Daily Analysis 20220712
Global Update: July 12th, 2022 Good morning, S&P 500 loses 1%, Nasdaq breaks 5-day win streak ahead of earnings season U.S. equities fell Monday as Wall Street braced for big…
Daily Analysis 20220708
Global Update:
July 08th, 2022
Good morning,
S&P 500 gains for fourth day to match year’s longest win streak, Dow jumps 300 points
U.S. stocks rose on Thursday as Wall Street built on its modest winning streak ahead of a key jobs report.
Dow…….31385 +346.9 +1.12%
Nasdaq.11621 +259.5 +2.28%
S&P 500..3903 +57.5 +1.50%
FTSE…….7189 +81.3 +1.14%
Dax……..12843 +248.7 +1.97%
CAC……..6007 +94.3 +1.60%
Nikkei….26491 +382.9 +1.47%
HSI……..21644 +56.9 +0.26%
Shanghai..3364 +9.1 +0.27%
ST Times..3129 +25.7 +0.83%
IDX…….6652.59 +6.18 +0.09%
LQ45…..946.58 -0.57 -0.06%
IDX Energy…1631.61 -2.51 -0.15%
IDX Bsc Mat.1170.42 +8.16 +0.70%
IDX Industrl..1155.42 -2.18 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC..707.14 -0.67 -0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.14 -1.48 -0.10%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.08 +5.52 +0.64%
IDX Techno….7556.91 +142.63 +1.92%
IDX Transp…1863.39 +32.72 +1.79%
IDX Infrast……959.35 +3.90 +0.41%
IDX Finance 1390.08 +9.64 +0.70%
IDX Property…….670 +7.30 +1.11%
Indo10Yr….7.3720 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI……….331.0947 +0.3341 +0.10%
US10Yr…..3.0080 +0.0950 +3.26%
VIX…………26.08 -0.65 -2.43%
USDIndx 107.1300 +0.0340 +0.03%‼
Como Indx..285.08 +8.95 +3.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.58 +3.45 +2.33%
IndoCDS…150.30 +3.78 +2.58%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) .
IDR……15001.50 +2.50 +0.02%‼
Jisdor..15015.00 -29.00 -0.19%‼
Euro………1.0162 -0.0023 -0.23%
TLKM……..26.88 +0.19 +0.71%
(4036)
EIDO………21.70 +0.10 +0.46%
EEM……….40.09 +0.79 +2.01%
Oil…………102.55 +4.34 +4.42%‼
Gold …….1739.30 +1.80 +0.10%
Timah. .24712.00 -1288 -4.95%‼
( Closed 06/7)
Nickel…21499.00 -198.00 -0.91%
(Closed 07/7)
Silver…….19.15 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….354.25 +1.06 +3.08%
Nturl Gas…..5.541 +0.6470 +11.68%‼
Ammonia ..4473.33 -116.67 -2.54%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(06/7)
Coal price…410.00 +10.30 +2.58%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…412.00 +15.60 +3.92%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…385.00 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…369.30 +5.70 +1.54%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Sept)…..4135 +79 +1.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +11.25 +1.92%
SoybeanOil…59.59 +2.95 +5.21%‼
Wheat………836.50 +32.00 +3.98%‼
Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 04/7)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
Semua regional index ijo kemaren, idx juga ijo walau tipis. Good sign untuk koreksi mungkin sudah beres di level 6500 an, ga jadi dibawa tutup gap 6162
Tetep very selective buying di saham saham yang punya hajat sendiri, yang tetep ijo walau index merah
Oil Gas Coal naik tinggi, semakin besar tanda rebound untuk sektor energy yang rata2 memang sudah mulai keluar signal buy di stochastic
Kalo MACD buy signal keluar, kita entry
BRPT kemaren rally 10%, hari ini kemungkinan besar dibanting dulu, selain biasanya, pasti retrace dulu karena oil naik tinggi, bahan baku industri petrokimia kan dari minyak. Minyak naik biaya produksi naik
Gold CPO Copper ijo, solver nickel merah. Timah drop. Ngehambat trio kwek kwek ANTM INCO TINS aja nih, heu
Seandainya koreksi beres di level 6500, kita bisa proyeksikan gerakan selanjutnya kesini
Daily Analysis 20220706
Global Update:
July 06th, 2022
Good morning,
Stocks stage big comeback Tuesday with S&P 500 finishing slightly higher after erasing 2% loss
Stocks staged an afternoon rally on Tuesday as concerns about a possible recession in the U.S. weighed on investor sentiment but lower interest rates appeared to boost the tech sector.
