Daily Analysis 20240605

Daily Analysis 20240605

June 05th, 2024

Good morning,
Stocks eke out gains as labor market cools, rate-cut bets rise

US stocks flipped between negative and positive territory on Tuesday, finishing narrowly in the green as investors shifted their rate-cut expectations after more weaker-than-expected economic data.

Dow……38711 +140.3 +0.36%
Nasdaq16857 +28.4 +0.17%
S&P 500.5291 +7.9 +0.15%

FTSE…..8232 -30.7 -0.37%
Dax……18406 -202.5 -1.09%
CAC……7938 -60.1 -0.76⁴%

Nikkei..38837 -85.6 -0.01%
HSI…..18444 +41.1 +0.22%
Shanghai.3091+12.7 +0.41%

IDX….7099.31 +63.12 +0.90%
LQ45..895.80 +7.52 +0.85%
IDX30.443.12 +0.50 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2300.50 -32.43 -1.39%
IDX BscMat1423.13 +6.65 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl. .975.51 -5.55 -0.57%
IDXNONCYC.696.60 +6.06 +0.88%
IDX Hlthcare1391.93 -21.64 +1.58%
IDXCYCLIC…701.30 +4.70 +0.67%
IDXTechno3349.92 -35.42 -1.05%
IDX Transp 1269.05 +4.00 +0.32%
IDX Infrast 1508.97 +15.15 +1.01%
IDX Finance1365.00 +9.55 +0.70%
IDX Banking1160.50 +0.97 +0.08%
IDX Property…..617 +6.30 +1.04%

Indo10Yr.6.8950 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI…380.9066 +0.2006 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.773👍 -0.039 -0.81%
US5Yr 4.347👍 -0.063 -1.43%
US10Yr4.326👍 -0.065 -1.48%
US30Yr.4.474👍 -0.066 -1.45%
VIX..13.16 +0.06 +0.38%

USDIndx 104.110❗️ -0.030 -0.03%
Como Indx….286.27 -2.82 -0.98%
BCOMIN…..158.48 -2.43 -1.51%

IndoCDS..72.24 -21.13 -22.63%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/06)

IDR…..16220.00‼️ -10.50 -0.06%
Jisdor.16220.00‼️ -5.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0879 -0.0029 -0.27%

TLKM…18.51 +0.38 +2.10%
( 3002)
EIDO….20.12 +0.07 +0.35%
EEM…..41.64 -0.61 -1.43%

Oil…….72.83‼️ -1.25 -1.69%
Gold..2347.10 -23.90 -1.01%
Timah..31932.00 -418.00 -1.29%
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..18888.50 -633.50 -3.26%‼️
(Closed 04/05)
Silver….29.69 -1.18 -3.82%
Copper.454.50 -13.85 -2.95%

Iron Ore 62% 110.10 -7.42 -6.31%‼️
(03/06)
Nturl Gas..2.620 -0.138 -5.03%‼️
Ammonia China.2950.00 -150.00 -4.84%‼️
(Domestic Price)(03/06)

Coal price.137.95 -.2.25 -1.60%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.80 -4.65 -3.20%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 -4.55 -3.11%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 142.70. -5.30 -3.58%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.90 -2.10 -1.76%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.15 -3.20 -2.59%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.00 -3.55 -2.83%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.55 -1.55 -1.23%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..4079 -159.00 -389%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.50 -1.00 -0.23%
SoybeanOil 43.62 -0.52 -1.18%
Wheat….658.25 -14.50 -2.16%

Wood pulp..5862 -18 -0.31%
(Closed 04/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe merah, asia mostly ijo, US bond yield merah, harusnya ijo lagi IHSG hari ini

US index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah, oil gas coal merah juga, CPO juga merah, agak aneh ini… Tapi biar lah, mungkin giliran basic materials sama energy dan CPO bukan sekarang, ASII TLKM dan Bank bank dulu kayanya

IHSG – Stoch 833 udah buy, 1066 masih belum, MACD masih down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD belum banyak gerak, FNB tapi tipis, mantul dari LR juga, harapan bagus buat mulai gerak naik

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, FInancials,Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: ADRO ASII BBCA BRIS PTBA ABMM ADHI AUTO BMTR BTPS ERAA HEAL JSMR MAPA NISP PTPP SILO TBIG, BIg Accum ASII BBCA AUTO BMTR ERAA SILO TBIG

