Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

August 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite slips Friday, falls two weeks straight for the first time in 2023

The Nasdaq Composite
ended Friday lower and notched its second consecutive losing week in 2023 as semiconductor stocks languished.

Dow……35281 +105..3 +0.30%
Nasdaq13645 -76.2 -0.56%
S&P 500.4464 -4.8 -0.11%

FTSE…..7524 -94.4 -1.24%
Dax……15832 -164.4 -1.03%
CAC……7340 -93.4 -1.26%

Nikkei…32474 closed +0%
HSI…….19075 -173.1 -0.90%
*Shanghai.3189 -65.3 -2.01%*

IDX…..6879.98 -13.30 -0.19%
LQ45….964.35 -2.14 -0.22%
IDX30…500.02 -1.43 -0.28%

IDXEnergy…1934.23 -6.72 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1110.71 +11.74+1.07%
IDX Indstrl…1202.52 -2.07 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.751.45 +1.23 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1478.86 -11.62 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC….920.31 +6.43 +0.70%
IDX Techno.4447.38 -37.30 -0.83%
IDX Transp..1863.62 +15.12 +0.81%
IDX Infrast… .859.90 +2.69 +0.31%
IDX Finance.1423.81 -4.31 -0.30%
IDX Banking.1223.61 -4.45 -0.36%
IDX Property..757 +1.80 +0.24%

*Indo10Yr.6.3948* -0.0016 -0.03%
*ICBI….369.4534* +0.2564 +0.07%
*US2Yr.4.8920* +0.042 +0.87%
*US5Yr 4.3030* +0.069 +1.63%
*US10Yr4.1580* +0.0430 +0.10%
*US30Yr.4.2640* -0.0040 -0.09%
*VIX…….14.84 -1.01 -6.37%👍*

*USDIndx 102.8420* +0.2190 +0.21%
Como Indx…279.74 -0.23 -0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….140.62 -1.94 -1.36%

*IndoCDS.81.21 +0.02 +0.02%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(11/08)*

*IDR…..15219.00‼️+34.00 +0.22%*
*Jisdor.15225.00 ‼️+21.00 +0.14%*

*Euro……1.0949 -0.0033 -0.30%*

TLKM…24.70 +0.13 +0.53%
*(3760)*
EIDO….22.92 -0.18 -0.78%
EEM…..39.56 -0.59 -1.47%

*Oil………83.19* +0.29 +0.35%
*Gold…1946.60* +1.70 +0.09%
*Timah..26457.00‼️* -428.00 -1.59%
*(Closed 11/08)*
Nickel..20327.50 -103.00 -0.50%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.02 -0.09%
Copper.371.90 -3.75 -1.00%

*Iron Ore 62% 105.37 +0.77 +0.74%*
(11/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7860 +0.0010 +0.04%
*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*
(Domestic Price)(10/08)

Coal price..144.00 +1.00 +0.70%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.50 +2.50 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.85 +2.60 +1.71%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.85 +2.35 +1.51%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price116.50 -1.00 -0.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.75 +0.50 +0.41%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.90 +0.35 +0.29%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.50 +0.40 +0.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3751 +24 +0.64%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………487.25 -9.00 -1.81%
SoybeanOil 60.22 -0.26 -0.43%
Wheat……653.75 -10.00 -1.51%

*Wood pulp..4620.00* unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Closing Jum’at US merah, europe ijo, asia kerah kecuali nikkei dan kospi.

USD index naik, kebanyakan metal turun, yang ijo Gold Iron Ore Oil Gas Coal CPO. Semoga ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA INDY ITMG rebound

IHSG – harusnya otw fibo 61,stoch almost buy, MACD still down, MFI down, w% sw, jum’at balik FNS makanya drop. Hopefully mau breakout triangle ke atas sih, ini lagi penentuan arah

Yang arahnya masih bagus Infrastructure, Financials, Property (walau kemaren melemah) sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO TPIA ADHI BRMS DOID ISAT PTPP TINS WIKA

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA ICBPMPMX MTMH SSMS

Alligator Buy Signal: ACES PNLF

July 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises for sixth straight day, closes at highest level in 2023

Stocks were higher Monday as Wall Street braced for quarterly reports from some of the biggest companies in the world.

