December 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on cooler inflation report, notch second day of gains

Stocks rose Tuesday after the release of new U.S. inflation data, while traders awaited a key Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….34109 +103.6 +0.30%
Nasdaq.11257 +113.1 +1.01%
S&P 500..4020 +29.1 +0.73%

FTSE…….7503 +56.9 +0.72%
Dax……..14498 +191.3 +1.34%
CAC……..6745 +94.4 +1.42%

Nikkei….27955 +112.5 +0.40%
HSI……..19596 +132.6 +0.68%
Shanghai..3176 -2.7. -0.09%
ST Times..3271 +31.6 +0.98%

IDX…….6810.32 +75.86 +1.13%
LQ45……952.79 +14.05 +1.50%

IDX Energy..2127.07 +1.43 +0.07%
IDX BscMat 1251.21 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1174.98 +4.96 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..728.83 +0.81 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1538.08 -2.34 -0.15%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.99 +8.52 +1.00%
*IDX Techno..5290.98 +219.79 +4.33%‼️*
IDX Transp…1716.50 +4.51 +0.26%
IDX Infrast……848.81 -4.10 -0.48%
IDX Finance 1456.46 +23.77 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1177.89 +21.68 +1.88%
IDX Property….707 -6.40 -0.89%

*Indo10Yr…7.0236 -0.0173 -0.25%*
*ICBI…….343.1406 -0.0539 -0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.5010 -0.1100 -3.05%*
*VIX……22.55 -2.45 -9.80%*

*USDIndx..104.0020 -1.0340 -0.98%👍*
*Como Indx.275.03 +5.66 +2.10%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.96 -0.05 -0.03%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15657.00 +29.50 +0.19%*
*Jisdor..15661.00 +19.00 +0.12%*

*Euro……1.0632 +0.0095 +0.90%*

TLKM……..23.74 +0.15 +0.64%
*(3718)*
EIDO……….22.96 +0.43 +1.92%
EEM……….38.59 +0.27 +0.72%

*Oil………..75.39 +2.22 +3.03%‼️*
*Gold …..1825.50 +33.20 +1.85%*
Timah…..23950 -340 -1.40%
*(Closed 12/12)*
*Nickel…28292.00 -1011.50 -3.45%‼️*
*(Closed 13/12)*
*Silver………23.99 +0.59 +2.51%*
Copper….384.20 +4.15 +1.09%

*Nturl Gas…..6.965 +0.441 +6.75%‼️*

Ammonia..4856.67 -33.33 -0.68%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(12/12)

Coal price….404.25 +4.25 +1.06%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….377.65 +4.65 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.65 +2.40 +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….247.00 -3.25 -1.30%
(Des/Rotterdam)
‘Coal price….234.55 -0.70 -0.30%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….235.10 -2.30 -0.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3887 +146 +3.90%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.50 -0.50 -0.08%
*SoybeanOil.63.37 +1.90 +3.09%*
Wheat………750.75 -4.00 -4.00%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo, asia kemaren kebanyakan ijo, semoga IHSG hari ini lanjut rally…

Oil naik tinggi, gas naik tinggi, coal naik ke 404, energy lanjut… Gold Silver Copper naik (USD index turun), timah nikel turun. CPO naik tinggi. MDAK ANTM perlu dicermati, AALI LSIP semoga mulai bullish, CPO nya semoga ga bolak balik ngedrop

IHSG – Regular Bullish Divergence RSI

Ada juga reg bull div di MACD

IHSG – masih NFS, tapi BD udah akum, stoch almost buy, freq analyzer ga ada spike, tapi secara umum naik, berarti transaksi lebih banyak yang nilainya besar, kemaren ada vol spike dari transaksi GOTO, belum bisa mewakili index, divergence RSI dan MACD biasanya kuat, harusnya jalan wave 3 ini, yang sebelumnya tertunda

Bagusnya: Financials bangun, jeleknya, yang leading keliatan cape: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Energy, keliatannya kalo property sama consumer non-cyclicals udahan dulu, energy yang lanjut, mungkin nanti ditemenin sama basic materials dan infrastructure yang banyak BUMN perlu windress

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII GOTO TLKM TPIA ACES DSNG TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN AKRA

November 22nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower to begin holiday week. Disney shares jump 6%

Stocks fell Monday in a volatile session to start a short trading week due to the Thanksgiving holiday.