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI MAPI SMGR SRtG ADHI AUTO CTRA ERAA IMAS MyoR PTPP SSIA AALI. Big accum: BMRI MAPI AUTO. SMGR yang ditunggu kemaren naik tinggi, kita assess apakah bisa dikejar dan di level mana entry nya

Daily Analysis 20230315

Daily Analysis 20230315

March 15th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points higher, snaps 5-day losing streak as bank shares rebound

U.S. stocks rose Tuesday as investors bet the risk of contagion following the closures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank has been contained

Dow……32155 +336.3 +1.06%
Nasdaq11428 +239.3 +2.14%
S&P 500.3919 +63.5 +1.65%

FTSE…….7637 +88.5 +1.17%
Dax……..15233 +273.4 +1.83%
CAC……..7142 +130.2 +1.86%

Nikkei…..27833 -311.01 -1.11%
HSI………19696 +376.1 +1.95%
Shanghai.3269 +38.6 +1.20%

IDX…..6641.81 -145.14 -2.14%
LQ45….917.38 -22.46 -2.39%
IDX30…477.99 -12.08 -2.47%

IDXEnergy..2013.23 -61.82 -2.94%
IDX BscMat 1146.90 -13.66 -1.18%
IDX Indstrl.1147.89 -26.70 -2.27%
IDXNONCYC..719.53 -7.19 -0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1531.03 -5.73 -0.37%
IDXCYCLIC…804.96 -23.50 -2.84%
IDX Techno.5191.01 -164.63 -3.05%‼️
IDX Transp.1716.57 -70.29 -3.93%‼️
IDX Infrast….813.72 -16.19 -1.95%
IDX Finance1353.51 -29.92 -2.16%
IDX Banking1098.35 -31.18 -2.76%
IDX Property….673 -7.30 -1.07%

Indo10Yr.6.8707 -0.0497 -0.72%👍
ICBI….351.4897 +1.2731 +0.36%👍
US2Yr4.2462 +0.2304 +5.74%‼️
US5Yr 3.8478+0.1660 +4.51%‼️
US10Yr3.6850+0.1400+3.95%‼️
US30Yr.3.8050+0.1110+3.00%‼️
VIX…… 26.38 -2.79 -10.52%‼️

USDIndx103.5970 +0.0020+0.00%
Como Indx.264.67 -0.32 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.73 -0.76 -0.48%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15386.50 +8.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15380.00 +6.00 +0.04%

Euro……1.0732 +0.00050 +0.05%

TLKM….26.38 +0.29 +1.11%
(4057)
EIDO……21.96 -0.18 -0.81%
EEM……37.92 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil….71.78 -2.91 -3.90%‼️
Gold1908.90 -7.70 -0.40%
Timah .23210.00 +298 +1.30%
(Closed 03/13)
Nickel..23062.50 -103.50 -0.44%
(Closed 03/14)
Silver…..21.81 -0.07 -0.32%
Copper.400.85 -3.35 -0.83%

Nturl Gas.2.5770 +0.1410 +5.79%

Ammonia 4323.33 -83.34 -1.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/13)

Coal price.180.00 -2.90 -1.59%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.187.00 -4.50 -2.35%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.95 -4.55 -2.30%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.45 -1.55 -0.77%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.141.00 +2.35 +1.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.35 -1.35 -0.97%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 135.40 -2.45 -1.78%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 134.90 -2.65 -1.93%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…3982 -63 -1.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..620.75 +7.25 +1.18%
SoybeanOil.56.18+0.32 +0.57%
Wheat…..696.25 +11.75+1.72%

Wood pulp…5650.00 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 03/14)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe rebound, asia cuma IDX sama Nikkei yang merah dalem, Shanghai sama Hangseng ijo tebel, harusnya ikut ijo tebel hari ini

Oil drop, coal merah, gas rebound, metal2 merah kecuali timah, masih belum ok buat saham coal oil dan tambang2 mineral metal. Sabar…