Dow……34585 +76.3 +0.22%
Nasdaq14245 +131.3 +0.93%
S&P 500.4523 +17.4 +0.10%

FTSE…..7406 -28.2 -0.38%
Dax……16069 -36.4 -0.23%
CAC……7292 -82.9 -1.12%

Nikkei…32391 closed +0%
HSI…….19414 closed +0%
Shanghai.3210 -28.1 -0.87%

IDX…..6867.14 -2.43 -0.04%
LQ45….964.36 +0.28 +0.03%
IDX30…500.81 -0.01 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1880.00 +16.11 +0.86%
IDX BscMat.1040.95 -3.61 -0.35%
IDX Indstrl…1196.34 -0.40 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC.757.36 -4.87 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1553.26-12.94 -0.83%
IDXCYCLIC….922.90 +5.82 +0.64%
IDX Techno.4962.22 +16.63 +0.34%
IDX Transp..1924.14 -3.74 -0.39%
IDX Infrast… .853.71 -3.38 -0.87%
IDX Finance.1433.14 +0.84 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1198.56 +2.56 +0.21%
IDX Property..760 – -%

*Indo10Yr.6.3174* +0.0103 +0.16%
*ICBI….368.9041* -0.2092. -0.06%
*US2Yr.4.7420* -0.026 -0.55%
*US5Yr 4.0170* -0.028 -0.64%
*US10Yr3.8090* -0.509 -1.32%
*US30Yr.3.9260* unch +0%
*VIX…….13.48 +0.14 +1.05%*

*USDIndx 99.8420👍* -0.0720 -0.07%
Como Indx…267.90 -2.89 -1.07%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….144.84 -2.55 -1.73%

*IndoCDS.80.72👍 – -1%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(14/07)*
*IDR…..15013.00 +54.50 +0.36%*
*Jisdor.15007.00 +62.00 +0.41%*

*Euro……1.1240* +0.0012 +0.11%

TLKM…25.88 -0.29 -1.11%
*(3883)*
EIDO….23.68 +0.07 +0.30%
EEM…..41.06 +0.05 +0.12%

*Oil…..74.09 -1.33 -1.76%*
*Gold…1958.70* -5.70 -0.29%
*Timah..28543.00* – -%
*(Closed 14/07)*
*Nickel..20923.50 -705.50 -3.26%*
(Closed 17/07)
Silver…. 25.05 -0.14 -0.55%
*Copper.383.80 -9.50 -2.42%*

*Iron Ore 62% 112.38 – -%*
(14/07)
Nturl Gas.2.532 -0.016 -0.63%
Ammonia China..2866.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(17/07)

Coal price.131.10 -0.55 -0.42%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +1.25 +0.94%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.35 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 unch +0%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price104.00 -0.15 -0.14%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.00 +1.50 +1.59%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…95.25 +0.85 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..95.05 +0.30 +0.32%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..3895 +38 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….506.00 -7.75 -1.51%
SoybeanOil 60.34 -0.42 -0.69%
Wheat…653.75 -7.75 -1.17%

*Wood pulp..4390.00* unch +0%
(Closed 17/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI lanjut ijo, Europe asia pada merah. Kemaren IDX udah merah walau tipis jadi harusnya hari ini ijo lagi

USD index turun tipis, semua commodity merah kecuali CPO, semoga saham terkait commodity cuma sideways

IHSG – stoch up, MACD up, MFI up, w% down, BD FF masih acc, done target IHNS, bikin candle shooting star, ini sign reversal euy, kemaren high deket fibo 50 dan close deket fibo38, semoga sih bisa lanjut bukan terus dibawa ke fibo 23 lagi.

Sekilas liat BBCA BBRI BMRI BBNI sih rada optimis lanjut, jarang BBCA gerak sampe MACD buy terus mendadak ngebalik lagi

Big Banks penggerak Utama index,kalo mereka gerak harusnya index juga jalan. Apalagi GOTO juga kemaren MACD buy, biasanya abis itu digoreng

Kalo dari sini yang paling menarik buat kita riding yang Healthcare, Property sama Technology, tapi hati2 saham technology suka ugal-ugalan supirnya. Basic Materials, Energy sama Consumer Cyclicals masih leading, pantau ketat tapi terutama yang udah pada jalan, jaga2 udah cape dan mau balik turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN ICBP UNVR ABMM LMSH, ICBP sama UNVR big accum dan NFB

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI BBTN GOTO ADHI, BBRI GOTO ADHI Big Accum

Alligator Buy Signal: AMRT BRPT TINS. AMRT BRPT ada spike kemaren

July 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stock closes higher in after the S&P 500 closed at its highest level in over a year. Markets also looked ahead to another key inflation reading.

