Global update:

October 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower, notches 5-day losing streak ahead of key inflation report

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, reversing gains from earlier in the day as investors looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the week that will give the Federal Reserve updated information on the state of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….29239 +36.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq.10426 -115.9 -1.10%
S&P 500..3589 -23.6 -0.65%

FTSE…….6885 -74.1 -1.06%
Dax……..12220 -52.7 -0.43%
CAC……..5833 -7.4 -0.13%

Nikkei….26401 -714.9 -2.64%
HSI……..16833 -384.3 -2.23%
Shanghai..2980 +5.7 +0.19%
ST Times..310t -2.5 -0.08%

IDX…….6939.15 -55.25 -0.79%
LQ45…..988.42 -8.26 -0.83%

IDX Energy…1982.05 -15.49 -0.78%
IDX Bsc Mat.1239.87 -0.00 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1265.60 -1.96 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..697.89 -2.63 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.37 -9.83 -0.67%
IDXCYCLIC…..856.62 +1.36 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6874.46 -161.14 -2.15%
IDX Transp…1811.66 -15.52 -0.85%
IDX Infrast…….957.43 -7.91 -0.82%
IDX Finance 1463.38 -8.95 -0.61%
IDX Banking.1131.64 -6.53 -0.57%
IDX Property…….684 -2.50 -0.36%

Indo10Yr….7.3936 +0.0220 +0.30%
ICBI……..333.6432 -0.4329 -0.13%
US10Yr……3.9390 +0.0510 +1.31%
VIX……….33.63 +1.18 +3.64%‼

USDIndx 113.2740 +0.1200 +0.11%‼
Como Indx..281.96 -1.10 -0.39%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.16 -0.80 -0.55%
.
IndoCDS 168.05 +5.02 +3.08%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/10)

IDR……15357.00 +39.50 +0.26%‼
Jisdor..15362.00 +63.00 +0.41%‼

Euro……..0.9709 +0.0005 +0.05%‼

TLKM……..27.91 -0.82 -2.85%
(4288)
EIDO………23.01 -0.15 -0.65%
EEM………34..59 -0.56 -1.59%

Oil…………88.50 -2.33 -2.57%
Gold ……1673.20 -1.90 -0.11%
Timah…20085 +660 +3.40%
(Closed 10/10)
Nickel…22048.50 -391 -1.74%
(Closed 11/10)
Silver…….19.15 -0.46 -2.35%
Copper….342.20 -1.35 -0.39%

Nturl Gas…..6.600 +0.073 +1.12%

Ammonia..4256.67 -116.66 -2.67%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/10)

Coal price….391.15 +4.65 +1.20%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….388.50 +8.50 +2.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.00 +9.35 +2.48%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….265.85 +3.85 +1.45%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.35 +13.35 +5.36%‼
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.85 +11.90 +4.76%‼
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.90 -1.95 -2.01%
Indonesial Coal Index (10/10)

CPO(Des)……3692 -149 -3.88%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….693.00 -5.25 -0.75%
SoybeanOil….65.47 -0.59 -0.89%
Wheat……..901.00 -37.00 -3.94%‼

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI Rebound tipis, ya ga mungkin juga losing streak terus terusan, IHSG juga technical rebound dulu lah hari ini kayanya. Europe masih merah, asia mostly merah kemarin. Kita pantau opening hangseng hari ini

Oil, gold, nickel, silver, copper turun. Timah metal yang naik sendiri. Gas nail, coal naik, cpo lanjut turun lagi. Apa mau lanjut lari lagi saham coal? Kepanjangan sih run dari sekarang sampe januari…

3 day losing streak, technical rebound dulu lah sebelum lanjut ke 6740…

IHSG – chart nya jelek banget, alligator juga udah ikut jadi sell signal… Semoga nanti mantulnya ga pake lama once udah touch level tutup gap

Masih energy, nyusul consumer cyclicals sama basic materials

Energy – kalo liat gerakan saham2 coal kaya yang mau lanjut, tapi overall sektornya makin firm keliatan mau koreksi wave c dulu. MACD udah ngebalik lagi, stochastic udah overbought dan sudah melandai, bd dist walau ff akum, psar masih up, LR cross down midline, DMI malah mau sell signal lagi. Jangan terlalu agresive lah, WNS dulu aja

October 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rallies more than 1,500 points in two days, S&P 500 posts best 2-day gain since 2020

Stocks surged Tuesday as Wall Street built on a sharp rally seen in the previous session and bond yields continued to fall.

