March 28th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher, S&P 500 notches third straight advance as bank shares jump

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose Monday, building on last week’s gains, as investors attempted to move on from the crisis that broke out in the regional bank sector earlier this month following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Dow……32432 +194.6 +0.60%
Nasdaq11769 -55.1 -0.47%
S&P 500.3978 +6.5 +0.16%

FTSE…..7471 +66.3 +0.90%
Dax…..15128 +170.5 +1.14%
CAC……7078 +63.2 +0.90%

Nikkei…..27477 +91.6 +0.33%
HSI………19568 -347.98 -1.75%
Shanghai.3251 -14.3 -0.44%

IDX…..6708.93 -53.32 -0.79%
LQ45….929.10 -11.94 -1.27%
IDX30…484.15 -6.79 -1.38%

IDXEnergy…2014.31 +19.26 +0.97%
IDX BscMat 1153.04 -1.69 -0.15%
IDX Indstrl…1156.51 +4.84 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..728.81 +0.50 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1535.37 -4.97 -0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..804.58 +2.74 +0.34%
IDX Techno..5041.25 +15.15 +0.30%
IDX Transp..1787.91 +14.37 +0.81%
IDX Infrast…..804.78 -1.39 -0.17%
IDX Finance.1375.66 -14.41 -1.04%
IDX Banking.1133.20 -24.72 -2.13%
IDX Property….681 +4.3 +0.64%

Indo10Yr.6.8692 -0.0480 -0.70%👍
ICBI…..352.9088 +0.7066+0.20%👍
US2Yr4.0078 +0.2411 +6.40%‼️
US5Yr 3.5997 +0.1992 +5.64%‼️
US10Yr3.5390 +0.1670 +4.95%‼️
US30Yr.3.7690+0.1250 +3.44%‼️
VIX…… 20.60 -1.14 -5.24%

USDIndx102.8570 -0.2590 -0.25%
Como Indx.262.33 +3.84 +1.48 %
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.94 +1.1 +0.70%

IndoCDS..112.800 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/24)

IDR…..15163.00👍 +10.00 +0.07%
Jisdor.15174.00👍 -15.00 -0.10%

Euro……1.0798 +0.0038 +0.35%

TLKM….26.97 -0.07 -0.26%
(4092)
EIDO……22.96 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM……38.46 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil……72.80 +3.54 +5.11%‼️
Gold.1976.20 -25.50 -1.27%
Timah .24830.00 – -%
(Closed 03/24)
Nickel..23783.00 +131.00 +0.55%
(Closed 03/27)
Silver…..23.22 -0.12 -0.51%
Copper..409.70 +2.20 +0.54%

Nturl Gas.2.229 +0.048 +2.20%

Ammonia 4016.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/23)

Coal price.176.25 +0.90 +0.51%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.00 +2.65 +1.38%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.00 +1.65 +0.85%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price..195.00 +3.05 +1.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.75 +1.60 +1.18%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.132.75 +7.70 +6.16%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.45 +6.70 +5.46%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.70 +6.80 +5.62%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3577 +46 +1.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..648.25 +5.25 +0.82%
SoybeanOil.54.55 +1.28 +2.40%
Wheat…..698.00 +9.50 +1.38%

Wood pulp…5320.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/27)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo Nasdaq merah,saham2 bank yang naik, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, udah cukup lah koreksinya ya, hari ini idealnya tutup gap dulu terus closing ijo

Oil jump Gas Coal Ijo, gold silver merah, metal lain ijo, CPO ijo juga. Waktunya energy rebound? Maybe… Tapi tetep basic materials di tambang mineral yang paling menarik

IHSG – stoch up macd almost buy, MFI w% sw, masih FNB walau mengecil, dari bottom sudah retrace ke fibo 50, waktunya koreksi ke 38 atau 23 terus lanjut. Pas deh tutup gap sebentar terus rally

Belum ada yang firmleading lagi, healthcare melemah, telihat mau jalan Property, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Basic Materials

Stoch Buy Signal banyak, nanti di sort dengan sektor dan FNB/BandarAcc: ACES BUKA INTP ITMG PGAS SIDO TPIA AALI RAJA RMKE TKIM WIKA MNCN IGAR

MACD Buy signal: ARTO BBTN BRPT EXCL ABMM CTRA DOID MLPL RAJA WIFI. Strong note on CTRA – FNB and big accum

Alligator Buy Signal: BBRI DSNG

March 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday as investors try to shake off latest bank fears

Stocks rose Friday after a volatile trading session. Although Friday began with fears that the banking crisis was spilling over to Deutsche Bank, the markets rebounded to end the week on a higher note.

