March 21th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on Monday as banking crisis fears ease

Stocks closed higher on Monday as traders grew hopeful that a crisis in the banking sector may be easing. The gains followed a forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS engineered by the Swiss government.

Dow……32245 +382.6 +1.20%
Nasdaq11676 +45.03 +0.39%
S&P 500.3952 +34.9 +0.89%

FTSE…..7404 +68.5 +0.93%
Dax…..14934 +165.2 +1.12%
CAC……7013 +87.7 +1.27%

Nikkei…..26946 -388.1 -1.42%
HSI………19000 -517.9 -2.65%
Shanghai.3235 -15.6 -0.48%

IDX…..6612.49 -65.75 -0.98%
LQ45….915.57 -8.69 -0.94%
IDX30…477.53 -4.92 -1.02%

IDXEnergy.1976.31 -37.62 -1.87%
IDX BscMat 1130.20 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1139.55 -12.22 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..715.23 -2.61 -0.36%
IDX Hlthcare1546.87 -16.10 -1.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..787.50 -8.02 -1.03%
IDX Techno..4849.76 -174.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1354.90 -16.77 -0.96%
IDX Banking.1109.55 -8.60 -0.77%
IDX Property….659 -5.10 .-0.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9104 +0.0103 +0.15%
ICBI…..350.8423 -0.0033 -0.00%
US2Yr3.9658 +0.1200 +3.11%
US5Yr 3.5840 +0.0770 +2.20%
US10Yr3.4830 +0.0450 +1.30%
US30Yr.3.6680+0.0410 +1.13%
VIX…… 24.15 -1.36 -5.33%

USDIndx103.2810 -0.4270 -0.41%
Como Indx.255.17 +0.52 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.22 +0.20 +0.13%

IndoCDS..101.480 -7.420 -6.81%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/17)

IDR…..15360.00 +15.00 +0.10%
Jisdor.15372.00 +8.00 +0.05%

Euro……1.0723 +0.0110 +1.04%

TLKM….26.29 -0.11 -0.42%
(4041)
EIDO……22.05 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……37.75 +0.14 +0.37%

Oil….67.65 +0.91 +1.36%
Gold.2000.00‼️+9.80 +0.49%*
Timah .22510.00 +292.00 +1.31%
(Closed 03/17)
Nickel..22800.00 -744.00 -3.16%‼️
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.67 +0.21 +0.93%
Copper..395.60 +6.35 +1.63%

Nturl Gas.2.240 -0.1060 -4.51%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.172.25 -0.75 -0.43%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.05 -1.00 -0.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.176.50 -2.60 -1.45%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.15 -3.95 -2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 unch +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.05 -2.95 -2.32%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.55 -2.70 -2.16%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.25 -2.65 -2.14%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3790 -131 -3.34%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.00 -1.25 -0.20%
SoybeanOil.57.99 +0.53 +0.92%
Wheat…..700.75 -9.75 -1.37%

Wood pulp…5530.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lagi, europe juga, giliran asia nyusul hari ini sepertinya

OIl ijo coal gas merah, metal2 ijo semua kecuali nikel, tinggal tunggu waktunya ANTM MDKA lari ini… CPO masih belum ok juga, masih belum gilirannya

IHSG – kemaren NFS langsung merah dalem, technically mulai konsolidasi, belum saatnya rally memang, bank dulu jalan baru index jalan. Sabar tunggu momentumnya

DI market merah Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare jadi ganjel Property juga tapi ga akan jalan sebelum banking biasanya

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA ICBP INDY INKP AGRO DSNG MTMH TOBA WIFI ANJT LMSH

Ga ada yang big accum posisinya, kemungkinan cuma karena jum’at mantul kenceng jadi yang sudah sangat oversold jadi buy signal

Kita assess beberapa yang sektornya jalan dan mewakili sektor yang ada issue

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBRI INDF BRMS DSNG MTMH

Yang Big Accumulation… ARTO BBCA di Financials, bagus untuk banking mulai dorong index. INCO, tapi harga nikelnya drop, belum dulu, INDF ini ok, sektornya jalan, mau masuk ramadhan lebaran, PTBA DOID di energy, tapi coal price masih belum ok. ERAA sektornya belum, tapi biasanya lebaran baju baru henpon baru so ok buat ditunggu buy signalnya. MTEL hold, masih bagus

March 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 400 points lower on Friday as First Republic and regional banks resume slide

Stocks fell Friday as investors pulled back from positions in First Republic
and other bank shares amid lingering concerns over the state of the U.S. banking sector.

