September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB

June 11th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at fresh records, clinch first winning day in three as Fed decision approaches

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite closed at fresh records as Nvidia lifted tech stocks and investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.

Dow……38868 +69.1 +0.18%
Nasdaq17192 +59.40 +0.35%
S&P 500.5360 +13.80 +0.26%

FTSE…..8229 -16.89 -0.20%
Dax……18494 -62.4 -0.34%
CAC……7894 -107.8 -1.35%

Nikkei..39038 +354.2 +0.92%
HSI…..18367 closed +0%
Shanghai.3051closed +0%

IDX….6921.55 +23.60 +0.314%
LQ45..884.84 +0.91 +0.10%
IDX30.440.21 -0.82 -0.18_3%

IDXEnergy..2231.42 -31.22 -1.38%
IDX BscMat1351.40 +4.31 +0.31%
IDX Indstrl. 931.86 -12.05 -1.28%
IDXNONCYC.698.41 +0.13 +0.02%
IDX Hlthcare1435.61+4.45. +0.31%
IDXCYCLIC…724.81 -8.37 -1.14%
IDXTechno3210.03 -66.80 -2.04%
IDX Transp 1261.52 -3.73 -0.29%
IDX Infrast 1451.04 +11.79 +0.82%
IDX Finance1345.86 -5.99 -0.44%
IDX Banking1157.97 -2.41 -0.21″%
IDX Property…..615 -0.40 -0.07*%

Indo10Yr.6.9669 +0.0365 +0.53%
ICBI…380.3239 -0.6862 -0.18%
US2Yr.4.885 -0.004 -0.08%
US5Yr 4.485 +0.024 +0.54%
US10Yr4.462 +0.029 +0.65%
US30Yr.4.598 +0.045 +0.99%
VIX..12.74 +0.52 +4.26%‼️

USDIndx 105.1500 ‼️+0.2650 +0.25%
Como Indx….291.31 +1.53 +0.53%
BCOMIN….154.11 +1.08 +0.71%

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…16282.50‼️ +87.00 +0.54%
Jisdor.16290.00‼️ +72.00. +0.44%

Euro….1.0765 -0.0036 -0.33%

TLKM…18.38 -0.19 -1.00%
( 2994)
EIDO….19.88 +0.12 +0.61%
EEM…..42.09 +0.24 +0.57%

Oil…….78.10 +2.57 +3.40%‼️
Gold..2325.00 +3.10 +0.13%
Timah..32001.00 +549.00 +1.75%
(Closed 10/06)
Nickel..18102.50 -507.00 -2.72%‼️
(Closed 10/06)
Silver….29.90 +0.46 +1.56%
Copper.455.45 +7.10 +1.58%

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..3.019 +0.082 +2.79%
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.85 +0.40 +0.30%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.70 +0.70 +0.53%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.95 -0.10 -0.07%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 135.95 -2.40 -1.74%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.60 +1.60 +1.48%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.90 +0.30 +0.27%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 unch +0%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.25 -0.10 -0.09%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3917 -59.00 -1.48%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..451.75 +3.00 +0.57%
SoybeanOil 43.66 +0.03 +0.07%
Wheat….607.50 -20.00 -3.19%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 10/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe merah, asia ijo, us bond yield yang panjang naik, yang 2 tahun turun, masih jelek buat saham…

US index naik, tapi gold silver copper tin naik, nickel iron ore turun, oil up gas up coal up, cpo down. Masih belum bisa lanjut rally walau udah tutup gap. Masih wait and see

IHSG – masih jelek, stoch macd down, MFI mulai mantul, w% masih downtrend, tapi udah tutup gap, semoga sudah done koreksinya

Healthcare, Property, FInancials, Consumer Cyclicals,Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: INKP PGEO PTMP MIKA SMIL TINS LION IGAR, big accum PTMP

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT AMFG UNIC, AMRT big accum

INKP – masih down macd, Stoch nya juga ngebalik sell lagi, belum saatnya

MIKA – stoch buy, macd masih belum, BD FF dist, belum saatnya juga

TINS – nah ini menarik, stoch udah buy, macd belum tapi ada macd reg bull div, belum confirmed, tunggu MACD dulu

 

June 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week

The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……38799 -87.2 -0.22%
Nasdaq17133 -39.99 -0.23%
S&P 500.5346 -5.97 -0.11%

