Daily Analysis 20221006

Daily Analysis 20221006

Global update:

October 06th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday as Wall Street failed to hold on to the sharp gains from the last two sessions.

Dow…….30274 -42.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq.11149 -27.8 -0.25%
S&P 500..3783 -7.7 -0.20%

FTSE…….7053 -33.8 -0.48%
Dax……..12517 -153.3 -1.21%
CAC……..5985 -54.2 -0.90%

Nikkei….27121 +128.3 +0.48%
HSI……..18088 +1008.5 +5.90%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3153 +14.3 +0.46%

IDX…….7075.38 +3.13 +0.04%
LQ45…1011.63 -3.01 -0.30%

IDX Energy…2009.46 +14.83 +0.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1259.15 +5.42 +0.43%
IDX Industrl..1296.07 -2.27 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.81 +10.03 +0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.99 +12.51 +1.47%
IDX Techno..7059.25 +127.05 +1.83%
IDX Transp…1850.28 +50.29 +2.79%
IDX Infrast…….980.34 -1.88 -0.19%
IDX Finance 1488.36 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1156.08 -3.70 -0.32%
IDX Property….692 +1.70 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.3341 -0.0440 -0.60%
ICBI……..334.7527 +0.9199 +0.28%
US10Yr……3.7590 +0.1420 +3.93%
VIX……….28.55 -0.52 -1.79%

USDIndx 111.2080 +1.0090 +0.92%
Como Indx..281.89 +1.46 +0.52%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.69 +1.04 +0.70%
.
IndoCDS 149.31 +6.93 +4.87%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15192.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼
Jisdor..15196.00 -80.00 -0.52%‼

Euro……..0.9884 -0.0100 -1.00%‼

TLKM……..29.07 -0.29 -0.99%
(4417)
EIDO………23.67 -0.38 -1.58%
EEM………36.63 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil…………87.76 +1.24 +1.43%
Gold ……1720.80 -9.60 -0.55%
Timah….20207 +148.00 +0.74%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel…22630.00 +659.00 +2.99%
(Closed 05/10)
Silver…….20.54 -0.56 -2.63%
Copper….350.05 +1.05 +0.30%

Nturl Gas…..6.925 +0.100 +1.47%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….396.25 -7.75 -1.92%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 -4.25 -1.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.50 -3.50 -0.86%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….294.35 -6.65 -2.21%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.75 -8.80 -2.94%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….288.25 -9.70 -3.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3640 +25 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………684.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil….65.54 +0.52″ +0.80%
Wheat……..902.00 -1.00 -0.11%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe merah… Asia masih kebawa US ijo tebel kemaren

Oil Nickel CPO lanjut naik, gold coal silver turun. Waspada koreksi coal… price newcastle dibawah 400

Masih predict market turun dulu tutup gap, karena sektor masih pada lesu, banking juga belum firm jalan

Yang bagus cuma energy, transportation jarang big caps, rada resiko…

Infobank15 – Stoch udah buy, MACD masih down, volume kecil banget, tanda2 pada wait and see, bandar flat setelah exit, foreign inside tapi lagi diem juga, MFI SW, memang masih jadwal wave 3 tapi false break di IHNS pattern, DMI belum jadi buy signal, masih belum firm mau nganter index ke atas. So, masih jangan aggressive belanja dulu

Daily Analysis 20220919

Daily Analysis 20220919

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya

Daily Analysis 20220916

Daily Analysis 20220916

Global update:

September 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq drops more than 1% as market comeback stumbles, Dow closes at lowest level in two months

U.S. stocks dropped in choppy trading on Thursday as investors mulled over several economic reports that showed a muddy picture of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….30962 -173.3 -0.56%
Nasdaq.11552 -167.3 -1.43%
S&P 500..3901 -44.7 -1.13%

FTSE…….7282 +4.8 +0.07%
Dax……..12957 -71.3 -0.55%
CAC……..6158 -64.6 -1.04%

Nikkei….27876 +57.3 +0.21%
HSI……..18930 +83.3 +0.44%
Shanghai..3200 -37.6 -1.16%
ST Times..3268 +9,96 +0.31%