Dow……31862 -384.6 -1.19%
Nasdaq11631 -86.8 -0.74%
S&P 500.3917 -43.6 -1.10%

FTSE…..7335 -74.6 -1.01%
Dax…..14768 -198.9 -1.33%
CAC……6925 -100.3 -1.43%

Nikkei…..27334 +323.2 +1.20%
HSI………19519 +314.7 +1.64%
Shanghai.3251 +23.7 +0.73%

IDX…..6678.24 +112.51 +1.71%
LQ45….924.25 +16.75 +1.85%
IDX30…482.45 +8.52 +1.80%

IDXEnergy.2013.92 +67.06 +3.44%‼️
IDX BscMat 1125.89 +19.00 +1.72%
IDX Indstrl…1151.76 +20.90 +1.85%
IDXNONCYC..717.84 +6.88 +0.97%
IDX Hlthcare1562.97 +23.38 +1.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..795.52 +5.53 +0.70%
IDX Techno..5023.90 -4.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1364.90 +25.22 +1.88%
IDX Banking.1118.15 +21.26 +1.94%
IDX Property….664 +0.30 +0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.9001 +0.0209 +0.30%
ICBI…..350.7112 -0.2133 -0.06%
US2Yr3.8458 -0.3282 -7.86%‼️
US5Yr 3.5070 -0.2261 -6.06%‼️
US10Yr3.4380 -0.1410 -3.94%‼️
US30Yr.3.6270-0.0850 -2.29%
VIX…… 25.51 +2.52 +10.96%‼️

USDIndx103.7080 -0.7100 -0.68%
Como Indx.254.66 -1.99 -0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.02 +1.13 +0.74%

IndoCDS..106.930 +7.886 +7.96%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/15)

IDR…..15345.00 -44.00 -0.29%
Jisdor.15364.00 -54.00 -0.35%

Euro……1.0613 +0.0034 +0.32%

TLKM….26.40 -0.41 -1.53%
(4056)
EIDO……22.00 +0.24 +1.10%
EEM……37.61 -0.23 -0.61%

Oil….66.74 -1.69 -2.47%
Gold.1990.20 +66.50+3.46%‼️
Timah .22464.00 – -%
(Closed 03/15)
Nickel..23545.00 +47.50 +0.20%
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.46 +0.63 +2.88%
Copper..389.25 +1.70 +0.44%

Nturl Gas.2.350 -0.1820 -7.19%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 -66.67 -1.57%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.173.00 -1.00 -0.57%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.175.05 -4.60 -2.56%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.179.10 -5.15 -2.80%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.184.10 -4.00 -2.13%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 -3.50 -2.54%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.00 -5.00 -3.79%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.25 -5.15 -3.95%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.90 -5.75 -4.44%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3921 -14 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..632.75 +6.25 +1.00%
SoybeanOil.57.73+1.39 +2.47%
Wheat…..699.00 -3.75 -0.53%

Wood pulp…5530.00 -40 -0.72%
(Closed 03/18)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US dan Europe closing merah, Asia ijo tebel ikut US hari sebelumnya. Semoga hari ini udah calmed down jadi kalo koreksi juga ga dalem

Energy related commodity drop semua, precious metals naik, Gold Silver naik tinggi, siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – mantul di support kuat, indicator masih belum terlalu ok, tapi w% udah ga downtrend, NFB, BD akum, elliot wave failed, bakal harus reset cycle nya. Semoga terus netbuy dan sentiment positif

Seperti kebiasaan menjelang puasa dan lebaran, consumer non-cyclicals jalan. Healthcare, Property ada gerakan

Abis drop dalem terus kemaren naik tinggi banyak banget stoch buy signal keluar…

Stoch Buy Signal: CPIN EXCL INCO JPFA SMGR SRTG UNTR ASSA BRMS DOID JSMR LSIP MLPL MTEL

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF TPIA

Kita assess yang stoch buy signal dan big accum bandar…

March 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower Wednesday as bank crisis spreads to Europe

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell Wednesday as concern over a banking crisis spreading to Europe pressured the broader market.

