March 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday as investors try to shake off latest bank fears

Stocks rose Friday after a volatile trading session. Although Friday began with fears that the banking crisis was spilling over to Deutsche Bank, the markets rebounded to end the week on a higher note.

Dow……32238 +132.3 +0.41%
Nasdaq11824 +36.6 +0.31%
S&P 500.3971 +22.3 +0.56%

FTSE…..7405 -94.2 -1.26%
Dax…..14957 -253.2 -1.66%
CAC……7015 -124.2 -1.74%

Nikkei…..27385 -34.4 -0.13%
HSI………19915 -133.96 -0.67%
Shanghai.3266 -21.0 -0.64%

IDX…..6762.25 +70.64 +1.06%
LQ45….941.04 +11.05 +1.19%
IDX30…490.93 +5.66 +1.17%

IDXEnergy…1995.06 +12.02 +0.61%
IDX BscMat 1154.73 +15.12 +1.33%
IDX Indstrl…1151.67 +11.08 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC..728.32 +11.04 +1.54%
IDX Hlthcare1540.35 -5.32 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…..801.84 +11.48 +1.45%
IDX Techno..5026.10 +118.54+2.42%
IDX Transp..1773.55 +25.12 +1.44%
IDX Infrast…..806.17 -3.49 -0.43%
IDX Finance.1390.07+16.96 +1.23%
IDX Banking.1157.91 +23.41 +2.06%
IDX Property….677 +12.1 +1.83%

Indo10Yr.6.8609 -0.045 -0.66%👍
ICBI…..352.0677 +1.1141+0.32%👍
US2Yr3.7667 -0.0579 -1.51%
US5Yr 3.4075 -0.0232 -0.68%
US10Yr3.3720 -0.0790 -2.29%
US30Yr.3.644 -0.0370 -1.01%
VIX…… 21.75 -0.87 -3.85%

USDIndx103.1160 +0.5840 +0.57%
Como Indx.258.49 +0.71 +0.28 %
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.83 +0.37 +0.23%

IndoCDS..112.800 +6.892 +6.51%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/24)

IDR…..15153.00 -192.00 -1.25%👍
Jisdor.15189.00 -160.00 -1.05%👍

Euro……1.0760 -0.0068 -0.63%

TLKM….27.04 +0.03 +0.11%
(4107)
EIDO……22.89 +0.31 +1.37%
EEM……38.67 -0.10 -0.26%

Oil……69.26 -0.28 -0.40%
Gold.2001.70 -9.70 -0.48%
Timah .24830.00 +482.00 +1.98%
(Closed 03/24)
Nickel..23652.00 +1141.00 +5.07%‼️
(Closed 03/24)
Silver…..23.34 +0.16 +0.69%
Copper..407.50 -2.20 -0.54%

Nturl Gas.2.181 +0.031 +1.44%

Ammonia 4016.67 -83.33 -2.03%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/23)

Coal price.175.35 -1.30 -0.74%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.35 +9.20 +5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.34 +10.25 +5.60%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.95 +7.90 +4.29%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.15 -0.65 -0.48%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.05 -3.00 -2.34%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.75 -2.25 -1.80%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.90 -2.70 -2.18%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3531 -40 -1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..643.00 +11.25 +1.78%
SoybeanOil.53.27 +1.10 +2.11%
Wheat…..688.00 +26.50+4.00%‼️

Wood pulp…5320.00 -7.0 -1.30%
(Closed 03/25)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at closing ijo, Europe merah, Asia merah, IDX ijo sendiri… Harusnya lanjut tapi ada gap tipis kemaren, prepare closing gap dulu sebelum naik, semoga cuma dikasih long lower shadow aja

Oil Merah, Coal rotterdam dan newcastle spot merah, NCF future nya ijo tebel, gas ijo, metal2 varied, gold copper merah, silver ijo, timah nikel ijo tebel, INCO jalan kayanya ini, signalnya udah kemaren

IHSG – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI w% up, BD FF acc, ABC correction level seems done, ew reset keliatannya, udah close diatas MA10, mantul dari lower channel, cross midline LR, semoga lanjut

