August 10th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 200 points, Nasdaq drops 1% as August slide resumes ahead of inflation report

Stocks fell Wednesday as Wall Street awaited fresh inflation data coming later in the week.

Dow……35123 -191.1 -0.54%
Nasdaq13722 -162.3 -1.17%
S&P 500.4468 -31.7 -0.70%

FTSE…..7587 +59.9 +0.80%
Dax……15853 +77.7 +0.49%
CAC……7322 +52.6 +0.72%

Nikkei…32204 -172.96 -0.53%
HSI…….19246 +61.9 +0.32%
Shanghai.3245 -16.1 -0.49%

IDX…..6875.11 +6.30 +0.09%
LQ45….965.30 +3.44 +0.36%
IDX30…501.17 +1.48 +0.30%

IDXEnergy…1912.13 -10.42 -0.54%
IDX BscMat.1098.62 -3.62 -0.33%
IDX Indstrl…1212.50 -0.29 -0.02%
IDXNONCYC.750.05 +4.32 +0.58%
IDX Hlthcare1488.99 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC….914.77 +2.86 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4453.84 -99.49 -2.18%
IDX Transp..1858.40 -28.97 -1.53%
IDX Infrast… .853.97 +3.61 +0.42%
IDX Finance.1430.66 -0.56 -0.04%
IDX Banking.1226.56+8.11 +0.67%
IDX Property..757 -8.90 -1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.3977+0.0035 +0.05%
ICBI….369.3157 +0.1254 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.8100 +0.050 +1.05%
US5Yr 4.1390 +0.025 +0.61%
US10Yr4.0100 -0.011 -0.27%
US30Yr.4.1650-0.027 -0.64%
VIX…….15.96 -0.03 -0.19%

USDIndx 102.4900 -0.0380 -0.04%
Como Indx…282.04 +2.82 +1.01%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….142.90 +0.05 +0.03%

IndoCDS.80.23 +2.03 +2.60%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/08)

IDR…..15189.50‼️-28.00 -0.18%
Jisdor.15206.00 ‼️-23.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0977 +0.0022 +0.20%

TLKM…24.58 +0.35 +1.44%
(3738)
EIDO….23.07 +0.08 +0.35%
EEM…..40.09 +0.10 +0.25%

Oil…..84.23‼️ +1.53 +1.85%
Gold…1948.90‼️ -10.50 -0.54%
Timah..27300.00 -456.00 -1.64%
(Closed 08/08)
Nickel..20518.50 -358.50 -1.72%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.09 -0.39%
Copper.378.60 +1.10 +0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 104.41 -0.32 -0.31%
(08/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7920 +0.1700 +6.09%‼️
Ammonia China..3366.67 -16.6 -0.49%
(Domestic Price)(08/08)

Coal price..142.50 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.25 +3.00 +2.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.90 +2.65 +1.79%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.25 +2.35 +1.55%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price115.85 +1.10 +0.96%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.60 +2.60 +2.20%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.65 +1.65 +1.39%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.40 +1.60 +1.32%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3765 +73 +1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………494.25 -4.50 -0.90%
SoybeanOil 60.43 +0.58 +0.97%
Wheat…..661.75 -4.50 -2.90%

Wood pulp..4600.00‼️ +40 +0.88%
(Closed 09/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, Europe ijo, Asia Varied, ID Sing Korea Hongkong ijo, Jepang China merah

USD index turun tipis, ga terlalu ngaruh, Gold Silver iron ore merah, copper ijo tipis, timah nikel lanjut merah, Oil Gas lanjut ijo, Coal ijo, CPO lijo. Masih sideways buat ANTM MDKA, hati2 TINS INCO NCKL

IHSG – indicator type oscillators masih bilang belum ok, tapi rada pede karena FNB. Diharapkan galama konsolidasi terus breakout ke atas, Big Banks udah mulai jalan, kemaren keganjel GOTO yang dibanting juga tetep berhasil closing ijo, semoga lanjut, walau sepertinya masih sideways dulu

Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Financials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI PTBA TLKM AALI BDMN BSSR JPFA TINS RDTX INDS

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BRIS CPIN TLKM BELI CTRA ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: ADMR MTEL

Supertrend Buy Signal: JPFA

Selamat pagi 🌻,
4 Agustus 23

Dow.. 35.215.89 -66.63 -0.19%
Nasdaq.. 13.959.72 -13.73 -0.10%
S&P 500.. 4.501,89 -11.5 -0.25%

Brent Oil.. 85.25 +2.05 +2.46%
Crude Oil WTI.. 81.77 +0.21 +0.26%
Gold.. 1970.30 +1.50 +0.08%
Nickel.. 21.737.00 +177.00 +0.82%
Silver.. 23.715 +0.018 +0.08%
Copper.. 3.9017 +0.0052 +0.13%
Nturl Gas.. 2.562 +0.008 +0.31%

Coal price..145.00 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..141.5 +3.35
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.. 136.85 +3.35
(Aug/Newcastle)

Corn.. 494.75 -5.25% -1.05%
SoybeanOil.. 1.325.25 +4.25 +0.32%
Wheat.. 6.28,25 -10.75 -1.68%

RK/ CGS-CIMB Bdg
Tiktok: rienan777

Source: Investing, Barchart.