IDX…….7305.60 +39.94 +0.38%
LQ45…1041.04 +6.52 +0.53%

IDX Energy..2079.26 -1.67 -0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1303.30 -14.90 -1.13%
IDX Industrl..1385.43 +9.87 +0.72%
IDXNONCYC..706.15 +0.92 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.78 +2.44 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 +3.01 +0.34%
IDX Techno..7519.08 -87.50 -1.15%
IDX Transp…1917.18 -10.38 -0.54%
IDX Infrast…..1030.79 -1.41 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1541.72 +14.89 +0.98%
IDX Banking..1200.51 +17.04 +1.44%
IDX Property…745 +15.60 +2.14%‼️

Indo10Yr….7.2068 +0.0176 +0.24%
ICBI……..336.3188 -0.1789 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.4590 +0.0470 +1.38%
VIX……….26.27 +0.11 +0.42%

USDIndx 109.7390 +0.0810 +0.07%
Como Indx..281.00 -5.33 -1.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.00 -1.84 -1.19%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14897.50 -10.00 -0.07%
Jisdor..14899.00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro……..0.9994 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..29.80 -0.09 -0.30%
(4440)
EIDO………24.75 +0.08 +0.32%
EEM………38.14 -0.41 -1.06%

Oil…………..84.73 -4.15 -4.67%‼️
Gold ……..1671.70 -35.10 -2.06%‼️
Timah. .21177.00 -203.00 -0.95%
( Closed 14/9)
Nickel…23304.00 -1029.00 -4.86%‼️
(Closed 15/9)
Silver…….19.06 -0.54 -2.76%‼️
Copper….346.70 -5.00 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..8.292 -0.789 -8.69%‼️

Ammonia..4190.00 +33.33 +0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….445.50 +1.30 +0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 -1.20 -0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.50 +0.35 +0.08%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.20 +1.20 +0.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….318.00 -1.50 -0.47%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…318.00 -3.00 -0.93%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3744 -114 -2.95%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 -4.75 -0.70%
SoybeanOil…64.30 -0.57 -0.88%
Wheat……..845.00 -27.25 -3.12%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe mostly merah, asia ijo kecuali shanghai, masih ngikutin sisa ijonya US di hari sebelumnya. IHSG kebawa sentimen big banks laporan keuangannya bagus berhasil bikin new record high, walaupun sebetulnya belum ada pemulihan ekonomi yang signifikan. Semoga bukan hanya euforia sesaat terus dibanting dalem tutup gap

Oil dan natural gas drop lagi, metals turun semua, coal naik cpo turun – not a good sign… Kemarin nikel emas timah ada kenaikan dan sector rotation nya pas ke basic materials, diharapkan ANTM INCO TINS MDKA naik lagi, sekarang turun semoga koreksinya tidak terlalu dalam

Kemaren IHSG tembus level previous all time high di 7355, high kemaren di 7371. Opening gap up, jadi memang rawan koreksi hari ini, walau harapan euforia nya semoga nahan untuk tidak langsung koreksi wave 2. Tapi, secara teknikal begitu bikin new record high IHSG juga langsung ada bearish divergence di MACD line dan MACD histogram. Kalau hari ini closing merah, besok closing merah lagi, besar kemungkinan akan drop jauh, firm bearish divergence nya. Per sekarang MACD signal sell nongol, ini yang kemaren saya takutkan,jebakan teknikal, banyak orang yang nunggu untuk re-entry di MACD buy signal, kemaren buy signal sekarang ngebalik, kalo ga ada perubahan bakal banyak nyangkuters yang kena jebakan teknikal ini, persis tahun kemarin

19 Maret 2021 kejadiannya

IHSG – Foreign masih entry, bandar lokal distribusi, stoch sama MACD ngebalik sell lagi, MFI masih up. Kurang kuat euforia break ATH nya nih, WNS tunggu besok harga kemana

Yang firm tinggal property, yang lain melemah cacing RSI nya

Rotationnya seringnya begitu sih, abis bank terus property…

Daily Analysis 20220914

Daily Analysis 20220914

Global update:

September 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,200 points for worst day since June 2020 after hot inflation report

Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a key August inflation report came in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.

