Daily Analysis 20240902

Daily Analysis 20240902

September 02nd, 2024 Stocks close higher Friday, S&P 500 posts fourth straight winning month Stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting a fresh record high as…
Daily Analysis 20240830

Daily Analysis 20240830

August 30th, 2024

Dow rises 200 points for fresh record close, Nasdaq falls as Nvidia shares tumble

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
climbed to a record Thursday, as Wall Street tried to resume its comeback from a steep sell-off earlier this month.

Dow…….41335 +243.6 +0.59%
Nasdaq. .17516 -39.6 -0.23%
S&P 500 5592 -0.2 -0.00%

FTSE…8380.0 +35.8 +0.43%
Dax……18913 +130.3 +0.69%
CAC……7541 +63.3 +0.84%

Nikkei….38363 -9.2 -0.02%
HSI……..17786 +93.9 +0.53%
Shanghai.2823 -14.3 -0.40%

IDX….7627.61 -31.27 -0.41%
LQ45…942.13 -6.52 -0.69%
IDX30.476.78 -3.76 -0.77%

IDXEnergy. 2677.43 -15.34 -0.57%
IDX BscMat1352.64 -18.96 -1.38%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -0.30 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC.710.63 -3.56 -0.50%
IDX Hlthcare1461.65 -11.32 -0.77%
IDXCYCLIC….909.88 +0.42 +0.05%
IDXTechno 3241.86 -6.95 -0.21%
IDX Transp 1434.49 -17.51 -1.21%
IDX Infrast 1609.61 -0.50 -0.03%
IDX Finance1475.28 -2.87 -0.19%
IDX Banking1315.88 -13.22 -0.99%
IDX Property….725 -3.20 -0.45%

Indo10Yr.6.6787 -0.0118 -0.18%
ICBI…391.2176 +0.3429 +0.09%
US2Yr.3.898 +0.031 +0.80%
US5Yr 3.668 +0.004 +0.11%
US10Yr3.868 +0.034 +0.89%
US30Yr.4.150+0.022 +0.53%
VIX..15.65 -1.46 -8.53%👍

USDIndx 101.3430❗️ +0.249 +0.25%
Como Indx….279.88 +2.27 +0.82%
BCOMIN….145.00 -0.79 -0.54%

IndoCDS..67.27 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/08)

IDR…….15423.50👍 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor..15409.00👍 -67.00 -0.43%

Euro…1.1080❗️ -0.0043 -0.39%

TLKM…19.46 +0.11 +0.57%
( 2999)
EIDO…..21.85 -0.20 -0.91%
EEM….43.28 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil………..75.89 +1.44 +1.93%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..79.94 +1.29 +1.64%
(Brent)
Gold…2553.90 +12.50 +0.49%
(Comex)
Gold…2520.38 +14.17 +0.57%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32345.00 -260.00 -0.80%
(Closed 29/08)
Nickel..17022.00 +41 +0.24%
(Closed 29/08)
Silver…29.83 +0.23 +0.78%
Copper.420.90 -0.10 -0.02%

Iron Ore 62% 98.51 +0.06 +0.06%
(28/08)
Nturl Gas 2.143 +0.044 +2.10%
Ammonia China 2643.33 -16.67 -0.63%
(Domestic Price)(29/08)

Coal price.145.00 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.25 -0.75 -0.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.55 -1.45 -0.52%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..146.80 -0.20 -0.14%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.30 -0.45 -0.37%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.30 -0.35 -0.29%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.40 -0.45 -0.37%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.10 -0.60 -0.49%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3942 +22 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………396.00 +5.25 +1.34%
SoybeanOil 42.13 +1.41 +3.46%
Wheat……548.75 +7.25 +1.34%

Wood pulp.4900.00 -20 -041%
(Closed 29/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, nasdaq merah, europe ijo, asia kemaren kebenyakan merah ikut US sebelumnya, US bond yield naik, kemungkinan merah tipis hari ini, kalo ijo juga tipis tipis

USD index up, tapi metal2 juga up kecuali tin and copper, oil gas up, coal down, CPO up. harusnya INCO AALI rebound

IHSG – rejection candle pas setelah harga sampe di fibo extension 1.00 di wave 3, bisa jadi mau wave 4. Beware… Stoch udah down tapi MACD masih up, MFI w% sw, BD kemaren dist tapi FNB dan nilainya naik, masih ada harapan lanjut wave 3, tapi kalo hari ini merah berarti reg bear div nya confirmed, mending exit

Tinggal Industrials sama Property, liat dari sini kemungkinan besar wave 4 is on the way

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ESSA ADMR DOID, big accum ESSA

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL SSIA

Daily Analysis 20240807

Daily Analysis 20240807

August 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 300 points higher to snap three-day losing run in broad relief rally

Stocks jumped Tuesday, recovering some losses from the previous three trading days as investors took a pause from recession fears and Japanese equities rallied.