Dow……32238 +132.3 +0.41%
Nasdaq11824 +36.6 +0.31%
S&P 500.3971 +22.3 +0.56%

FTSE…..7405 -94.2 -1.26%
Dax…..14957 -253.2 -1.66%
CAC……7015 -124.2 -1.74%

Nikkei…..27385 -34.4 -0.13%
HSI………19915 -133.96 -0.67%
Shanghai.3266 -21.0 -0.64%

IDX…..6762.25 +70.64 +1.06%
LQ45….941.04 +11.05 +1.19%
IDX30…490.93 +5.66 +1.17%

IDXEnergy…1995.06 +12.02 +0.61%
IDX BscMat 1154.73 +15.12 +1.33%
IDX Indstrl…1151.67 +11.08 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC..728.32 +11.04 +1.54%
IDX Hlthcare1540.35 -5.32 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…..801.84 +11.48 +1.45%
IDX Techno..5026.10 +118.54+2.42%
IDX Transp..1773.55 +25.12 +1.44%
IDX Infrast…..806.17 -3.49 -0.43%
IDX Finance.1390.07+16.96 +1.23%
IDX Banking.1157.91 +23.41 +2.06%
IDX Property….677 +12.1 +1.83%

Indo10Yr.6.8609 -0.045 -0.66%👍
ICBI…..352.0677 +1.1141+0.32%👍
US2Yr3.7667 -0.0579 -1.51%
US5Yr 3.4075 -0.0232 -0.68%
US10Yr3.3720 -0.0790 -2.29%
US30Yr.3.644 -0.0370 -1.01%
VIX…… 21.75 -0.87 -3.85%

USDIndx103.1160 +0.5840 +0.57%
Como Indx.258.49 +0.71 +0.28 %
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.83 +0.37 +0.23%

IndoCDS..112.800 +6.892 +6.51%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/24)

IDR…..15153.00 -192.00 -1.25%👍
Jisdor.15189.00 -160.00 -1.05%👍

Euro……1.0760 -0.0068 -0.63%

TLKM….27.04 +0.03 +0.11%
(4107)
EIDO……22.89 +0.31 +1.37%
EEM……38.67 -0.10 -0.26%

Oil……69.26 -0.28 -0.40%
Gold.2001.70 -9.70 -0.48%
Timah .24830.00 +482.00 +1.98%
(Closed 03/24)
Nickel..23652.00 +1141.00 +5.07%‼️
(Closed 03/24)
Silver…..23.34 +0.16 +0.69%
Copper..407.50 -2.20 -0.54%

Nturl Gas.2.181 +0.031 +1.44%

Ammonia 4016.67 -83.33 -2.03%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/23)

Coal price.175.35 -1.30 -0.74%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.35 +9.20 +5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.34 +10.25 +5.60%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.95 +7.90 +4.29%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.15 -0.65 -0.48%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.05 -3.00 -2.34%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.75 -2.25 -1.80%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.90 -2.70 -2.18%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3531 -40 -1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..643.00 +11.25 +1.78%
SoybeanOil.53.27 +1.10 +2.11%
Wheat…..688.00 +26.50+4.00%‼️

Wood pulp…5320.00 -7.0 -1.30%
(Closed 03/25)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at closing ijo, Europe merah, Asia merah, IDX ijo sendiri… Harusnya lanjut tapi ada gap tipis kemaren, prepare closing gap dulu sebelum naik, semoga cuma dikasih long lower shadow aja

Oil Merah, Coal rotterdam dan newcastle spot merah, NCF future nya ijo tebel, gas ijo, metal2 varied, gold copper merah, silver ijo, timah nikel ijo tebel, INCO jalan kayanya ini, signalnya udah kemaren

IHSG – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI w% up, BD FF acc, ABC correction level seems done, ew reset keliatannya, udah close diatas MA10, mantul dari lower channel, cross midline LR, semoga lanjut

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials nyusul

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO ASII BBCA BRIS INDY MEDC SCMA TINS TOWR BMTR SMRA MBSS MPMX

Yang Big Accum BBCA

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT BBCA CPIN ICBO INKP, AMRT BBCA CPIN ICBP big accum, pas sama suasana ramadhan/lebaran

March 21th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on Monday as banking crisis fears ease

Stocks closed higher on Monday as traders grew hopeful that a crisis in the banking sector may be easing. The gains followed a forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS engineered by the Swiss government.

