Global update:

August 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks end Wednesday higher, Dow and S&P 500 snap three-day slide

Stocks rose Wednesday, snapping a three-day decline in the Dow and the S&P 500, as investors awaited more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation.

Dow…….32969 +59.6 +0.18%
Nasdaq.12432 +50.2 +0.41%
S&P 500..4141 +12 +0.29%

FTSE…….7471 -16.6 -0.22%
Dax……..13220 +25.8 +0.39%
CAC……..6387 +24.7 +0.39%

Nikkei….28313 -139.3 -0.49%
HSI……..19269 -234.5 -1.20%
Shanghai..3215 -61.02 -1.86%
ST Times..3233 -12.7 -0.39%

IDX…….7194.71 +31.44 +0.44%
LQ45…1026.61 +3.61 +0.35%

IDX Energy…1859.83 +15.55 +0.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.57 -4.59 -0.35%
IDX Industrl..1315.97 +10.02 +0.77%
IDXNONCYC..711.52 -2.66 -0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.83 -0.05 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.20 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX Techno..8058.64 +183.16 +2.33%
IDX Transp…2002.03 -8.51 -0.42%
IDX Infrast…..1038.90 +0.78 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1503.76 +2.60 +0.17%
IDX Banking..1138.23 -0.07 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 +2.04 +0.34%

Indo10Yr….7.1587 -0.0283 -0.39%
ICBI……..336.3387 +0.6148 +0.18%
US10Yr…..3.1060 +0.0520 +1.70%
VIX……….22.82 -1.29 -5.35%

USDIndx 108.6770 +0.0530 +0.05%
Como Indx..298.86 +2.55 +0.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.83 -0.80 -0.51%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14848.00 +10.50 +0.07%
Jisdor..14851 .00 -42.00 -0.28%

Euro………0.9969 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..31.63 +0.55 +1.77%
(4697)
EIDO………23.92 +0.16 +0.67%
EEM………39.75 -0.01 -0.03%

Oil…………..95.25 +1.50 +1.60%
Gold ……..1764.40 +3.50 +0.20%
Timah. .24505.00 +40.00 +0.16%
( Closed 23/8)
Nickel….21407.50 -443.50 -2.03%‼️
(Closed 24/8)
Silver…….19.08 -0.02 -0.10%
Copper….364.50 -3.40 -0.92%

Nturl Gas…..9.236 -0.006 -0.06%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(23/8)

Coal price….412.60 -5.00 -1.20%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -5.00 -1.18%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.25 -8.75 -2.08%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.25 +1.25 +0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….376.90 -2.05 -0.54%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….368.40 -2.60 -0.70%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4304 +67 +1.58%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..657.25 +2.00 +0.31%
SoybeanOil…65.98 -0.94 -1.40%
Wheat………813.25 +12.75 +1.59%

Wood pulp…6704.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 24/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US ijo, IDX mau ikut ijo atau merah ya? Karena udah run 2 hari, kayanya opening ijo dulu terus closing merah. Yang pegang sektor non Energy Healthcare dan Consumer Non-cyclicals mending TP TP in dulu, minimal setengahnya

Europe mayoritas ijo, Asia mayoritas merah…

Oil Gold TImah CPO naik, Nikel Silver copper gas coal turun

Kesempatan ini buat BOW coal. CPO naik tapi ga terlalu significant kita coba liat efeknya ke AALI dan LSIP dari signal hari ini

IHSG – berhasil ijo lagi kemaren, disaat index regional lain pada merah. Di diskusi group2 wa dan telegram mulai keluar optimistic forecast: Mau bikin new All Time High… Bukannya ga ngarep itu kejadian, tapi index bikin new ATH itu harusnya gambaran dari keadaan ekonomi Indonesia, dan terpengaruh juga sama kondisi global. Kondisi ancaman perang dunia ke-4 dan krisis energi gini sepertinya sih bukan sentimen positif untuk sekarang2 bisa bikin new record high. Indicator2 technical nya juga kurang mendukung ke arah situ

