Global update:

September 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,200 points for worst day since June 2020 after hot inflation report

Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a key August inflation report came in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.

Dow…….31105 -1276.4 -3.94%‼️
Nasdaq.11634 -632.8 -5.16%‼️
S&P 500..3932 -177.7 -4.32%‼️

FTSE…….7386 -87.2 -1.17%
Dax……..13189 -213.2 -1.59%
CAC……..6246 -87.9 -1.39%

Nikkei….28615 +72.5 +0.25%
HSI……..19327 -35.4 -0.18%
Shanghai..3264 +1.7 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7318.02 +63.56 +0.88%
LQ45…1042.64 +9.85 +0.95%

IDX Energy..2063.78 +16.76 +0.82%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.42 -5.20 -0.39%
IDX Industrl..1390.40 +18.58 +1.35%
IDXNONCYC..703.79 +4.24 +0.61%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.26 +9.86: +0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.78 -1.86 -0.21%
IDX Techno..7647.98 -45.90 -0.60%
IDX Transp…1927.02 +42.22 +2.24%
IDX Infrast…..1034.62 +6.15 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1536.62 +28.20 +1.87%
IDX Banking..1193.06 +23.02 +1.97%
IDX Property…734 +7.80 +1.08%

Indo10Yr….7.1745 -0.0089 -0.12%
ICBI……..336.7872 +0.2684 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.4220 +0.0600 +1.78%
VIX……….27.27 +3.40 +14.24%‼️

USDIndx 109.8150 +1.4850 +1.37%
Como Indx..285.77 -1.85 -0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.12 -0.37 -0.24%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14851.50 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor..14861.00 +22.00 +0.15%

Euro……..0.9970 -0.0152 -1.50%

TLKM……..29.58 -0.88 -2.89%‼️
(4396)
EIDO………24.33 -0.26 -1.06%
EEM………38.36 -1.22 -3.08%‼️

Oil…………..87.71 -0.28 -0.32%
Gold ……..1712.70 -23.50 -1.35%
Timah. .21461.00 +296.00 +1.40%
( Closed 12/9)
Nickel…24142.50 -307.50 -1.26%
(Closed 13/9)
Silver…….19.29 -0.52 -2.62%
Copper….353.10 -8.45 -2.34%

Nturl Gas…..8.398 -0.011 -0.13%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/9)

Coal price….439.35 +1.85 +0.42%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.65 +1.15 +0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.00 +4.00 +0.96%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 +7.00 +2.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.50 +10.00 +3.28%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.75 +9.50 +3.11%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3900 +218 +5.92%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.75 -3.25 -0.47%
SoybeanOil…66.73 +0.24 +0.36%
Wheat……..860.50 +1.75 +0.20%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop dalem banget, Eropa ikut merah tapi ga terlalu dalem, mungkin sentimen negatif keluar ga lama marketnya tutup. Asia masih pada ijo sisa sentimen hari sebelumnya, cuma hangseng yang merah

Ini worst fear saya, diangkat sampe seolah-olah mau bikin record high, terus dibanting dalem pas saat semua orang lagi greed. Secara technical, jebakan technical persis kaya gini ada di tahun kemaren, pas keluar MACD buy signal pas index dibawa turun lagi

Kemungkinan besar akan dibanting dulu, semoga ga semua sektor dibawa kebawah

IHSG – technically relatif bagus. Memang dari kemarin kemarin sudah dikhawatirkan akan drop bikin Wave 2, cuma belum start aja, karena finance LK pada bagus dan bikin new record high BBCA BMRI, otomatis index keangkat. Ada regular Bearsih Divergence MACD dan ada 3 gap di bawah dan stochastic siap sell yang mendukung koreksi. kalo masih ada profit dan sempet exit bagusnya exit dulu

Yang mungkin contrarian sama index di Basic Materials sama Property, tapi tetep kalo sentimen awal pasti ikut keseret kebawah. Industrials cacingnya masih up aja, tapi udah wave 5 dan ada sentimen negatif kayanya udahan dulu. Financials ga usah dibahas, pasti ngikut index

Global Update:

September 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for fourth straight session ahead of key inflation report, Dow rises 200 points

Stocks rose on Monday as a weaker dollar and growing confidence that higher prices have peaked helped Wall Street’s relief rally continue ahead of a key inflation report.

