July 16th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises 200 points to close at a record after Trump survives assassination attempt

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced on Monday as investors bet the unsuccessful assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump will lead to big gains for the Republican presidential candidate and the GOP at the polls in November.

Friendlier fiscal policies ahead were seen as further spurring a broadening out of the bull market that started to take shape last week. Small-cap shares and banks climbed on Monday.

Dow……40212 +210.8 +0.53%
Nasdaq18473 +74.1 +0.40%
S&P 500.5631 +15.9 +0.28%

FTSE…..8183 -69.96 -0.85%
Dax……18591 -157.3 -0.84%
CAC……7633 -91.6 -1.19%

Nikkei..41191 closed +0%
HSI……18015 -277.4 -1.52%
Shanghai.2974 +2.7 +0.09%,

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.454.63 -3.77 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2415.15 +0.67 +0.03%
IDX BscMat1378.96 -7.39 -0.53%
IDX Indstrl.1018.19 -0.65 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC.715.02 +1.14 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1426.43 -6.28 -0.44%
IDXCYCLIC…740.98 +2.22 +0.30%
IDXTechno3293.20 +17.36 +0.53%
IDX Transp 1349.85 +11.97 +0.89%
IDX Infrast 1595.54 -16.88 -1.05%
IDX Finance1395.74 -5.03 -0.36%
IDX Banking1234.43 -10.06 -0.81%
IDX Property…..643 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0313 +0.0118 +0.17%
ICBI…382.0478 -0.3250 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.460 +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.135 +0.028 +0.68%
US10Yr4.225 -0.022 -0.52%
US30Yr.4.459 +0.059 +1.34%
VIX..13.12 +0.66 +5.30%‼️

USDIndx 104.1890👍 -0.211 -0.20%
Como Indx….288.39 -2.05 -0.71%
BCOMIN…… 150.67 -1.41 -0.93%

IndoCDS..71.72 -0.08 -0.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)

IDR…..16170.00❗️+33.50 +0.21%
Jisdor.16174.00❗️+20.00 +0.11%

Euro…1.0895 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…19.39 -0.37 -1.85%
( 3136)
EIDO….20.16 -0.36 -1.73%
EEM…..44.04 -0.46 -1.02%

Oil…….81.88 -1.07 -1.28%
Gold…..2426.20 +8.80 +0.33%
Timah..33246.00 -449.00 -1.33%
(Closed 15/07)
Nickel..16923.00 -161.50 -0.95%
(Closed 15/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.58 +0.84 +0.77%
(12/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.162 -0.151 -6.53%‼️
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(12/07)

Coal price.134.95 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.75 +2.40 +1.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.05 +2.30 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.55 +2.00 +1.45%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 +1.85 +1.77%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.15 +4.25 +4.05%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.90 +3.69%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.50 +3.30%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3896 -39 -0.99%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..404.25 -10.50 -2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.91 -0.68 -1.49%
Wheat…532.50 -18.25 -3.31%‼️

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 15/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

dikira akan merah karena percobaan pembunuhan trump, US malah ijo, europe merah, asia mostly merah, US bond yield naik padahal

USD index down, tapi metal2 banyak down, cuma gold sama iron ore up. Oil Gas down, coal up high, CPO down. Harusnya ANTM ijo hari ini, yang lain keliatannya lanjut merah ikut index

IHSG – FNS, awal koreksi ini, harusnya ga akan terlalu pendek karena kemaren rally nya lumayan jauh. Sementara belum bisa short sell sabar aja tunggu koreksi selesai

Liat ini seolah olah financials mau nyusul, yang efeknya akan ngangkar index, tapi hampir pasti ini jadwal minggu ini sih merah dulu, koreksi sehat. Biasanya consumer yang jadi ganjel index biar ga nyungsep2 banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN BRMS IMAS SMDR. Big accum BBTN BRMS.

MACD Buy Signal: SSIA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal + big accum: BMRS ENRG

July 04th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close at fresh records as investors look past soft economic data

The S&P 500
rose to new highs in Wednesday’s shortened trading session as investors appeared to shrug off sluggish economic data.