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cycicals, Technology

Energy – Still all good…

Kalopun turun keseret index aja keliatannya

Global Update:

August 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 fall Tuesday, notching three-day losing streak

Stocks fell Tuesday following its worst day since June as investors braced for a hawkish message from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….32910 -154.02 -0.47%
Nasdaq.12381 -0.3 -0.00%
S&P 500..4129 -9.3 -0.22%

FTSE…….7488 -46.7 -0.61%
Dax……..13194 -36.3 -0.27%
CAC……..6362 -16.7 -0.26%

Nikkei….28453 -341.8 -1.19%
HSI……..19503 -153.7 -0.78%
Shanghai..3276 -1.6 -0.05%
ST Times..3246 -16.4 -0.50%

IDX…….7163.27 +55.8 +0.78%
LQ45…1023.00 +8.32 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1844.28 +58.98 +3.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.17 +21.23 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1305.95 +8.32 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..714.18 +0.95 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.88 +8.63 +0.61%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.39 +4.75 +0.53%
IDX Techno..7875.48 +51.01 +0.65%
IDX Transp…2010.54 -7.43 -0.37%
IDX Infrast…..1038.13 +8.32 +0.81%
IDX Finance 1501.17 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Banking..1138.31 +2.75 +0.24%
IDX Property…707 +3.00 +0.43%

Indo10Yr….7.1870 +0.009 +0.13%
ICBI……..335.7238 -0.2426 -0.07%
US10Yr…..3.0540 +0.0170 +0.56%
VIX……….24.11 +0.31 +1.30%

USDIndx 108.6240 -0.4220 -0.39%
Como Indx..296.31 +3.48 +1.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.63 +0.08 +0.05%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14837.50 -54.00 -0.36%
Jisdor..14893 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………0.9970 +0.0028 +0.28%‼️

TLKM……..31.08 -0.03 -0.10%
(4629)
EIDO………23.76 +0.41 +1.76%
EEM………39.76 +0.21 +0.53%

Oil…………..93.75 +3.52 +3.90%
Gold ……..1760.90 +12.50 +0.71%
Timah. .24795.00 -330.00 -1.33%
( Closed 22/8)
Nickel….21851.00 -543.00 -2.42%‼️
(Closed 23/8)
Silver…….19.10 +0.10 +0.53%
Copper….367.90 +2.55 +0.70%

Nturl Gas…..9.242 -0.551 -5.63%‼️

Ammonia….3733.33 -16.67 -0.44%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/8)

Coal price….417.60 -0.75 -0.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 -20.50 -4.60%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -20.25 -4.60%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -7.75 -2.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….379.00 -27.10 -6.67%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….371.00 -26.45 -6.65%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4237 +74 +1.78%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..655.25 +26.25 +4.17%‼️
SoybeanOil…66.92 +0.57 +0.86%
Wheat………800.50 +12.25 +1.55%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih lanjut merah walau ga terlalu dalem, europe sama asia juga, kecuali IDX yang maksa tutup gap jadi ijo sendiri, so kemungkinan besar lanjut kebawah hari ini, sesuai jadwal wave 2

Oil naik, ELSA sama MEDC lanjut kayanya, gold silver copper ijo, timah nikel merah, kayanya tapi ga akan ngaruh banyak ke MDKA ANTM INCO TINS. Market globalnya lagi jelek

Gas turun gede, coal turun dikit, masih diatas 400, masih long bullish

CPO naik, consumer lagi naik juga, kita assess AALI sama LSIP nanti

Udah beres tutup gap, keliatannya lanjut ke bawah, hati hati yang pegang barang, kalo profit TP setengah dulu lah, kalo masih pede mau naik, jaga2 ready cash untuk belanja lagi nanti di ujung wave 2

IHSG – prepare worst case scenario, dibawa tutup gap 6740. Walau dari theory elliot wave 2 berhenti di fibo 38 @6973 juga sah sah aja

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals

Global Update:

Agust 01st, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally for a third day to cap a winning week, major averages post best month since 2020

Stocks climbed for a third consecutive session on Friday as investors digested strong tech earnings and looked past concerns about high inflation and a recessionary environment.

Dow…….32845 +315.5 +0.97%
Nasdaq.12391 +228.1 +1.88%
S&P 500..4130 +57.9 +1.42%

FTSE…….7423 +78.2 +1.06%
Dax……..13484 +201.9 +1.52%
CAC……..6449 +109.3 +1.72%

Nikkei….27802 -13.8 -0.05%
HSI……..20157 -466.2 -2.26%
Shanghai..3253 -29.3 -0.89%
ST Times..3212 -9.1 -0.28%

IDX…….6951.12 -5.69 -0.08%
LQ45…..978.64 -1.62 -0.17%

IDX Energy…1857.72 +18.76 +1.02%
IDX Bsc Mat.1283.61 -15.37 -1.18%
IDX Industrl..1308.51 +49.10 +3.90%
IDXNONCYC..702.60 -5.60 -0.79%
IDX Hlthcare.1453.47 -39.79 -2.66%
IDXCYCLIC…..903.35 +5.38 +0.60%
IDX Techno..7714.31 -55.38 -0.71%
IDX Transp…1964.07 -6.99 -0.35%
IDX Infrast……988.71 -1.38 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1499.84 +0.72 +0.05%
IDX Banking..1119.00 +9.54 +0.86%
IDX Property…….689 -0.70 -0.10%

Indo10Yr….7.3011 -0.0267 -0.36%
ICBI……..332.6399 +1.7064 +0.52%👍
US10Yr…..2.6420 -0.0390 -1.45%
VIX…………21.33 -1.00 -4.48%

USDIndx 105.9030 -0.4480 -0.42%‼
Como Indx..292.06 +3.04 +1.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.99 +5.98 +3.93%‼

IndoCDS…115.04 -13.21 -10.30%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14834.00 -87.50 -0.59%
Jisdor..14860.00 -98.00 -0.66%

Euro………1.0220 +0.0028 +0.27%

TLKM……..28.50 -0.05 -0.18%
(4235)
EIDO………23.11 unch +0%
EEM………39.96 -0.19 -0.47%

Oil…………98.62 +1.26 +1.29%
Gold ……1781.80 +12.60 +0.71%
Timah. .25047.00 +694.00 +2.85%‼
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…23854.00 +2020.00 +9.25%‼
(Closed 29/7)
Silver…….20.20 +0.33 +1.66%
Copper….357.35 +8.00 +2.29%

Nturl Gas…..8.286 +0.115 +1.41%

Ammonia….3690.00 -133.33 -3.49%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/7)

Coal price….405.50 -13.00 -3.11%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….394.50 -11.60 -2.86%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price…372.00 -10.50 -2.75%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…359.50 -2.50 -2.84%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4306 +345 +8.71%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………620.00 +1.00 +0.16%
SoybeanOil…65.66 +2.41 +3.81%
Wheat………807.75 -9.25 -1.13%

Wood pulp…6660.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Closing jum’at asia merah, eropa dan amerika ijo tebel

Komoditas naik semua kecuali coal, walau masih bertahan diatas 400usd/MT. Nikel dan CPO naik significant. Swing di LSIP menarik banget ini. ANTM INCO TINS keliatannya lanjut juga

IHSG ketemu hidden bearish divergence, candle terakhir kaya candle rejection, bikin inverted hammer. Candle ciri reversal sih.

Liat dari stochastic nya udah jenuh juga, 833 nya udah oversold, 1066 nya udah flat.

Tapi somehow saya masih yakin masih mau naik dulu, soalnya big banks release LK pada bagus, yang berarti kemungkinan pada naik harganya, dan index consequently akan ikut keangkat

Target tutup gap di 7174 dulu baru koreksi wave 2 skenario yang paling mungkin. Tapi whatever happens, technically bearish trend nya sudah bisa dianggap selesai, walau nanti konfirmasinya kalo level harga breakout ke atas titik wave B

Global Update:

July 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks during Monday’s session traded in a narrow range.
All of the major averages are on track for their best month of the year.

