Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

June 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq sheds 1% on Monday as investors dump tech names to start final week of June

The Nasdaq Composite slumped on Monday as investors sold shares of technology companies that have outperformed this year and the final trading week of the first half commenced.

Dow……33715 -12.7 -0.04%
Nasdaq13336 -156.7 -1.16%
S&P 500.4329 -19.5 -0.45%

FTSE…..7454 -8.3 -0.11%
Dax……15813 -16.9 -0.11%
CAC……7184 +20.9 +0.29%

Nikkei…..32699 -82.7 -0.25%
HSI………18794 -95.8 -0.51%
Shanghai.3151 -47.3 -1.48%

IDX…..6664.67 +24.93 +0.38%
LQ45….946.11 +3.39 +0.36%
IDX30…491.66 +1.81 +0.37%

IDXEnergy…1765.35 -26.30 -1.47%
IDX BscMat..994.08 -3.38 -0.34%
IDX Indstrl…1165.54 -0.46 -0.04%
IDXNONCYC.740.23 -0.61 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1481.14 -1.07 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC….871.35 -4.11 -0.47%
IDX Techno.4814.34 -4.25 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1890.18 -24.24 -1.27%
IDX Infrast… .850.69 +2.81 +0.33%
IDX Finance.1401.76 +8.57 +0.61%
IDX Banking.1175.86 +8.90 +0.76%
IDX Property..726 -1.10 -0.16%

*Indo10Yr.6.3613-0.0038 -0.06%*
*ICBI..366.7261 +0.1546 +0.04%*
*US2Yr.4.7390* -0.0110 -0.23%
*US5Yr 3.9700* -0.0240 -0.60%
*US10Yr3.7190* -0.0180 -0.48%
*US30Yr.3.8080*-0.0060 -0.16%
*VIX…….14.25 +0.81 +6.03%‼️*

*USDIndx102.6920* -0.2110 -0.20%
Como Indx…263.40 +0.44 +0.17%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.04 -2.24 -1.56%

*IndoCDS.87.65 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(23/06)*

*IDR…..15021.50‼️ +23.00 +0.15%*
*Jisdor.15026.00‼️ +28.00 +0.18%*

*Euro……1.0909* +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…26.41 +0.10 +0.38%
*(3968)*
EIDO….23.09 +0.17 +0.74%
EEM…..39.30 +0.13 +0.33%

Oil…….69.52 +0.36 +0.52%
Gold…1933.40 +3.80 +0.20%
*Timah..26476.00 – -%*
*(Closed 23/06)*
*Nickel..20408.50 -992.00 -4.64%‼️*
(Closed 26/06)
Silver….. 23.03 +0.48 +2.13%
Copper..380.40 -1.15 -0.30%

*Iron Ore 62% 112.65* – -%
(23/06)
Nturl Gas.2.872 +0.0290 +1.02%

Coal price.125.50 unch +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 +0.35 +0.25%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.75 +1.90 +1.35%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.20 +1.20 +0.84%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price111.60 +0.40 +0.35%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.20 +1.20 +1.04%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.65 +1.30 +1.16%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.35 +0.80 +0.72%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)..3716 +92 +2.54%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……588.25 +0.25 +0.04%
*SoybeanOil 56.18+1.22 +2.22%*
Wheat…738.25 -8.25 -1.11%

*Wood pulp..4270.00* -10 -0.23%
(Closed 25/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Semua index regional lanjut merah kecuali IHSG sama CAC. Most likely hari ini merah lagi. Nasdaq turun dalem, investor tech dump saham yang ga perform bagus di semester 1

USD index merah, seperti biasanya consequently Gold Silver ijo. Copper merah, oil gas coal ijo, CPO ijo, nickel yang drop gede

IHSG – akhirnya FNB, technically masih mengkhawatirkan tapi jadi harapan kuat akan segera rebound kalo asing udah mulai masuk lagi. Stoch down macd almost sell MFI sw,w% sw, abis bikin double bottom mulai mantul terus koreksi lagi bikin higher low, semoga sudah waktunya lanjut keatas

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES AMRT ARTO MDKA PGAS TBIG TLKM TOWR ELSA

Infra versi telco jalan bareng2…

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI KLBF SIDO

Alligator Buy Signal: MTMH

May 23th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed on Monday as pivotal debt ceiling meeting looms, Nasdaq hits highest level since August

The S&P 500
finished little changed on Monday as Wall Street awaited a pivotal debt ceiling meeting and government officials scrambled to avert a default.