Dow……39308 -23.9 -0.06%
Nasdaq18188 +159.5 +0.88%
S&P 500.5537 +28.01 +0.51%

FTSE…..8171 +49.9 +0.61%
Dax……18375 +210.5 +1.16%
CAC……7632 +93.8 +1.24%

Nikkei..40581 +506.1 +1.26%
HSI…..17979 +209.4 +1.18%
Shanghai.2982 -14.6. -0.49%

IDX….7196.75 +71.61+-1.01%
LQ45..897.60 +4.88 +0.55%
IDX30.447.13 +2.67 +0.60%

IDXEnergy..2439.53 +35.58 +1.48%
IDX BscMat1399.48 +16.02 +1.16%
IDX Indstrl. 962.96 +19.55 +2.07%
IDXNONCYC.692.88 +2.91 +0.42%
IDX Hlthcare1414.19 -0.81 -0.06%
IDXCYCLIC…720.40 +2.38 +0.33%
IDXTechno3183.43 -2.21 -0.07%
IDX Transp 1291.61 +20.41 +1.61%
IDX Infrast 1549.94 +10.96 +0.71%
IDX Finance1365.09 +1.61 +0.12%
IDX Banking1192.86 +0.77 +0.06%
IDX Property…..594 +0.50 +0.09%

Indo10Yr.7.0820 +0.0055 +0.08%
ICBI…380.1407 -0.0261 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.708 -0.044 -0.93%
US5Yr 4.322 -0.076 -1.73%
US10Yr4.367 -0.065 -1.47%
US30Yr.4.523-0.084 -1.82%
VIX..12.09 +0.06 +0.50%

USDIndx 105.4030❗️-0.319 -0.30%
Como Indx….294.02 +1.67 +0.57%
BCOMIN……153.80 +2.89 +1.92%

IndoCDS..77.20 -0.97 -1.24%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/07)

IDR…..16371.00‼️-25.00 -0.15%
Jisdor.16387.00‼️+3.00. +0.02%

Euro….1.0789 +0.0042 +0.39%

TLKM…18.39 -0.02 -0.08%
( 3014)
EIDO….19.64 +0.20 +1.00%
EEM…..43.45 +0.63 +1.47%

Oil…….83.68 +0.64 +0.77%
Gold..2365.40 +25.40 +1.08%
Timah..33363.00 +441.00 +1.34%
(Closed 03/07)
Nickel..17416.50 +359.50 +2.11%
(Closed 03/07)
Silver…30.79 +0.90 +3.01%
Copper.452.90 +9.75 +2.20%

Iron Ore 62% 110.32 +2.32 +2.15%
(02/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.425 -0.027 -1.10%
Ammonia China 2900 -16.67 -0.57%
(Domestic Price)(02/07)

Coal price.135.00 +2.75 +2.08%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.40 +1.60 +1.11%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.40 +0.90 +0.66%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.55 +0.80 +0.59%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.103.75 +0.50 +0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..105.60 unch +0%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.85 -0.40 -0.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.90 -0.10 -0.09%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..4082 -8 -0.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..419.50 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 47.91 +1.19 +2.55%
Wheat…574.00 -7.00 -1.20%

Wood pulp..5520 -20 -0.36%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah tipis, nasdaw set new record high, europe ijo, asia ijo, US bond yield merah, IHSG harusnya lanjut

USD index down, metal2 naik semua, oil up gas down coal up, CPO slightly down, ANTM lanjut ini… ADRO ITMG kita liat lagi

IHSG – semua technical indicator bagus, vol transaksi juga mulainaik lagi, BD accum Foreign accum break resistance, tinggal tunggu momentum apa yang bakal bikin koreksi, US udah lama naik duluan so wajar aja kita ngejar, tapi ga akan juga long run without profit taking kan

Industrials, Basic Materials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA INTP PTMP ASSA MYOR SSMS. Big accum ESSA SSMS

MACD Buy Signal: ASSA BMTR MYOR PTRO, ASSA MYOR vol breakout

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: MTEL TINS

June 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week

The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……38799 -87.2 -0.22%
Nasdaq17133 -39.99 -0.23%
S&P 500.5346 -5.97 -0.11%

FTSE…..8245 -39.97 -0.48%
Dax……18557 -95.4 -0.51%
CAC……8001 -38.3 -0.48%

Nikkei..38684 -19.6 -0.05%
HSI…..18367 -109.9 -0.59%
Shanghai.3051 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX….6897.95 -76.95 -1.10%
LQ45..883.93 -8.18 -0.92%
IDX30.441.02 -2.95 -0.66%

