August 30th, 2024

Dow rises 200 points for fresh record close, Nasdaq falls as Nvidia shares tumble

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
climbed to a record Thursday, as Wall Street tried to resume its comeback from a steep sell-off earlier this month.

Dow…….41335 +243.6 +0.59%
Nasdaq. .17516 -39.6 -0.23%
S&P 500 5592 -0.2 -0.00%

FTSE…8380.0 +35.8 +0.43%
Dax……18913 +130.3 +0.69%
CAC……7541 +63.3 +0.84%

Nikkei….38363 -9.2 -0.02%
HSI……..17786 +93.9 +0.53%
Shanghai.2823 -14.3 -0.40%

IDX….7627.61 -31.27 -0.41%
LQ45…942.13 -6.52 -0.69%
IDX30.476.78 -3.76 -0.77%

IDXEnergy. 2677.43 -15.34 -0.57%
IDX BscMat1352.64 -18.96 -1.38%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -0.30 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC.710.63 -3.56 -0.50%
IDX Hlthcare1461.65 -11.32 -0.77%
IDXCYCLIC….909.88 +0.42 +0.05%
IDXTechno 3241.86 -6.95 -0.21%
IDX Transp 1434.49 -17.51 -1.21%
IDX Infrast 1609.61 -0.50 -0.03%
IDX Finance1475.28 -2.87 -0.19%
IDX Banking1315.88 -13.22 -0.99%
IDX Property….725 -3.20 -0.45%

Indo10Yr.6.6787 -0.0118 -0.18%
ICBI…391.2176 +0.3429 +0.09%
US2Yr.3.898 +0.031 +0.80%
US5Yr 3.668 +0.004 +0.11%
US10Yr3.868 +0.034 +0.89%
US30Yr.4.150+0.022 +0.53%
VIX..15.65 -1.46 -8.53%👍

USDIndx 101.3430❗️ +0.249 +0.25%
Como Indx….279.88 +2.27 +0.82%
BCOMIN….145.00 -0.79 -0.54%

IndoCDS..67.27 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/08)

IDR…….15423.50👍 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor..15409.00👍 -67.00 -0.43%

Euro…1.1080❗️ -0.0043 -0.39%

TLKM…19.46 +0.11 +0.57%
( 2999)
EIDO…..21.85 -0.20 -0.91%
EEM….43.28 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil………..75.89 +1.44 +1.93%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..79.94 +1.29 +1.64%
(Brent)
Gold…2553.90 +12.50 +0.49%
(Comex)
Gold…2520.38 +14.17 +0.57%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32345.00 -260.00 -0.80%
(Closed 29/08)
Nickel..17022.00 +41 +0.24%
(Closed 29/08)
Silver…29.83 +0.23 +0.78%
Copper.420.90 -0.10 -0.02%

Iron Ore 62% 98.51 +0.06 +0.06%
(28/08)
Nturl Gas 2.143 +0.044 +2.10%
Ammonia China 2643.33 -16.67 -0.63%
(Domestic Price)(29/08)

Coal price.145.00 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.25 -0.75 -0.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.55 -1.45 -0.52%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..146.80 -0.20 -0.14%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.30 -0.45 -0.37%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.30 -0.35 -0.29%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.40 -0.45 -0.37%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.10 -0.60 -0.49%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3942 +22 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………396.00 +5.25 +1.34%
SoybeanOil 42.13 +1.41 +3.46%
Wheat……548.75 +7.25 +1.34%

Wood pulp.4900.00 -20 -041%
(Closed 29/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, nasdaq merah, europe ijo, asia kemaren kebenyakan merah ikut US sebelumnya, US bond yield naik, kemungkinan merah tipis hari ini, kalo ijo juga tipis tipis

USD index up, tapi metal2 juga up kecuali tin and copper, oil gas up, coal down, CPO up. harusnya INCO AALI rebound

IHSG – rejection candle pas setelah harga sampe di fibo extension 1.00 di wave 3, bisa jadi mau wave 4. Beware… Stoch udah down tapi MACD masih up, MFI w% sw, BD kemaren dist tapi FNB dan nilainya naik, masih ada harapan lanjut wave 3, tapi kalo hari ini merah berarti reg bear div nya confirmed, mending exit

Tinggal Industrials sama Property, liat dari sini kemungkinan besar wave 4 is on the way

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ESSA ADMR DOID, big accum ESSA

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL SSIA

August 08th, 2024

Stocks close lower on Wednesday as market’s comeback attempt fizzles out

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as the market’s attempt to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off failed.

