January 23th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to close above 38,000 for the first time ever

Stocks rose Monday as investors built on the previous session’s historic move to record highs.

Dow……38002 +138.01+0.36%
Nasdaq15360 +49.3 +0.32%
S&P 500.4950 +10.6 +0.22%

FTSE…..7488 +25.8. +0.35%
Dax……16683 +128.2 +0.77%
CAC……7413 +41.6 +0.56%

Nikkei..36547 +583.7 +1.62%
HSI…….14961 -347.5 -2.27%
Shanghai.2756 -75.9 -2.68%

IDX…..7247.93 +20.53 +0.28%
LQ45….973.37 +0.69 +0.07%
IDX30…496.54 -1.38 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2132.52 -31.56 -1.46%
IDX BscMat.1293.47 +1.98 +0.15%
IDX Indstrl…1100.39 -12.25 -1.10%
IDXNONCYC.699.33 -4.12 -0.59%
IDX Hlthcare1304.96 -1.55 -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…862.67 +1.03 +0.12%
IDX Techno4205.28 -23.54 -0.56%
IDX Transp 1653.77 -27.72 -1.65%
IDX Infrast 1545.48 +14.81 +0.97%
IDX Finance.1530.69 +22.59+1.50%
IDX Banking.1326.80+6.08 +0.46%
IDX Property.. 702 -3.10 -0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.6657👍 -0.0260 -0.39%
ICBI…375.5892👍 +0.6217 +0.17%
US2Yr.4.393 +0.005 +0.12%
US5Yr 4.029 -0.025 -0.62%
US10Yr4.104 -0.026 -0.63%
US30Yr.4.323 -0.014 -0.32%
VIX….13.19 -0.11 -0.83%

USDIndx 103.3310 +0.043 +0.04%
Como Indx..266.95 +1.58 +0.59%
BCOMIN……134.45 -0.45 -0.34%

IndoCDS..75.22 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/01)

IDR…..15636.50 +21.00 +0.14%
Jisdor.15628.00 -1.00 -0.01%

Euro….1.0877 -0.0021 -0.19%

TLKM…25.53 +0.15 +0.59%
(3992)
EIDO……22.08 -0.13 -0.59%
EEM……38.05 -0.34 -0.89’%

Oil……..75.19 +1.78 +2.42%
Gold..2041.50 -7.20 -0.35%
Timah..25298.00 – -%
(Closed 19/01)
Nickel..16023.50 -29.00 -0.08%
(Closed 22/01)
Silver……22.17 -0.54 -2.37%
Copper.374.75 -3.90 -1.03%

Iron Ore 62% 135.88 – -%
(19/01)
Nturl Gas..2.143 -0.109 -4.84%‼️
Ammonia China.3343.33 +66.66 +2.03%
(Domestic Price)(19/02)

Coal price.127.45 -0.55 -0.43%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.95 +1.95 +1.56%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.25 +2.00 +1.69%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 119.95 +1.70 +1.44%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.35 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .92.35 -3.70 -3.85%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price…89.80 -3.00 -3.23%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…87.90 -3.15 -3.46%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3916 -24 -0.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……445.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 48.16 +1.26 +2.69%
Wheat…596.50 +3.25 +0.56%

Wood pulp..5070.00 +4 +0.08%
(Closed 21/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe ijo, asia china hongkong merah, jepang indonesia ijo. Lanjut ijo lah harusnya, apalagi US bond rates kebanyakan turun, yang 2 tahun yang naik

USD index naik, metal2 turun, oil naik, gas lanjut turun, coal masih turun, walau future yang newcastle naik, PTBA exit, ADRO udah kemaren exit duluan. MDKA ANTM INCO TINS kayanya masih sideways dulu. CPO turun dikit, masih belum kemana mana AALI LSIP

IHSG – masih FNS, masih belum pada masuk lagi, BD accum sih, stoch buy, macd still down, MFI w% sw, kalo diliat minor ABC flat correction, mungkin sekarang major mau wave B, masih belum bisa dibilang aman untuk aggressive, masih belum beres ABC correction

Tinggal Healthcare, sama yang mau bangun Basic Materials dan Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: EXCL ERAA ECII INCI ANJT IGAR LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: SCMA, and ada spike

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ARTO BBTN MAPI

Supertrend Buy Signal: TPIA… udah lari, pegang BRPT aja deh

January 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed Thursday after hotter-than-anticipated inflation report

Stocks ended Thursday near the flat line after a fresh round of inflation data reflected an uptick in consumer prices for December.