Dow……33287 -140.1 -0.42%
Nasdaq12721 +62.9 +0.50%
S&P 500.4192 +0.7 +0.02%

FTSE…..7771 +14.1 +0.18%
Dax……16224 -51.4 -0.32%
CAC……7478 -13.8 -0.18%

Nikkei…..31087 +278.5 +0.90%
HSI………19678 +227.6 +1.17%
Shanghai.3296 +12.9 +0.39%

IDX…..6729.65 +29.09 +0.43%
LQ45….945.44 +5.86. +0.62%
IDX30…492.15 +3.24 +0.66%

IDXEnergy…1828.79 +18.01 +0.99%
IDX BscMat 1031.57 -3.71 -0.36%
IDX Indstrl…1173.77 +6.65 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC.740.50 +4.05 +0.55%
IDX Hlthcare1499.69 +2.72 +0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…849.51 +2.14 +0.25%.
IDX Techno..4803.05 -45.76-0.94%
IDX Transp..1793.68 -21.09 -1.16%
IDX Infrast…..816.08 -3.98 -0.48%
IDX Finance.1382.59 +7.25 +0.53%
IDX Banking.1156.50 +10.16 +0.89%
IDX Property…..725 +0.70 +0.09%

Indo10Yr.6.5429 +0.0069 +0.11%
*ICBI..361.2314* +0.0921 +0.03%
*US2Yr.4.3197* +0.0595 +1.40%
*US5Yr 3.7389* +0.0265 +0.71%
*US10Yr3.7170* +0.026 +0.70%
*US30Yr.3.9670* +0.0320 +0.81%
*VIX……17.21 +0.40 +2.38%*

*USDIndx103.1980‼️unch +0%*
Como Indx.261.58 -0.55 -0.21%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…144.13 -1.43 -0.98%

*IndoCDS.95.92👍 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(19/05)*

*IDR…..14890.00‼️ -40.50 -0.27%*
*Jisdor.14897.00‼️ -39.00 -0.26%*

*Euro……1.0814 +0.0009 +0.08%*

TLKM..27.11 +0.51 +1.92%
*(4039)*
EIDO….23.86 +0.27 +1.14%
EEM…..39.30 +0.32 +0.82%

Oil……71.99 +0.44 +0.62%
*Gold…1992.10* -8.20 -0.41%
*Timah..25452.00* – %
*(Closed 19/05)*
Nickel..21362.50 -135.50 -0.63%
(Closed 20/05)
Silver……23.79 -0.27 -1.12%
Copper…367.80 -5.35 -1.43%

Iron Ore 62% 107.10 -0.17 -0.16%
(19/05)
Nturl Gas.2.547 -0.046 -1.77%

Coal price.160.35 -1.50 -1.17%
(May/Newcastle)
*Coal price.163.40 +4.05 +2.54%*
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.160.75 +2.25 +1.42%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.162.65 +2.15 +1.33%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.00 +0.30 +0.25%
(May/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.107.75 +2.25 +2.13%*
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.25 +0.75 +0.73%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.70 +0.50 +0.48%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)…3429 -52.00 -1.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……571.00 +16.50 +2.98%*
*SoybeanOil 48.77+1.50 +3.17%‼️*
Wheat….606.25 +1.25 +0.21%

Wood pulp..4080.00 unch +0%
(Closed 22/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, Europe mainly merah, Asia ijo semua, beware koreksi hari ini

Precious metals turun semua, walau USD index unchanged, oil ijo gas coal spot merah, coal future ijo, cpo masih lanjut merah

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI up, w% up, 3 hari FNB, bd acc, closing di MA10, Semoga tembus sih tudei, price action masih belum ok tapi dari rev akumulasi dan indicator model oscillator udah tanda rebound

Financials, Industrials, Healthcare, sisanya melemah

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BBNI HRUM UNTR ADHI APIC BRMS RAJA MBSS

MACD Buy Signal: EMTK INKP UNIC

Alligator Buy Signal: CPIN JPFA

BBNI – 3 white soldiers, stoch buy macd still down, MFI w% sw, BD FF dist, reg bull div OBV confirmed by 2 bull candles, tapi belum sih, masih distribusi gitu mah

Spike terakhir juga spike jual

UNTR – menarik banget dari sisi abis drop gede beres cumdate, tapi belum waktunya belanja, masih distribusi, masih bikin lower low, tunggu MACD deh

MBSS – menarik, tunggu MACD, sekarang masih dist

EMTK – stoch down macd buy 833 buy MFI up w% sw FF 3 hari acc, bd masih tipis2, baru bikin lower low, ada reg bull div confirem by 2 bul candle and MACD, Bisa spec buy half, half tunggu higher low