Dow…….30968 -129.4 -0.42%
Nasdaq.11322 +194.4 +1.75%
S&P 500..3831 +6.1 +0.16%
FTSE…….7025 -207.2 -2.86%
Dax……..12401 -372.2 -2.91%
CAC……..5795 -159.7 -2.68%
Nikkei….26423 +269.7 +1.03%
HSI……..21853 +22.7 +0.10%
Shanghai..3404 -1.4 -0.04%
ST Times..3104 -16.1 -0.52%
IDX…….6703.27 +64.1 +0.97%
LQ45…..957.11 +6.96 +0.73%
IDX Energy…1667.48 +65.34 +4.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1179.06 +16.34 +1.41%
IDX Industrl..1184.42 +23.73 +2.04%
IDXNONCYC..702.31 +4.97 +0.71%
IDX Hlthcare.1504.72 +11.62 +0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…..865.26 +3.36 +0.39%
IDX Techno….7492.55 +52.66 +0.71%
IDX Transp…1852.36 +30.30 +1.66%
IDX Infrast……957.17 +11.35 +1.20%
IDX Finance 1382.86 +11.34 +0.83%
IDX Property…….665 +6.50 +0.98%
Indo10Yr….7.3940 +0.0120 +0.16%
ICBI……….330.6812 -0.2717 -0.08%
US10Yr…..2.8090 -0.0800 -2.77%
VIX…………27.54 +0.01 +0.04%
USDIndx 106.5350 +1.3160 +1.25%‼
Como Indx..278.16 -13.67 -4.68%‼
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..149.11 -2.60 -1.72%
IndoCDS…146.52 +2.50 +1.74%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) .
IDR……14993.50 +22.00 +0.15%‼
Jisdor..14990.00 +30.00 +0.20%‼
Euro………1.0269 -0.0155 -1.48%
TLKM……..27.00 -0.25 -0.92%
(4077)
EIDO………21.64 -0.45 -2.04%
EEM……….39.54 -0.31 -0.78%
Oil…………100.74 -9.77 -8.84%‼
Gold …….1767.20 -41.40 -2.28%‼
Timah. .26600.00 -50 -0.19%
( Closed 04/7)
Nickel…22726.50 +74.00 +0.33%
(Closed 05/7)
Silver…….19.92 -0.72 -3.61%‼
Copper…343.80 -13.10 -3.67%‼
Nturl Gas…..5.571 -0.328 -5.58%‼
Ammonia ..4790.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)
Coal price…397.60 +1.15 +0.29%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…392.55 +1.10 +0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…38.00 +4.00 +1.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…360.70 -1.95 -0.64%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Sept)…..4171 -169 -3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………578.50 -29.00 -4.77%‼
SoybeanOil….57.42 -4.96 -7.95%‼
Wheat……….807.00 -39.00 -4.61%‼
Wood pulp…6616.00 -8.00 -0.12%
(Closed 04/7)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
Kemaren idx ijo tebel, asia tapi sebagian merah,. Singapore sama china merah tipis, Europe merah tebel. Masih galaw ini market. Yang bisa TP mending TP dulu, masih terbuka kemungkinan IHSG drop lagi tutup gap di 6162. Mending day trade dulu jangan pegang panjang panjang
US nutup drop sebelumnya, tapi DJI closing merah, nasdaq sama S&P 500 ijo
Coal lanjut naik, oil drop lagi, energy long term nya ok tapi oil harus hati2 dulu sekarang, coal udah ok keliatannya, kita liat hari ini.