Dow…….30316 +825.4 +2.80%
Nasdaq.11176 +360.97 +3.34%
S&P 500..3791 +112.5 +3.06%

FTSE…….7086 +177.7 +2.57%
Dax……..12671 +461.0 +3.78%
CAC……..6040 +245.5 +4.24%

Nikkei….26992 +776.4 +2.96%
HSI……..17080 closed +0%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3139 +31.8 +1.02%

IDX…….7072.26 +62.54 +0.89%
LQ45…1014.65 +8.27 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1994.63 +61.54 +3.18%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.73 +24.55 +2.00%
IDX Industrl..1298.34 +14.77 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.78 -2.45 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.49 +2.06 +0.17%
IDX Techno..6932.20 -17.38 -0.25%
IDX Transp…1799.98 +38.26 +2.17%
IDX Infrast…….982.22 +5.40 +0.55%
IDX Finance 1487.34 +12.02 +0.81%
IDX Banking.1159.78 +8.28 +0.63%
IDX Property….691 +2.60 +0.55%

Indo10Yr….7.3781 -0.0232 -0.31%
ICBI……..333.8328 +0.5965 +0.18%
US10Yr……3.6170 -0.0340 -0.93%
VIX……….29.07 -1.03 -3.42%

USDIndx 110.1990 -1.3440 -1.20%👍
Como Indx..280.43 +7.61 +2.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.65 +5.24 +3.63%‼️
.
IndoCDS 142.38 -18.57 -11.54%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15247.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼️
Jisdor..15276.00 -17.00 -0.11%‼️

Euro……..0.9984 +0.0158 +1.61%‼️

TLKM……..29.36 +0.16 +0.55%
(4485)
EIDO……..24.05 +0.49 +2.08%
EEM………36.61 +1.16 +3.27%

Oil…………86.52 +3.20 +3.84%‼️
Gold ……1730.40 +22.70 +1.33%‼️
Timah….20059 -575.00 -2.79%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel…21971.00 +672.00 +3.16%‼️
(Closed 04/10)
Silver…….21.10 +0.33 +1.59%
Copper….349.00 +7.25 +2.12%

Nturl Gas…..6.825 +0.311 +4.74%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….404.00 +2.50 +0.62%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.00 -2.50 -0.61%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….408.00 -1.50 -0.37%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….301.00 -14.85 -4.70%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….299.55 -14.30 -4.56%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.95 -12.90 -4.15%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3615 +187 +5.46%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………683.00 +2.25 +0.33%
SoybeanOil….66.00 +1.68 +2.65%
Wheat……..903.00 -9.00 -0.99%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional naik kemarin, US closing ijo tebel, europe juga, malah perancis index naik sampe diatas 4%

Hampir semua commodity naik kecuali timah, CPO naik tinggi, kita cermati apakah ini awal bangunnya saham CPO yang lama banget bearish

IHSG – stoch buy signal, macd down, histogram mulai ngebalik, MFI sw, 2 hari FNB, bandar flat, testing breakout cloud ichimoku, sedang menunggu konfirmasi apakah wave 2 sudah finished, karena levelnya sudah tercapai tapi masih ada gap belum tertutup di 6740. LR mantul sebelum kena lower channel, DMI mulai contraction. Spec buy dan bottom fishing udah ok dimulai, full muatan jangan dulu

Leading sector Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi yang menarik diikuti dan bisa long run keliatannya Energy dan Basic Materials yang baru mulai gerak

Global Update:

October 03th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 500 points on Friday to end September down nearly 9%

Stocks fell in choppy trading Friday as Wall Street closed out a terrible week, month and quarter that brought the S&P 500 to a new 2022 low.

Dow…….28726 -500.1 -1.71%
Nasdaq.10576 -161.9 -1.51%
S&P 500..3586 -54.9 -1.51%

FTSE…….6894 +12.2 +0.18%
Dax……..12114 +138.8 +1.16%
CAC……..5762 +85.5 +1.51%

Nikkei….25937 -484.8 -1.83%
HSI……..17223 +56.96 +0.33%
Shanghai..3024 -16.8 -0.55%
ST Times..3130 +15.2 +0.49%

IDX…….7040.80 +4.60 +0.07%
LQ45…1011.47 +2.45 +0.24%

IDX Energy…1920.30 +12.42 +0.65%
IDX Bsc Mat.1237.97 -2.37 -0.19%
IDX Industrl..1270.72 -9.38 -0.73%
IDXNONCYC..696.46 -1.93 -0.28%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.87 +20.51 +1.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..849.77 -8.36 -0.97%
IDX Techno..6958.84 -86.25 -1.22%÷
IDX Transp…1759.62 -23.98 -1.34%
IDX Infrast…….980.91 -10.67 -1.08%
IDX Finance 1486.15 +5.12 +0.35%
٪IDX Banking..1158.75 +7.20 +0.63%
IDX Property….686 -10.00 -1.44%

Indo10Yr….7.4142 -0.0103 -0.14%
ICBI……..332.8421 -0.2121 -0.06%
*US10Yr……3.8040 +0.5720 +1.13%*
*VIX……….31.62 -0.22 -0.69%‼️*

*USDIndx 112.1170 -0.1370 -0.12%‼️*
Como Indx..268.29 -2.87 -1.06%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..143.44 -1.99 -1.37%
.
*IndoCDS 159.53 -7.81 -7.81%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(28/9)*

*IDR……15227.00 -35.50 -0.23%‼️*
*Jisdor..15232.00 -15.00 -0.10%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9802 -0.0029 -0.29%‼️*