Dow……32245 +382.6 +1.20%
Nasdaq11676 +45.03 +0.39%
S&P 500.3952 +34.9 +0.89%

FTSE…..7404 +68.5 +0.93%
Dax…..14934 +165.2 +1.12%
CAC……7013 +87.7 +1.27%

Nikkei…..26946 -388.1 -1.42%
HSI………19000 -517.9 -2.65%
Shanghai.3235 -15.6 -0.48%

IDX…..6612.49 -65.75 -0.98%
LQ45….915.57 -8.69 -0.94%
IDX30…477.53 -4.92 -1.02%

IDXEnergy.1976.31 -37.62 -1.87%
IDX BscMat 1130.20 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1139.55 -12.22 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..715.23 -2.61 -0.36%
IDX Hlthcare1546.87 -16.10 -1.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..787.50 -8.02 -1.03%
IDX Techno..4849.76 -174.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1354.90 -16.77 -0.96%
IDX Banking.1109.55 -8.60 -0.77%
IDX Property….659 -5.10 .-0.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9104 +0.0103 +0.15%
ICBI…..350.8423 -0.0033 -0.00%
US2Yr3.9658 +0.1200 +3.11%
US5Yr 3.5840 +0.0770 +2.20%
US10Yr3.4830 +0.0450 +1.30%
US30Yr.3.6680+0.0410 +1.13%
VIX…… 24.15 -1.36 -5.33%

USDIndx103.2810 -0.4270 -0.41%
Como Indx.255.17 +0.52 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.22 +0.20 +0.13%

IndoCDS..101.480 -7.420 -6.81%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/17)

IDR…..15360.00 +15.00 +0.10%
Jisdor.15372.00 +8.00 +0.05%

Euro……1.0723 +0.0110 +1.04%

TLKM….26.29 -0.11 -0.42%
(4041)
EIDO……22.05 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……37.75 +0.14 +0.37%

Oil….67.65 +0.91 +1.36%
Gold.2000.00‼️+9.80 +0.49%*
Timah .22510.00 +292.00 +1.31%
(Closed 03/17)
Nickel..22800.00 -744.00 -3.16%‼️
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.67 +0.21 +0.93%
Copper..395.60 +6.35 +1.63%

Nturl Gas.2.240 -0.1060 -4.51%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.172.25 -0.75 -0.43%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.05 -1.00 -0.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.176.50 -2.60 -1.45%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.15 -3.95 -2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 unch +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.05 -2.95 -2.32%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.55 -2.70 -2.16%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.25 -2.65 -2.14%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3790 -131 -3.34%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.00 -1.25 -0.20%
SoybeanOil.57.99 +0.53 +0.92%
Wheat…..700.75 -9.75 -1.37%

Wood pulp…5530.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lagi, europe juga, giliran asia nyusul hari ini sepertinya

OIl ijo coal gas merah, metal2 ijo semua kecuali nikel, tinggal tunggu waktunya ANTM MDKA lari ini… CPO masih belum ok juga, masih belum gilirannya

IHSG – kemaren NFS langsung merah dalem, technically mulai konsolidasi, belum saatnya rally memang, bank dulu jalan baru index jalan. Sabar tunggu momentumnya

DI market merah Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare jadi ganjel Property juga tapi ga akan jalan sebelum banking biasanya

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA ICBP INDY INKP AGRO DSNG MTMH TOBA WIFI ANJT LMSH

Ga ada yang big accum posisinya, kemungkinan cuma karena jum’at mantul kenceng jadi yang sudah sangat oversold jadi buy signal

Kita assess beberapa yang sektornya jalan dan mewakili sektor yang ada issue

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBRI INDF BRMS DSNG MTMH

Yang Big Accumulation… ARTO BBCA di Financials, bagus untuk banking mulai dorong index. INCO, tapi harga nikelnya drop, belum dulu, INDF ini ok, sektornya jalan, mau masuk ramadhan lebaran, PTBA DOID di energy, tapi coal price masih belum ok. ERAA sektornya belum, tapi biasanya lebaran baju baru henpon baru so ok buat ditunggu buy signalnya. MTEL hold, masih bagus

March 03rd 2023

Good morning,

Dow…..33034 +341.7 +1.05%
Nasdaq11463 +84.5 +0.73%
S&P 500.3981 +29.96 +0.76%

FTSE…….7944 +29.1 +0.37%
Dax……..15328 +22.6 +0.15%
CAC……..7284 +49.97 +0.69%

Nikkei…..27499 -17.7 -0.06%
HSI……..20429 -190.3 -0.92%
Shanghai.3311 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…..6857.42 +12.48 +0.18%
LQ45….947.15 +1.33 +0.14 %
IDX30…493.17 +0.87 +0.18%

