August 08th, 2024

Stocks close lower on Wednesday as market’s comeback attempt fizzles out

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as the market’s attempt to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off failed.

Dow…….38763 -234.2 -0.60%
Nasdaq. 16195 -171.1 -1.05%
S&P 500 5193 -40.5 -0.77%

FTSE..8166.9 +140.2 +1.75%
Dax……17615 +260.8 +1.50%
CAC……7266 +135.97 +1.91%

Nikkei..35090 +414.2 +1.19%
HSI…….16878 +230.5 +1.38%
Shanghai.2870 +2.6 +0.08%

IDX….7212.13 +82.92 +1.16%
LQ45…903.79 +4.61 +0.51%
IDX30.451.88 +4.88 +1.09%

IDXEnergy.2421.41 +31.88 +1.33%
IDX BscMat1322.98 +16.65 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1015.19 +18.11 +1.82%
IDXNONCYC.700.65 +6.99 +1.01%
IDX Hlthcare1444.70 +4.97 +0.35%
IDXCYCLIC…758.22 +6.08 +0.81%
IDXTechno.3199.07 +19.42 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1356.76 +21.81 +1.63%
IDX Infrast 1546.26 +13.47 +0.88%
IDX Finance1394.55 +6.81 +0.49%
IDX Banking1239.80 +7.76 +0.63%
IDX Property…..645 +8.60 +1.36%

Indo10Yr.6.8743 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…386.3727 +0.0880 +0.02%
US2Yr.3.983 -0.009 -0.23%
US5Yr 3.776 +0.033 +0.88%
US10Yr3.926 +0.042 +1.08%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.062 +1.48%
VIX..27.85 +0.14 +0.51%

USDIndx 103.1970❗️+0.228 +0.22%
Como Indx….273.70 +3.55 +1.31%
BCOMIN…..135.90 -1.22 -0.89%

IndoCDS..80.12❗️ -2.06 -2.51%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16035.00❗️ -129.50 -0.80%
Jisdor.16100.00❗️ -83.00 -0.51%

Euro…1.0926 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM…17.36 -0.02 -0.12%
( 2795)
EIDO.20.05 +0.18 +0.91%
EEM….40.90 +0.28 +0.69%

Oil………..75.45 +2.58 +3.54%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….78.33 +1.85 +2.42%
(Brent)
Gold…..2422.60 -7.40 -0.31%
(Comex)
Gold……2384.07 -38.53 -1.59%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29991.00 +340.00 +1.15%
(Closed 07/08)
Nickel..16233.00 -182.00 -1.11%
(Closed 07/08)
Silver….26.68 -0.33 -1.22%
Copper.393.25 -6.80 -1.70%

Iron Ore 62% 102.86 -1.32 -1.27%
(06/08)
Nturl Gas 2.089 +0.073 +3.62%
Ammonia China 2480.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(06/08)

Coal price.145.00 -0.50 -0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.90 +0.40 +0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 148.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.10 +0.30 +0.25%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.00 +0.30 +0.25%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.60 +0.40 +0.33%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.25 +0.20 +0.16%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3696 -11 -0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 -4.50 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 40.98 +0.92 +2.30%
Wheat…..538.25 -5.00 -0.92%

Wood pulp..5110 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 07/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, kemaren asia europe ijo tebel, US bond yield up, most likely IDX dan pasar asia merah lagi hari ini. Per sekarang Nikkei udah minus 1.8%. So IHSG kemungkinan besar juga sama merah

USD index up lagi, metal2 down kecuali tin, Oil up, gas up, coal tipis2, CPO merah tipis, masih belum ada yang terlalu menarik, nanti yang oil kita liat trend nya

Oil Price – mulai terlihat bottoming sih, tapi belum firm

IHSG – bagusnya FNB, tapi technical masih jelek. Mungkin aja udahan tapi belum firm tegambar di chart kecuali dari level fibonacci target ABC correction. Dengan US market merah dan Nikkei udah terlihat merah duluan, ya masih sesuai technical mau kebawah lagi dulu

Masih belum, financials melemah lagi, sisa healthcare tapi ga berani lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN TLKM ABMM ADMR EMTK JPFA SMDR, big accum: CPIN JPFA SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: PTMP TPIA, TPIA big accum

CPIN – BD FF accum, stoch buy, macd bottoming, posisi di modus vol profile, retracement pattern pas banget ini abis koreksi wave B ke fibo 23, harusnya emang naik lagi ke fibo 61.