Dow…….38998 +294.4 +0.76%
Nasdaq. 16367 +166.8 +1.03%
S&P 500 52540 +53.7 +1.04%

FTSE..8027.2 +18.5 +0.23%
Dax……17354 +15.3 +0.09%
CAC……7130 -18.95 -0.27%

Nikkei..34675 +3217 +10.23%‼️
HSI…….16647 -51.02 -0.31%
Shanghai.2867 +6.6 +0.23%

IDX….7129.22 +69.56 +0.99%
LQ45…899.18 +8.47 +0.95%
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%

IDXEnergy.2390.51 +32.58 +1.36%
IDX BscMat1306.33 +9.39 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl….997.09 -0.80 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC.693.65 +5.09 +0.74%
IDX Hlthcare1439.73+8.36 +0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…752.14 +6.85 +0.92%
IDXTechno.3179.65 +3.18 +0.18%
IDX Transp 1334.95 +16.13 +1.22%
IDX Infrast 1532.78 +24.46 +1.62%
IDX Finance1387.73 +12.90 +0.94%
IDX Banking1232.04 +14.44 +1.19%
IDX Property…..637 +4.90 +0.78%

Indo10Yr.6.8778 +0.0082 +0.11%
ICBI…386.2847 -0.2947 -0.08%
US2Yr.3.992 +0.090 +2.31%
US5Yr 3.743 +0.118 +3.26%‼️
US10Yr3.886 +0.094 +2.48%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.125 +3.07% ‼️
VIX..27.71 -10.86 -28.16%‼️

USDIndx 102.9690❗️+0.28 +0.27%
Como Indx….270.15 +1.36 +0.51%
BCOMIN…..137.12 +1.00 +0.74%

IndoCDS..82.18 +4.98 +6.45%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16164.00❗️ -24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.16183.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0930 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…17.38 +0.35 +2.06%
( 2813)
EIDO….19.87 +0.33 +1.66%
EEM….40.65 +0.18 +0.43%

Oil………..72.87❗️ -1.16 -1.57%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.48 +0.18 +0.24%
(Brent)
Gold…..2430.00 -21.60 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold……2389.02 -19.41 -0.81%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29651.00 +167.00 +0.57%
(Closed 06/08)
Nickel..16415.00 +211.50 +1.31%
(Closed 06/08)
Silver….27.01 -0.35 -1.28%
Copper.400.05 -1.35 -0.34%

Iron Ore 62% 104.18 +0.18 +0.17%
(05/08)
Nturl Gas 2.016 +0.039 +1.97%
Ammonia China 2480.00 +133.33 +5.68%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/08)

Coal price.145.50 +1.80 +1.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.50 +1.75 +1.20%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.00 +2.25 +1.53%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.00 +2.25 +1.52%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.120.80 +1.50 +1.26%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.70 +2.15 +1.80%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.20 +2.40 +2.00%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.05 +3.20 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3707 -33 -0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..405.25 -1.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.97 -0.27 -0.67%
Wheat…..543.25 +3.75 +0.70%

Wood pulp..5130 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 06/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Rebound semua setelah hari sebelumnya terjun bebas… Tapi US bond yield naik, kemaren IHSG udah rebound, kayanya merah lagi hari ini. Bagusnya sih dip sebentar tutup gap baru lanjut wave 3

USD index up, Gold silver copper down, Tin Nickel Iron ore up, oil down, gas up coal up, CPO down, masih resiko, tapi kayanya coal yang rebound duluan. Pulp and Paper Price sempet drop udah 2 hari up, semoga INKP rebound juga

IHSG – soch sell macd still down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB tipis kemaren, double top target done, itungan fibonacci abc done, mungkin udahan, mungkin tutp gap dulu, tapi kalo liat indicators, tutup gap dulu sih

Nah, Financials arahnya membaik, tanda2 index mau rebound…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BBTN BMRI EXCL HRUM DSNG PTRO, big accum BBNI BBTN HRUM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: AMMN KLBF

Daily Analysis 20240806

Daily Analysis 20240806

August 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,000 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since 2022 in global market sell-off

Stocks fell sharply on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
posting its worst day in nearly two years, as worries over the health of the U.S. economy sparked a global market sell-off.