Dow…….31105 -1276.4 -3.94%‼️
Nasdaq.11634 -632.8 -5.16%‼️
S&P 500..3932 -177.7 -4.32%‼️

FTSE…….7386 -87.2 -1.17%
Dax……..13189 -213.2 -1.59%
CAC……..6246 -87.9 -1.39%

Nikkei….28615 +72.5 +0.25%
HSI……..19327 -35.4 -0.18%
Shanghai..3264 +1.7 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7318.02 +63.56 +0.88%
LQ45…1042.64 +9.85 +0.95%

IDX Energy..2063.78 +16.76 +0.82%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.42 -5.20 -0.39%
IDX Industrl..1390.40 +18.58 +1.35%
IDXNONCYC..703.79 +4.24 +0.61%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.26 +9.86: +0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.78 -1.86 -0.21%
IDX Techno..7647.98 -45.90 -0.60%
IDX Transp…1927.02 +42.22 +2.24%
IDX Infrast…..1034.62 +6.15 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1536.62 +28.20 +1.87%
IDX Banking..1193.06 +23.02 +1.97%
IDX Property…734 +7.80 +1.08%

Indo10Yr….7.1745 -0.0089 -0.12%
ICBI……..336.7872 +0.2684 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.4220 +0.0600 +1.78%
VIX……….27.27 +3.40 +14.24%‼️

USDIndx 109.8150 +1.4850 +1.37%
Como Indx..285.77 -1.85 -0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.12 -0.37 -0.24%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14851.50 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor..14861.00 +22.00 +0.15%

Euro……..0.9970 -0.0152 -1.50%

TLKM……..29.58 -0.88 -2.89%‼️
(4396)
EIDO………24.33 -0.26 -1.06%
EEM………38.36 -1.22 -3.08%‼️

Oil…………..87.71 -0.28 -0.32%
Gold ……..1712.70 -23.50 -1.35%
Timah. .21461.00 +296.00 +1.40%
( Closed 12/9)
Nickel…24142.50 -307.50 -1.26%
(Closed 13/9)
Silver…….19.29 -0.52 -2.62%
Copper….353.10 -8.45 -2.34%

Nturl Gas…..8.398 -0.011 -0.13%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/9)

Coal price….439.35 +1.85 +0.42%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.65 +1.15 +0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.00 +4.00 +0.96%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 +7.00 +2.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.50 +10.00 +3.28%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.75 +9.50 +3.11%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3900 +218 +5.92%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.75 -3.25 -0.47%
SoybeanOil…66.73 +0.24 +0.36%
Wheat……..860.50 +1.75 +0.20%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop dalem banget, Eropa ikut merah tapi ga terlalu dalem, mungkin sentimen negatif keluar ga lama marketnya tutup. Asia masih pada ijo sisa sentimen hari sebelumnya, cuma hangseng yang merah

Ini worst fear saya, diangkat sampe seolah-olah mau bikin record high, terus dibanting dalem pas saat semua orang lagi greed. Secara technical, jebakan technical persis kaya gini ada di tahun kemaren, pas keluar MACD buy signal pas index dibawa turun lagi

 

Kemungkinan besar akan dibanting dulu, semoga ga semua sektor dibawa kebawah

IHSG – technically relatif bagus. Memang dari kemarin kemarin sudah dikhawatirkan akan drop bikin Wave 2, cuma belum start aja, karena finance LK pada bagus dan bikin new record high BBCA BMRI, otomatis index keangkat. Ada regular Bearsih Divergence MACD dan ada 3 gap di bawah dan stochastic siap sell yang mendukung koreksi. kalo masih ada profit dan sempet exit bagusnya exit dulu

Yang mungkin contrarian sama index di Basic Materials sama Property, tapi tetep kalo sentimen awal pasti ikut keseret kebawah. Industrials cacingnya masih up aja, tapi udah wave 5 dan ada sentimen negatif kayanya udahan dulu. Financials ga usah dibahas, pasti ngikut index

Daily Analysis 20220912

Daily Analysis 20220912

Global update:

September 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points higher, stocks snap 3-week Fed-induced slide

U.S. stocks rallied Friday as Wall Street caps off a strong weekly performance, recovering from a Federal Reserve-induced slump.

Dow…….32152 +377.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq.12112 +250.2 +2.11%
S&P 500..4067 +61.2 +1.53%

FTSE…….7351 +89.0 +1.23%
Dax……..13088 +183.9 +1.43%
CAC……..6212 +86.4 +1.41%

Nikkei….28215 +149.5 +0.53%
HSI……..19362 +507.6 +2.69%
Shanghai..3262 +26.5 +0.82%
ST Times..3263 +29.3 +0.91%

IDX…….7242.66 +10.64 +0.15%
LQ45…1032.00 +3.94 +0.38%

IDX Energy..2010.73 -6.01 -0.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1336.80 -0.33 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1365.38 -0.45 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..696.95 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Hlthcare.1437.62 +12.35 +0.87%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 -3.78 -0.43%
IDX Techno..7637.19 -19.58 -0.26%
IDX Transp…1903.27 -9.73 -0.51%
IDX Infrast…..1034.61 -3.05 -0.29%
IDX Finance 1513.59 -2.68 -0.18%
IDX Banking..1172.54 +2.41 +0.21%
IDX Property…713 +5.20 +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.1959 -0.0104 -0.15%
ICBI……..335.9986 +0.2725 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.3210 +0.0290 +0.88%
VIX…………22.79 -0.82 -3.47%

USDIndx 109.0030 -0.6540 -0.60%
Como Indx..284.12 +5.81 +2.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.36 +3.14 +2.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14830.00 -70.50 -0.47%
Jisdor..14846.00 -59.00 -0.40%

Euro……..1.0042 +0.0043 +0.43%

TLKM……..30.44 +0.13 +0.43%
(4519)
EIDO………24.37 +0.15 +0.62%
EEM………39.00 +0.57 +1.48%

Oil…………..86.79 +3.25 +3.89%‼
Gold ……..1728.60 +8.40 +0.49%
Timah. .20851.00 -355.00 -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…23032.00 +1161.00 +5.31%‼
(Closed 09/9)
Silver…….18.77 +0.33 +1.76%
Copper….356.80 +4.10 +1.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.038 +0.072 +0.90%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….435.25 -5.10 -1.16%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….430.60 -3.50 -0.81%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….421.25 -2.00 -0.47%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.00 -4.00 -1.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….320.00 -11.50 -3.47%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50 -17.35 -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3595 +53 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..685.00 +16.50 +2.47%
SoybeanOil…64.82 +1.59 +2.51%
Wheat……..869.50 +40.50 +4.89%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing semua regional index ijo… Tapi global crisis belum beres

Kita liat chart nya DJI deh

DJI – stoch buy, macd almost buy, alligator sw, supertrend down, 3 white soldiers, ga up jum’at, bullish divergence dan hidden bullish divergence confirmed by MA10, EMA 9-21 baru death cross, price masih dibawah EMA 50. Mungkin hanya technical rebound, karena issue nya belum bener2 solved

Kalo liat ini sih getting ready untuk wave 3…

Sepertinya akan koreksi dulu tutup gap, konsolidasi, baru setelah MA nya firm mulai jalan wave 3

Harga komoditas terkait energy drop, oil sama coal, udah pas lah bawa energy ABC correction dulu. Natural Gas ijo tapi ga terlalu tebel

Gold silver copper naik, pas buat MDKA, nikel naik tinggi, cocok buat ANTM INCO, tin turun tapi. CPO naik, semoga panjang biar AALI LSIP bisa rebound

IHSG – MADC nya masih sideways, belum berhasil cross, selama masih belum bikin new record high masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun bikin wave 2 dulu

IHSG – foreign masih masuk terus, diluar itu sih keliatan mentok mau ke atas…

Basic Materials, Industrials, yang lain belum

Property udah mulai gerak tapi di RSI quadrant belum keliatan

Daily Analysis 20220909

Daily Analysis 20220909

Global Update:

September 09th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes almost 200 points higher as investors weigh future interest rate hikes

Stocks rose Thursday after moving between gains and losses as Wall Street weighed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the central bank continuing to fight inflation.

Dow…….31775   +193.2    +0.61%
Nasdaq.11862   +70.2      +0.50%
S&P 500..4006   +26.3      +0.66%

FTSE…….7262   +24.2     +0.33%
Dax……..12904   -11.7      -0.09%
CAC……..6126   +19.98   +0.33%

Nikkei….28065    +634.98 +2.31%
HSI……..18855     -189.7    -1.00%
Shanghai..3236    -10.7      -0.33%
ST Times..3234   +22.8     +0.71%

IDX…….7232.02  +45.26  +0.63%
LQ45…1028.06   +8.39    +0.82%

IDX Energy..2016.74    -26.96   -1.32%
IDX Bsc Mat.1337.13  +26.04   +1.99%
IDX Industrl..1365.83   -5.99     -0.44%
IDXNONCYC..696.86    -5.91     -0.84%
IDX Hlthcare.1425.27  +6.12     +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.93   +6.35     +0.72%
IDX Techno..7656.76   +130.25 +1.73%
IDX Transp…1913.00   -10.01    -0.52%
IDX Infrast…..1037.66  +10.85  +1.06%
IDX Finance 1516.28    +10.63  +0.71%
IDX Banking..1170.13  +15.22  +1.32%
IDX Property…713        +5.20     +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.2063   -0.0044   -0.06%
ICBI……..335.7261   +0.4283  +0.13%
US10Yr……3.2920   +0.0270  +0.83%
VIX…………23.61      -1.03       -4.18%

USDIndx 109.6570  +0.095  +0.09%
Como Indx..278.31  +1.79   +0.65%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.21  +2.16    +1.47%
.
IndoCDS…122.88     –                -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14905.50  -17.00   -0.11%
Jisdor..14905.00  -22.00   -0.15%

Euro……..0.9999  -0.0091  -0.90%

TLKM……..30.31  +0.21      +0.70%
(4518)
EIDO………24.22   +0.17      +0.71%
EEM………38.43    -0.21        -0.54%

Oil…………..83.54   +1.60      +1.95%
Gold ……..1720.20   -7.60    -0.44%
Timah. .20851.00   -355.00   -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…21871.00   +256.50  +1.19%
(Closed 08/9)
Silver…….18.44      +0.18     +0.99%
Copper….352.70    +9.65     +2.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.966  +0.11    +1.40%

Ammonia..4133.33  +33.33  +0.81%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/9)

Coal price….440.35   +1.35   +0.30%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.10   -0.60    -0.14%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.25   -0.45    -0.11%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….341.00  -34.00   -9.07%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.50  -26.50   -7.40%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50  -14.80   -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3542  -162     -4.37%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..668.50   -2.50     -0.37%
SoybeanOil…63.23  +1.13   +1.82%
Wheat……..829.00   -15.25   -1.81%

Wood pulp…6750.00  +10   +0.15%
(Closed 08/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Us lanjut ijo lagi, Europe mayoritas ijo, asia varied, tapi mostly ijo atau merah tipis kecuali hangseng

Oil gas coal mantul abis kemaren merah, gold tin merah, nickel silver copper ijo,lebih nungguin nickel sih, rombongan issue batere lebih terpengaruh nickel. CPO drop lagi, waks tambah lama lagi rencana mau beli LSIP ini mah

Belum mau dibawa turun wave 2, masih nahan terus, plus US kemaren ijo jadi stimulus. MACD belum cross up dan belum break high juga , masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun dulu wave 2

IHSG – stoch rev down, 833 sell, macd down, bandar distribusi (ini bahaya ini, harga diangkat bandar exit, profit taking berarti), foreign masih masuk terus, LR channel lagi melebar, karena price stay disitu terus, deviasi dari mean jadi ikut melebar. Koq kayanya hari ini malah start turunnya… WNS lah, kalo bikin ATH ya ikut belanja lagi

Energy melemah, Financials, Basic Materials, Industrials sama Property kalo liat buy signal kemaren