CPO drop lagi, gold silver copper juga, timah nikel tipis tipis
Baru rebound kenceng sehari, asli rebound atau dead cat bounce? Kita tunggu perkembangannya. Memang sulit untuk expect buy at the very bottom and sell at the very peak. Kalo FOMO bisa nyangkut beneran
Konfirmasi reversal selalu lag, jadi paling bisa ya pake teknik bottom fishing sebagian, pas abis konfirmasi sebagian lagi, risk management
Daily Analysis 20220705
Global update:
July 05th, 2022
Good morning,
US markets on holiday due to the Independence Day
Dow…….31097 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11128 closed +0%
S&P 500..3825 closed +0%
FTSE…….7233 +64.0 +0.89%
Dax……..12773 -39.7 -0.31%
CAC……..5955 +23.6 +0.40%
Nikkei….26154 +218.2 +0.84%
HSI……..21830 -29.4 -0.13%
Shanghai..3405 +17.8 +0.53%
ST Times..3120 +24.7 +0.80%
IDX…….6639.17 -155.16 -2.28%
LQ45…..950.15 -24.18 -2.48%
IDX Energy…1602.14 -7.39 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1162.72 -21.62 -1.83%
IDX Industrl..1160.69 -13.21 -1.13%
IDXNONCYC..697.34 -19.06 -2.66%
IDX Hlthcare.1493.10 -22.24 -1.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.90 -14.55 -1.56%
IDX Techno.7439.89 -310.35 -4.00%‼️
IDX Transp.1822.06 -67.47 -3.57%‼️
IDX Infrast……945.82 -11.45 -1.20%
IDX Finance 1371.52 -36.36 -2.58%
IDX Property…….658 -11.90 -1.78%
Indo10Yr….7.3820 +0.0234 +0.32%
ICBI……….330.9518 +0.1091 +0.03%
US10Yr…..2.8890 closed +0%
VIX…………26.70 closed +0%
USDIndx 105.21¥0 +0.0810 +0.08%
Como Indx….291.83 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..151.71 closed +0%
IndoCDS…144.02 – –
(5-yr INOCD5) .
IDR……14971.50 +29.00 +0.19%‼️
Jisdor..14960.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️
Euro………1.0424 +0.0010 +0.10%
TLKM……..27.25 closed +0%
(4077)
EIDO……….22.09 closed +0%
EEM……….39.85 closed -0%
Oil………….110.51 +2.08 +1.92%
Gold …… .1808.60 +7.10 +0.39%
Timah. .26650.00 +199 +0.75%
( Closed 01/7)
Nickel..22652.50 +809.00 +3.70%‼️
(Closed 03/7)
Silver……….19.92 +0.25 +1.26%
Copper…..356.90 -3.50 -0.97%
Nturl Gas…..5.876 +0.256 +4.56%
Ammonia ..4790.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)
Coal price…396.45 +8.45 +2.18%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…391.44 +16.45 +4.39%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.00 +7.00 +1.90%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…350.90 +11.75 +3.35%‼️
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Sept)…..4340 -355 -7.55%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..607.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…..62.36 closed +0%
Wheat……….846.00 closed +0%
Wood pulp…6616.00 -8.00 -0.11%
(Closed 04/7)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
US tutup, hari kemerdekaan. Regional hampir semua ijo, cuma jerman sama hangseng merah tipis, while IHSG merah dalem. Kenapa? Ya ga ada alasan fundamental yang saya jelas, tapi alasan technical ada, memang harus turun menyelesaikan siklus ABC correction nya, minimal sampe level harga sekarang di 6500-an.