Dow…….33700 -45.4 -0.13%
Nasdaq.11023 -121.6 -1.09%
S&P 500..3950 -15.0 -0.38%

FTSE…….7877 -8.7 -0.12%
Dax……..14380 -51.9 -0.36%
CAC……..6634 -10.01 -0.15%

Nikkei….27945 +45.02 +0.16%
HSI……..17666 -336.6 -1.87%
Shanghai..3085 -12.2 -0.39%
ST Times..3251 -21.6 -0.66%

IDX…….7063.25 -18.93 -0.27%
LQ45….1002.40 -7.11 -0.70%

IDX Energy..2031.07 +38.28 +1.92%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.09 -3.44 -0.27%
IDX Industrl..1232.08 +9.01 +0.74%
IDXNONCYC..730.51 -1.60 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare.1485.97 +2.30 +0.16%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.25 +9.16 +1.04%
IDX Techno..6756.16 -121.91 -1.77%
IDX Transp…1808.22 +6.97 +0.39%
IDX Infrast……909.51 +3.86 +0.43%
IDX Finance 1494.03 -10.69 -0.71%
IDX Banking.1184.69 -12.38 -1.03%
IDX Property….692 unch +0%

Indo10Yr….7.3086 +0.0063 +0.09%
ICBI……..337.7698 -0.1087 -0.03%
US10Yr..3.8250 +0.0070 +0.18%
VIX……22.36 -0.69 -2.79%

USDIndx..107.9300 +0.9040 +0.85%‼️
Como Indx..276.52 +0.12 +0.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……154.14 -3.67 -2.33%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15712.50 +28.50 +0.18%‼️
Jisdor..15707.00 +15.00 +0.10%‼️

Euro……..1.0242 -0.0083 -0.81%

TLKM……..25.68 -0.10 -0.39%
(4034)
EIDO………22.95 -0.24 -1.03%
EEM……….37.55 -0.48 -1.26%

Oil…………79.73 -0.35 -0.44%
Gold ……1753.70 -14.30 -0.81%
Timah…..22664 – -%
(Closed 18/11)
Nickel…25109.50 -519.50 -2.03%
(Closed 21/11)
Silver………21.07 -0.13 -0.59%
Copper…..357.60 -6.56 -1.80%

Nturl Gas…..6.692 +0.321 +5.04%

Ammonia..4463.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(17/11)

Coal price….351.00 +7.55 +2.20%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….349.35 +12.35 +3.66%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….340.65 +10.15 +3.07%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….216.20 +8.55 +4.12%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….229.80 +12.30 +5.66%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….231.05 +11.95 +5.45%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (1£/11)

CPO(Feb)……3851 +6 +0.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….663.00 -7.00 -1.04%
SoybeanOil…70.76 .+0.15 +0.21%
Wheat………818.00 -4.00 -0.49%

Wood pulp…6610.00 unch +0%
(Closed 21/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe merah, asia varied, IHSG closing merah kemarin. Masih sideways dulu kayanya

Dollar menguat, metal2 an turun semua, oil masih turun, gas dan coal naik tinggi. CPO naik tipis. Sepertinya kaya kemaren, market merah coal ijo

IHSG – masih sideways, stoch udah buy, MACD up, MFI up, tapi foreign masih flat walau sudah berhenti net sell. lagi di dalem cloud ichimoku, semoga breakout kenceng ke atas. Selama ga breakdown 7000 harusnya masih aman. Masih dalam rangka wave 3, semoga dipicu window dressing jadi diangkat tinggi

INFOBANK15 – belum di akum lagi ini bank bank, sabar deh ya, index belum akan jalan kalo bank belum jalan…

Financials, Healthcare, Industrials, Technology awas mau selesai gerak, GOTO udah dibanting. Emerging: Energy, Property, tapi kayanya property mah beres Financials jalan baru firm gerak seperti biasa

November 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks finish lower as Wall Street braces for key Fed decision

Stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders assessed better-than-expected economic data and prepared for another likely rate hike from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….32653 -79.8 -0.24%
Nasdaq.10891 -97.3 -0.89%
S&P 500..3856 -15.8 -0.41%

FTSE…….7186 +91.6 +1.29%
Dax……..13338 +85.0 +0.64%
CAC……..6328 +61.5 +0.98%

Nikkei….27679 +91.5 +0.33%
*HSI……..15455 +768.3 +5.23%‼️*
*Shanghai..2969 +75.7 +2.62%*
ST Times..3131 +37.4 +1.21%

