Daily Analysis 20221121

Daily Analysis 20221121

November 21st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher on Friday, but ends week with losses

The major averages ticked higher in afternoon trading Friday to end the day on an upbeat note as investors assessed tougher language from Federal Reserve speakers and pored over the latest earnings reports.

Dow…….33746 +199.4 +0.59%
Nasdaq.11146 +1.1 +0.01%
S&P 500..3965 +18.8 +0.31%

FTSE…….7836 +39.98 +0.53%
Dax……..14432 +165.5 +1.16%
CAC……..6645 +68.3 +1.04%

Nikkei….27900 -30.8 -0.11%
HSI……..17993 -53.1 -0.29%
Shanghai..3097 -18.2 -0.58%
ST Times..3272 -13.8 -0.42%

IDX…….7082.18 +37.19 +0.53%
LQ45….1009.50 +4.58 +0.46%

IDX Energy..1992.76 +12.82 +0.65%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.53 +7.20 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1223.07 -2.25 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC..732.11 +1.75 +0.24%
IDX Hlthcare.1483.67 +3.27 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.09 +5.86 +0.67%
IDX Techno..6878.08 +39.15 +0.57%
IDX Transp…1801.24 -19.06 -1.05%
IDX Infrast……905.64 -1.94 -0.21%
IDX Finance 1504.72 +7.35 +0.49%
IDX Banking.1197.07 +6.07 +0.51%
IDX Property….692 +2.20 +0.31%

*Indo10Yr….7.3023 -0.0068 -0.09%*
*ICBI……..337.7459 +0.0569 +0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.8180 +0.0430 +1.14%*
*VIX……23.12 -0.81 -3.38%*

*USDIndx..106.9300 +0.2450 +0.23%*
Como Indx..276.40 -1.20 -0.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.81 +0.81 +0.51%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15684.00 +21.50 +0.14%‼️*
*Jisdor..15692.00 +8.00 +0.05%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0325 -0.0037 -0.36%*

TLKM……..25.78 +0.13 +0.51%
*(4045)*
EIDO………23.19 +0.27 +1.18%
EEM……….38.03 -0.22 -0.58%

*Oil…………80.08 -1.56 -1.91%*
Gold ……1769.00 +6.00 +0.34%
Timah…..22664 +80.00 +0.35
*(Closed 18/11)*
Nickel…25629.00 +251.00 +0.99%
*(Closed 18/11)*
Silver………21.20 +0.04 +0.19%
Copper…..364.15 -5.25 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..6.371 -0.030 -0.47%

*Ammonia..4463.33 +50.00 +1.13%‼️*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(17/11)

*Coal price….343.45 +8.85 +2.65%*
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….337.00 +17.00 +5.31%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….330.50 +17.50 +5.59%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….207.65 +5.65 +2.80%*
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….217.50 +13.50 +6.62%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….219.10 +13.15 +6.39%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3845 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….670.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil…70.61 +0.39 +0.56%
Wheat………822.00 -3.00 -0.36%

Wood pulp…6610.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Closing jum’at US ijo, Europe ijo, asia merah IHSG ijo, semoga hari ini lanjut

Metal2 rebound dikit kecuali copper, oil dan gas turun lagi, coal lanjut naik, semoga cocok prediksi akan run harga coal dan saham2 emiten coal menyambut winter di utara

Newcastle Coal Futures – MACD nya udah buy signal, semoga bener rally panjang

IHSG – yang jadi masalah masih NFS terus, kalo dari technical indicator sudah harusnya mulai jalan ke atas lagi, keluar dari phase sideways. Bandar lokal sudah akum terus. Infobank15 kita check dulu

Infobank15 – sama masalahnya: NFS… Semoga start hari ini turnaround pada entry foreign, jadi firm lanjut ngangkat IHSG. Lapkeu bank bagus bagus koq…

Financials, Technology

Sudah on the right track ini, kalo bener financials gerak duluan, nanti sektor lain baru ikutan ngangkat index

Daily Analysis 20221118

Daily Analysis 20221118

November 18th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close lower for a second day as investors weigh outlook for higher interest rates

Stocks fell Thursday and bond yields jumped as Federal Reserve officials signaled their rate-hiking campaign to slow inflation is far from over.