US merah, tapi semua commodity naik, bagus buat basic materials sama energy

IHSG – Udah 2 hari US merah tapi IHSG jalan, padahal MACD sell, tapi memang dari fibonacci retracement udah kena level koreksi wajar. Ga bisa cuma pake satu ilmu aja pendekatannya sih… BD acc, FNB, semoga lanjut

Masih Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ICBP KLBF SIDO ADMR BBKP JPFA RAJA SMRA. Big Accum KLBF ADMR JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA SMGR MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: ERAA

AMRT Skip

ESSA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, CNH failed, BD dah mulai akum, FF masih galaw. Belum ok kayanya

ICBP – stoch buy macd downrev, MFI down, w% up, BD FF acc, belum ada spike baru, spike lama target done, udah run wave 3 panjang, belum masih 1.618 tapi khawatir mau wave 4. WNS dulu deh

KLBF – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD acc FF dist, but inside, itungan ABC correction level done, mungkin aja udah bisa dianggap beres dan mau rebound, tapi amannya tunggu MACD sambil pantau FF

Spike terakhir spike jual, belum ada lagi. WNS, tunggu MACD

SIDO – masih belum beres turunnya, emang sih stoch buy dan BD FF rev acc, tapi masih terakhir spike jual. Abis drop jauh sabar tunggu firm reversal, tunggu bikin higher low

ADMR – stoch buy, macd rev up almost buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low, kayanya ada freq spike juga, kita check dulu

Pas di bawah 3 kali spike terus jalan, spike jual kecil, lanjut spike beli walau ga terlalu besar. OK sih ini, bisa spec buy, full load tunggu MACD

JPFA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF acc, agak mencurigakan sih, akum terus walau turun, tapi apakah udah selesai dibawa turunnya. Technically belum.

Belum dulu sih, terakhir spike jual, lagipula udah pegang CPIN, skip dulu

SMGR – rsi reg bear div, memang sih stoch buy, BD FF rev acc, w% uptrend, kemaren candle ijo vol gede, tapi udah run lumayan panjang dan udah deket sama fibo 23, resiko kejedot terus dibanting

Ada spike tinggi 2 hari lalu sebelum diangkat 5.8%. Ga berani ah, curiga itu spike balikin barang

MYOR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi BD FF dist terus belum beres, hari ini kalo closing di atas breakout resistance, akhir dari wave 4? Munking aja sih, WNS dulu tunggu rev acc

ERAA – sejak breakout technical masih ok, tapi baru kena trailing stop, minggir dulu..

July 21st 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to notch first 9-day rally since 2017. Nasdaq tumbles 2%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped for a ninth consecutive day on Thursday after better-than-expected earnings results from drugmaker Johnson & Johnson. It was the Dow’s best daily winning streak since 2017.

But the broader market suffered after post-earnings declines in trader favorites Netflix and Tesla.

Dow……35225 +163.97 +0.47%
*Nasdaq14064 -294.7 -2.05%*
S&P 500.4535 -30.9 -0.68%

FTSE…..7646 +57.9 +0.76%
Dax……15204 +95.3 +0.59%
CAC……7385 +57.97 +0.79%

Nikkei…32491 -406.51 -1.23%
HSI…….18928 -24.3 -0.13%
Shanghai.3170 -29.3 -0.92%

IDX…..6864.19 +33.99 +0.50%
LQ45….961.53 +3.16 +0.33%
IDX30…499.59 +2.06. +0.41%

IDXEnergy…1896.18 +29.14 +1.56%
IDX BscMat.1046.76 +7.52 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl…1191.18 +1.29 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC.754.31 -2.09 -0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1533.91 -8.01 -0.52%
IDXCYCLIC….928.05 +2.33 +0.25%
IDX Techno.4883.29 -48.05 -0.97%
IDX Transp..1904.44 +6.92 +0.36%
IDX Infrast… .851.03 +3.27 +0.39%
IDX Finance.1434.67 +12.02 +0.85%
IDX Banking.1205.89 +12.24 +1.03%
*IDX Property..766 +11.50 +1.53%*

