October 04th, 2024

Dow leads declines ahead of jobs report, oil surges 5% as Mideast focus intensifies

Stocks slipped on Thursday as Wall Street awaited the key jobs report and dissected a slew of economic data ahead of it. Meanwhile, the possibility of an Israeli retaliatory attack against Iran’s oil facilities sent oil soaring for a third day.

Dow…….42012 -184.9 -0.44%
Nasdaq. 17918 -6.7 -0.04%
S&P 500 5700 -9.6 -0.17%

FTSE…8283 -8.3 -0.10%
Dax……19015 -149.3 -0.78%
CAC……7478 -99.8 -1.32%

Nikkei..38552 +743.3 +1.97%
HSI……22114 -330.2 -1.47%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7543.83 -19.43 -0.26%
LQ45…937.39 -1.31 -1.31%
IDX30.483.56 -0.02 -0.00%

IDXEnergy…..2744.60 -19.69 -0.71%
IDX BscMat1401.62 -9.77 -0.69%
IDX Indstrl..1077.01 +3.32 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC.735.80 +0.36 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1571.51 -10.97 -0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…869.14 +5.54 +0.64%
IDXTechno 3754.83 -42.32 -1.11%
IDX Transp 1494.09 -2.09 -0.14%
IDX Infrast 1520.74 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Finance1510.61 +4.57 +0.30%
IDX Banking1320.47 +5.00 +0.38%
IDX Property..793 +3.40 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.0359 +0.55%
ICBI….394.9446 -0.6365 -0.16%
US2Yr.3.705 +0.068 +1.87%
US5Yr 3.628 +0.076 +2.14%
US10Yr3.848 +0.062 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.181+0.053 +1.28%
VIX..20.49 +1.59 +8.41%‼️

USDIndx 101.9890❗️+0.312 +0.31%
Como Indx….291.15 +4.02 +1.40%
BCOMIN….154.39 -3.26 -2.07%

IndoCDS..69.26 +0.51 +0.74%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/10)

IDR…….15428.50❗️ +160.50 +1.05%
Jisdor..15394.00 ❗️ +147.00 +0.96%

Euro…1.1035❗️ -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM.18.79 -0.37 -1.93%
( 2893)
EIDO…22.06 -0.26 -1.14%
EEM…46.54 -0.60 -1.27%

Oil………..73.83 +3.00 +4.24%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..77.62 +3.72 +5.03%‼️
(Brent)
Gold…2675.40 -4.20 -0.16%
(Comex)
Gold…2655.98 -5.04 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33709.00 -184.00 -0.54%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel.17825.50 -394.50 -2.17%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver… ..32.32 +0.20 +0.62%
Copper.454.70 -11.00 -2.36%

Iron Ore 62% 109.29‼️+0.55 +0.51%
(02/10)
Nturl Gas 2.970 +0.057 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)

Coal price.140.80 +0.55 +0.39%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.65 +1.05 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.20 +2.00 +1.40%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.25 +2.25 +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.117.00 +0.90 +0.78%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.60 +2.10 +1.82%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.50 +2.05 +1.76%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..119.90 +1.55 +1.31%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4182 -14 -0 33%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………428.25 -4.25 -0.98%
SoybeanOil 44.53 +0.89 +2.04%
Wheat….603.50 -11.75 -1.91%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua closing merah, urusan perang salah satu faktornya. US treasury bond yield naik, masih suram IHSG hari ini.

USD index up, metal2 doen kecuali silver dan iron ore, oil loncat lagi karena perangnya iran sebagai produsen besar minyak dunia, gas up coal up CPO down, AKRA ELSA MEDC masih manggung, mungkin ANTM INCO MDKA dkk konsolidasi atau malah udahan dulu, AALI LSIP mulai siap2 exit

IHSG – semua indic bilang down, gap dibawah, elliot wave bilang wave 4, BD sw FNS, sabar dulu, tunggu beres index turun

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, sama ada Consumer Cyclicals nongol kemaren kebawa sama ERAA

OIl Price hike yang paling belum jalan AKRA, kalo nekat mau nyusul ya masuknya di AKRA

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA MAHA MNCN VKTR, big accum AKRA VKTR

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR SMGR, JSMR big accum, SMGR FNB dan Vol Spike

September 25th, 2024

S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus

US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average notching record closes. Investors digested China’s launch of aggressive stimulus and a notable dip in US consumer sentiment.