IDX…….7052.30 -46.59 -0.66%
LQ45…1007.37 -6.75 -0.67%

*IDX Energy..2008.11 -61.39 -2.97%*
IDX Bsc Mat.1271.88 +3.65 +0.29%
IDX Industrl..1258.81 -15.14 -1.19%
IDXNONCYC..732.12 -3.19 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.06 -7.07 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.24 +7.70 +0.89%
IDX Techno..6483.15 +31.79 +0.49%
IDX Transp…1823.85 -21.89 -1.19%
IDX Infrast……935.64 -4.42 -0.47%
IDX Finance 1484.24 -17.12 -1.14%
IDX Banking.1194.56 -9.20 -0.76%
IDX Property….693 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.5546 -0.0316 -0.42%
ICBI……..331.8430 +0.6152 +0.19%
*US10Yr……4.0520 -0.0250 -0.61%‼️*
*VIX……….25.81 -0.07 -0.27%*

*USDIndx 111.5300 -0.050 -0.04%*
Como Indx..276.34 +2.21 +0.81%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……147.03 +4.84 +3.40%‼️*
.
*IndoCDS..139.53 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(31/10)*

*IDR……15627.50 +30.00 +0.19%‼️*
*Jisdor..15647.00 +51 +0.33%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9876 -0.0006 -0.06%*

TLKM……..27.82 -0.31 -1.10%
*(4353)*
EIDO………23.61 -0.14 -0.59%
EEM……….34.82 +0.63 +1.84%

Oil…………86.53 -1.37 -1.56%
Gold ……1649.70 +9.00 +0.55%
*Timah…..18101 – -%*
*(Closed 28/10)*
*Nickel…23444.00 +1497.50 +6.82%‼️*
*(Closed 01/11)*
*Silver………19.67 +0.55 +2.87%*
*Copper….347.25 +9.75 +2.89%*

*Nturl Gas…..5.838 -0.456 -7.24%‼️*

Ammonia..4113.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/10)

Coal price….359.00 +2.70 +0.76%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.00 +4.95 +1.39%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….358.05 +5.55 +1.57%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….225.10 +5.85 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….226.95 +8.95 +4.10%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….226.15 +8.60 +3.95%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

*Coal(ICI 4)…..95.25 +3.60 +3.93%‼️*
Indonesial Coal Index (31/10)

*CPO(Jan)……4241 +194 +4.79%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….697.75 +6.25 +0.90%
SoybeanOil…73.37 +0.16 +0.22%
*Wheat………902.50 +20.25 +2.25%*

Wood pulp…6750.00 -52 -0.76%
(Closed 01/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Hangseng rebound kenceng banget, ga ikutan US market, shanghai juga. Asia yang merah cuma IHSG, dalem pula. DJI tadi malem closing merah lagi, europe masih ijo, harusnya kita hari ini ijo lah

Oil lanjut turun, gas turun dalem, coal rebound tipis, energy koreksi dulu ya… Metal metal rebound, nikel naik tinggi, kita liat chart INCO dan MDKA. CPO naik tinggi, perlu dicermati chart harga CPO ini, kalo trendnya udah ngebalik bullish kemungkinan besar saham CPO ngikut

IHSG – masih keliatan mau sideways, MFI masih up, macd up, FNB terus, masih aman harusnya lanjut wave 3. Candle terakhir memang bearish engulfing sih, tapi bukan di ujung atas uptrend tapi ada di fase sideways, semoga bukan pertanda bearish reversal. DMI ngebalik sell, stoch 833 sell, 1066 rev down, jangan koreksi dalem ah, sideways correction ajah 😇

CPO future – MACD up, stoch deket overbought, lagi mau rev up, 833 buy. DMI sideways, LR slope masih kebawah, udah deket bates upper channel. Abis terjun udah ketemu bullish divergence terus mantul ke fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke fibo 38. tunggu momentumnya aja. William Alligator up, buy nya pas sekitar 18 okt an. Amannya ditunggu firm bikin higher low. Harusnya kalo komoditi geraknya ga seliar saham gorengan sih, lebih smooth. Apalagi kalo diperhitungkan bahwa palm oil bisa jadi substitusi fossil fuel, dengan kondisi krisis energi, bisa jadi sentimen positif juga.

Nah lho, financials nya mulai kebawah, harus diganjel yang lain kalo ga index bisa koreksi lebih jauh. Consumer cyclicals, property, transportation, infrastructure, technology

Consumer cyclicals – retracement pattern nya udah running sampe deket fibo38, stochastic udah overbought, ini sih kemungkinan besar mau koreksi or sideways dulu sambil nurunin stochastic, baru nerusin lagi. MACD masih up, mfi up, FNB, bandar akum, kalo akumulasinya naik terus atau minimal diem dulu ga distribusi, koreksinya ga akan jauh harusnya