Dow…….33546 -7.5 -0.02%
Nasdaq.11145 -38.7 -0.35%
S&P 500..3947 -12.2 -0.31%

FTSE…….7347 -4.7 -0.06%
Dax……..14266 +32.4 +0.23%
CAC……..6576 -31.1 -0.47%

Nikkei….27931 -97.7 -0.35%
HSI……..18046 -210.8 -1.15%
Shanghai..3115 -4.5 -0.15%
ST Times..3286 +19.9 +0.61%

IDX…….7044.99 +30.60 +0.44%
LQ45….1004.92 +3.96 +0.40%

IDX Energy..1979.96 +9.52 +0.48%
IDX Bsc Mat.1283.33 -8.93 -0.69%
IDX Industrl..1225.32 +5.47 +0.45%
IDXNONCYC..730.36 -5.16 -0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1480.39 -8.66 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.23 +0.37 +0.04%
IDX Techno..6838.92 -48.43 -0.70%
IDX Transp…1820.31 -1.40 -0.08%
IDX Infrast……907.58 +1.91 +0.21%
IDX Finance 1497.37 +15.32 +1.03%
IDX Banking.1191.00 +10.56 +0.89%
IDX Property….691 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3091 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..337.6890 -0.0128 -0.00%
US10Yr..3.7750 +0.0830 +2.25%
VIX……23.93 -0.18 -0.75%

USDIndx..106.6850 +0.3720 +0.35%
Como Indx..277.60 -5.18 -1.83%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.00 -5.86 -3.60%‼️
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15662.50 +63.00 +0.40%‼️
Jisdor..15687.00 +77.00 +0.49%‼️

Euro……..1.0362 -0.0029 -0.28%

TLKM……..25.65 +0.01 +0.04%
(4024)
EIDO………22.92 +0.16 +0.70%
EEM……….38.25 +0.07 +0.18%

Oil…………81.64 -4.04 -4.71%‼️
Gold ……1763.00 -14.40 -0.81%
Timah…..23635 +249.00 +1.06
(Closed 16/11)
Nickel…25378.00 -1361.00 -5.09%‼️
(Closed 17/11)
Silver………21.16 -0.34 -1.58%
Copper…..369.40 -12.55 -3.29%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.401 +0.170 +2.73%

Ammonia..4413.33 +66.66 +1.53%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(14/11)

Coal price….334.60 +2.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +3.90 +1.23%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….313.00 +3.85 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….202.00 +5.00 +2.54%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….204.00 +6.75 +3.42%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….205.95 +6.90 +3.47%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (16/11)

CPO(Feb)……3845 -179 -4.44%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.00 +1.50 +0.22%
SoybeanOil…70.22 -1.88 -2.61%
Wheat………825.00 -12.25 -1.46%

Wood pulp…6610.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 17/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih merah tipis tipis, Jerman ijo, singapore ijo, IHSG ijo

oil drop, metal2 drop, timah yang masih ijo, coal naik, mulai rebound kayanya. Kalo begini semoga bener industri petrokimia naik dan coal naik, BRPT dan ADRO termasuk di dalamnya, hehehe

IHSG – masih sideways dulu keliatannya… Tapi lumayan comforting lah, tidak ikut sentimen negatif rudal polandia. MACD dan stochastic mau mantul. Kita check infobank15

Infobank15 – harusnya berita LK BBRI yang mengkilat ikut dorong Infobank15 dan Sektor Financials untuk bangun. Dari chart nya sih masih rather sideways dulu, ga tau apakah nunggu efek kenaikan suku bunga kemaren, tapi yang pasti BD akum terus. Ga lama lagi diangkat harusnya, santa claus rally? Agak kejauhan sih, tapi mungkin aja

Financials, Technology

Daily Analysis 20221108

Daily Analysis 20221108

November 08th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rise ahead of U.S. midterm elections, Dow closes more than 400 points higher

Stocks rallied Monday as investors looked ahead to a packed week with congressional midterm elections and key inflation data on deck over the next few days, and shrugged off a supply warning from Apple.