Dow…….42208 +83.6 +0.20%
Nasdaq. 18075 +100.3 +0.56%
S&P 500 5733 +14.4 +0.25%

FTSE…8283 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……18997 +149.8 +0.80%
CAC……7604 +95.9 +1.28%

Nikkei..37941 +216.7 +0.57%
HSI…..19001 +753.5 +4.13%‼️
Shanghai.2863+114.2 +4.15%‼️

IDX….7778.49 +2.76 +0.04%
LQ45…985.41 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX30.504.75 +0.76 +0.15%

IDXEnergy. 2726.29 +11.78 +0.43%
IDX BscMat1338.27 +6.89. +0.52%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -1.45 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC.750.63 +7.35 +0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1545.17 -3.63. -0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…896.57 -8.61 -0.95%
IDXTechno 3783.98 -43.64 -1.14%
IDX Transp 1528.75 +6.35 +0.42%
IDX Infrast 1573.30 +8.46 +0.54%
IDX Finance1575.02 +2.38 +0.15%
IDX Banking1410.37 -1.43 -0.24%
IDX Property..785 +0.30 +0.04%

Indo10Yr.6.4992 -0.0062 -0.10%
ICBI….396.0881 +0.1320 +0.03%
US2Yr.3.540 -0.047 -1.31%
US5Yr 3.472 -0.034 -0.96%
US10Yr3.737 -0.012 -0.32%
US30Yr.4.086 -0.010 -0.24%
VIX..15.39 -0.50 -3.15%👍

USDIndx 100.4660❗️-0.385 -0.38%
Como Indx….287.59 +3.46 +1.22%
BCOMIN….150.35 +4.08 +2.79%

IndoCDS..70.28 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/09)

IDR…….15187.00 -18.50 -0.12%
Jisdor..15186.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.1185❗️ +0.073 +0.65%

TLKM.20.79 -0.09 -0.41%
( 3157)
EIDO…23.57 +0.17 +0.70%
EEM..45.53 +1.52 +3.45%‼️

Oil………..71.56 +0.89 +1.26%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..75.17 +1.27 +1.79%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30‼️ +29.60 +1.13%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.45‼️ +31.85 +1.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32689.00 +394.00 +1.22%
(Closed 24/09)
Nickel..16745.00 +188.00 +1.14%
(Closed 24/09)
Silver… ..32.49 +1.45 +4.67%‼️
Copper.453.05 +18.55 +4.27%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 91.60 -0.33 -0.36%
(23/09)
Nturl Gas 2.816 -0.031 -1.09%
Ammonia China 2816.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/09)

Coal price.139.50 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.40 +0.65 +0.47%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.65 +1.05 +0.75%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.80 +0.15 +0.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..113.35 -0.60 -0.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.55 -0.35 -0.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.55 -0.45 -0.39%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3989 +12 +0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………411.75 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 43.34 +1.50 +3.59%
Wheat……578.00 -4.50 -0.77%

Wood pulp.4800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua up, hongkong china up tebel banget, US treasury bond yield down, lanjut kenceng harusnya IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil coal up, gas down, CPO up, harusnya lanjut ANTM MDKA INCO TINS AKRA MEDC AALI LSIP ADRO INDY PTBA

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, bd acc FNB tapi turun, hati hati banget, technical udah bilang sell, kemungkinan besar ya mau wave 4

Technology, Transportation, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi semuanya udah jalan duluan dan rawan koreksi, yang menarik diliat Basic Materials dan Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ITMG UNVR CTRA JPFA PWON SSMS SIMP, big accum AMRT ITMG CTRA

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM INKP MDKA CTRA PNLF SIMP, big accum CTRA

ITMG – bareng sama coal coal lain loncat, stopch buy macd almost buy, loncat kemaren juga cuma 2.7%, ga tinggi2 amat, masih layak dikejar kalo emang confirm jalan panjang, MFI bottoming, w% up, BD FF rev big acc, unclosed gap, menarik sih

spike target done, hmmm

XL pas kemaren loncat malah jualan, mencurigakan sih… Tapi bisa ini spec buy, idealnya BOW di average BK 26270

CTRA – udah run panjang, memang sih stimulus nya bunga bank turun, tapi technicalnya udah mau udahan harusnya, stoch macd buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF big acc, tapi ini udah ujung wave 5, saya sih minggir dulu ya…