IDXEnergy..2262.65 +0.30 +0.01%
IDX BscMat1347.27 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Indstrl. 943.90 -5.91 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.698.28 -1.30 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1431.16 +16.96+1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…733.18 -3.85 -0.52%
IDXTechno3276.82 -43.51 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1265.25 +7.58 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1439.25 -16.33 -1.12%
IDX Finance1351.84 -18.47 -1.35%
IDX Banking1160.38 -11.78 -1.00%
IDX Property…..615 +0.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.9304 +0.0002 +0.002%
ICBI…380.8664 +0.2382 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.889 +0.165 +3.49%‼️
US5Yr 4.461 +0.163 +3.79%‼️
US10Yr4.433 +0.135 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.553 +0.118 +2.66%
VIX..12.22 -0.36 -2.86%

USDIndx 104.8850❗️+0.7830 +0.75%
Como Indx….289.86 -2.56 -0.88%
BCOMIN….153.03 -5.76 -3.63%‼️

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..16195.00 -67.50 -0.42%
Jisdor.16218.00 -61.00 -0.37%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0091 -0.84%

TLKM…18.57 -0.17 -0.88%
( 3011)
EIDO….19.77 -0.35 -1.72%
EEM…..42.04 -0.48 -1.12%

Oil…….75.53 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold..2325.00 -69.50 -2.90%‼️
Timah..31452.00 -746.00 -2.32%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver….29.44 -2.02 -6.42%‼️
Copper.448.35 -18.60 -3.98%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..2.937 +0.116 +4.11%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.45 -2.90 -2.16%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.00 -2.90 -2.13%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 -0.55 -0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.35 +0.95 +0.69%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 -1.85 -1.68%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.60 -0.85 -0.76%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 -0.50 -0.44%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +0.30 +0.26%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3976 +15.00 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..448.75 -3.25 -0.72%
SoybeanOil 43.63 -0.72 -1.62%
Wheat…..627.50 -12.00 -1.88%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US merah europe merah asia merah, US bond yield naik tinggi banget, fixed deh, IHSG tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, tin iron ore down, nickel up sendiri. Oil down gas up coal down, CPO lanjut ijo, ini bubar semua kecuali buat AALI LSIP, tapi kalo index merah dalem ya susah jalan juga

IHSG – technical jelek semua, cuma Elliot wave yang bilang udah deket beres ABC correction sekalian tutup gap, beware, semua open position pasang stop loss

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, KLBF UNTR ASSA BSDE ELSA GTRA SMRA SMAR AMFG MDKI AALI. Ga ada yang big accum, kita assess sekilas, yang emang bagus bisa jadi bagus diambil nanti sore kalau index merah dalem lagi tutup gap

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO

KLBF – technical relative ok semua, memang stoch nya udah tinggi, MACD udah diatas histogram, tapi retracement pattern says up ke fibo 38.Kalo misalnya hari ini dibanting ke deket level 1535 mungkin bagus buat pasang buy disitu plus 1 tick

Spike udah done

Ah, nggak dulu deh, biggest holdernya udah mulai lepas barang, tunggu koreksi dulu deh

UNTR – technical menarik, stoch buy macd up, MFI up, w% sw, tapi BD FF masih dist, ada gap, ASII nya juga udah terlihat siap jalan, BOW bisa ini harusnya

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder lagi hold, mungkin karena index lagi drop. Tapi ga buang, ok ini, bisa BOW UNTR idealnya level deket 22.200. Saya skip karena hold ASII

ASSA – dari chart nya kaya yang mau hajatan… stoch buy, macd almost buy, tapi MFI down karena vol kecil, bandar aja yang main kali, w% up, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, harusnya bisa buy

Ada spike belum done

average aman, biggest holder accum, YP aja buang dikit. bisa buy ini, BOW sedikit diatas support 710 ideal

BSDE – Stoch rev buy belum sampe oversold sih, macd sw, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, mungkin aja beres sidewaysnya dan mau lanjut, tapi index kaya gini dan liat curve nya sih, ke bawah kayanya

ELSA – belum sih, kemarin udah firm jalan tapi oil price ngebalik, kita tunggu firm naik lagi oil price nya

Tunggu oil price confirm dulu

AALI – belum boleh jalan, balik ke support low kemaren, stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF dist, kesempatan ambil di bawah sih ini, tapi memang resiko, yang berani spec buy boleh, tapi break support buang