Dow…….32827 +423.8 +1.26%
Nasdaq.10565 +89.3 +0.85%
S&P 500..3811 +31.3 +0.83%

FTSE…….7300 -34.9 -0.48%
Dax……..13534 +73.7 +0.55%
CAC……..6417 +0.2 +0.00%

Nikkei….27528 +327.9 +1.21%
HSI……..16596 +434.8 +2.69%
Shanghai..3078 +7.02 +0.23%
ST Times..3133 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX…….7102.40 +56.87 +0.81%
LQ45…..1015.28 +9.30 +0.92%

IDX Energy..2046.79 +18.64 +0.92%
IDX Bsc Mat.1317.39 +16.10 +1.24%
IDX Industrl..1246.05 +1.69 +0.14%
IDXNONCYC..735.25 +6.29 +0.86%
IDX Hlthcare.1489.93 +2.89 +0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..883.40 +1.42 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6569.08 -76.97 -1.16%
IDX Transp…1867.43 +13.72 +0.74%
IDX Infrast……932.33 +11.27 +1.22%
IDX Finance 1488.31 +13.49 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1195.89 +13.21 +1.12%
IDX Property….690 -2.80 -0.41 %

Indo10Yr….7.5415 +0.0258 +0.34%
ICBI……..332.2555 -0.4389 -0.13%
US10Yr……4.2140 +0.0580 +1.40%
VIX……….24.35 -0.20 -0.81%

USDIndx 110.2170 -0.6600 -0.60%👍
Como Indx..286.92 -0.63 -0.22%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……151.43 -1.97 -1.28%
.
IndoCDS..124.70 -9.11l -6.81%‼👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15707.50 -30.00 -0.19%‼
Jisdor..15692.00 -44 -0.28%‼

Euro……..1.0019 +0.00620 +0.62%👍

TLKM……..26.98 +0.15 +0.56%
(4233)
EIDO………23.72 +0.02 +0.08%
EEM……….36.22 +0.02 +0.06%

Oil…………91.79 -0.82 -0.89%
Gold ……1680.50 +3.90 +0.23%
Timah…..18872 – -%
(Closed 04/11)
Nickel…23401.50 +619.50 +2.72%‼
(Closed 07/11)
Silver………20.92 +0.14 +0.65%
Copper….360.35 -8.30 -2.25%

Nturl Gas…..6.699 +0.240 +3.72%‼

Ammonia..4150.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/11)

Coal price….344.90 -4.60 -1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.55 -14.45 -4.14%‼
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.10 -14.65 -4.24%‼
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….200.90 -15.10 -6.99%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….194.50 -21.50 -9.95%‼
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….195.55 -19.55 -9.07%‼
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 -2.70 -2.86%
Indonesial Coal Index (04/11)

CPO(Jan)……4440 +75 +1.72%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….675.75 -5.25 -0.77%
SoybeanOil…76.33 -0.84 -1.09%
Wheat………845.75 -2.00 -0.24%

Wood pulp…6710.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Hampir semua ijo kemarin, cuma inggris yang merah.

Gold Silver Nickel lanjut naik, copper turun. Oil coal turun, gas naik, energy masih galaw. CPO naik lagi. Harusnya MDKA ANTM INCO masih lanjut, oil oil beware, coal coal juga

IHSG – surprisingly naik tinggi kemaren, stochastic 1066 nya masih bilang koreksi atau sideways dulu, indicator lain sih ok semua, cuma infobank15 belum ngebalik bullish keliatannya. Kita recheck ya… Ya semoga long bullish, jalan wave 3, santa claus rally sampe tahun baru

Infobank15 – 833 buy, mungkin continuation mulai jalan… yang pasti, emang lagi wave 3, dan mau breakout IHNS, cross up midline LR, semoga lanjut sampe tutup gap. MACD melandai sampe flat, semoga ga jadi ngebalik kebawah. Bandar acc, FF tipis tipis, MFI up, besar kemungkinan udahan ini koreksinya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, Property, Infrastructure, Technology… Siap rally lagi IHSG kalo gini mah

Daily Analysis 20221024

Daily Analysis 20221024

October 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 700 points on Friday as Wall Street clinches its best week since June

Stocks climbed on Friday as Wall Street closed a volatile week on a high note despite some disappointing earnings reports.