Dow…….38703 -1033.99 -2.60%‼️
Nasdaq. 16201 -576.1 -3.43%‼️
S&P 500 5186 -160.2 -3.00%‼️

FTSE..8008.2 -166.5 -2.04%
Dax……17339 -322.2 -1.82%
CAC……7149 -102.8 -1.42%

Nikkei..31458‼️ -4451.3 -12.40%‼️
HSI…….16698 -247.2 -1.46%
Shanghai.2861 -44.6 -1.55%

IDX….7059.65‼️ -248.47 -3.40%‼️
LQ45…890.71 -28.66 -3.12%‼️
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%‼️

IDXEnergy.2356.94 -122.55 -4.94%‼️
IDX BscMat1296.94 -63.70 -4.69%‼️
IDX Indstrl.997.88 -38.70 -3.73%‼️
IDXNONCYC.688.56 -12.44 -1.77%
IDX Hlthcare1431.38 -10.42 -0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…745.2 -18.89 -2.47%
IDXTechno.3176.47 -58.56 -2.92%
IDX Transp 1318.81 -58.25 -4.23%‼️
IDX Infrast 1508.33 -49.04 -3.15%‼️
IDX Finance1374.80 -37.96 -2.69%
IDX Banking1217.60 -41.59 -3.30%‼️
IDX Property…..632 -19.10 -3.05%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.8696❗️ -0.0387 -0.56%
ICBI…386.5794❗️ +0.7910 -0.21%
US2Yr.3.902 +0.024 +0.62%
US5Yr 3.625 +0.010 +0.28%
US10Yr3.792 unch +0%
US30Yr.4.066 -0.043 -1.05%
VIX..38.57‼️ +15.18 +64.90%‼️

USDIndx 102.6890❗️ -0.519 -0.50%
Como Indx….268.79 -1.34 -0.50%
BCOMIN…..136.12 -2.09 -1.51%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16189.00❗️ -11.00 -0.07%
Jisdor.16154.00❗️ -80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0955❗️ +0.0166 +1.54%

TLKM…17.03 -0.53 -2.99%
( 2751)
EIDO….19.55 -0.77 -3.79%‼️
EEM….40.42 -1.15 -2.76%

Oil………..74.03 -2.76 -3.59%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.30 -0.51 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…..2451.60 -18.20 -0.74%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.43 -34.81 -1.42%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29484.00 -704.00 -2.33%
(Closed 05/08)
Nickel..16203.50 -62.50 -0.38%
(Closed 05/08)
Silver….27.36 -10.30 -3.63%‼️
Copper.401.40 -8.90 -2.17%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.976 -0.002 -0.10%
Ammonia China 2346.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/08)

Coal price.143.70 -0.40 -0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.75 -0.15 -0.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.75 -0.65 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.30 -2.05 -1.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.55 -2.65 -2.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.80 -1.95 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.85 -2.25 -1.84%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3740 -118 -3.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.00 +3.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 40.23 -0.58 -1.42%
Wheat…..539.50 +0.50 +0.09%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 05/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lanjut berdarah darah semua index regional, yang paling parah jepang sampe minus 12%. IHSG kemaren sempet lebih dari 4 %, ga sampe trading halt sih, tapi berantakan semua. Ditambah US bond yield yang wajarnya naik untuk hold dana jadi kemungkinan masih lanjut merahnya hari ini. Tapi secara technical memang udah ditunggu, ga ada yang mengagetkan juga, kita assess lagi momentum beli setelah index tutup gap

USD index down, tapi semua metal juga down kecuali iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo juga down, pulp and paper juga down, selamat buat yang kemaren udah keep cash, standby tunggu beres wave 2

IHSG – double top target udah done, itungan fibonacci extension udah done, nanggung tutup gap sekalian, abis itu baru kita pikirin belanja lagi…

RSI nya belum ngikut, padahal pada drop semua ini… Tapi ya prospek tetep di basic materials dan healthcare dan consumer cyclicals dan consumer non-cyclicals yang sering pada defensif dan jadi ganjel bursa

Stochastic Buy Signal: MBMA SCMA, dua duanya big dist

Menarik kalo udah bisa short selling ini sebenernya, hehehe

Daily Analysis 20240726

Daily Analysis 20240726

July 26th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close lower Thursday as tech comeback attempt falters

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dropped on Thursday, building on the previous session’s losses as investors continued to dump some of 2024′s leading technology stocks.