IHSG – udah drop tutup gap dan kena fibo 78, waktunya rebound dan lanjut rally wave 3. indicator oscillators, jelas jelek semua karena baru terjun, BD flat FF dist, ada reg bull div di CCI, yang bottom fishing boleh jalan, yang cari reversal tunggu konfirmasi dulu, minimal konfirmasi divergence kalopun belum ok di oscillators

Technology dan Healthcare, kemaren pas market merah dalem healthcare jadi ganjel, semoga lanjut

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDF RMKE

MACD Buy Signal: UNVR MIKA

Alligator Buy Signal: TBIG PNBN WINS

Daily Analysis 20230313

Daily Analysis 20230313

March 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower, posts worst week since June as Silicon Valley Bank collapse sparks selloff

Stocks tumbled Friday as tech-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank shut down following losses in its bond portfolio, prompting the biggest bank failure since the global financial crisis and sending shockwaves through the banking sector.

Dow……31910 -345.2 -1.07%
Nasdaq11139 -199.5 -1.76%
S&P 500.3862 -56.8 -1.45%

FTSE…….7748 -131.6 -1.67%
Dax……..15428 -205.2 -1.31%
CAC……..7221 -95.2 -1.30%

Nikkei…..28144 -479.2 -1.67%
HSI……..19320 -605.8 -3.04%‼️
Shanghai.3230 -46.02 -1.40%

IDX…..6765.30 -34.49 -0.51%
LQ45….937.14 -5.75 -0.61%
IDX30…487.68 -3.61 -0.73%

IDXEnergy…2050.29 -10.55 -0.51%
IDX BscMat 1177.07 -1.75 -0.15%
IDX Indstrl..1170.18 -6.01 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..727.65 -1.25 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1544.07 -3.04 -0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…829.95 -4.46 -0.53%
IDX Techno.5358.07 -72.43 -1.33%
IDX Transp.1814.30 -26.98 -1.47%
IDX Infrast….831.78 -4.62 -0.55%
IDX Finance1393.63 -9.78 -0.70%
IDX Banking1132.84 -9.79 -0.86%
IDX Property….681 -2.50 -0.37%

Indo10Yr.6.9713 -0.0182 -0.26%
ICBI….349.0598 +0.4047 +0.12%
US2Yr4.5925 -0.0045 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.9700.-0.0170 -0.43%
US10Yr3.7040 -0.0090-0.26%
US30Yr.3.7120 -0.012 -0.32%
VIX…… 24.80 +2.19 +9.69%‼️

USDIndx104.5760 -0.6790 -0.65%‼️
Como Indx.264.99 +0.34 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.28 -1.38 -0.88%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15450.00‼️ +17.50 +0.11%
Jisdor.15468.00‼️ +30.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0643 +0.00630 +0.60%

TLKM….25.99 +0.32 +1.25%
(4020)
EIDO……22.11 -0.09 -0.41%
EEM……37.84 -0.20 -0.53%

Oil….76.68 +0.96 +1.27%
Gold1867.20‼️ +32.60 +1.88%
Timah .22912.00 – 439 -1.65%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..22688.00 -577.0 -2.48%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…..20.51 +0.34 +1.69%
Copper.400.05 -0.85 -0.21%

Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.185.24 +5.25 +2.92%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +9.00 +4.89%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.34 +9.25 +4.92%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.50 +5.00 +2.55%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.00 +8.25 +6.51%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.00 +8.75 +7.10%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.75 +6.26%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.05 +5.66%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4098 -106 -2.52%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..617.25 +5.75 +0.94%
SoybeanOil.56.61 -0.45 -0.79%
Wheat…..679.25 +13.50 +2.03%

Wood pulp…5690.00 unch +0.18%
(Closed 03/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional closing merah semua, HangSeng paling dalem drop nya. Masih rada suram, tapi ga lama lagi harusnya, bank sudah mulai gerak

OIl up, gas down, coal jump, gold silver ijo, metal2 lain merah, cpo drop lagi. Siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – stochastic and macd still down, 833 buy, BD flalt, NFB udah 2 hari, MFIup, w% sw, udah koreksi ke sekitar fibo 50-61, udah cukup buat mantul, walau jeleknya triangle breakdown…

Financials udah gerak, Property, Technology. Yang kemaren leading Industrials sama Energy melemah

Stoch Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TPIA

MACD buy signal: BBRI TPIA

Alligator Buy Signal: MTEL