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials nyusul

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO ASII BBCA BRIS INDY MEDC SCMA TINS TOWR BMTR SMRA MBSS MPMX

Yang Big Accum BBCA

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT BBCA CPIN ICBO INKP, AMRT BBCA CPIN ICBP big accum, pas sama suasana ramadhan/lebaran

March 09th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow finishes slightly lower as traders consider a faster Fed tightening cycle

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished slightly lower Wednesday as the market fought to overcome Tuesday’s selloff, spurred by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinting at higher interest rates for longer.

Dow…..32798 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq11576 +45.7 +0.40%
S&P 500.3992 +5.6 +0.14%

FTSE…….7930 +10.4 +0.13%
Dax……..15632+72.3 +0.46%
CAC……..7325 -14.5 -0.20%

Nikkei…..28444 +135.03+0.25%
HSI……. .20051 -483.2 -2.35%
Shanghai.3283 -1.9 -0.06%

IDX…..6776.37 +9.61 +0.14%
LQ45….939.03 +3.30 +0.35%
IDX30…489.26 +2.32 +0.48%

IDXEnergy…2046.37 -6.48 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1177.60 -15.24 -1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1164.92 -6.39 -0.50%
IDXNONCYC..732.02 +0.79 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1529.90 -10.30 -0.67%
IDXCYCLIC…833.29 -8.32 -0.99%
IDX Techno.5423.28 -5.80 -0.11%
IDX Transp.1811.63 +11.54 +0.64%
IDX Infrast….835.37 +2.62 +0.31%
IDX Finance1398.12 +2.22 +0.16%
IDX Banking1133.34 +5.19 +0.46%
IDX Property….685 -0.00 -0.00%

Indo10Yr.6.9766 +0.0249+0.36%‼️
ICBI….348.6693 -0.520 -0.05%‼️
US2Yr5.0701‼️+0.0590 +1.18%
US5Yr 4.3453‼️+0.0300 +0.70%
US10Yr3.9890‼️+0.0140 +0.36%
US30Yr.3.8791‼️+0.0030 +0.08%
VIX……. 19.11 -0.48 -2.45%

USDIndx105.6690+1.3950+1.33%‼️
Como Indx.267.02 -2.56 -0.95%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.74 +0.83 +0.53%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15437.50 +70.50 +0.46%‼️
Jisdor.15451.00 +92.00. +0.60%‼️

Euro……1.0548 -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM….25.70 +0.35 +1.38%
(3971)
EIDO……22.23 +0.12 +0.54%
EEM……38.90 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil….76.66 -0.92 -1.19%
Gold1818.60 -1.40 -0.08%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..23913.00 -304.00 -1.26%
(Closed 03/08)
Silver…..20.15 -0.05 -0.24%
Copper.402.70 +5.20 +1.31%

Nturl Gas.2.593 -0.0650 -2.45%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/07)

Coal price.179.50 +0.25 +0.25%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.25 -1.00 -0.55%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.20 -0.30 -0.16%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.80 +0.15 +0.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.123.35 -1.15 -0.92%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.80 +0.30 +0.26%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.50 -1.00 -0.83%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.30 -0.70 -0.58%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4181 -25 -0.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..625.50 -8.75 -1.38%
SoybeanOil..59.06 +0.42 +0.72%
Wheat…….687.50 -10.50 -1.50%

Wood pulp…5730.00 -30 -0.52%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI closing merah tipis, Nasdaq udah rebound. Europe tipis2 kebanyakan ijo, Asia juga tipis2 kecuali Hangseng yang merah dalem. Ada harapan rebound kalo gini

Oil gas lanjut merah, coal ijo, metal2 merah kecuali copper, kita tunggu momentum reboundnya basic materials versi tambang mineral

IHSG – kemaren NFS, semoga lanjut asing masuk terus, udah cukup lah koreksi ke fibo 50. Technically stoch masih down, MACD down, MFI sw, w% downtrend done, ada gap di 6688, mungkin juga dibawa dip tutup gap baru naik lagi sih, tapi berdarah2 banget itu kalo kejadian. Belum saatnya aggressive belanja. Cari contrarian aja

Industrials keseret ASII dan UNTR yang koreksi abis loncat. Energy Property sama Technology yang upcoming

March 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Dow breaks 4-week losing streak as 10-year Treasury yield retreats

Stocks rose Friday as Treasury yields eased from their recent highs and investors weighed the cumulative impact from Fed hikes already implemented and digested this week’s comments from the central bank.