Masih mungkin turun tutup gap 6162, tapi kecil kemungkinan disekaliguskan, harusnya ada technical rebound dulu, walau misalnya akan lanjut
Selective buying di saham coal sama minyak, nikel2an kita liat sama sama, mungkin rebound mungkin masih koreksi. Tunggu konfirmasi buy signal aja
Reminder:
Kemungkinan 1: kaya taun kemaren, mantul di area yang sama dengan wave A
Kemungkinan 2: Lanjut tutup gap dan beresin ABC correction pola standar
Daily Analysis 20220701
Global update:
July 01st, 2022
Good morning,
S&P 500 posts worst first half since 1970, Nasdaq falls more than 1% to end the quarter
Stocks fell on Thursday, as the S&P 500 capped its worst first half in more than 50 years.
Dow…….30775 -253.9 -0.27%
Nasdaq.11029 -149.2 -1.33%
S&P 500..3785 -33.5 -0.88%
FTSE…….7169 -143.04 -1.96%
Dax……..12784 -219.6 -1.69%
CAC……..5923 -108.6 -1.80%
Nikkei….26393 -411.6 -1.54%
HSI……..21860 -137.1 -0.62%
Shanghai..3399 +37.1 +1.10%
ST Times..3102 -32.7 -1.04%
IDX…….6911.58 -30.77 -0.44%
LQ45…..991.94 -3.77 -0.38%
IDX Energy…1638.18 -17.88 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.87 -21.18 -1.71%
IDX Industrl..1210.49 -6.26 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..723.26 -1.96 -0.27%
IDX Hlthcare.1519.86 +16.85 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..891.84 -6.28 -0.70%
IDX Techno..7885.76 +83.61 +1.07%
IDX Transp…1974.62 -34.10 -1.70%
IDX Infrast……965.61 -5.04 -0.52%
IDX Finance 1437.32 -15.34 -1.06%
IDX Property…….678 -4.20 -0.62%
Indo10Yr….7.3623 -0.0281 -0.38%‼
ICBI……….330.9035 +0.5162 +0.16%‼
US10Yr…..2.9720 -0.1210 -3.91%
VIX…………28.71 +0.55 +1.95%
USDIndx 104.6850 -0.4210 -0.40%
Como Indx….291.15 -8.19 -2.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..155.73 -4.99 -3.11%‼
IndoCDS…144.45 +8.46 +6.22%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) .
IDR……14903.00 +50.50 +0.34%‼
Jisdor..14882.00 +e4.00 +0.23%‼
Euro………1.0478 +0.0034 +0.33%
TLKM……..27.04 -0.36 -1.31%
(4024)
EIDO……….22.38 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……….40.10 -0.19 -0.47%
Oil………….105.88 -3.81 -3.47%‼
Gold …… .1805.60 -13.40 -0.74%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..22745.50 -1152.00 -4.82%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.15 -0.59 -2.84%
Copper…..367.75 -10.45 -2.76%
Nturl Gas…..5.670 -0.764 -11.87%‼
Ammonia ..4773.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/6)
Coal price…380.00 +5.95 +1.57%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…368.95 +8.95 +2.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…370.00 +5.25 +1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…352.00 +6.50 +1.88%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Sept)…..4912 +8 +0.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..619.75 -34.00 -5.20%‼
SoybeanOil…..64.46 -2.52 -3.76%‼
Wheat……….884.00 -46.00 -4.95%‼
Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/6)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
Regional hampir semua merah, cuma china yang ijo
Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali coal yang naik signifikan dan cpo yang naik tipis. Momentum rebound buat saham coal, technically udah waktunya rebound sih
Yak, sesuai perkiraan mulai menukik… Sayangnya saham perkiraan bakal kontrarian nya ga pas, property ikut dibanting, infra ikut dibanting, even consumer yang kemaren jaya ikut dibanting walau ga jauh
Exit di DCB, off market sampe IHSG tercapai level aman buat buy lagi. Itu rencana paling moderate…
Either 6500-an atau 6055-an, sesuai itungan fibonacci extension-nya
Daily Analysis 20220630
Global Update:
June 30th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow rises modestly in volatile trading as Wall Street struggles to recover
Stocks fluctuated on Wednesday, after the major averages made a failed attempt at a bounce in the previous session, and as the market prepares to close out the worst first half of the year since 1970.