Dow…….31082 +748.97 +2.47%
Nasdaq.10860 +244.9 +2.31%
S&P 500..3753 +86.97 +2.37%
FTSE…….6970 +25.8 +0.37%
Dax……..12731 -36.5 -0.29%
CAC……..6036 -51.5 -0.85%

Nikkei….26891 -116.4 -0.43%
HSI……..16211 -69.1 -0.42%
Shanghai..3039 +3.9 +0.13%
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7017.77 +37.12 +0.53%
LQ45…1000.36 +6.68 +0.67%

IDX Energy..2017.02 +3.16 +0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.35 -11.23 -0.89%
IDX Industrl..1263.15 +5.85 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..732.55 -4.20 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.13 +7.21 +0.49%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.63 +7.18 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6474.00 -65.56 -0.99%
IDX Transp…1778.18 +12.11 +0.69%
IDX Infrast……944.15 +12.28 +1.32%
IDX Finance 1490.55 +22.43 +1.53%
IDX Banking.1177.85 +20.15 +1.74%
IDX Property…….681 -3.50 -0.51%

Indo10Yr….7.5580 +0.0697 +0.93%
ICBI……..330.5773 -1.3607 -0.41%
*US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️*
*VIX……….29.69 -0.29 -0.97%*

*USDIndx 112.0120 -0.8380 -0.74%👍*
Como Indx..272.36 +0.64 +0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.84 +0.14 +0.10%
.
*IndoCDS 165.84 +5.84 +3.65%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(12/10)*

*IDR……15631.50 +60.00 +0.39%‼️*
*Jisdor..15610.00 +31 +0.20%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9862 +0.0077 +0.79%‼️*

TLKM……..27.70 +0.18 +0.65%
*(4338)*
EIDO………23.64 +0.38 +1.63%
EEM………35.27 +0.53 +1.53%

Oil…………85.05 -0.93 -1.08%
*Gold ……1656.30 +23.80 +1.46%*
*Timah….18484 -864 -4.47%‼️*
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22185.00 -10.50 -0.05%(
*(Closed 21/10)*
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

*Nturl Gas…..5.472 +0.155 +2.92%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 -16.67 -0.40%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 -1.95 -0.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….389.95 -6.20 -1.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 -7.05 -0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….256.40 -2.10 -0.81%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..255.55 -1.75 -0.68%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 +1.15 +1.22%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 unch +0%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.25 +0.25 +0.04%
SoybeanOil…71.50 +1.08 +1.53%
Wheat………850.75 +1.50 +0.18%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo tebel, bagus buat rally wave 3 IHSG. eropa dan asia closing jum’at kebanyakan merah

Gold SIlver Copper naik –> kalo logam2 mulia-an naik semua berarti sebenernya dollar yang turun… timah nikel turun, padahal ANTM INCO udah buy signal, bisa ganggu ini… Oil turun, Gas rebound abis turun gede, coal turun. Masih meragukan run sektor energy ini…

IHSG – tadinya diharapkan cukup bikin 3 white soldiers untuk konfirmasi reversal, malah rally 5 hari ijo berturut2… Suka iseng ini nanti bandar, kalo long run kepanjangan, pas orang entry dia turunin dulu, hihihi… Udah firm nongol MACD buy signal

IHSG – stoch buy,macd buy, MFI up, lastday FNB, Bandar akum, close diatas SMA 20, LR up, DMI dikit lagi buy, firm wave 3

Infobank – Nyaris persis IHSG, bedanya, firm breakout neckline IHNS sebelumnya. Big caps banyak bank, kalo Infobank15 rally, ihsg juga rally. Firm wave 3

Koq membingungkan, IHSG naik tapi sektor yang kemaren pada naik sekarang cacing RSI nya melemah…

Cuma Customer Non-Cyclicals yang arahnya bagus, padahal udah diujung, biasanya mau melemah

Financials mulai bangun, sudah seharusnya kalo index mau lari

Daily Analysis 20221005

Daily Analysis 20221005

October 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rallies more than 1,500 points in two days, S&P 500 posts best 2-day gain since 2020

Stocks surged Tuesday as Wall Street built on a sharp rally seen in the previous session and bond yields continued to fall.