Spike nya sih cakep

Average aman, biggest holder udah berhenti buang, second nya accum, berani lah… Saya masih hold AALI

SIDO – technical ok, tapi overpriced, ga ada issue besar juga, skip ah

 

 

 

May 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 170 points to post fourth straight winning day, propelled by rate cut hopes

Stocks advanced Monday, with Wall Street building on the previous session’s strong gains as traders lifted Federal Reserve rate cut expectations

Dow……38852 +176.6 +0.46%
Nasdaq16349 +192.9 +1.19%
S&P 500.5181 +52.95 +1.03%

FTSE…..8214 closed +0%
Dax……18175 +173.6 +0.96%
CAC……7997 +39.1 +0.49%

Nikkei..38236 closed +0%
HSI…..18578 +102.4 +0.55%
Shanghai.3141 +35.9 +1.16%

IDX….7135.89 +1.17 +0.02%
LQ45..906.29 +2.96 +0.33%
IDX30..458.96 +1.04 +0.23%

IDXEnergy..2221.85 +22.79 +1.04%
IDX BscMat1332.92 +16.84 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1042.88 -18.66 -1.76%
IDXNONCYC.696.32 +4.64 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare1414.55 -0.48 -0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…756.03 +2.85 +0.38%
IDXTechno3414.18 +50.08 +1.49%
IDX Transp 1315.32 +16.59 +1.28%
IDX Infrast 1616.40 -1.52 -0.09%
IDX Finance1399.49 +4.35 +0.31%
IDX Banking.1213.81+9.32 +0.77%
IDX Property.. 633 +15.8 +2.56%

Indo10Yr.6.9824👍 -0.0444 -0.63%
ICBI…377.7043👍 +1.0191 +0.27%
US2Yr.4.833 +0.027 +0.56%
US5Yr 4.487 +0.005 +0.11%
US10Yr4.485👍 -0.024 -0.53%
US30Yr.4.638👍 -0.023 -0.49%
VIX..13.49 unch +0

USDIndx 105.0870❗️+0.06 +0.05%
Como Indx..287.61 +1.10 +0.38%
BCOMIN……158.05 +0.72 +0.46%

IndoCDS..75.25👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..16025.50 -57.50👍 -0.36%
Jisdor.16025.00 -69.00👍 -0.42%

Euro….1.0770 +0.0009 +0.08%

TLKM…19.42 -0.05 -0.21%
( 3112)
EIDO….20.99 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..42.51 +0.04 +0.09%

Oil…….78.48 +0.37 +0.47%
Gold..2331.30 +22.60 +0.96%
Timah..31983.00 closed +0%
(Closed 06/05)
Nickel..19246.50 closed +0%
(Closed 06/05)
Silver…….27.61 +0.92 +3.46‼️
Copper…461.50 +5.80 +1.27%

Iron Ore 62% 118.03 – -%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas..2.204 +0.054 +2.51%
Ammonia China.2983.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(03/05)

Coal price 145.30 +0.15 +0.10%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.95 +0.55 +0.38%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.10 +0.50 +0.34%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.20 +0.35 +0.24%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..109.35 +2.20 +2.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.45 +2.45 +2.25%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.95 +3.30 +3.01%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.95 +3.40 +3.10%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3863 +21 +0.55%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….469.00 +8.75 +1.90%
SoybeanOil 43.84 +0.76 +1.76%
Wheat..648.75 +26.25 +4.22%‼️

Wood pulp..5860 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo tipis, asia ijo juga, bond yield pendek naik, panjang turun, masih wajar, harusnya masih ijo IHSG hari ini.

USD index naik dikit, gold silver copper naik, bisa jadi waktunya untuk re-entry ANTM, kita liat signalnya. oil gas coal naik, oil kita liat chart nya soalnya kemaren drop dalem, kalo coal keliatannya ok akan lanjut. Masih hold ADRO dkk. CPO lanjut ijo, LSIP kalo ga salah udah gerak, kita check later

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI mulai up, w% up, tapi BD masih flat,masih FNS, masih ketahan belum rally lagi. Tapi keliatannya firm udah beres ABC correction nya, siap rally lagi

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Technology,Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI PGEO PTBA ABMM DOID, PGEO big accum

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ARTO BRIS CPIN AGRO ASSA SMIL TKIM. Big accum ADRO BRIS CPIN ASSA TKIM