Dow……31875 -280.8 -0.87%
Nasdaq11434 +5.9 +0.05%
S&P 500.3892 -27.4 -0.70%

FTSE..7344 -292.7 -3.83%
Dax…14735 -497.6 -3.27%
CAC…6886 -255.9 -3.58%

Nikkei…..27229 +7.4 +0.03%
HSI………19540 +291.9 +1.52%
Shanghai.3263 +18.0 +0.55%

IDX…..6628.14 -13.68 -0.21%
LQ45….914.19 -3.19 -0.35%
IDX30…477.18 -0.81 -0.17%

IDXEnergy..2003.90 -13.68 -0.21%
IDX BscMat 1135.89 -11.01 -0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1146.53 -1.36 -0.12%
IDXNONCYC..717.81 -1.72 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1525.85 -5.18 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…..802.11 -2.85 -0.35%
IDX Techno….5143.43 -47.58 -0.92%
IDX Transp….1734.02 +17.45 +1.02%
IDX Infrast…..806.00 -7.72. -0.95%
IDX Finance.1351.39 -2.12 -0.16%
IDX Banking.1099.05 +0.70 +0.06%
IDX Property….675 +2.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.8659 -0.0048 -0.07%
ICBI….351.1755 -0.3141 -0.09%
US2Yr3.8916 -0.3546 -8.35%‼️
US5Yr 3.5629 -0.2849 -7.40%‼️
US10Yr3.4620 -0.2230 -6.05%‼️
US30Yr.3.6490-0.1550 -5.06%‼️
VIX…… 26.14 +2.41 +10.16%‼️

USDIndx104.6460 +1.0490 +1.01%
Como Indx.254.03 -7.04 -2.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.63 -4.09 -2.61%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15381.50 -3.50 -0.02%
Jisdor.15365.00 -15.00 -0.10%

Euro……1.0579 -0.0153 -1.42%

TLKM….26.04 -0.34 -1.29%
(4001)
EIDO……21.60 -0.36 -1.64%
EEM……37.27 -0.65 -1.71%

Oil….68.43 -3.35 -4.67%‼️
Gold1924.90 +16.00 +0.84%
Timah .22950.00 -260 -1.12%
(Closed 03/14)
Nickel..22977.00 -85.50 -0.37%
(Closed 03/15)
Silver…..21.95 +0.14 +0.64%
Copper.388.75 -12.10 -3.02%‼️

Nturl Gas.2.4920 -0.0850 -3.30%‼️

Ammonia 4256.67 -66.66 -1.54%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/14)

Coal price.175.00 -5.00 -2.78%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.00 -7.00 -3.74%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.185.00 -7.95 -4.12%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 -9.45 -4.74%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.00 -3.00 -2.13%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.30 -6.05 -4.40%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 130.20 -5.20 -3.84%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.60 -5.30 -3.93%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3965 +31 +0.79%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..626.50 +5.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil.56.34+0.16 +0.28%
Wheat…..702.75 +6.50 +0.93%

Wood pulp…5610.00 -40 -0.71%
(Closed 03/15)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah lagi, europe drop, asia kebanyakan ijo ikutan US kemarinnya… Masih belum kondusif untuk rally wave 3

Oil Gas Coal merah, gold silver ijo, metal lain merah, masih belum terlalu asik buat ANTM MDKA, tapi kita tungu buy signal aja

IHSG – foreign nya exit lagi, kebanting udah tutup gap kemaren awal market terlihat mau rebound kenceng tapi ga jadi, prepare cash aja pokoke, tunggu momentum rebound, target koreksi udah tercapai, semoga ga lebih jauh lagi

Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM CPIN AMFG

March 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow falls for a fifth day despite emergency backstop of Silicon Valley Bank

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
dropped on Monday as a plan to backstop all the depositors in failed Silicon Valley Bank, along with other extraordinary measures, failed to boost bank shares.