Dow…….32381 +299.6 +0.71%
Nasdaq.12266 +154.1 +1.27%
S&P 500..4110 +43.1 +1.06%

FTSE…….7473 +121.96 +1.66%
Dax……..13402 +314.1 +2.40%
CAC……..6334 +121.3 +1.95%

Nikkei….28542 +327.4 +1.16%
HSI……..19362 closed +0%
Shanghai..3262 closed +0%
ST Times..3275 +11.8 +0.36%

IDX…….7254.46 +11.81 +0.16%
LQ45…1032.79 +0.79 +0.08%

IDX Energy..2047.03 +36.30 +1.81%
IDX Bsc Mat.1339.62 +2.82 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1371.82 +6.44 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..699.55 +2.60 +0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.40 +16.78 +1.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.64 +0.49 +0.06%
IDX Techno..7693.88 +56.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp…1884.79 -18.48 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1028.46 -6.14 -0.59%
IDX Finance 1508.41 -5.18 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1170.05 -2.50 -0.21%
IDX Property…726 +10.80 +1.50%

Indo10Yr….7.1834 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..336.5187 +0.3920 +0.12%
US10Yr……3.3620 +0.0410 +1.23%
VIX…………23.87 +1.08 +4.74%‼️

USDIndx 108.3300 -0.6730 -0.62%
Como Indx..287.62 +3.50 +1.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.49 +3.14 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.00 +12.00 +0.08%
Jisdor..14839.00 -7.00 -0.05%

Euro……..1.0122 +0.0080 +0.80%

TLKM……..30.46 +0.02 +0.07%
(4520)
EIDO………24.59 +0.22 +0.90%
EEM………39.58 +0.58 +1.49%

Oil…………..87.99 +1.20 +1.38%
Gold ……..1736.20 +7.60 +0.44%
Timah. .21165.00 +314.00 +1.51%
( Closed 09/9)
Nickel…24432.00 +1400.00 +6.08%‼️
(Closed 12/9)
Silver…….19.81 +1.04 +5.54%
Copper….361.55 +4.75 +1.33%

Nturl Gas…..8.409 +0.371 +4.62%‼️

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….437.50 +2.25 +0.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….427.50 -3.10 -0.72%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….418.00 -3.25 -0.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.00 -8.00 -2.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.50 -15.50 -4.84%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 -11.90 -3.75%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3682 +87 +2.42%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..696.00 +11.00 +1.61%
SoybeanOil…66.49 +1.67 +2.58%
Wheat……..858.75 -10.75 -1.24%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Regional Index Ijo semua, komoditas juga naik semua, kita liat apakah IHSG bisa memperpanjang wave 1 nya dengan break high dan bikin new record high… Tapi tetep jangan FOMO, masuk yang emang keliatan lagi hajatan aja…

Kita liat mau dibawa kemana ini IHSG… Kalo bikin ATH baru pasti euforia, kita ikut disitu, selama belum masih hati2

IHSG – Stoch overbought, MACD rev u, belum GC, bandar relatively diem, FF kemaren flat, harus dicari ini FNB nya kemaren berapa, jangan2 exit lagi… EW masih besar kemungkinan wave 2 dulu, LG bisa kemana aja, tapi ada gap dibawah yang menunggu ditutup

Cacing RSI Quadrant: Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Consumer Cyclicals

Healthcare sama Energy sepertinya sudah lewat gilirannya, kalo yang sudah punya liat detail chart emitennya kalo mau hold, kalo new entry beware, mending di sektor yang baru jalan aja

Global Update:

August 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher, extends rally to second day ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Thursday, extending a two-day rally ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.

Dow…….33292 +322.6 +0.98%
Nasdaq.12639 +207.7 +1.67%
S&P 500..4199 +58.4 +1.41%

FTSE…….7480 +0.2 +0.11%
Dax……..13272 +51.9 +0.39%
CAC……..6382 -5.2 -0.08%

Nikkei….28479 +165.5 +0.58%
HSI……..19968 +699.6 +3.63%
Shanghai..3246 +31.04 +0.97%
ST Times..3247 +14.3 +0.44%

IDX…….7174.21 -20.50 -0.28%
LQ45…1021.48 -5.13 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1889.80 +29.97 +1.61%
IDX Bsc Mat.1299.32 +2.74 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1316.72 +0.75 +0.06%
IDXNONCYC..710.41 -1.11 -0.16%
IDX Hlthcare.1403.28 -10.55 -0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.35 -4.85 -0.54%
IDX Techno..8068.66 +10.02 +0.12%
IDX Transp…1998.30 -3.72 -0.19%
IDX Infrast…..1033.56 -5.35 -0.51%
IDX Finance 1504.28 +0.52 +0.03%
IDX Banking..1138.10 -0.14 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.1292 -0.0299 -0.41%
ICBI……..336.5463 +0.2077 +0.06%
US10Yr…..3.0260 -0.0800 +1.70%
VIX……….21.78 -1.04 -4.56%

USDIndx 108.4010 -0.2760 -0.25%
Como Indx..296.65 -2.11 -0.71%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..158.41 +1.58 +1.01%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14824.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14827 .00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro………0.9978 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM……..30.41 -1.22 -3.86%‼️
(4509)
EIDO………23.93 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM………40.61 +0.86 +2.16%

Oil…………..92.69 -2.56 -2.78%
Gold ……..1770.50 +6.10 +0.35%
Timah. .24505.00 -225.00 -0.92%
( Closed 24/8)
Nickel….21903.50 +496.00 +2.32%‼️
(Closed 25/8)
Silver…….19.16 +0.08 +0.42%
Copper….369.95 +5.45 +1.50%