IDXEnergy…2114.76 +21.21 +1.01%
IDX BscMat 1221.67 -17.63 -1.42%
IDX Indstrl..1206.77 +12.35 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..740.00 +3.00 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1560.95 +4.43 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…847.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Techno.5412.25 -4.87 – 0.09%
IDX Transp..1869.62 -33.57 -1.76%
IDX Infrast….844.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Finance1415.12 +5.57 +0.39%
IDX Banking1140.36 +6.21 +0.55%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9105 +0.0364 +0.53%‼️
ICBI….349.1696 -0.7977 -0.23%‼️
US5Yr 4.3143‼️ +0.0490 +1.16%
US10Yr4.0620‼️ +0.0660 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.0010‼️+0.0480 +1.21%
VIX……. 19.59 -0.99 -4.81%

USDIndx104.9840 +0.6210 +0.60%‼️
Como Indx.271.30 -1.51 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.59 -2.95 -1.79%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15280.00 +45.50 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor.15273.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0599 -0.0069 -0.64%

TLKM….25.71 -0.17 -0.66%
(3927)
EIDO……22.82 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM…….39.19 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…….78.16 +0.47 +0.61%
Gold.. 1840.50 -4.90 -0.27%
Timah 25334 +371 +1.49%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24232 -899.00 -3.58%‼️
(Closed 03/02)
Silver…….20.90 -0.19 -0.92%
Copper..407.60 -8.40 -2.02%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4390.00 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price.193.00 -0.50 -0.26%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.00 +1.25 +0.64%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.65 +1.40 +0.70%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.35 +1.20 +0.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.25 -0.60 -0.42%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 140.00 -3.55 -2.47%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.00 -4.40 -3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.70 -4.90 -3.34%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4293 +105 +2.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.75 -2.00 -0.31%
SoybeanOil..61.90 +1.07 +1.76%
Wheat……712.75 +2.75 +0.39%

Wood pulp…5840.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 03/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lumayan tebel, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG ijo kemaren tapi ada 26 saham ARB, rada anomali

Oil ijo gas coal merah, metal2 merah kecuali timah, nikel malah drop. Belum saatnya belanja saham tambang mineral logam, dikit lagi…

CPO naik tinggi, mungkin ini saatnya mulai rally. Kita check detail di emitennya nanti

IHSG – kemaren sudah FNB, stoch buy, macd masih down but flattening, MFI sw, W% sw, masih jadwal wave 3, keliatan bentuk triangle pattern, semoga breakout ke atas

Industrials Energy Property. Bank2 sudah mulai buy signal tapi sektor Financials nya belum firm

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO BBCA BBNI BUKA TINS AALI BRMS

MACD Buy Signal: INCO PGAS MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID IGAR

Supertrend Buy Signal: ITMG IGAR

ARTO skip

BBCA – buat indikasi aja, bukan mau dibeli, hehehe… stoch buy, macd still down, BD FF net sell, MFI down, w% downtrend, masih jadwal wave 3 tapi lagi jatahnya sideways dulu, belum…

BUKA – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, W% downtrend, BD dist, FF acc tipis, dari IPO drop, belum retrace, pelan2 bottom nya tambah tinggi, sektor bukan leading, belum sih

TINS – stoch buy macdbuy, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD acc, masih NFS tipis, ew reverse done, ketemu regbull div terus mantul, kejedot fibo 23, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy harusnya

Ternyata spike nya ok, spike tinggi pas harga sideways

Harga aman. Ada gap juga di atas, bisa spec buy half, half lagi tunggu firm acc BD dan FF

AALI – stoch buy bolak balik, macd up MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, abis drop mulai gerak naikpelan2 belum ada gerakan signifikan yang diikuti higher low, WNS deh

BRMS – Technical ok, tapi saham bakrie nggak deh

INCO – stoch up macd buy, 833 sell, MFI up, BD FF acc, w% sw, masih konsol di sekitar fibo 61 terjunan abc correction, belum lanjut wave 3. Kalo mau entry tunggu 833 buy lagi while MACD masih firm. Nikel drop jadi agak khawatir dulu

PGAS – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, BD FF acc, w%up, belum breakout resistance, hold, kalo breakout neckline nambah

MAPI – saham hajatan, baru kemaren sell signal MACD sekarang ngebalik lagi, masalahnya udah naik tinggi, udah wave 5 dan udah ketemu bearish divergence, ga ok buat new entry, kalo yang udah pegang berani hold sambil pasang trailing stop

DOID – coal emang pada gerak, stoch up, macd up, alligator buy, MFI sw, W% uptrend, mau breakout patternd double bottom, yang belum punya coal boleh beli ini… Saya pegang HRUM

ITMG – kalo masuk sekarang nanggung, belum pasti breakout resistance, kalo entry dari kemaren pas buy signal MACD ok hold, entry baru mending nunggu konfirmasi breakout resistance 38.675

IGAR skip