FTSE…..8245 -39.97 -0.48%
Dax……18557 -95.4 -0.51%
CAC……8001 -38.3 -0.48%

Nikkei..38684 -19.6 -0.05%
HSI…..18367 -109.9 -0.59%
Shanghai.3051 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX….6897.95 -76.95 -1.10%
LQ45..883.93 -8.18 -0.92%
IDX30.441.02 -2.95 -0.66%

IDXEnergy..2262.65 +0.30 +0.01%
IDX BscMat1347.27 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Indstrl. 943.90 -5.91 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.698.28 -1.30 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1431.16 +16.96+1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…733.18 -3.85 -0.52%
IDXTechno3276.82 -43.51 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1265.25 +7.58 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1439.25 -16.33 -1.12%
IDX Finance1351.84 -18.47 -1.35%
IDX Banking1160.38 -11.78 -1.00%
IDX Property…..615 +0.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.9304 +0.0002 +0.002%
ICBI…380.8664 +0.2382 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.889 +0.165 +3.49%‼️
US5Yr 4.461 +0.163 +3.79%‼️
US10Yr4.433 +0.135 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.553 +0.118 +2.66%
VIX..12.22 -0.36 -2.86%

USDIndx 104.8850❗️+0.7830 +0.75%
Como Indx….289.86 -2.56 -0.88%
BCOMIN….153.03 -5.76 -3.63%‼️

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..16195.00 -67.50 -0.42%
Jisdor.16218.00 -61.00 -0.37%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0091 -0.84%

TLKM…18.57 -0.17 -0.88%
( 3011)
EIDO….19.77 -0.35 -1.72%
EEM…..42.04 -0.48 -1.12%

Oil…….75.53 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold..2325.00 -69.50 -2.90%‼️
Timah..31452.00 -746.00 -2.32%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver….29.44 -2.02 -6.42%‼️
Copper.448.35 -18.60 -3.98%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..2.937 +0.116 +4.11%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.45 -2.90 -2.16%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.00 -2.90 -2.13%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 -0.55 -0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.35 +0.95 +0.69%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 -1.85 -1.68%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.60 -0.85 -0.76%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 -0.50 -0.44%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +0.30 +0.26%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3976 +15.00 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..448.75 -3.25 -0.72%
SoybeanOil 43.63 -0.72 -1.62%
Wheat…..627.50 -12.00 -1.88%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US merah europe merah asia merah, US bond yield naik tinggi banget, fixed deh, IHSG tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, tin iron ore down, nickel up sendiri. Oil down gas up coal down, CPO lanjut ijo, ini bubar semua kecuali buat AALI LSIP, tapi kalo index merah dalem ya susah jalan juga

IHSG – technical jelek semua, cuma Elliot wave yang bilang udah deket beres ABC correction sekalian tutup gap, beware, semua open position pasang stop loss

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, KLBF UNTR ASSA BSDE ELSA GTRA SMRA SMAR AMFG MDKI AALI. Ga ada yang big accum, kita assess sekilas, yang emang bagus bisa jadi bagus diambil nanti sore kalau index merah dalem lagi tutup gap

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO

KLBF – technical relative ok semua, memang stoch nya udah tinggi, MACD udah diatas histogram, tapi retracement pattern says up ke fibo 38.Kalo misalnya hari ini dibanting ke deket level 1535 mungkin bagus buat pasang buy disitu plus 1 tick

Spike udah done

Ah, nggak dulu deh, biggest holdernya udah mulai lepas barang, tunggu koreksi dulu deh

UNTR – technical menarik, stoch buy macd up, MFI up, w% sw, tapi BD FF masih dist, ada gap, ASII nya juga udah terlihat siap jalan, BOW bisa ini harusnya

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder lagi hold, mungkin karena index lagi drop. Tapi ga buang, ok ini, bisa BOW UNTR idealnya level deket 22.200. Saya skip karena hold ASII

ASSA – dari chart nya kaya yang mau hajatan… stoch buy, macd almost buy, tapi MFI down karena vol kecil, bandar aja yang main kali, w% up, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, harusnya bisa buy

Ada spike belum done

average aman, biggest holder accum, YP aja buang dikit. bisa buy ini, BOW sedikit diatas support 710 ideal

BSDE – Stoch rev buy belum sampe oversold sih, macd sw, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, mungkin aja beres sidewaysnya dan mau lanjut, tapi index kaya gini dan liat curve nya sih, ke bawah kayanya

ELSA – belum sih, kemarin udah firm jalan tapi oil price ngebalik, kita tunggu firm naik lagi oil price nya

Tunggu oil price confirm dulu

AALI – belum boleh jalan, balik ke support low kemaren, stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF dist, kesempatan ambil di bawah sih ini, tapi memang resiko, yang berani spec buy boleh, tapi break support buang

Spike nya sih cakep

Average aman, biggest holder udah berhenti buang, second nya accum, berani lah… Saya masih hold AALI

SIDO – technical ok, tapi overpriced, ga ada issue besar juga, skip ah

 

 

 

May 22nd, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq rise on Tuesday to close at fresh records

Stocks ticked higher Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closing at new records, as investors looked toward artificial intelligence favorite Nvidia
’s earnings report Wednesday.