Nturl Gas…..9.361 +0.125 +1.35%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(24/8)

Coal price….417.50 +4.90 +1.19%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.75 -7.25 -1.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….413.00 +1.75 +0.43%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -1.25 -0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….375.50 -1.40 -0.37%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….366.00 -2.40 -0.65%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4255 -49 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..650.75 -6.50 -0.99%
SoybeanOil…65.86 -0.12 -0.18%
Wheat……..786.75 -26.50 -3.26%‼️

Wood pulp…6714.00 +4 +0.15%
(Closed 25/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe mostly ijo, asia ijo, ihsg merah. Sideways dulu kayanya, belum cukup dalem koreksinya ini buat wave 2

Gold nikel silver copper gas coal naik, oil timah cpo turun. Lanjut lagi ini coal keliatannya, mau nambah muatan cari momentum yang tepat ini harus

IHSG – Foreign mulai exit, MACD hampir sell, stoch down,LR jenuh, PSAR down, waspada koreksi…

Energy Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property kurang meyakinkan tapi kita liat nanti

Global Update:

August 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq falls more than 1% as chip stocks struggle, key inflation report looms

Stocks fell on Tuesday as investors navigated a batch of disappointing company reports ahead of a key inflation reading.

Dow…….32774 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq.12494 -150.5 -1.19%
S&P 500..4123 -17.5 -0.42%

FTSE…….7488 +5.8 +0.08%
Dax……..13535 -152.7 -1.12%
CAC……..6490 -34.4 -0.53%

Nikkei….27999 -249.3 -0.88%
HSI……..20003 -42.3 -0.21%
Shanghai..3247 +10.50 +0.32%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7102.88 +16.03 +0.23%
LQ45…1009.71 +1.56 +0.16%

IDX Energy…1812.69 +43.65 +2.47%
IDX Bsc Mat.1333.45 +6.55 +0.42%
IDX Industrl..1310.58 -0.43 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..703.09 -3.76 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare.1411.05 -12.06 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.08 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7966.73 +11.57 +0.15%
IDX Transp…2116.60 +16.11 +0.77%
IDX Infrast…..1038.71 +1.17 +0.11%
IDX Finance 1530.40 +5.95 +0.39%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..699 +0.90 +0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2267 -0.0412 -0.57%👍
ICBI……..334.5894 +0.8171 +0.34%👍
US10Yr…..2.7970 +0.0320 +1.16%
VIX…………21.77 +0.48 +2.25%

USDIndx 106.3010 -0.1340 -0.13%
Como Indx..284.54 +2.74 +0.97%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.58 +1.53 +0.98%

IndoCDS…112.24 -5.02 -4.28%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14852.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14862 .00 -53.00 -0.36%

Euro………1.0214 +0.0020 +0.20%

TLKM……..31.03 -0.31 -0.99%
(4612)
EIDO………23.80 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………39.96 -0.15 -0.37%

Oil…………..90.50 -0.09 -0.10%
Gold ……1812.30 +7.30 +0.40%
Timah. .24300.00 -155 -0.63%
( Closed 08/8)
Nickel…21526.50 -115.50 -0.53%
(Closed 09/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.839 +0.183 +2.39%

Ammonia….3806.67 -83.33 -2.14%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/8)

Coal price….384.50 +13.50 +3.64%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 +14.50 +4.02%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +8.75 +2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….312.65 +16.40 +5.54%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4125 +49 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………614.00 +6.75 +1.11%
SoybeanOil…64.62 +0.30 +0.47%
Wheat………781.50 +1.75 +0.22%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional hampir semua merah kecuali Inggris sama China. IHSG juga sempet ijo tebel tapi closing rada tipis. Energy sama banking yang mimpin gerakan

Oil turun dikit, gold silver copper naik – good for MDKA hold, timah nikel turun harusnya ngaruh ke INCO TINS tapi news tesla kayanya tetep bikin gorengan

Gas coal cpo naik, semoga PGAS kebawa naik, coal long bullish sampe januari, tapi kayanya ga mungkin sih 5 bulan rally terus, hehehe

AALI sama LSIP belum ada tanda2 jalan, secara umum consumer belum sih

Dari closing price kemaren ke gap closing selisih 1.01%, angka yang kalo dipaksain dapet dalam sehari, tapi kayanya ga akan kejadian. Tapi kalo bener dipaksain bisa jadi bahaya, bisa rejection candle terus langsung dibanting. Kalo kejadian di pump and dump, bagusnya pasang trailing stop di yang udah profit, atau cutloss di saham yang chart nya jelek

Secara umum indicators masih ngasih isyarat lanjut naik. Semoga kenceng, tapi begitu tutup gap kita pantau ketat

Infrastructure, Tech, Transport, Industrials