Udah diatas average bandar, ga rekomen deh

INKP – macd rev buy, stoch masih down, MFI up, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ada freq spike, harga belum gerak, menarik dicermati

spike ok

Biggest holder accum, 2’nd nya malah dist, 3’rd nya diem, hmmm… Tapi average aman

Harga Pulp and Paper naik, MACD nya buy, bisa spec buy INKP

September 20th, 2024

Dow jumps 500 points, S&P 500 closes above 5,700 for the first time a day after Fed slashes rates

Stocks jumped Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
and S&P 500
rising to new all-time highs, as traders cheered the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday decision to lower interest rates by a half percentage point.

Dow…….42025 +522.1 +1.26%
Nasdaq. 18013 +440.7 +2.51%
S&P 500 5714 +95.4 +1.70%

FTSE…8329 +75.04 +0.91%
Dax……19002 +290.9 +1.55%
CAC……7615 +170.5 +2.29%

Nikkei..37155 +775.16 +2.13%
HSI……18013 +353.1 +2.20%
Shanghai.2736 +18.7 +0.69%

IDX….7905.39‼️ +76.26 +0.97%
LQ45…979.68 +9.43 +0.97%
IDX30.499.81 +4.71 +0.95%

IDXEnergy. 2688.52 +26.66 +1.00%
IDX BscMat1335.52 +13.91 +1.05%
IDX Indstrl..1092.57 +1.17 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC.736.48 +2.87 +0.39%
IDX Hlthcare1536.96 -6.15. -0.40%
IDXCYCLIC…905.33 +1.27 +0.18%
IDXTechno 3808.56 -20.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1514.00 +12.90 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1644.97 +20.29 +1.25%
IDX Finance1572.24 +14.75 +0.95%
IDX Banking1404.75 +18.89 +1.36%
IDX Property..791 +17.30 +2.23%

Indo10Yr.6.5821👍-0.0334 -0.51%
ICBI….394.2302👍+0.7792 +0.20%
US2Yr.3.588 -0.040 -1.10%
US5Yr 3.486 -0.070 -0.20%
US10Yr3.719 +0.040 +0.11%
US30Yr.4.054 +0.023 +0.57%
VIX..16.33 -1.90 -10.42%👍

USDIndx 100.6140❗️ -0.336 -0.33%
Como Indx….282.19 +2.37 +0.85%
BCOMIN….147.23 +1.25 +0.85%

IndoCDS..67.73👍 -0.51 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (18/09)

IDR…….15239.00👍 -96.00 -0.63%
Jisdor..15287.00👍 -63.00 -0.41%

Euro…1.1162❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%

TLKM.20.62 +0.12 +0.59%
( 3152)
EIDO…23.32 +0.56 +2.46%
EEM….43.78 +0.93 +2.16%

Oil………..72.10 +1.19 +1.68%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..74.88 +2.00 +2.74%
(Brent)
Gold…2611.90 +13.30 +0.51%
(Comex)
Gold…2587.58 +29.04 +1.13%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31823.00 +229.00 .+0.72%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16333.50 +105.50 +0.65%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..31.12 +0.43 +1.40%
Copper.434.50 +4.60 +1.07%

Iron Ore 62% 91.57 -0.41 -0.45%
(18/09)
Nturl Gas 2.340 +0.045 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.50 +0.50 +0.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.75 +1.50 +1.11%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 +1.70 +1.26%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +1.40 +1.02%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.80 -1.80 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.75 -1.70 -1.51%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.20 -1.35 -1.11%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3879 +31 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………405.75 -7.00 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 40.93 +0.62 +1.54%
Wheat……565.50 -10.25 -1.78%

Wood pulp.4830.00 -20.00 -0.41%
(Closed 19/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel menyambut fed rate cut, europe ijo, asia udah ijo duluan, welcome 8000 IHSG

US T-bond yield yang pendek down, USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, considering profit taking di beberapa saham yang udah gerak jauh. Begitu 8000 kena, peluang wave 4 incoming jadi besar banget

IHSG – stoch macd mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, efek BI dan Fed cut rate, harusnya sampe ke atas 8000

Property, Financials, Technology, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: DSNG PTMP

MACD Buy Signal: ASII INTP MEDC PTBA BRMS BTPS ENRG VKTR HAIS, big accum ASII MEDC BRMS BTPS VKTR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BRPT BNGA

September 05th, 2024

S&P 500 books back-to-back losses as Wall Street grapples with a rocky start to September

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight session in a lackluster start to September.

Dow…….40974 +38.04 +0.09%
Nasdaq. .17084 -52.0 -0.30%
S&P 500 5520 -8.9 -0.16%

FTSE…8269 -28.9 -0.35%
Dax……18592 -155.3 -0.83%
CAC……7501 -74.1 -0.98%

Nikkei….37048 -1638.7 -4.44%‼️
HSI……..17458 -194.2 -1.10%
Shanghai.2784 -18.7 -0.67%

IDX….7672.90 +56.38 +0.74%
LQ45…941.69 -0.59 -0.06%
IDX30.477.78 -0.46 -0.10%

IDXEnergy. 2662.58 -5.04 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1332.31 -11.74 -0.87%
IDX Indstrl..1092.38 +6.14 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC.710.22 -1.87 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1493.19 +23.62 +1.61%
IDXCYCLIC…902.83 +24.35 +2.76%
IDXTechno 3298.12 +13.04 +0.40%
IDX Transp 1441.40 -14.94 -1.02%
IDX Infrast 1639.95 +18.09 +1.12%
IDX Finance1486.92 +11.01 +0.75%
IDX Banking1316.27 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property….722 +7.10 +0.99%

Indo10Yr.6.7160 +0.0230 +0.36%
ICBI….390.7836 -0.1895 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 -0.097 -2.51%
US5Yr 3.556 -0.083 -2.28%
US10Yr3.754 -0.080 -2.08%
US30Yr.4.060 -0.063 -1.53%
VIX..21.32‼️ +0.60 +2.90%

USDIndx 101.3580❗️-0.4670 -0.46%
Como Indx….270.26 -2.54 -0.93%
BCOMIN………140.35 -1.24 -0.87%

IndoCDS..68.23 +0.98 +1.46%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/08)

IDR…….15479.50❗️ -46.50 -0.30%
Jisdor..15490.00❗️ -46.00 -0.30%

Euro…1.1084 +0.0038 +0.34%

TLKM…19.82 +0.17 +0.86%
( 3070)
EIDO…..21.85 +0.26 +1.30%
EEM….42.50 -0.01 -0.02%

Oil……….69.30 -1.09 -1.55%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.70 -1.05 -1.42%
(Brent)
Gold…2525.20 +0.30 +0.01%
(Comex)
Gold…2495.36 +2.17 +0.09%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30499.00 -246.00 -0.80%
(Closed 04/09)
Nickel..16180.00 -311.00 -1.89%
(Closed 04/09)
Silver……28.59 +0.19 +0.67%
Copper.408.50 -0.80 -0.20%

Iron Ore 62% 100.55 +1.85 +1.87%
(30/08)
Nturl Gas 2.146 -0.058 -2.63%
Ammonia China 2623.33 +90.00 +3.55%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/09)

Coal price.139.50 -2.50 -1.76%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.40 -2.70 -1.90%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.60 -2.05 -1.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price..142.00 -2.15 -1.49%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 114.00 -3.45 -2.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.85 -3.40 -2.88%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3888 -45 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 40.16 -0.82 -2.00%
Wheat……580.75 +14.00 +2.47%

Wood pulp.4916.00 +8.00 +0.16%
(Closed 03/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dow Jones ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah asia merah, IHSG ijo sendiri. Tapi US bond yield merah semua, semoga masih ijo lagi IHSG hari ini, beresin wave 3 ke target fibo ext 1.61

USD index down, metal2 mostly up but Tin and Nickel yang tutup dan copper. Oil Gas Down, Coal down, CPO down, Pulp and Paper juga down. Dari sini jadi meragukan mau ngejar target wave 3

IHSG – Technically terlihat berbahaya, stoch down, MACD rev down, MFI down, w% masih uptrend, tapi BD masih accum, FNB masih lanjut, ada kemungkinan testing support 7454 terus lanjut, atau emang wave 3 nya berhenti kemaren sedikit diatas fibo ext 1 aja

Property, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI GOTO ISAT SIDO AUTO SILO WEGE, big accum ISAT AUTO

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ACES