Spike ok banget

Broker average diatas jauh, aman

INKP – almost perfect, stoch up MACD buy 833 buy, MFI sw w% uptrend, BD FF acc, udah bikin higher low, ada gap, BOW yang belum punya, half candle kemaren, yang punya hold

CPIN – stoch up overbought, macd up, 833 sell, MFI sw, w% keluar uptrend, BD acc FF dist, LR sugest mentok, rejection candle di fibo 23, harusnya koreksi dulu sih, tunggu 833

 

 

May 19th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 jumps nearly 1% Thursday for highest close since August as traders hope for debt ceiling resolution

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite
jumped on Thursday to notch their highest closing levels since August 2022 as Wall Street traders kept focused on debt ceiling negotiations.

Dow……33536 +115.1 +0.34%
Nasdaq12689 +188.3 +1.51%
S&P 500.4198 +39.3 +0.94%

FTSE…..7742 +19.1 +0.25%
Dax……16136 +212.1 +1.33%
CAC……7447 +47.5 +0.64%

Nikkei…..30574 +480.3 +1.60%
HSI………19727 +166.7 +0.85%
Shanghai.3297 +13.1 +0.40%

IDX…..6663.11 closed +0%
LQ45….929.16 closed +0%
IDX30…483.21 closed +0%

IDXEnergy…1861.12 closed +0%
IDX BscMat 1057.80 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1163.04 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.737.86 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1498.75 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…845.14 closed +0%.
IDX Techno..4806.25 closed +0%
IDX Transp..1814.77 closed +0%
IDX Infrast…..818.01 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1359.83 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1123.43 closed +0%
IDX Property…..722 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.5023👍 closed +0%
ICBI….361.5184👍 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.2602 +0.0999 +2.40%‼
US5Yr 3.5882 +0.0996 +2.78%‼
US10Yr3.5700 +0.029 +0.82%
US30Yr.3.8600 +0.0020 +0.05%
VIX……16.05👍 -0.82 -4.86%

USDIndx103.5840‼ +0.7020 +0.68%
Como Indx.261.66 -0.62 -0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…144.26 -2.12 -1.45%

IndoCDS.97.43 -0.03 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/05)

IDR…..14868.50 closed +0%
Jisdor.14875.00 closed +0%

Euro……1.0776‼ -0.0065 -0.60%

TLKM..26.88 -0.06 -0.22%
(3998)
EIDO….23.45 -0.07 -0.30%
EEM…..38.95 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil……72.06 -0.54 -0.74%
Gold…1979.90 -5.70 -0.29%
Timah..24802.00 +278 +1.13%
(Closed 17/05)
Nickel..20932.50 -586.00 -2.72%‼
(Closed 18/05)
Silver……23.69 -0.24 -1.00%
Copper…370.00 -4.80 -1.28%
Iron Ore 62% 107.38 +0.54 +0.51%
(17/05)
Nturl Gas.2.605 +0.230 +9.68%‼

Coal price.159.35 -5.90 -3.57%‼
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.00 -10.70 -6.50%‼
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.00 -10.95 -6.64%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.156.00 -10.50 -6.31%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.90 -1.60 -1.35%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.85 -3.20 -3.08%‼
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….98.05 -4.35 -4.25%‼
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…97.65 -4.70 -4.59%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)…3395 -36.00 -1.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..555.25 -6.25 -1.11%
SoybeanOil47.29 +0.08 +1.90%
Wheat….611.75 -13.75 -2.20%

Wood pulp..4060.00 +20 +0.50%
(Closed 18/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US kemaren ga close, ijo malah, Europe juga, asia juga, Semoga hari ini IHSG juga mantul jadi ijo tebel

USD deposit rate naik lagi, USD index jai naik, precious metals turun deh, Gold Silver Copper turun, nikel turun, Timah iron ore naik. Gas naik tinggi banget, coal drop lagi, CPO lanjut merah. PGAS ini lama ga jalan jalan, gas naik tinggi Semoga mulai mantul

IHSG – technical belum ok, cuma bahwa ga bikin lower low, stochastic oversold, foreign udah ngebalik acc, yuk mantul yuk…

Hati hati property, transportation, consumer cyclicals, technology, kalo baru mau entry focus Financials, Healthcare, Industrials aja

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII BBRI CPIN ADMR HMSP RAJA WSKT

JSMR MACD H4 buy, big accum, menarik diliat juga

MACD Buy SIgnal: ESSA MIKA UNIC LTLS EKAD

Alligator Buy Signal: ARTO MNCN SMDR