Dow…….38763 -234.2 -0.60%
Nasdaq. 16195 -171.1 -1.05%
S&P 500 5193 -40.5 -0.77%

FTSE..8166.9 +140.2 +1.75%
Dax……17615 +260.8 +1.50%
CAC……7266 +135.97 +1.91%

Nikkei..35090 +414.2 +1.19%
HSI…….16878 +230.5 +1.38%
Shanghai.2870 +2.6 +0.08%

IDX….7212.13 +82.92 +1.16%
LQ45…903.79 +4.61 +0.51%
IDX30.451.88 +4.88 +1.09%

IDXEnergy.2421.41 +31.88 +1.33%
IDX BscMat1322.98 +16.65 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1015.19 +18.11 +1.82%
IDXNONCYC.700.65 +6.99 +1.01%
IDX Hlthcare1444.70 +4.97 +0.35%
IDXCYCLIC…758.22 +6.08 +0.81%
IDXTechno.3199.07 +19.42 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1356.76 +21.81 +1.63%
IDX Infrast 1546.26 +13.47 +0.88%
IDX Finance1394.55 +6.81 +0.49%
IDX Banking1239.80 +7.76 +0.63%
IDX Property…..645 +8.60 +1.36%

Indo10Yr.6.8743 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…386.3727 +0.0880 +0.02%
US2Yr.3.983 -0.009 -0.23%
US5Yr 3.776 +0.033 +0.88%
US10Yr3.926 +0.042 +1.08%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.062 +1.48%
VIX..27.85 +0.14 +0.51%

USDIndx 103.1970❗️+0.228 +0.22%
Como Indx….273.70 +3.55 +1.31%
BCOMIN…..135.90 -1.22 -0.89%

IndoCDS..80.12❗️ -2.06 -2.51%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16035.00❗️ -129.50 -0.80%
Jisdor.16100.00❗️ -83.00 -0.51%

Euro…1.0926 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM…17.36 -0.02 -0.12%
( 2795)
EIDO.20.05 +0.18 +0.91%
EEM….40.90 +0.28 +0.69%

Oil………..75.45 +2.58 +3.54%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….78.33 +1.85 +2.42%
(Brent)
Gold…..2422.60 -7.40 -0.31%
(Comex)
Gold……2384.07 -38.53 -1.59%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29991.00 +340.00 +1.15%
(Closed 07/08)
Nickel..16233.00 -182.00 -1.11%
(Closed 07/08)
Silver….26.68 -0.33 -1.22%
Copper.393.25 -6.80 -1.70%

Iron Ore 62% 102.86 -1.32 -1.27%
(06/08)
Nturl Gas 2.089 +0.073 +3.62%
Ammonia China 2480.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(06/08)

Coal price.145.00 -0.50 -0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.90 +0.40 +0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 148.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.10 +0.30 +0.25%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.00 +0.30 +0.25%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.60 +0.40 +0.33%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.25 +0.20 +0.16%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3696 -11 -0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 -4.50 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 40.98 +0.92 +2.30%
Wheat…..538.25 -5.00 -0.92%

Wood pulp..5110 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 07/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, kemaren asia europe ijo tebel, US bond yield up, most likely IDX dan pasar asia merah lagi hari ini. Per sekarang Nikkei udah minus 1.8%. So IHSG kemungkinan besar juga sama merah

USD index up lagi, metal2 down kecuali tin, Oil up, gas up, coal tipis2, CPO merah tipis, masih belum ada yang terlalu menarik, nanti yang oil kita liat trend nya

Oil Price – mulai terlihat bottoming sih, tapi belum firm

IHSG – bagusnya FNB, tapi technical masih jelek. Mungkin aja udahan tapi belum firm tegambar di chart kecuali dari level fibonacci target ABC correction. Dengan US market merah dan Nikkei udah terlihat merah duluan, ya masih sesuai technical mau kebawah lagi dulu

Masih belum, financials melemah lagi, sisa healthcare tapi ga berani lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN TLKM ABMM ADMR EMTK JPFA SMDR, big accum: CPIN JPFA SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: PTMP TPIA, TPIA big accum

CPIN – BD FF accum, stoch buy, macd bottoming, posisi di modus vol profile, retracement pattern pas banget ini abis koreksi wave B ke fibo 23, harusnya emang naik lagi ke fibo 61.

