March 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower, posts worst week since June as Silicon Valley Bank collapse sparks selloff

Stocks tumbled Friday as tech-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank shut down following losses in its bond portfolio, prompting the biggest bank failure since the global financial crisis and sending shockwaves through the banking sector.

Dow……31910 -345.2 -1.07%
Nasdaq11139 -199.5 -1.76%
S&P 500.3862 -56.8 -1.45%

FTSE…….7748 -131.6 -1.67%
Dax……..15428 -205.2 -1.31%
CAC……..7221 -95.2 -1.30%

Nikkei…..28144 -479.2 -1.67%
HSI……..19320 -605.8 -3.04%‼️
Shanghai.3230 -46.02 -1.40%

IDX…..6765.30 -34.49 -0.51%
LQ45….937.14 -5.75 -0.61%
IDX30…487.68 -3.61 -0.73%

IDXEnergy…2050.29 -10.55 -0.51%
IDX BscMat 1177.07 -1.75 -0.15%
IDX Indstrl..1170.18 -6.01 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..727.65 -1.25 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1544.07 -3.04 -0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…829.95 -4.46 -0.53%
IDX Techno.5358.07 -72.43 -1.33%
IDX Transp.1814.30 -26.98 -1.47%
IDX Infrast….831.78 -4.62 -0.55%
IDX Finance1393.63 -9.78 -0.70%
IDX Banking1132.84 -9.79 -0.86%
IDX Property….681 -2.50 -0.37%

Indo10Yr.6.9713 -0.0182 -0.26%
ICBI….349.0598 +0.4047 +0.12%
US2Yr4.5925 -0.0045 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.9700.-0.0170 -0.43%
US10Yr3.7040 -0.0090-0.26%
US30Yr.3.7120 -0.012 -0.32%
VIX…… 24.80 +2.19 +9.69%‼️

USDIndx104.5760 -0.6790 -0.65%‼️
Como Indx.264.99 +0.34 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.28 -1.38 -0.88%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15450.00‼️ +17.50 +0.11%
Jisdor.15468.00‼️ +30.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0643 +0.00630 +0.60%

TLKM….25.99 +0.32 +1.25%
(4020)
EIDO……22.11 -0.09 -0.41%
EEM……37.84 -0.20 -0.53%

Oil….76.68 +0.96 +1.27%
Gold1867.20‼️ +32.60 +1.88%
Timah .22912.00 – 439 -1.65%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..22688.00 -577.0 -2.48%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…..20.51 +0.34 +1.69%
Copper.400.05 -0.85 -0.21%

Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.185.24 +5.25 +2.92%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +9.00 +4.89%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.34 +9.25 +4.92%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.50 +5.00 +2.55%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.00 +8.25 +6.51%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.00 +8.75 +7.10%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.75 +6.26%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.05 +5.66%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4098 -106 -2.52%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..617.25 +5.75 +0.94%
SoybeanOil.56.61 -0.45 -0.79%
Wheat…..679.25 +13.50 +2.03%

Wood pulp…5690.00 unch +0.18%
(Closed 03/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional closing merah semua, HangSeng paling dalem drop nya. Masih rada suram, tapi ga lama lagi harusnya, bank sudah mulai gerak

OIl up, gas down, coal jump, gold silver ijo, metal2 lain merah, cpo drop lagi. Siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – stochastic and macd still down, 833 buy, BD flalt, NFB udah 2 hari, MFIup, w% sw, udah koreksi ke sekitar fibo 50-61, udah cukup buat mantul, walau jeleknya triangle breakdown…

Financials udah gerak, Property, Technology. Yang kemaren leading Industrials sama Energy melemah

Stoch Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TPIA

MACD buy signal: BBRI TPIA

Alligator Buy Signal: MTEL

March 10th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes 1.8% lower as bank stocks succumb to pressure, Dow sheds more than 500 points

Stocks tumbled Thursday as banks and other financial stocks sold off, and investors braced for a key payroll report Friday that could shape the direction of interest rates.