The losses were contained as some investors bet the financial shock could cause the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate hikes.

Dow……31819 -90.5 -0.28%
Nasdaq11189 +49.95 +0.45%
S&P 500.3856 -5.8 -0.15%

FTSE…….7549 -199.7 -2.58%
Dax……..14959 -468.5 -3.04%
CAC……..7012 -209.2 -2.90%

Nikkei…..27833 -311.01 -1.11%
HSI………19696 +376.1 +1.95%
Shanghai.3269 +38.6 +1.20%

IDX…..6786.96 +21.65 +0.32%
LQ45….939.84 +2.70 +0.29%
IDX30…490.07 +2.39 +0.49%

IDXEnergy…2074.25 +23.96 +1.17%
IDX BscMat 1160.55 -16.52 -1.40%
IDX Indstrl..1174.59 +4.41 +0.38%
IDXNONCYC..726.72 -0.93 -0.13%
IDX Hlthcare1536.76 -7.30 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…828.46 -1.49 -0.18%
IDX Techno.5355.44 -2.63 -0.05%
IDX Transp.1786.86 -27.43 -1.51%
IDX Infrast….829.91 -1.87 -0.23%
IDX Finance1383.43 -10.20 -0.73%
IDX Banking1129.53 -3.31 -0.29%
IDX Property….680 -0.17 -0.20%

Indo10Yr.6.9204 -0.0509 -0.73%‼️
ICBI….350.2165 +1.0221 +0.29%‼️
US2Yr4.0158 -0.5767 -12.56%‼️
US5Yr 3.6818-0.3520 -8.89%‼️
US10Yr3.5450-0.1590-4.29%‼️
US30Yr.3.6940 -0.018 -0.48%
VIX…… 26.52 +1.72 +6.94%‼️

USDIndx103.5950-0.981 -0.94%👍
Como Indx.264.67 -0.32 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.49 +1.20 +0.77%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15376.50 -73.50 -0.48%
Jisdor.15374.00 -94.00 -0.61%

Euro……1.0727 +0.00840 +0.79%

TLKM….26.09 +0.10 +0.38%
(4011)
EIDO……22.14 +0.10 +0.38%
EEM……37.90 +0.06 +0.16%

Oil….74.69 -1.99 -2.60%‼️
Gold1916.60+48.40 +2.59%‼️
Timah .22912.00 – -%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..23166.00 +478.0 +2.11%
(Closed 03/13)
Silver…21.88 +1.38 +6.73%‼️
Copper.404.20 +4.15 +1.04%

Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.182.90 -2.35 -1.27%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.50 -1.50 -0.78%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.50 +0.15 +0.08%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -0.50 -0.25%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.65 +3.65 +2.70%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 138.70 +6.70 +5.08%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.85 +6.35 +4.83%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.55 +6.05 +4.60%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4045 -53 -1.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..613.50 -3.75 -0.61%
SoybeanOil.55.86 -0.75 -1.32%
Wheat…..684.50 +5.25 +0.77%

Wood pulp…5670.00 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 03/13)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional lanjut pada merah, Nasdaq ijo tapi. Asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei.

Oil Gas Coal merah, metal2 naik semua, pada tinggi malah, siap2 entry di ANTM MDKA, CPO masih merah lagi

IHSG – kirain mau terus NFB, ternyata kemarin walau ijo tapi NFS tipis banget. Stoch rev up,MACD down,MFI up, W% sw, BD flat, masih sideways dulu sih

Financials belum jadi, Energy rada gerak, tapi hari ini kemungkinan besar turun lagi, technology yang RSI nya masih nanjak

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT KLBF TLKM TKIM WSKT

MACD Buy Signal Sector Energy, tapi ga meyakinkan, komoditasnya pada turun