Spike tinggi tapi terus drop, jadi ga bisa dibilang valid spike beli

Wah biggest holder nya buang… Nanti dulu deh, sekalian tunggu harga dibawah average bandar

JPFA- ini malah lebih ga berani, abis wave 5 belum abc correction… Walau BD FF lagi terlihat akum

SMDR – ini menarik, abis drop jauh mantul hampir sampe fibo 61 drop lagi ke fibo 23, mungkin akan lanjut beresin retracement pattern nya. soch bolak balik, MACD bottoming, MFI juga, w% sw, PBV PER nya ok, kita tunggu MACD buy signal

PTMP – buat perusahaan relatif baru IPO, PER nya 23 ga berani masuk lah…

TPIA – PBV 20 PER minus karena LK rugi, skip lah

TLKM – BD FF acc tipis, menari udah drop terus mantul, ini bikin higher low, stoch almost buy, macd still down, index mau merah dulu, sabar tunggu firm mantul

BBRI – BD FF dist, toch buy, macd still down, MFI w%down, IHNS in he making, abis drop ketemu regbull div mantul, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya tinggal nunggu wave C, tapi keliatannya belum saatnya

August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE

July 23th, 2024

Good morning,

US tech stocks ripped higher on Monday as investors assessed the political landscape following President Joe Biden’s exit from the presidential race and braced for the start of megacap tech earnings.

Dow……40415 +127.9 +0.32%
Nasdaq18008 +280.6 +1.58%
S&P 500.5564 +59.4 +1.08%

FTSE…..8199 +43.1 +0.53%
Dax……18407 +235.1 +1.29%
CAC……7622 +87.50 +1.16%

Nikkei..39599 -464.8 -1.16%
HSI……17635 +218.2 +1.25%
Shanghai.2964 -18.1 -0.61%

IDX….7321.96 +27.48 +0.38%
LQ45..923.25 +3.72 +0.40%
IDX30.462.24 +2.51 +0.55%

IDXEnergy..2492.82 +37.11 +1.51%
IDX BscMat1359.38 -5.05 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl.1031.98 +13.23 +1.30%
IDXNONCYC.717.07 unch +0%
IDX Hlthcare1425.18 -4.38 -0.31%
IDXCYCLIC…748.23 -0.50 -0.07%
IDXTechno3289.00 +23.41 +0.72%
IDX Transp 1371.12 +14.19 +1.05%
IDX Infrast 1601.87 +8.18 +0.51%
IDX Finance1407.61 +7.27 +0.52%
IDX Banking1260.51 +10.10 +0.81%
IDX Property…..644 +5.00 +0.78%

Indo10Yr.7.0084 +0.0204 +0.29%
ICBI…382.6415 -0.3684 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.521 +0.004 +0.09%
US5Yr 4.175 +0.005 +0.12%
US10Yr4.255 +0.012 +0.28%
US30Yr.4.473 +0.022 +0.49%
VIX..14.91 -1.61 -9.75%‼️

USDIndx 104.3140 -0.082 -0.08%
Como Indx….283.09 +2.73 +0.97%
BCOMIN…… 140.87 -2.10 -1.47%

IndoCDS..74.19 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/07)

IDR…..16220.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%
Jisdor.16228.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0891 +0.0009 +0.08%

TLKM…19.37 -0.46 -2.02%
( 3143)
EIDO…..20.34 +0.14 +0.67,%
EEM…..43.11 +0.33 +0.76%

Oil………..79.78 -0.37 -0.46%
Gold…..2444.90 -1.70 -0.07%
Timah..29888.00 -1162.00 -3.74%‼️
(Closed 20/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 20/07)
Silver……29.28 -0.02 -0.07%
Copper.419.20 -4.45. -1.05%

Iron Ore 62% 108.45 -0.28 -0.26%
(19/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.278 +0.154 +7.25%
Ammonia China 2800.00 +16.67 +0.60%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.135.00 -0.10 -0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.40 +0.40 +0.29%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 +0.15 +0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.85 +0.25 +0.18%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.00 -0.20 -0.19%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..107.95 -0.70 -0.64%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.40 -1.50 -1.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.60 -1.25 -1.14%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3988 +28 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..415.00 +10.25 +2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.85 +0.88 +2.00%
Wheat…..548.00 +5.25 +0.97%

Wood pulp..5196 unch +0%
(Closed 22/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield naik, masih cari arah ini IHSG, harusnya turun tapi US nya lagi bagus

USD index merah, metal2 juga merah, oil merah gas ijo tebel, coal tipis tipis, CPO ijo, ayo dong ADRO koreksi dulu, mau buy di 2900 an nih, hehehe

IHSG – technical masih bilang down, BD lagi tarik ulur, foreign masuk tipis, masih sideways dulu sepertinya

Wah BMTR belum jadi lari Industrials udah melemah, emang ASII sih yang nge drive nya, dan selalu sesuai index. masih paling aman pegang saham saham yang defensif di Consumer dan yang biasa contrarian

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, ASII BBNI BMRI GGRM ITMG MEDC PTBA SRTG ADMR DOID MNCN, big accum BMRI ITMG PTBA . Tapi terasa jebakan betmen

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM ADMR.ADMR ada gossip mau masuk LQ45 di 31 Juli