Dow…..32255 -543.5 -1.66%
Nasdaq11338 -237.7 -2.05%
S&P 500.3918 -73.7 -1.85%

FTSE…….7880 -49.9 -0.63%
Dax……..15633 +1.3 +0.01%
CAC……..7316 -8.9 -0.11%

Nikkei…..28623 +178.96 +0.63%
HSI…….. .19926 -125.5. -0.63%
Shanghai.3276 -7.2 -0.22%

IDX…..6799.79 +23.42 +0.41%
LQ45….942.89 +3.85 +0.41%
IDX30…491.29 +2.03 +0.41%

IDXEnergy…2060.85 +14.48 +0.71%
IDX BscMat 1178.83 +1.23 +0.10%
IDX Indstrl..1176.18 +11.27 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC..728.90 -3.12 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare1547.10 +17.20 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…834.42 +1.12 +0.14%
IDX Techno.5430.51 +7.23 +0.13%
IDX Transp.1841.28 +29.65 +1.64%
IDX Infrast….836.40 +1.03 +0.12%
IDX Finance1403.41 +5.29 +0.38%
IDX Banking1142.63 +9.29 +0.82%
IDX Property….685 -0.00 -0.00%

Indo10Yr.6.9895 +0.0129+0.18%‼️
ICBI….348.6551 -0.0142 -0.00%‼️
US2Yr4.8700 -0.1960 -3.87%‼️
US5Yr 4.1895-0.1470 -3.38%‼️
US10Yr3.9070‼️-0.0690 -1.73%
US30Yr.3.8570‼️-0.0200 -0.53%
VIX…… 22.61 +3.50 +18.32%‼️

USDIndx105.2550-0.4140 -0.39%‼️
Como Indx.264.65 -2.36 -0.88%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.67 -1.07 -0.67%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15432.50‼️ -5.00 -0.03%
Jisdor.15438.00‼️ -13.00. -0.08%

Euro……1.0580 +0.00320 +0.30%

TLKM….25.67 -0.03 -0.12%
(3963)
EIDO……22.20 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM…38.04 -0.86 -2.21%

Oil….75.72 -0.94 -1.23%
Gold1834.60 +16.00 +0.88%
Timah 23742‼️ – 435 -1.80%
(Closed 03/08)
Nickel..23265.00 -648.0 -2.71%
(Closed 03/09)
Silver…..20.17 +0.01 +0.07%
Copper.403.90 +1.20 +0.30%

Nturl Gas.2.492 -0.1010 -3.90%‼️

Ammonia 4406.67 unch _+0%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.180.00 +0.50 +0.28%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.184.00 +1.75 +0.96%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.188.10 +1.90 +1.02%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.50 +3.70 +1.92%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.126.75 +3.40 +2.76%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.25 +5.45 +4.63%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.75 +5.25 +4.43%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.45 +5.15 +4.32%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4204 +23 +0.55%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..611.50 -14.00 -2.24%
SoybeanOil.57.06 -2.02 -3.42%‼️
Wheat……665.75 -21.75 -3.16%‼️

Wood pulp…5700.00 -30 -0.52%
(Closed 03/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem lagi, europe varied, asia juga, IDX kemaren ijo dan gap up, kalo gini bisa jadi dibawa tutup gap dulu

OIl gas lanjut turun, coal lanjut naik, metal2 varied, yang logam mulia ijo, timah nikel merah. Watch bangunnya ANTM sama MDKA

CPO ijo, kita tunggu gerakan emiten CPO

IHSG – kemaren gap up, hati2 bikin tail hari ini, tapi udah 2 hari NFB, harusnya udah mulai ke atas arahnya. Stoch down MACD down, MFI up, 833 buy, w%up, BD masih flat. Tunggu momentumnua, bank bankudah mulai gerak, ga lama lagi index harusnya diangkat

Yup, Financials udah mulai gerak, Industrials masih leading tapi melemah, Energy melemah, Property juga, Technology terlihat mau jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: Banyak banget, ACES BBCA BRIS EMTK EXCL ICBP ITMG TOWR BMTR ERAA LPPF MIKA MYOR MNCN

Sesuai sektor, prioritas liat FInancials dulu, sama yang akumulasi

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI RMKE WIFI

Alligator Buy Signal: ADRO HRUM MTMH

March 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 570 points lower, turns negative for 2023 as Powell ignites higher rate fears

Stocks sold off sharply Tuesday after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that rates may need to go higher for longer, fueling fears of a potentially larger hike at the central bank’s next policy meeting.