MAPI

MAPI – ini yang single-handedly naikin Consumer Cyclicals ya… Tunggu wave 4 deh

Property – belum jadi running… stoch sama mfi udah cape…

No new signals

Transportation – nunggu stoch 833 buy lagi baru running lagi, cut short gerakannya, emang belum saatnya IHSG running lagi

Sepi… ga ada FNB ga ada bandar akum

Infrastructure – kenapa masuk di chart cacing sih ini, belum jalan juga… Algoritma RSI quadrant nya harus dibenerin kayanya ini

TOWR TLKM

TOWR – macd buy, retracement pattern suggest udah waktunya lanjut ke fibo 61, stoch up rev, 833 sell, belum saat yang tepat buat entry, idealnya pas firm 833 nya buy lah minimal

TLKM – belum, koreksi dulu ini keliatannya, padahal kemaren ISAT keliatan bagus, tapi kalo TLKM turun rada berat ISAT jalan sendiri

Global Update:

October 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up more than 300 points as strong earnings boost stocks in choppy market

Stocks rose for a second straight session on Tuesday as strong corporate earnings reports helped extend a rally to start the week.

Dow…….30523 +337.98 +1.12%
Nasdaq.10772 +96.6 +0.90%
S&P 500..3720 +42.03 +1.14%

FTSE…….6937 +16.5 +0.24%
Dax……..12766 +116.6 +0.92%
CAC……..6067 +26.3 +0.44%

Nikkei….27156 +380.4 +1.42%
HSI……..16915 +301.7 +1.82%
Shanghai..3081 -3.98 -0.13%
ST Times..3025 +10.1 +0.34%

IDX…….6834.49 +3.38 +0.05%
LQ45…..971.35 -1.32 -0.14%

IDX Energy…1972.86 -13.75 -0.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1228.64 +1.59 +0.13%
IDX Industrl..1246.83 -0.69 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..709.63 +11.18 +1.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.13 +4.00 +0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..835.94 +1.63 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6453.60 -26.80 -0.41%
IDX Transp…1752.25 -0.91 -0.05%
IDX Infrast……919.96 -3.54 -0.38%
IDX Finance 1431.36 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1101.70 +15.66 +1.11%
IDX Property…….67/ +4.50 +0.67%

Indo10Yr….7.4396 +0.0032 +0.04%
ICBI……..332.9837 +0.0033 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.9980 -0.0170 -0.42%
VIX……….30.50 -0.87 -2.77%

USDIndx 112.0390 -0.0360 -0.03%👍
Como Indx..271.55 -3.78 -1.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..143.24 -0.84 -0.59%
.
IndoCDS 156.09 -8.23 -5.01%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15463.50 -24.00 -0.16%‼️
Jisdor..15469.00 -11 -0.07%‼️

Euro……..0.9860 +0.0136 +1.42%‼️

TLKM……..27.20 -0.75 -2.68%
(4208)
EIDO………22.64 -0.19 -0.83%
EEM………35.16 +0.01 +0.03%

Oil…………82.82 -3.18 -3.70%
Gold ……1655.80 -1.30 -0.08%
Timah…19645 -285 -1.43%
(Closed 17/10)
Nickel…21938.00 +324.50 +1.50%
(Closed 18/10)
Silver………18.60 -0.01 -0.53%
Copper….336.20 -4.65 -1.36%

Nturl Gas…..5.691 -0.291 -4.86%‼️

Ammonia..4206.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(17/10)

Coal price….387.85 -4.30 -1.10%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.80 -5.85 -1.49%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.30 -8.85 -2.24%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00 -3.50 -1.29%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….255.00 -4.50 -1.73%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..254.90 -4.50 -1.73%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 -1.25 -1.31%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/10)

CPO(Jan)……4005 +127 +3.27%‼️

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….681.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil….68.74 +1.90 +2.84%
Wheat………849.50 -11.50 -1.34%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Ijo semua kecuali shanghai, ayo IHSG jalan wave 3. Kalo ijo lagi hari ini jadi 3 white soldiers.

Oil Coal Gas turun, bener ini kayanya wave C dulu energy, bagus deh, siap2 winter rally lagi akhir tahun. Metal turun semua kecuali nikel. CPO naik lumayan. Kita liat technically sektor mana yang mau jalan

IHSG – technically belum firm mantul, baru LR aja yang bilang buy, tapi itungan elliot wave udah sih. Bandar masih flat, foreign masih belum entry lagi, MFI naik tapi, volume cukup untuk dianggap naiknya valid bukan gorengan. Semoga sudah firm lanjut wave 3 sampe awal tahun

Industrials & Basic Materials keliatannya next yang jalan, Consumer Cyclicals dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals ga meyakinkan cacingnya