TLKM……..28.85 unch +0%
*(4394)*
EIDO……..23.32 -0.13 -0.55%
EEM………34.88 -0.13 -0.37%

*Oil…………79.49 -2.17 -2.66%*
Gold ……1670.80 +1.20 +0.07%
Timah….20634 +111.00 +0.54%
*(Closed 30/9)*
*Nickel…21327.00 -1141.50 -5.08%‼️*
*(Closed 30/9)*
Silver…….19.04 +0.22 +1.17%
Copper….341.25 -2.20 -0.64%

Nturl Gas…..6.826 -0.055 -0.80%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….407.70 -1.55 -0.38%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….417.70 +0.55 +0.13%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.70 +2.00 +0.49%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….315.50 +0.60 +0.50%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….313.45 +1.55 +0.50%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….310.45 +2.40 +0.78%
(Des/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Des)……3418 +75 +2.24%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………677.50 +8.00 +1.19%
*SoybeanOil….61.56 -2.30 -3.60%*
*Wheat……..921.50 +25.25 +2.82%*

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US jum’at closing masih merah tebel, europe ijo, asia varied IDX ijo tipis. Kita check chart IDX financials later tapi kalo hanya baca globalnya begini kemungkinan masih lanjut wave 2 nya kebawah

Metal2an naik kecuali copper sama nickel yang turun dalem, oil gas coal merah, CPO ijo. Masih mendukung jalan Basic Materials.

IHSG – lihat indicators nya, belum selesai koreksi, yang mendukung rebound cuma itungan fibonacci aja

Dari RSI quadrant juga jelek banget, cuma Healthcare yang jalan ganjel index

Kita check financials dulu, infobank lah sekalian

Global Update:

September 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks crater as Apple leads losses in broad market sell-off

U.S. stocks cascaded Thursday — with Apple leading the way down — as renewed recession jitters permeated Wall Street and wiped gains from a fleeting relief bounce in the previous session.

Dow…….29226 -458.1 -1.54%
Nasdaq.10738 -314.1 -2.84%
S&P 500..3641 -78.8 -2.11%

FTSE…….6882 -123.8 -1.77%
Dax……..11976 -207.7 -1.71%
CAC……..5677 -88.1 -1.53%

Nikkei….26422 +248.1 +0.95%
HSI……..17166 -85.01 -0.49%
Shanghai..3045 -48.8 -1.58%
ST Times..3115 -1.2 -0.04%

IDX…….7036.20 -40.83 -0.58%
LQ45…1009.03 -4.47 -0.44%

IDX Energy…1907.88 +2.74 +0.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1240.34 -7.59 -0.61%
IDX Industrl..1280.10 -18.02 -1.39%
IDXNONCYC..698.39 -3.62 -0.52%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.36 +13.51 +0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.13 -3.93 -0.46%
IDX Techno..7046.09 -139.79 -1.95%
IDX Transp…1783.60 -29.09 -1.60%
IDX Infrast…….991.58 -8.00 -0.80%
IDX Finance 1481.03 -15.07 -1.01%
IDX Banking..1151.55 -9.60 -0.83%
IDX Property….696 -6.90 -0.98%

Indo10Yr….7.4039 -0.0064 -0.09%
ICBI……..332.0542 +0.2797 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.7470 +0.0420 +1.13%
VIX……….31.84 +1.66 +5.50%‼️

USDIndx 112.2540 -0.3500 -0.31%‼️
Como Indx..271.16 -0.66 -0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.43 +3.67 +2.59%
.
IndoCDS 167.34 +1.89 +1.14%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15262.50 -4.00 -0.03%‼️
Jisdor..15247.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9831 +0.0107 +1.10%‼️

TLKM……..28.85 -0.70 -2.37%
(4400)
EIDO……..23.45 -0.42 -1.76%
EEM……….35.01 -0.80 -2.23%

Oil…………..81.66 -0.15 -0.18%
Gold ……1670.80 +3.50 +0.21%
Timah. .20728.00 +48 +0.23%
( Closed 28/9)
Nickel…22468.50 +405.50 +1.84%
(Closed 28/9)
Silver…….18.82 -0.36 -1.91%
Copper….343.45 +5.40 +1.60%

Nturl Gas…..6.881 -0.136 -1.94%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/9)

Coal price….435.75 -0.25 -0.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.25 -10.50 -2.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….417.15 -6.85 -1.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.15 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.90 +9.65 +3.16%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….311.90 +9.90 +3.28%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3343 +118 +3.66%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………669.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil…63.86 +1.71 +2.75%
Wheat………896.25 -7.00 -0.77%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -10.00 -0.14%
(Closed 29/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merahnya dalem. Europe juga, asia juga merah kecuali jepang. Sabar, masih jadwal koreksi wave 2,keep cash aja

Metal2 naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal turun, CPO naik

IHSG – target wave 2 fibo 50 di 6968, tapi ada gap di 6740, jadi sangat mungkin index tutup gap dulu baru rebound

Healthcare gerak lagi, Consumer Non-Cyclicals lanjut, Infrastructure, Basic Materials ada pergerakan