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1460.65 -29.20. -1.96%
IDXCYCLIC…884.56 -7.90 -0.88%
IDX Techno.4406.44 -3.66 -0.08%
IDX Transp..1837.08 +2.96 +0.16%
IDX Infrast….917.42 +0.17 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1388.61 -1.42 -0.10%
IDX Banking.1202.52 +0.73 +0.06%
IDX Property..722 -7.90 -1.08%

*Indo10Yr.6.6890‼️ +0.0371 +0.56%*
*ICBI..366.9027‼️-0.5138 -0.14%*
*US2Yr.5.037‼️* +0.023 +0.46%
*US5Yr 4.465* +0.046 +1.04%
*US10Yr4.336* +0.052 +1.21%
*US30Yr.4.421*+0.041 +0.94%
*VIX……13.79‼️ +0.97 +7.57%*

*USDIndx 105.3220‼️ -0.0830 -0.08%*
Como Indx…289.61 -0.68 -0.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.57 -1.74 -1.21%

*IndoCDS.77.71👍* -0.50 -0.64%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(15/09)*

*IDR…..15355.50‼️+0.50 +0.00%*
*Jisdor.15367.00‼️+10.00 +0.07%*

*Euro……1.0657 +0.0013 +0.12%*

TLKM…24.08 +0.08 +0.33%
*(3700)*
EIDO….22.77 +0.03 +0.13%
EEM….39.13 -0.15 -0.38%

*Oil………90.77* +0.17 +0.19%
*Gold…1946.20* +15.3 +0.79%
*Timah..25703.00* -192.00 -0.74%
*(Closed 15/09)*
*Nickel..19922.50‼️ -337.50 -1.66%*
(Closed 15/09)
*Silver…23.39 +0.46 +2.01%*
Copper.380.10 -1.75 -0.46%

*Iron Ore 62%121.29‼️ +0.73 +0.61%*
(15/09)
*Nturl Gas…2.643 -0.061 -2.26%*
*Ammonia China..3816.67* unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(15/09)

Coal price.160.50 +0.35 +0.22%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.166.15 +1.20 +0.73%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.169.10 +1.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.172.60 +0.50 +0.29%
(Des/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.25 +0.90 +0.74%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.15 +1.15 +0.93%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.70 +0.60 +0.48%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.15 +0.60 +0.48%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3785 +26 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………476.25 -4.25 -0.88%
SoybeanOil 62.06 +0.34 +0.55%
Wheat……604.25 +10.50 +1.77%

*Wood pulp..4820.00‼️unch +0%*
(Closed 17/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Jum’at US closing merah, Europe masih pada ijo kaya asia juga. Prepare hari ini merah ya

VIX jump, saham jadi volatile hati hati… USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, copper timah nickel merah. oil coal ijo gas merah, CPO ijo. Bagus ini buat ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd down rev,MFI sw, w%up, mulai FNB, BD acc, 833 udah buy, sign mau lanjut sih, tapi belum firm. Masih ada kemungkinan mau ABC correction. Kita tunggu financials jalan

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT EXCL AVIA BBKP BELI HSMP MMIX TAPG CEKA IPOL

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM ECII

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INKP TLKM HMSP TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: UNTR