,Dow……37711 +15.3 +0.04%
Nasdaq14970 +0.5 +0.00%
S&P 500.4780 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7577 -75.2 -0.98%
Dax……16547 -142.8 -0.86%
CAC……7388 -38.5 -0.52%

Nikkei..35050 +648.2 +1.77%
HSI…….16302 +204.8 +1.27%
Shanghai.2887+8.95 +0.31%

IDX…..7219.96 -7.33 -0.10%
LQ45….969.94 +0.81 +0.08%
IDX30…499.20 +1.25 +0.25%

IDXEnergy..2160.56 -7.75 -0.36%
IDX BscMat.1240.16 -6.97 -0.56%
IDX Indstrl…1106.62 +0.90 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.705.40 -5.32 -0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1349.14+2.29 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…860.88 +7.42 +0.87%
IDX Techno4343.84 +11.60 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1679.28 +21.31 +1.29%
IDX Infrast 1549.81 -4.51 -0.27%
IDX Finance.1522.49+13.78 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1322.35+8.30 +0.63%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6959 -0.0222 -0.33%
ICBI…374.1055 +0.6178 +0.17%
US2Yr.4.249 -0.111 -2.55%
US5Yr 3.881 -0.094 -2.36%
US10Yr3.968 -0.047 -1.17%
US30Yr.4.211-0.037 -0.88%
VIX….12.44 -0.25 -1.97%

USDIndx 102.3120 -0.050 -0.05%
Como Indx..264.10 +1.78 +0.68%
BCOMIN……136.75 +0.07 +0.05%

IndoCDS..77.21 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/01)

IDR…..15548.50 -21.00 -0.13%
Jisdor.15558.00 -10.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0974 +0.0001 +0.01%

TLKM…25.67 unch +0%
(3994)
EIDO….22.38 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM….39.06 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil……..72.02 +0.67 -1.23%
Gold..2019.20 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..24435.00 +195.00 +0.80%
(Closed 10/01)
Nickel..16452.00 +50 +0.30%
(Closed 11/01)
Silver……22.71 -0.36 -1.56%
Copper.377.65 +2.05 +0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 138.16 -2.36 -1.68%
(10/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030 +0.085 +2.81%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.130.75 -2.75 -2.06%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.25 -5.25 -3.99%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.25 -4.80 -3.69%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.70 -3.85 -2.99%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 -2.50 -2.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.30 -3.40 -3.32%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.100.20 -2.70 -2.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…98.05 -2.50 -2.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3796 +37 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……457.75 -0.38 -0.38%
SoybeanOil 48.72 +0.47 +0.97%
Wheat…603.75 -7.00 -1.15%

Wood pulp..5068.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe merah, asia kemaren ijo tebel, IHSG merah tipis, bisa merah lagi kayanya ini tudei

US bond rates turun, USD index turn, good sih, tapi gold silver juga turun, timah nickel copper iron ore ijo, oil merah, gas ijo, coal merah dalem. Masih belum nih ANTM MDKA, coal coal an hati hati. CPO lanjut, go go AALI LSIP!

IHSG – bisa jadi mau wave B dulu, tapi yang jelas stoch down, mad down, MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD dist, masih FNB sih, lumayan. Kalo diukur pake fibonacci retracement hanya di wave 5 nya dari antara 61-78 mantul ke 38, lanjut wave c dong kalo gitu… Masih bahaya pokonya

Index beresiko tapi cacing RSI pada arahnya bagus, heu… FInancials paling deket 45 derajat, sama technology, tapi saya lebih prefer pegang consumer non-cyclicals, biasanya saham defensif ganjel bursa disitu

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

June 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq sheds 1% on Monday as investors dump tech names to start final week of June

The Nasdaq Composite slumped on Monday as investors sold shares of technology companies that have outperformed this year and the final trading week of the first half commenced.