*Indo10Yr.6.3110*+0.0043 +0.07%
*ICBI….369.1376* -0.031 -0.01%
*US2Yr.4.8450* +0.077 +1.61%
*US5Yr 4.1050 +0.123 +3.09%‼️*
*US10Yr3.8510 +0.097 +2.58%*
*US30Yr.3.9200*+0.069 +1.79%
*VIX…….13.99 +0.23 +1.67%*

*USDIndx 100.8800* +0.5990 +0.60%
Como Indx…274.+0 +1.61 +0.59%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….143.77 +1.18 +0.83%

*IndoCDS.82.24 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(18/07)*

*IDR…..14986.00 -11.00 -0.07%*
*Jisdor.14991.00 -3.00 -0.02%*

*Euro……1.1134* -0.0069 -0.62%

TLKM…25.63 -0.07 -0.27%
*(3793)*
EIDO….23.47 -0.06 -0.25%
EEM…..40.38 -0.30 -0.74%

Oil…..75.63 +0.40 +0.53%
*Gold…2011.40* -7.10 -0.35%
Timah..28540.00 – -%
*(Closed 18/07)*
*Nickel..21332.00 +400.50 +1.91%*
(Closed 20/07)
Silver…. 24.96 -0.35 -1.38%
Copper.382.95 +1.75 +0.46%

Iron Ore 62% 112.08 -0.09 -0.08%
(19/07)
*Nturl Gas.2.747 +0.1260 +4.81%‼️*
Ammonia China..2816.67 -16.66 -0.59%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.132.00 unch +0/%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 +1.60 +1.16%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 +1.80 +1.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +2.25 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price109.75 +1.75 +1.62%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.60 +5.60 +5.28%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.35 +5.85 +5.55%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.00 +5.80 +5.51%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Okt)..4047 +153 +3.92%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….546.25 -6.75 -1.22%
SoybeanOil 62.42 +0.98 +1.60%
Wheat…727.00 -0.75 -0.10%

*Wood pulp..4380.00* unch +0%
(Closed 20/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI lanjut naik, Nasdaq drop. Europe ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG. Semoga lanjut ijo IHSG hari ini.

USD index naik lagi, gols silver merah copper merah, nickel ijo, oil gas coal naik udah waktunya energy jalan lagi kayanya. CPO naik tinggi kita tunggu bangunnya AALI LSIP

Reminder !
LQ45 Major Rebalancing Jul23

Estimasi announcement akan dipublish pada minggu depan & efektif per penutupan market diperdagangan 31 Juli 2023. Beberapa saham potensial masuk & potensial keluar dengan asumsi memperhatikan likuiditas transaksi selama 1Q-2Q 2023 antara lain :

• Potential Inclusion
BUMI, ADMR, GGRM, ISAT, BRMS, MAPI
• Potential Exclusion
TINS, SIDO, SCMA, JPFA, TPIA, EMTK

*Disclaimer On
IndoPremier Wealth Management

Harus hati2 sama EMTK nih, masih ada di porto, kalo beneran keluar LQ45 kemungkinan besar dibanting lagi

IHSG – stoch sell, 833 down, MACD still up, FNB terus, BD acc, IHNS target udah done kemaren udah koreksi, kita liat target triple bottom yang lebih besar. MInimal target ke fibo 61 dulu

Technology Healthcare Property, Basic Materials sama Energy masih leading tapi lagi shaky. Yang ga asiknya financials slow down, padahal index ga bisa jalan kalo financials ga jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI PGAS TBIG ENRG RAJA

MACD buy signal: EXCL BTPS GGRM PWON RAJA TOBA

Alligator Buy Signal: ANTM BFIN

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSDE

July 05th, 2023

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Independence Day

Dow……34418 closed +0%
Nasdaq13817 closed +0%
S&P 500.4456 closed +0%

FTSE…..7520 -7.5 -0.10%
Dax……16039 -41.9 -0.26%
CAC……7370 -16.8 -0.23%

Nikkei…..33423 -330.8 -0.98%
HSI………19416 +109.1 +0.56%
Shanghai.3245 +1.4 +0.04%

IDX…..6681.75 -14.96 -0.22%
LQ45….948.73 -3.84 -0.40%
IDX30…492.96 -2.07 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1774.79 +8.91 +0.50%
IDX BscMat..995.36 -0.61 -0.06%
IDX Indstrl…1172.67 +6.96 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC.752.65 +5.23 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1477.49 +3.83 +0.26%
IDXCYCLIC….885.66 +7.90 +0.90%
IDX Techno.4732.37 -12.88 -0.27%
IDX Transp..1922.21 +15.46 +0.81%
IDX Infrast… .854.49 +3.42 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1420.69+2.90 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.78 -4.24 -0.36%
IDX Property..724 -3.20 -0.44%