Dow…..33391 +387.4 +1.17%
Nasdaq11689 +226.02+1.97%
S&P 500.4046 +64.3 +1.61%

FTSE…….7947 +3.1 +0.04%
Dax……..15578 +250.8 +1.64%
CAC……..7348 +63.9 +0.88%

Nikkei…..27927 +428.6 +1.56%
HSI……. .20568 +138.1 +0.68%
Shanghai.3328 +17.7 +0.54%

IDX…..6813.64 -43.78 -0.64%
LQ45….938.96 -6.81 -0.32 %
IDX30…488.79 -4.47 -0.91%

IDXEnergy…2107.96 -6.81 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1218.98 -2.68. -0.22%
IDX Indstrl..1197.20 -9.57 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..731.63 -8.37 -1.13%
IDX Hlthcare1555.33 -5.62 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…845.42 -1.61 -0.19%
IDX Techno.5455.78 +43.53 + 0.80%
IDX Transp..1844.09 -25.53 -1.37%
IDX Infrast….848.99 +4.13 +0.49%
IDX Finance1404.95 -10.17 -0.72%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9361 +0.0256 +0.37%‼️
ICBI….349.0803 -0.0894 -0.03%‼️
US2Yr 4.8606‼️-0.0004 -0.01%
US5Yr 4.2492‼️ -0.0038 -0.09%
US10Yr3.9580‼️ -0.0050 -0.14%
US30Yr.3.8780‼️-0.0090 -0.24%
VIX……. 18.49 -1.10 -5.62%

USDIndx104.5210 -0.4630 -0.44%‼️
Como Indx.275.05 +3.75 +1.38%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….162.00 +0.42 +0.26%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15311.00 +30.50 +0.20%‼️
Jisdor.15306.00 +33.00 +0.22%‼️

Euro……1.0635 +0.0036 +0.34%

TLKM….26.02 +0.31 +1.21%
(39283)
EIDO……22.61 -0.21 -0.92%
EEM……39.54 +0.35 +0.89%

Oil……79.68 +1.52 +1.94%
Gold.1854.60 +14.10+0.77%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24675 +443.00 +1.83%
(Closed 03/03)
Silver…….21.24 +0.34 +1.61%
Copper..406.70 -0.90 -0.22%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.67 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.188.90 -4.10 -2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.30 -2.35 -1.17%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -4.35 -2.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.75 -11.50 -8.03%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.25 -13.75 -9.82%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.80 -14.20-10.07%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.35 -14.35 -10.13%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4357 +64 +1.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..639.75 +6.00 +0.95%
SoybeanOil..61.19 -0.71 -1.15%
Wheat……708.75 -4.00 -0.56%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo tebel, in fact malah IHSG doang yang closing merah, semua asia eropa ijo… 😅

Oil Ijo Gas Coal merah, metal2 ijo semua, kecuali copper, CPO ijo, TINS udah buy signal, mungkin MDKA hari ini kalo closing ijo

IHSG – retest fibo 38, dan pas mantul disitu seperti sebelumnya. Stoch buy, macd down, BD FF dist, MFI W% down, masih optimis false break jadi mantul

Industrials, Property, Energy

Stoch Buy Signal: INTP MDKA TBIG DSNG MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO TBIG TINS

Alligator Buy Signal: ASII ITMG UNTR APIC CTRA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSSR

March 01st, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday, major averages end February with losses

The major averages fell on Tuesday to round out a tough month for the stock market

Dow…..32657 -232.4 -0.71%
Nasdaq11456 -11.4 -0.10%
S&P 500.3970 -12.1 -0.30%

FTSE…….7876 -58.8 -0.74%
Dax……..15365 -16.3 -0.11%
CAC……..7268 -27.6 -0.38%

Nikkei…..27446 +21.6. +0.08%
HSI………19786 -157.6 -0.79%
Shanghai.3280 +21.6 +0.66%

IDX…..6843.24 -11.5 -0.17%
LQ45….942.97 -5.11 -0.54%
IDX30…490.50 -2.75 -0.56%

IDXEnergy…2101.21 +30.17 +1.46%
IDX BscMat 1243.21 +2.49 +0.20%
*IDX Indstrl.1198.81 +40.13 +3.46%‼️*
IDXNONCYC..742.11 -4.63 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare1565.08 +6.16 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…845.29 -2.67 -0.32%
IDX Techno.5385.85 -11.18 -0.21%
*IDX Transp1936.02 +53.34 +2.83%*
IDX Infrast….844.52 -8.20 -0.96%
IDX Finance1401.26 -5.92 -0.42%
IDX Banking1125.88 -14.52 -1.27%
IDX Property….699 +3.50 +0.51%

*Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0167 +0.24%*
*ICBI..349.8168 +0.0284 +0.01%*
*US5Yr 4.1853* +0.0120 +0.29%
*US10Yr3.9226* +0.0040 +0.10%
*US30Yr.3.9180* -0.0010 -0.03%
*VIX……. 20.70 -0.25 -1.19%*

*USDIndx104.9440+0.2710 +0.26%‼️*
Como Indx.269.84 +1.24 +0.46%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.71 +0.56 +0.35%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15260.50 -0.50 -0.06%‼️*
*Jisdor.15240.00 -34.00 -0.22%‼️*

*Euro……1.0579 -0.0003 -0.28%*

TLKM….25.76 -0.18 -0.69%
*(3926)*
EIDO……22.91 -0.14 -0.61%
EEM……38.23 -0.27 -0.70%

*Oil…….76.79 +1.11 +1.47%*
*Gold 1836.80* +11.80 +0.65%
*Timah 25651 – -%*
*(Closed 02/24)*
*Nickel.24928.50 -469.50 -1.85%*
(Closed 02/28)
Silver…….21.07 +0.28 +1.34%
Copper..407.35 +6.25 +1.56%

*Nturl Gas.2.776 +0.056 +2.06%*

*Ammonia 4440.00 -50.00 -1.11%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/27)

Coal price.192.85 -3.65 -1.86%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.194.10 -2.90 -1.47%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.75 -2.25 -1.13%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.50 -2.20 -1.09%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.145.90 -2.25 -1.52%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.60 -2.50 -1.69%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.80 -1.35 -0.91%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 147.20 -1.75 -1.17%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

*CPO(May)….4136 -92 -2.17%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……630.25 -13.25 -2.06%*
SoybeanOil..60.19 -0.15 -0.25%
Wheat……707.00 -3.00 -0.42%

*Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 02/28)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe merah, asia kemaren varied, IHSG merah, kayanya masih belum rally dulu hari ini juga

OIl Gas ijo, coal merah lagi, kalo dari chart coal saatnya gerak tapi harga nya udah 2 hari turun, bisa jadi ini kesempatan beli di pullback. Metal naik semua kecuali nickel, perlu dicermati ANTM MDKA. CPO merah lagi, masih bolak balik AALI LSIP, minornya koreksi dulu

IHSG – stoch down, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, NFS BD dist, masih belum okay, jangan agressive, yang profit dan chartnya meragukan TP dulu aja just to be safe, atau sell setengah botol lah karena major nya masih ok wave 3

Sempet leading dan jalan lagi: Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, yang emerging: Industrials (shout out to ASII and UNTR), Energy, Basic Materials dan Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO HRUM SRTG RAJA WIKA UNIC EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA LPPF TOBA MBSS

Alligator Buy Signal: TLKM

Supertrend Buy: ASII UNTR