Traders are bracing for an onslaught of mega-cap tech earnings and economic data this week, as well as the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting, that will help Wall Street direct its expectations for the rest of the year.

But, U.S. stock futures fell on Monday night after Walmart cut its profit forecast, sending retail stocks tumbling after hours.

Dow…….31990 +90.8 +0.28%
Nasdaq.11783 -51.5 -0.43%
S&P 500..3967 +5.2 +0.13%

FTSE…….7306 +29.9 +0.41%
Dax……..13210 -43.4 -0.33%
CAC……..6238 +20.7 +0.33%

Nikkei….27699 -215.4 -0.77%
HSI……..20563 -46.2 -0.22%
Shanghai..3250 -19.6 -0.60%
ST Times..3184 +2.2 +0.07%

IDX…….6858.41 -28.56 -0.41%
LQ45…..967.13 -6.91 -0.71%

IDX Energy…1741.10 +16.38 +0.95%
IDX Bsc Mat.1275.25 -5.53 -0.43%
IDX Industrl..1219.82 +5.60 +0.46%
IDXNONCYC..724.61 +1.05 +0.15%
IDX Hlthcare.1514.97 -6.81 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.23 -0.18 -0.02%
IDX Techno..7817.61 -262.43 -3.25%
IDX Transp…1955.61 -38.10 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……982.15 +6.51 +0.67%
IDX Finance 1464.19 -8.89 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1090.07 -7.07 -0.64%
IDX Property…….678 +1.30 +0.19%

Indo10Yr….7.4917 -0.0106 -0.14%
ICBI……….328.0307 +0.0642 +0.02%
US10Yr…..2.8200 +0.0370 +1.33%
VIX…………23.26 +0.33 +1.43%

USDIndx 106.4830 -0.2470 -0.23%
Como Indx..284.76 +3.60 +1.28%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.20 -0.95 -0.64%

IndoCDS…132.27 -4.97 -3.62%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 -20.50 -0.14%
Jisdor..14992.00 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro………1.0220 +0.0007 +0.07%

TLKM……..27.95 +0.01 +0.04%
(4190)
EIDO………22.60 +0.10 +0.44%
EEM………39.56 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………96.31 +1.61 +1.70%
Gold ……1734.80 -10.35 -0.60%
Timah. .24947.00 – -%
( Closed 22/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -271.50 -1.21%
(Closed 25/7)
Silver…….18.30 -0.32 -1.72%
Copper….335.40 -0.55 -0.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.618 +0.313 +3.77%

Ammonia….369033 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/7)

Coal price….410.25 +1.05 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…411.05 +12.00 +3.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…387.35 +11.05 +2.94%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…364.00 +27.20 +8.08%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3646 -161 -1.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………583.75 +19.50 +3.46%
SoybeanOil…57.55 -0.32 -0.55%
Wheat………770.00 +11.00 +1.45%

Wood pulp…6640.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 25/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US tipis tipis, nasdaq karena forecast pendapatan tech giants turun jadi minus duluan. Asia merah kecuali singapore, eropa cuma jerman yang merah, yang lain ikut US sesi satu jadi ijo

Metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, cpo turun. Kita masih bisa expect saham coal terus naik walau index mungkin merah lagi. Keliatannya bagusan tutup gap dulu sih, biar ga ada “hutang”, hehehe…

Issue IKN digoreng buat naikin saham BUMN karya, tapi kalo cuma itu doang ga bisa panjang gerakannya keliatannya… Yang jelas sebelum firm sektornya jalan hati2 buy BUMN karya. Cucu nya aja malah suspended, WSBP, jadi korban dikasih proyek terus sama waskita tapi dibayarnya kapan kapan…

Index ketemu hidden bearish divergence, biasanya ya 3 hari mah koreksi. Tapi yang bikin khawatir bukan itu… Ada gap di bawah, dan ada satu lagi, di chart trading view ga ada tapi

Kalo di chart mansek ada opening gap pas index naik 2%, most likely ini mah ditutup dulu dalam waktu dekat