*Indo10Yr.6.3053👍 -0.0219-0.28%*
*ICBI….368.4171👍 +0.6973+0.18%*
*US2Yr.4.9400* closed +0%
*US5Yr 4.1910* closed +0%
*US10Yr3.8530* -0.0050 -0.13%
*US30Yr.3.8570* -0.0040 -0.10%
*VIX…….13.57 -0.02 -0.15%*

*USDIndx103.0390* +0.0510 +0.05%
Como Indx…260.90 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.67 closed +0%

*IndoCDS.86.16 -1.98 -2.25%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(03/07)*
*IDR…..14994.50 -35.50 -0.24%*
*Jisdor.15018.00 -16.00 -0.11%*

*Euro……1.0879* -0.0035 -0.32%

TLKM…26.42 closed +0%
*(3968)*
EIDO….23.12 closed +0%
EEM….40.00 closed +0%

Oil…….71.00 +0.85 +1.21%
Gold…1933.10 +4.10 +0.21%
*Timah..27377.00 +590.00 +2.20%*
*(Closed 03/07)*
Nickel..20542.50 +109.00 +0.53%
(Closed 04/07)
Silver….. 23.17 +0.06 +0.26%
Copper..378.35 -1.05 -0.28%

*Iron Ore 62% 110.87 -1.70 -1.51%*
(03/07)
Nturl Gas.2.742 +0.045 +1.67%

*Coal price.143.15 -4.90 -3.31%*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.151.25 -3.20 -2.07%*
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.155.05 -2.25 -1.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.55 +0.05 +0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price123.30 +1.85 +1.52%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.99 +1.85 +1.55%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.65 +1.70 +1.44%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.45 +2.25 +1.92%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)..3884 -101 -2.53%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 60.19 closed +0%
Wheat…641.75 closed +0%

*Wood pulp..4230.00* +20 +0.48%
(Closed 04/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US market tutup due to 4th of July, europe merah, asia varied, IHSG merah dikit seperti perkiraan…

USD index naik tipis, ga ngaruh sama komoditas jadinya, Gold Silver ijo,copper merah,timah nikel ijo iron ore merah, oil gas ijo, coal newcastle merah rotterdam ijo, masih aman harusnya buat emiten coal. CPO merah lagi, pas buat nungu LSIP dibawah

Gold MACD buy, bagus harusnya buat ANTM MDKA BRMS

IHSG – stoch rev up, MACD up, MFI down, w% sw, last day FNS, asih optimis lanjut karena financials udah bangun

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM ITMG BSSR DSNG MAPI MYOR

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT PGAS ELSA

Alligator Buy Signal: ADMR

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS WINS

HRUM – kalo mau buy ga sekarang sih, jangan biasa ngejar2 saham yang udah lari. Buy signal MACD nya udah

duluan kemaren, Sekarang yang punya hold,yang belum punya cari yang lain aja, udah kejedot fibo 23 dan ada reg bear div juga

ITMG – belum jalan, tapi emang belum bikin higher low juga, abis drop 46% ga firm reversal kalo belum bikin higher low

MAPI – abis wave 5, harusnya ABC correction dulu, kalo MACD Buy kita liat lagi. BD juga masih dist

MYOR – harusnya masih wave 4, belum sampe fibo 50 atau 38 juga, BDkemaren udah acc, FF masih dist, liat lagi pas MACD buy

PGAS – Stoch buy macd up, BD FF rev acc, ada gap, belum bikin higher low, bisa spec buy half tapi amannya biar tunggu beres higher low

ELSA – stoch up, MACD buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD dist FF acc, slope uptrend sambil bolak balik sideways, kaya dijaga belum boleh gerak jauh dulu, BD masih relatif belum aggressive. Karena pegang MEDC elsa nya skip dulu deh

Ada beberapa kali spike dan abis itu naik tapi ga terlalu firm spike nya dan target udah done. Masih lebih firm spike MEDC

ADMR – stoc ob, rev down, MACD up, BD acc, FF dist, MFIup, w% uptrend, udah bikin higherlow tapi ga terlalu significant, udah sah sih, tapi kayanya akan ketemu koreksi rada besar dulu baru lanjut jalan. Buat spec buy udah lewat momentumnya, buat full load belum firm. Kalo main panjang sih alligator buy bisa masuk, asal emang berani resiko di swing kebawah dulu