Dow……39873 +66.2 +0.17%
Nasdaq16833 +37.8 +0.22%
S&P 500.5321 +13.3 +0.25%

FTSE…..8416 -7.8 -0.09%
Dax……18727 -42.2 -0.22%
CAC……8141 -54.5 -0.67%

Nikkei..38946 -122.8 -0.31%
HSI…..19220 -415.6 -2.12%
Shanghai.3158 -13.2 -0.42%

IDX….7186.04 -80.65 -1.11%
LQ45..891.58 -16.96 -1.87%
IDX30..457.74 -7.02 -1.51%

IDXEnergy..2240.99 -10.57 -0.47%
IDX BscMat1438.10 -1.34 -0.09%
IDX Indstrl..1023.14 -9.33 -0.90%
IDXNONCYC.701.53 -0.28 -0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1416.69 -18.75 -1.31%
IDXCYCLIC…738.50 -12.15 -1.62%
IDXTechno3402.30 -31.92 -0.93%
IDX Transp 1369.20 -21.38 -1.54%
IDX Infrast 1618.96 -10.37 -0.64%
IDX Finance1369.20 -21.38 -1.54%
IDX Banking1174.72 -36.02 -2.98%
IDX Property…..638 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.8937 -0.0016 -0.02%
ICBI…379.8806 -0.1636 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.831 -0.021 -0.43%
US5Yr 4.432 -0.038 -0.85%
US10Yr4.415 -0.029 -0.65%
US30Yr.4.549-0.034 -0.74%
VIX..11.86 -0.29 -2.39👍

USDIndx 104.6610❗️ +0.10 +0.09%
Como Indx..295.96 +0.35 +0.12%
BCOMIN….172.06 +1.64 0.96%

IndoCDS..70.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/05)

IDR…..15998.50 +20.50 +0.13%
Jisdor.16024.00‼️ +44 +0.28%

Euro….1.0858 -0.001 -0.01%

TLKM…18.39 -0.26 -1.39%
( 2947)
EIDO….20.57 -0.33 -1.58%
EEM…..43.36 -0.30 -0.69%

Oil…….79.26 -0.54 -0.68%
Gold..2448.50‼️ +10.00 -0.41%
Timah..34324.00 -144.00 -0.42%
(Closed 21/05)
Nickel..21274.00 -135.00 -0.63%
(Closed 21/05)
Silver…..32.29 +0.21 +0.66%
Copper.510.40 -0.20 -0.20%

Iron Ore 62% 117.24 +0.22 +0.19%
(20/05)
Nturl Gas..2.667 -0.091 -3.30%
Ammonia China.3320.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(20/05)

Coal price 142.05 +1.05 +0.74%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.25 +0.25 +0.18%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 +0.30 +0.21%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +0.95 +0.67%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..106.80 +1.00 +0.95%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.10 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.50 +0.85 +0.73%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.10 +0.85 +0.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3863 -55 -1.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….458.00 -2.50 -0.54%
SoybeanOil 45.81 -0.51 -1.10%
Wheat…..697.50 +8.75 +1.27%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 2/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe merah, asia rontok semua… US bond yield merah, harusnya recover IHSG hari ini, minimal sideways lah, ga merah dalem lagi

USD index up, meral2 turun semua kecual silver, oil down, gas down, coal up, CPO down, kita check detail coal dan oil chart dulu

Chart oil ok sih, harusnya masih jadwal uptrend

Chart coal masih belum terlihat mau uptrend

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS, tutup gap dulu lah ya, baru jalan lagi…

Basic Materials, Property, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals. Financials mulai jalan, kita tunggu BTPS

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS INDF ADMR HRTA LPPF TRON WIIM. LPPF big accum

MACD buy signal: INTP ADHI ADMR BRMS CFIN TRON SMDR SMAR ISSP AMFG, Big Accum INTP