Dow…..32856 -574.98 -1.72%
Nasdaq11530 -145.4 -1.25%
S&P 500.3986 -62.1 -1.53%

FTSE…….7919 -10.3 -0.13%
Dax……..15560 -94.1 -0.60%
CAC……..7339 -33.9 -0.46%

Nikkei…..28309 +71.4 +0.25%
HSI……. .20534 -68.7 -0.33%
Shanghai.3285 -36.9 -1.11%

IDX…..6766.77 -40.24 -0.59%
LQ45….935.74 -2.98 -0.32%
IDX30…486.93 -1.93 -0.40%

IDXEnergy…2052.85 -36.18 -1.73%
IDX BscMat 1192.84 -14.75 -1.22%
IDX Indstrl..1171.30 -20.22 -1.70%
IDXNONCYC..731.23 -5.62 -0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1540.19 -5.25 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…841.61 -3.18 -0.38%
IDX Techno.5429.08 -30.68 -0.71%
IDX Transp.1800.08 -50.78 -2.74%
IDX Infrast….832.76 -10.11 -1.20%
IDX Finance1395.89 -9.83 -0.70%
IDX Banking1128.15 -2.30 -0.20%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%

Indo10Yr.6.9517 +0.0191 +0.28%
ICBI….349.1900 -0.1630 -0.05%
US2Yr5.0148‼️+0.1210 +2.47%‼️
US5Yr 4.3150‼️+0.0460 +1.08%
US10Yr3.9700‼️-0.0130 -0.34%
US30Yr.3.8770‼️-0.0350 -0.90%
VIX……. 19.59 +0.98 +5.27%‼️

USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.269.58 -4.01 -1.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.91 -3.34 -2.07%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15367.00 +72.00 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 +58.00 +0.38%‼️

Euro……1.0549 -0.0133 -1.24%

TLKM….25.35 -0.33 -1.28%
(3879)
EIDO……22.11 -0.31 -1.38%
EEM……38.74 -0.66 -1.68%

Oil….77.58 -2.88 -3.58%‼️
Gold…1820.00 -34.60 -1.87%‼️
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24217.00 -295.50 -1.21%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…..20.20 -0.94 -4.43%‼️
Copper.397.50 -11.35 -2.78%

Nturl Gas.2.658 +0.0530 +2.03%

Ammonia 4422.33 +16.66 +0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/06)

Coal price.179.25 -2.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.183.25 -5.50 -2.91%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.50 -4.35 -2.28%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.65 -3.10 -1.58%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.124.50 -1.50 -1.22%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.50 -1.50 -1.29%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.50 +2.50 +2.14%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.00 +3.30 +2.82%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4206 -72 -1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..634.25 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat….698.00 +16.50 +5.08%‼️

Wood pulp…5760.00 -40 -0.69%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua merah kecuali nikkei, US drop dalem. Semoga commodity juga kecuali gas. PGAS jalan? Maybe…

IHSG – stoch ngebalik jadi sell lagi, beneran ini berbahaya… Tapi dari fibonacci retracement lagi di fibo 50, semoga mantul. masih NFS terus, dan BD ga jagain, MFI sw, w% downtrend, triangle breakdown, berhenti belanja dulu bagusnya kecuali saham2 yang firm dipake ganjel index

Industrials Energy Property Technology. Tapi bener2 hati2, harga commodity terkait energy pada turun, Property kayanya yang mendingan

Stoch Buy Signal: ANTM BBNI ICBP SIDO

MACD Buy Signal: DSNG MTEL RAJA

March 02nd 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower to begin March as the 10-year Treasury yield touches 4%

The S&P 500
fell Wednesday, the first day of March, as traders struggled to recover their footing following a losing month and bond yields continued their climb.

Dow…..32662 +5.1 +0.02%
Nasdaq11379 -76.1 -0.66%
S&P 500.3951 -18.8 -0.47%

FTSE…….7915 +38.7 +0.49%
Dax……..15365 -60.1 -0.39%
CAC……..7234 -33.7 -0.46%

Nikkei…..27517 +70.8. +0.26%
HSI…….20620 +833 .8 +4.21%‼️
Shanghai.3312 +32.7 +1.00%

IDX…..6844.94 +1.70 +0.02%
LQ45….945.82 +2.85 +0.30 %
IDX30…492.30 +1.80 +0.37%

IDXEnergy…2093.55 -7.66 -0.36%
IDX BscMat 1239.30 -3.91 -0.31%
IDX Indstrl..1194.42 -4.39 -0.37%
IDXNONCYC..737.00 -5.12 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1556.52 -8.56 -0.55%
IDXCYCLIC…845.58 +0.29 +0.03%
IDX Techno.5417.12 +31.26 +0.58%
IDX Transp..1903.18 -32.84 -1.70%
IDX Infrast….841.76 -2.76 -0.33%
IDX Finance1409.55 +8.30 +0.59%
IDX Banking1134.15 +8.27 +0.73%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0017 +0.02%
ICBI….349.9674 +0.1506 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.2576 +0.0900 +2.15%
US10Yr3.9940 +0.0800 +2.05%
US30Yr.3.9550+0.0250 +0.64%
VIX……. 20.58 -0.12 -0.58%

USDIndx104.3630 -0.5810 -0.55%‼️
Como Indx.272.81 +2.97 +1.10%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….164.54 +3.37 +2.09%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15235.00 -25.50 -0.17%
Jisdor.15250.00 +10.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0668 +0.0089 +0.84%

TLKM….25.88 +0.12 +0.47%
(3947)
EIDO……22.80 -0.11 -0.48%
EEM….39.05 +0.82 +2.14%

Oil…….77.69 +0.90 +1.17%
Gold 1845.40 +8.60 +0.47%
Timah 24963 +515 +2.02%
(Closed 02/28)
Nickel…25131 +208.50 +0.84%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver…….21.10 +0.03 +0.14%
Copper..416.00 +8.65 +2.12%

Nturl Gas.2.811 +0.035 +1.26%

Ammonia 4406.66 -33.00 -0.74%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/28)

Coal price.193.50 +0.65 +0.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.75 +2.65 +1.37%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.25 +2.50 +1.26%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.204.15 +3.65 +1.82%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.85 -2.05 -1.41%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 143.55 -2.05 -1.41%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.40 -1.40 -0.95%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.60 -0.60 -0.41%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4188 +52 +1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..635.75 +5.50 +0.87%
SoybeanOil..60.83 +0.73 +1.32%
Wheat……710.00 +4.50 +0.64%

Wood pulp…5850.00 -80 -135%
(Closed 03/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq merah, europe varied, asia ijo, Hangseng ijo tebel

Kemaren IHSG ijo tipis, keliatannya market akan mulai naik hari ini, di beberapa bank sudah keliatan buy signal technical. Oil gas naik, coal NCF naik, Rotterdam turun, metal2 naik semua, CPO naik lagi, seems ok semua sih. Kayanya finally MDKA akan nongol buy signal today. ANTM INCO dkk juga layak diliat. AALI LSIP kita tunggu lagi keluar buy signalnya, kemaren baru sell, signal ngebalik

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd still down, 833 sw, mfi w% sw, bd flat, masih FNS, masih sideways keliatannya, tapi major masih wave 3, tinggal tunggu waktu aja

Ga ada yang leading, yang mau start jalan yang menarik, Industrials, Basic Materials, Energy, Property

Stoch Buy Signal: PGAS MLPL IGAR

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM PNLF WINS

Alligtor Buy Signal: AKRA ESSA BSDE SMDR