Dow…….31029 +82.3 +0.27%
Nasdaq.11178 -3.7 -0.03%
S&P 500..3819 -2.7 -0.07%
FTSE…….7312 -11.1 -0.15%
Dax……..13003 -228.5 -1.73%
CAC……..6031 -54.5 -0.90%
Nikkei….26805 -244.9 -0.91%
HSI……..21997 -422.1 -1.88%
Shanghai..3362 -47.7 -1.40%
ST Times..3135 -5.3 -0.17%
IDX…….6942.35 -54.10 -0.77%
LQ45…..995.71 -11.93 -1.18%
IDX Energy…1656.06 -10.31 -0.62%
IDX Bsc Mat.1242.06 -19.91 -1.58%
IDX Industrl..1216.74 -19.47 -1.57%
IDXNONCYC..725.23 -1.61 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare.1503.01 +2.02 +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.12 +1.97 +0.22%
IDX Techno..7802.15 +63.14 +0.82%
IDX Transp…2008.72 -68.25 -3.29%
IDX Infrast……970.65 -7.13 -0.73%
IDX Finance 1452.66 -4.41 -0.30%
IDX Property…….683 -2.40 -0.35%
Indo10Yr….7.3904 -0.0193 -0.26%‼
ICBI……….330.3876 +0.2196 +0.07%‼
US10Yr…..3.0930 -0.1130 -3.52%
VIX…………28.16 -0.20 -0.71%
USDIndx 104.5060 +0.5670 +0.55%
Como Indx….299.34 -1.66 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..160.72 +0.88 +0.55%
IndoCDS…135.99 +8.75 +6.88%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) .
IDR……14852.50 +22.00 +0.15%‼
Jisdor..14848.00 +11.00 +0.07%‼
Euro………1.0444 -0.0076 -0.72%
TLKM……..27.40 +0.19 +0.70%
(4068)
EIDO……….22.41 -0.31 -1.36%
EEM……….40.29 -0.16 -0.40%
Oil………….109.69 -2.13 -1.90%
Gold …… .1819.00 -1.70 -0.09%
Timah. .26800.00 -191 -0.71%
( Closed 28/6)
Nickel..23897.50 +660.50 +2.84%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.74 -0.09 -0.43%
Copper…..378.20 +2.35 +0.63%
Nturl Gas…..6.434 -0.215 -3.23%
Ammonia ..4773.33 -110 -2.25%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/6)
Coal price…380.00 -13.50 -3.43%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…360.00 -16.45 -4.37%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…364.75 -1.75 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…345.50 -2.50 -0.72%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Sept)…..4904 -81 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..653.75 -5.50 -0.83%
SoybeanOil…..66.98 +0.22 +0.33%
Wheat……….930.00 -6.00 -0.64%
Wood pulp…6624.00 +8 +0.12%
(Closed 29/6)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
US DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq masih merah, europe dan asia semua merah juga
Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali nickel dan copper
Yang infra healthcare consumer non-cylclicals siap2 exit, Property ama consumer cyclicals semoga jalan walau market merah. Siap2 entry di basic materials industry dan energy pas keluar buy signal di saham nya
Kita cari saham contrarian sama market karena kemungkinan koreksi masih lanjut wave C
Chart Cacing RSI nya dukung IHSG langsung rebound tanpa drop ke level 6500-an, semoga break pattern, tapi liat kondisi global dan ancaman perang ukraina, kayanya sih lanjut ke bawah dulu