Dow……39935 +81.2 +0.20%
Nasdaq17181 -160.7 -0.93%
S&P 500.5399 -27.9 -0.51%

FTSE…..8186 -32.7 -0.40%
Dax……18299 -88.7 -0.48%
CAC……7427 -86.7 -1.15%

Nikkei..37870 -1285.3 -3.28%‼️
HSI……17005 -306.1 -2.04%
Shanghai.2887 -15.2 -0.52%

IDX….7240.28 -22.48 -0.31%
LQ45..916.16 -1.01 -0.11%
IDX30.457.69 +0.76 +0.17%

IDXEnergy..2429.23 -23.20 -0.95%
IDX BscMat1336.74 -23.07 -1.70%
IDX Indstrl.1018.27 -11.06 -1.07%
IDXNONCYC.706.14 -1.75 -0.25%
IDX Hlthcare1436.96 +7.75 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…741.00 -4.41 -0.59%
IDXTechno.3367.19 -14.03 -0.41%
IDX Transp 1363.51 -23.87 -1.72%
IDX Infrast 1580.49 -2.89 -0.18%
IDX Finance1388.78 -7.15 -0.51%
IDX Banking1239.57 -3.30 -0.27%
IDX Property…..642 -2.00 -0.31%

Indo10Yr.7.0210 -0.0046 -0.06%
ICBI…383.0348 -0.2562 -0.07%
US2Yr.4.435 +0.002 +0.05%
US5Yr 4.134 -0.041 -0.98%
US10Yr4.241 -0.037 -0.86%
US30Yr.4.488 -0.054 -1.18%
VIX..18.46 +0.32 +2.33%

USDIndx 104.3550 -0.036 -0.03%
Como Indx….279.69 -0.06 -0.02%
BCOMIN…..138.32 -0.45 -0.33%

IndoCDS..73.23 -2.96 -3.88%❗️
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/07)

IDR…..16250.00❗️ +35.00 +0.22%
Jisdor.16268.00❗️ +44.00 +0.27%

Euro…1.0849 +0.0011 +0.10%

TLKM…19.10 +0.10 +0.53%
( 3107)
EIDO…..19.94 -0.08 -0.40%
EEM…..41.93 -0.16 -0.38%

Oil………..78.29 +0.81 +1.05%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….82.37 +0.66 +0.81%
(Brent)
Gold…..2408.80 -35.10 -1.44%
(Comex)
Gold……2362.82 -32.07 -1.34%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29416.00 -374.00 -1.26%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel..15817.00 -10.00 -0.06%
(Closed 25/07)
Silver…27.99 -1.04 -3.58%
Copper.411.40 +2.65 +0.65%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.165 -0.040 -1.81%
Ammonia China 2823.33 -20.00 -0.70%
(Domestic Price)(25/07)

Coal price.134.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -0.15 -0.11%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.80 -0.15 -0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.40 -0.05 -0.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.25 -0.15 -0.14%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.70 +0.25 +0.22%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.00 +0.35 +0.31%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.95 +0.05 +0.04%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3918 -8 -0.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..420.75 +2.75. +0.66%
SoybeanOil 44.17 +0.07 +0.16%
Wheat…..537.75 -9.25 -1.69%

Wood pulp..5150 -10 -0.19%
(Closed 25/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI rebound, Nasdaq masih merah dalem,europe merah, asia pada merah dalem juga, US bond yield merah, ada harapan IHSG ijo tipis hari ini. Tapi lebih besar kemungkinan lanjut merah sih

USD index merah tipis, metal2 masih merah kecuali copper, oil up gas down coal mostly down, CPO slightly down. Masih belum bisa jalan ini. AKRA mungkin kalo oil turnaround menarik diambil

IHSG – akhirnya MACD sell signal, beneran double top, hayuk deh jelas jelasan turun dulu biar enak nanti belanjanya lagi pas beres wave 2

Slowing down semua, ya sesuai sama arah index lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT HEAL TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA HEAL CEKA. BBCA big accum juga, aneh banget ini, index MACD sell BBCA MACD buy

Daily Analysis 20240725

Daily Analysis 20240725

July 25th, 2024 Good morning, Stocks smoked, Nasdaq falls over 3.5% in worst day since 2022 after Tesla, Alphabet trigger Big Tech sell-off Tesla shares close down 12% after earnings…