Dow…….30316 +825.4 +2.80%
Nasdaq.11176 +360.97 +3.34%
S&P 500..3791 +112.5 +3.06%

FTSE…….7086 +177.7 +2.57%
Dax……..12671 +461.0 +3.78%
CAC……..6040 +245.5 +4.24%

Nikkei….26992 +776.4 +2.96%
HSI……..17080 closed +0%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3139 +31.8 +1.02%

IDX…….7072.26 +62.54 +0.89%
LQ45…1014.65 +8.27 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1994.63 +61.54 +3.18%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.73 +24.55 +2.00%
IDX Industrl..1298.34 +14.77 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.78 -2.45 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.49 +2.06 +0.17%
IDX Techno..6932.20 -17.38 -0.25%
IDX Transp…1799.98 +38.26 +2.17%
IDX Infrast…….982.22 +5.40 +0.55%
IDX Finance 1487.34 +12.02 +0.81%
IDX Banking.1159.78 +8.28 +0.63%
IDX Property….691 +2.60 +0.55%

Indo10Yr….7.3781 -0.0232 -0.31%
ICBI……..333.8328 +0.5965 +0.18%
US10Yr……3.6170 -0.0340 -0.93%
VIX……….29.07 -1.03 -3.42%

USDIndx 110.1990 -1.3440 -1.20%👍
Como Indx..280.43 +7.61 +2.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.65 +5.24 +3.63%‼️
.
IndoCDS 142.38 -18.57 -11.54%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15247.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼️
Jisdor..15276.00 -17.00 -0.11%‼️

Euro……..0.9984 +0.0158 +1.61%‼️

TLKM……..29.36 +0.16 +0.55%
(4485)
EIDO……..24.05 +0.49 +2.08%
EEM………36.61 +1.16 +3.27%

Oil…………86.52 +3.20 +3.84%‼️
Gold ……1730.40 +22.70 +1.33%‼️
Timah….20059 -575.00 -2.79%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel…21971.00 +672.00 +3.16%‼️
(Closed 04/10)
Silver…….21.10 +0.33 +1.59%
Copper….349.00 +7.25 +2.12%

Nturl Gas…..6.825 +0.311 +4.74%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….404.00 +2.50 +0.62%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.00 -2.50 -0.61%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….408.00 -1.50 -0.37%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….301.00 -14.85 -4.70%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….299.55 -14.30 -4.56%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.95 -12.90 -4.15%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3615 +187 +5.46%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………683.00 +2.25 +0.33%
SoybeanOil….66.00 +1.68 +2.65%
Wheat……..903.00 -9.00 -0.99%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional naik kemarin, US closing ijo tebel, europe juga, malah perancis index naik sampe diatas 4%

Hampir semua commodity naik kecuali timah, CPO naik tinggi, kita cermati apakah ini awal bangunnya saham CPO yang lama banget bearish

IHSG – stoch buy signal, macd down, histogram mulai ngebalik, MFI sw, 2 hari FNB, bandar flat, testing breakout cloud ichimoku, sedang menunggu konfirmasi apakah wave 2 sudah finished, karena levelnya sudah tercapai tapi masih ada gap belum tertutup di 6740. LR mantul sebelum kena lower channel, DMI mulai contraction. Spec buy dan bottom fishing udah ok dimulai, full muatan jangan dulu

Leading sector Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi yang menarik diikuti dan bisa long run keliatannya Energy dan Basic Materials yang baru mulai gerak

Daily Analysis 20220919

Daily Analysis 20220919

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya