December 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower, falls for a second straight week as recession fears grow

Stocks dropped Friday, building on their year-end sell-off, as fears grow over a recession taking place as the Federal Reserve continues raising rates.

Dow…….32920 -281.8    -0.85%
Nasdaq.10705 -105.1    -0.97%
S&P 500..3852  -43.4     -1.11%

FTSE…….7332   -94.1     -1.27%
Dax……..13893  -93.2     -0.67%
CAC……..6453   -70.1.    -1.08%

Nikkei….27527  -524.6    -1.87%
HSI……..19451  +82.1     +0.42%
Shanghai..3168  -0.8       -0.02%
ST Times..3241  -32.9     -1.01%

IDX…….6812.19  +60.33  +0.89%
LQ45……951.18  +8.82    +0.94%

IDX Energy..2159.47  +18.93  +0.88%
IDX BscMat 1267.52 +19.13  +1.53%
IDX Indstrl…1177.78  -0.18     -0.02%
IDXNONCYC..727.71 +2.10    +0.29%
IDX Hlthcare.1557.43+10.71  +0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…..841.61  -8.18     -0.96%
IDX Techno..5222.58  -2.91     -0.06%
IDX Transp…1702.99  -8.51     -0.50%
IDX Infrast……845.42 +0.44    +0.05%
IDX Finance 1451.34 +13.21  +0.92%
IDX Banking 1180.04 +19.09  +1.64%
IDX Property….705       -5.60    -0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.9946  -0.0231  -0.33%👍
ICBI….343.8874 +0.2873  +0.08%👍
US10Yr..3.4820  +0.0320  +0.93%
VIX……22.62       -0.21       -0.92%👍

USDIndx.104.7010 +0.0930 +0.09%
Como Indx.271.38   -3.34    -1.22%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.48   -1.61    -0.98%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15598.00 -21.00  -0.13%
Jisdor..15617.00 -13.00  -0.08%

Euro……1.0586  -0.0039 -0.37%

TLKM…….23.17     -0.02    -0.09%
(3618)
EIDO……….22.77   +0.36   +1.61%
EEM……….37.83    +0.11   +0.29%

Oil………….74.29    -1.82    -2.39%
Gold …..1800.20   +12.40  +0.69%
Timah…..23535      -65          -0.28%
(Closed 16/12)
Nickel…28466.50  +170.00  +0.60%
(Closed 16/12)
Silver………23.33   +0.02   +0.10%
Copper…376.15    -0.15     -0.04%

Nturl Gas..6.611   -0.265  -3.85%‼️

Ammonia..4756.67  -33.33    -0.70%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/12)

Coal price….403.00   +1.10   +0.27%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00   -4.55    -1.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00   -4.80    -1.33%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…234.20   -5.80     -2.42%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…205.65  -12.95  -5.92%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…205.70  -13.60  -6.20%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3917   +23   +0.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.00  -0.50    -0.08%
SoybeanOil.62.46     -0.52    -0.83%
Wheat………753.50    -3.75   -0.50%

Wood pulp…6510.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 18/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US closing lanjut merah, Europe juga, Asia pada merah kecuali HSI sama IHSG. Malah IHSG naik tinggi. Semoga bisa lanjut hari ini ijonya

Metal2 pada naik kecuali timah sama copper, Oil Gas turun, Coal spot naik, future turun, CPO naik. Saham coal masih bisa diharapkan lanjut naik, paling ketahan kalo index mau merah dulu

IHSG – stoch buy, MACD revup, MFI up, BD akum, masih FNS, reg bull div mulai jalan, udah confirmed buy 2 bull candle, belum tembus MA10 sama belum MACD buy signal tapi. LR mantul, semoga lanjut rally ke atas…

Basic Materials, Financials sama Technology… Basic materials layak dicermati, ANTM release lapkeu bagus, harga metal pada naik, kita tunggu buy signal. Financials semoga dorong rally index

Stoch buy signal: AMRT BBNI INCO ITMG UNTR UNVR HEAL

MACD Buy signal: ARTO sama ada sektor energy juga, semoga firm rally lagi

December 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on cooler inflation report, notch second day of gains

Stocks rose Tuesday after the release of new U.S. inflation data, while traders awaited a key Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….34109 +103.6 +0.30%
Nasdaq.11257 +113.1 +1.01%
S&P 500..4020 +29.1 +0.73%

FTSE…….7503 +56.9 +0.72%
Dax……..14498 +191.3 +1.34%
CAC……..6745 +94.4 +1.42%

Nikkei….27955 +112.5 +0.40%
HSI……..19596 +132.6 +0.68%
Shanghai..3176 -2.7. -0.09%
ST Times..3271 +31.6 +0.98%

IDX…….6810.32 +75.86 +1.13%
LQ45……952.79 +14.05 +1.50%

IDX Energy..2127.07 +1.43 +0.07%
IDX BscMat 1251.21 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1174.98 +4.96 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..728.83 +0.81 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1538.08 -2.34 -0.15%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.99 +8.52 +1.00%
*IDX Techno..5290.98 +219.79 +4.33%‼️*
IDX Transp…1716.50 +4.51 +0.26%
IDX Infrast……848.81 -4.10 -0.48%
IDX Finance 1456.46 +23.77 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1177.89 +21.68 +1.88%
IDX Property….707 -6.40 -0.89%

*Indo10Yr…7.0236 -0.0173 -0.25%*
*ICBI…….343.1406 -0.0539 -0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.5010 -0.1100 -3.05%*
*VIX……22.55 -2.45 -9.80%*

*USDIndx..104.0020 -1.0340 -0.98%👍*
*Como Indx.275.03 +5.66 +2.10%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.96 -0.05 -0.03%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15657.00 +29.50 +0.19%*
*Jisdor..15661.00 +19.00 +0.12%*

*Euro……1.0632 +0.0095 +0.90%*

TLKM……..23.74 +0.15 +0.64%
*(3718)*
EIDO……….22.96 +0.43 +1.92%
EEM……….38.59 +0.27 +0.72%

*Oil………..75.39 +2.22 +3.03%‼️*
*Gold …..1825.50 +33.20 +1.85%*
Timah…..23950 -340 -1.40%
*(Closed 12/12)*
*Nickel…28292.00 -1011.50 -3.45%‼️*
*(Closed 13/12)*
*Silver………23.99 +0.59 +2.51%*
Copper….384.20 +4.15 +1.09%

*Nturl Gas…..6.965 +0.441 +6.75%‼️*

Ammonia..4856.67 -33.33 -0.68%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(12/12)

Coal price….404.25 +4.25 +1.06%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….377.65 +4.65 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.65 +2.40 +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….247.00 -3.25 -1.30%
(Des/Rotterdam)
‘Coal price….234.55 -0.70 -0.30%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….235.10 -2.30 -0.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3887 +146 +3.90%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.50 -0.50 -0.08%
*SoybeanOil.63.37 +1.90 +3.09%*
Wheat………750.75 -4.00 -4.00%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo, asia kemaren kebanyakan ijo, semoga IHSG hari ini lanjut rally…

Oil naik tinggi, gas naik tinggi, coal naik ke 404, energy lanjut… Gold Silver Copper naik (USD index turun), timah nikel turun. CPO naik tinggi. MDAK ANTM perlu dicermati, AALI LSIP semoga mulai bullish, CPO nya semoga ga bolak balik ngedrop

IHSG – Regular Bullish Divergence RSI

Ada juga reg bull div di MACD

IHSG – masih NFS, tapi BD udah akum, stoch almost buy, freq analyzer ga ada spike, tapi secara umum naik, berarti transaksi lebih banyak yang nilainya besar, kemaren ada vol spike dari transaksi GOTO, belum bisa mewakili index, divergence RSI dan MACD biasanya kuat, harusnya jalan wave 3 ini, yang sebelumnya tertunda

Bagusnya: Financials bangun, jeleknya, yang leading keliatan cape: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Energy, keliatannya kalo property sama consumer non-cyclicals udahan dulu, energy yang lanjut, mungkin nanti ditemenin sama basic materials dan infrastructure yang banyak BUMN perlu windress

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII GOTO TLKM TPIA ACES DSNG TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN AKRA

December 05th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq end Friday lower after November jobs report; indexes notch weekly gains

Stocks cut much of their earlier losses Friday as investors looked past hotter-than-expected labor data to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.

Dow…….34430   +34.9      +0.10%
Nasdaq.11462   -20.95     -0.18%
S&P 500..4072   -4.9         -0.12%

FTSE…….7556   -2.3         -0.03%
Dax……..14529  +39.1      +0.27%
CAC……..6742   -11.7        -0.17%

Nikkei….27778    -448.2     -1.59%
HSI……..18675    -61.1        -0.33%
Shanghai..3156  -9.3          -0.29%
ST Times..3259  -33.6       -1.02%

IDX…….7019.64   -1.16.    -0.02%
LQ45……989.59   -6.37     -0.64%

IDX Energy..2134.91   +31.84 +1.54%
IDX BscMat 1289.58   -2.01    -0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1238.23   -22.24  -1.76%
IDXNONCYC..741.67  +0.63   +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1530.80 +0.48   +0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.48  +1.01   +0.11%
IDX Techno….5737.08 -72.30  -1.24%
IDX Transp…1793.62   -3.23    -0.18%
IDX Infrast……894.70  +1.45   +0.16%
IDX Finance 1480.37   -6.78    -0.46%,
IDX Banking 1204.01   -6.04    -0.50%
IDX Property….719       -0.30    -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.0064  -0.0329  -0.47%👍
ICBI……..344.0600 +0.6140 +0.18%👍
US10Yr..3.5060   -0.0230   -0.65%👍
VIX……19.06       -0.78        -3.93%👍

USDIndx..104.5450  -0.1710  -0.16%👍
Como Indx..276.69  -2.77      -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.17  +3.30     +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15425.50  -137.00   -0.88%👍
Jisdor..15429.00  -188.00   -1.20%👍

Euro……..1.0538  +0.0013  +0.12%

TLKM……..25.62  +0.24     +0.95%👍
(3953)
EIDO………23.98   unch      +0%
EEM……….39.54  +0.15     +0.38%

Oil………….79.98    -1.24      -1.53%
Gold ……1809.60  -5.60      -0.31%
Timah…..22921    -76.00    -0.33%
(Closed 02/12)
Nickel…27454.00 +624.50   +2.27%
(Closed 02/12)
Silver………23.25    +0.41      +1.79%
Copper….385.05    +3.30      +0.86%

Nturl Gas…..6.222   -0.612     -8.96%‼

Ammonia..4740.00  +50.00  +1.07%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(30/11)

Coal price….391.00   +6.00   +1.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….385.00  +9.00   +2.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.85  +9.10   +2.48%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00   +1.00    +0.38%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….271.30   +2.30    +0.86%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….268.70   +2.00    +0.75%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3958   -123    -3.01%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….646.25  -14.25   -2.16%
SoybeanOil…64.44    -1.34      -2.04%
Wheat………761.00   -22.00    -2.81%

Wood pulp…6580.00  unch   +0%
(Closed 04/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional jum’at closing tipis2 di US dan Europe, asia minus… masih sideways

Oil Gas turun lagi, Coal lanjut naik, metal2 ga kompak, gold lead turun, nickel silver copper naik. Primadonanya saham saham batubara, ANTM sama INCO kalo gini

CPO drop lagi, masih suram ini…

IHSG – masih sideways aja, tapi lagi net sell foreign nya, hati hati… Kita pantau lagi infobank15

Infobank15 – bearish divergence confirmed by 2 bear candle, hadeuh… LR masih ok,, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI masih UP, urusannya sama FNS ini makanya ga jalan, sabar sabar, window dressing is coming… Jangan aggressive dulu

Banyak yang cacing RSI nya leading, tapi financials belum… Energy Property Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.