Dow……34347 +86.01 +0.25%
Nasdaq13981 +158.3 +1.18%
S&P 500.4472 +32.9 +0.74%

FTSE…..7416 +133.6 +1.83%
Dax……16203 +232.7 +1.47%
CAC……7333 +113.0 +1.57%

Nikkei…31943 -259.6 -0.81%
HSI…….18861 +201.1 +1.08%
Shanghai.3196 -25.2 -0.78%

IDX…..6808.21 +11.28 +0.17%
LQ45….957.99 +3.03 +0.32%
IDX30…497.19 +1.71 +0.35%

IDXEnergy…1840.99 -17.48 -0.94%
IDX BscMat.1036.93 -3.01 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1194.84 -2.03 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.761.67 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Hlthcare1523.16 +0.76 +2.88%
IDXCYCLIC….921.48 +0.00 +0.01%
IDX Techno.4815.68 +67.71 +1.43%
IDX Transp..1924.05 -0.29 -0.01%
IDX Infrast… .856.79 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1425.15 +2.86 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +3.53 +0.47%
IDX Property..751 +4.20 +0.56%

Indo10Yr.6.3102👍 -0.0270 -0.43%
ICBI….368.5678👍 +04692 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.8870 -0.139 -2.84%👍
US5Yr 4.0750 -0.164 -3.86%👍
US10Yr3.8620 -0.111 -2.79%👍
US30Yr.4.0110-0.062 -1.55%
VIX…….13.54 -1.30 -8.76%👍

USDIndx100.5210👍 -1.2110 -1.19%
Como Indx…268.30 +0.70 +0.26%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.40 +4.19 +2.97%

IndoCDS.87.66 -0.98 -1.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/07)
IDR…..15074.50 -78.50 -0.52%
Jisdor.15084.00 -78.00 -0.51%

Euro……1.1136 +0.0126 +1.14%

TLKM…26.41 +0.33 +1.27%
(3983)
EIDO….23.67 +0.63 +2.73%
EEM…..40.71 +0.89 +2.24%

Oil…..74.80 +1.08 +1.44%
Gold…1962.40‼ +24.50 +1.26%
Timah..27956.00 +6.00 +0.02%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..21628.00 +918.00 +4.43%‼
(Closed 12/07)
Silver…. 24.34 +1.01 +4.33%‼
Copper.385.65 +8.60 +2.28%

Iron Ore 62% 109.34 +0.13 +0.12%
(11/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6490 -0.083 -3.04%

Coal price.129.05 -1.95 -1.49%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.05 -5.95 -4.44%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.129.25 -6.60 -4.86%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.70 -7.10 -5.08%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price104.05 -1.85 -1.70%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.45 -5.40 -5.41%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -5.50 -5.52%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.90 -5.00 -5.00%‼
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3928 +40 +1.02%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…483.75 -17.75 -3.54%‼
SoybeanOil 59.36 -0.57 -0.95%
Wheat…632.75 -27.75 -4.20%‼

Wood pulp..4380.00 +20 +0.46%
(Closed 10/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Index regional hampir semua ijo kecuali nikkei, kayanya lanjut rally ini IHSG

USD index drop, automatically precious metals naik tinggi semua. Oil ijo Gas drop, coal drop, cpo ijo. Consider exit yang coal coal ya, bahaya ini udha 3 hari berturut2 coal price turun, ini ketahan index jalan makanya masih bertahan emiten coal

IHSG – lanjut FNB, SUpertrend Buy, Alligator up, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, IHNS jalan, stoch up, macd up, harusnya lanjut rally sih

Malah property sama Consumer Cyclicals yang kebaca arahnya bagus, tapi dengan harga komoditi naik tinggi gini sih, basic materials harusnya jalan lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES GOTO KLBF ADHI MIKA MBSS

MACD Buy SIgnal: ICBP MIKA LMSH SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: MEDC

Supertrend Buy Signal: BABP