Dow……33715 -12.7 -0.04%
Nasdaq13336 -156.7 -1.16%
S&P 500.4329 -19.5 -0.45%

FTSE…..7454 -8.3 -0.11%
Dax……15813 -16.9 -0.11%
CAC……7184 +20.9 +0.29%

Nikkei…..32699 -82.7 -0.25%
HSI………18794 -95.8 -0.51%
Shanghai.3151 -47.3 -1.48%

IDX…..6664.67 +24.93 +0.38%
LQ45….946.11 +3.39 +0.36%
IDX30…491.66 +1.81 +0.37%

IDXEnergy…1765.35 -26.30 -1.47%
IDX BscMat..994.08 -3.38 -0.34%
IDX Indstrl…1165.54 -0.46 -0.04%
IDXNONCYC.740.23 -0.61 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1481.14 -1.07 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC….871.35 -4.11 -0.47%
IDX Techno.4814.34 -4.25 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1890.18 -24.24 -1.27%
IDX Infrast… .850.69 +2.81 +0.33%
IDX Finance.1401.76 +8.57 +0.61%
IDX Banking.1175.86 +8.90 +0.76%
IDX Property..726 -1.10 -0.16%

*Indo10Yr.6.3613-0.0038 -0.06%*
*ICBI..366.7261 +0.1546 +0.04%*
*US2Yr.4.7390* -0.0110 -0.23%
*US5Yr 3.9700* -0.0240 -0.60%
*US10Yr3.7190* -0.0180 -0.48%
*US30Yr.3.8080*-0.0060 -0.16%
*VIX…….14.25 +0.81 +6.03%‼️*

*USDIndx102.6920* -0.2110 -0.20%
Como Indx…263.40 +0.44 +0.17%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.04 -2.24 -1.56%

*IndoCDS.87.65 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(23/06)*

*IDR…..15021.50‼️ +23.00 +0.15%*
*Jisdor.15026.00‼️ +28.00 +0.18%*

*Euro……1.0909* +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…26.41 +0.10 +0.38%
*(3968)*
EIDO….23.09 +0.17 +0.74%
EEM…..39.30 +0.13 +0.33%

Oil…….69.52 +0.36 +0.52%
Gold…1933.40 +3.80 +0.20%
*Timah..26476.00 – -%*
*(Closed 23/06)*
*Nickel..20408.50 -992.00 -4.64%‼️*
(Closed 26/06)
Silver….. 23.03 +0.48 +2.13%
Copper..380.40 -1.15 -0.30%

*Iron Ore 62% 112.65* – -%
(23/06)
Nturl Gas.2.872 +0.0290 +1.02%

Coal price.125.50 unch +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 +0.35 +0.25%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.75 +1.90 +1.35%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.20 +1.20 +0.84%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price111.60 +0.40 +0.35%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.20 +1.20 +1.04%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.65 +1.30 +1.16%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.35 +0.80 +0.72%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)..3716 +92 +2.54%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……588.25 +0.25 +0.04%
*SoybeanOil 56.18+1.22 +2.22%*
Wheat…738.25 -8.25 -1.11%

*Wood pulp..4270.00* -10 -0.23%
(Closed 25/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Semua index regional lanjut merah kecuali IHSG sama CAC. Most likely hari ini merah lagi. Nasdaq turun dalem, investor tech dump saham yang ga perform bagus di semester 1

USD index merah, seperti biasanya consequently Gold Silver ijo. Copper merah, oil gas coal ijo, CPO ijo, nickel yang drop gede

IHSG – akhirnya FNB, technically masih mengkhawatirkan tapi jadi harapan kuat akan segera rebound kalo asing udah mulai masuk lagi. Stoch down macd almost sell MFI sw,w% sw, abis bikin double bottom mulai mantul terus koreksi lagi bikin higher low, semoga sudah waktunya lanjut keatas

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES AMRT ARTO MDKA PGAS TBIG TLKM TOWR ELSA

Infra versi telco jalan bareng2…

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI KLBF SIDO

Alligator Buy Signal: MTMH