Spike tinggi tapi terus drop, jadi ga bisa dibilang valid spike beli

Wah biggest holder nya buang… Nanti dulu deh, sekalian tunggu harga dibawah average bandar

JPFA- ini malah lebih ga berani, abis wave 5 belum abc correction… Walau BD FF lagi terlihat akum

SMDR – ini menarik, abis drop jauh mantul hampir sampe fibo 61 drop lagi ke fibo 23, mungkin akan lanjut beresin retracement pattern nya. soch bolak balik, MACD bottoming, MFI juga, w% sw, PBV PER nya ok, kita tunggu MACD buy signal

PTMP – buat perusahaan relatif baru IPO, PER nya 23 ga berani masuk lah…

TPIA – PBV 20 PER minus karena LK rugi, skip lah

TLKM – BD FF acc tipis, menari udah drop terus mantul, ini bikin higher low, stoch almost buy, macd still down, index mau merah dulu, sabar tunggu firm mantul

BBRI – BD FF dist, toch buy, macd still down, MFI w%down, IHNS in he making, abis drop ketemu regbull div mantul, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya tinggal nunggu wave C, tapi keliatannya belum saatnya

July 26th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close lower Thursday as tech comeback attempt falters

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dropped on Thursday, building on the previous session’s losses as investors continued to dump some of 2024′s leading technology stocks.

Dow……39935 +81.2 +0.20%
Nasdaq17181 -160.7 -0.93%
S&P 500.5399 -27.9 -0.51%

FTSE…..8186 -32.7 -0.40%
Dax……18299 -88.7 -0.48%
CAC……7427 -86.7 -1.15%

Nikkei..37870 -1285.3 -3.28%‼️
HSI……17005 -306.1 -2.04%
Shanghai.2887 -15.2 -0.52%

IDX….7240.28 -22.48 -0.31%
LQ45..916.16 -1.01 -0.11%
IDX30.457.69 +0.76 +0.17%

IDXEnergy..2429.23 -23.20 -0.95%
IDX BscMat1336.74 -23.07 -1.70%
IDX Indstrl.1018.27 -11.06 -1.07%
IDXNONCYC.706.14 -1.75 -0.25%
IDX Hlthcare1436.96 +7.75 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…741.00 -4.41 -0.59%
IDXTechno.3367.19 -14.03 -0.41%
IDX Transp 1363.51 -23.87 -1.72%
IDX Infrast 1580.49 -2.89 -0.18%
IDX Finance1388.78 -7.15 -0.51%
IDX Banking1239.57 -3.30 -0.27%
IDX Property…..642 -2.00 -0.31%

Indo10Yr.7.0210 -0.0046 -0.06%
ICBI…383.0348 -0.2562 -0.07%
US2Yr.4.435 +0.002 +0.05%
US5Yr 4.134 -0.041 -0.98%
US10Yr4.241 -0.037 -0.86%
US30Yr.4.488 -0.054 -1.18%
VIX..18.46 +0.32 +2.33%

USDIndx 104.3550 -0.036 -0.03%
Como Indx….279.69 -0.06 -0.02%
BCOMIN…..138.32 -0.45 -0.33%

IndoCDS..73.23 -2.96 -3.88%❗️
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/07)

IDR…..16250.00❗️ +35.00 +0.22%
Jisdor.16268.00❗️ +44.00 +0.27%

Euro…1.0849 +0.0011 +0.10%

TLKM…19.10 +0.10 +0.53%
( 3107)
EIDO…..19.94 -0.08 -0.40%
EEM…..41.93 -0.16 -0.38%

Oil………..78.29 +0.81 +1.05%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….82.37 +0.66 +0.81%
(Brent)
Gold…..2408.80 -35.10 -1.44%
(Comex)
Gold……2362.82 -32.07 -1.34%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29416.00 -374.00 -1.26%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel..15817.00 -10.00 -0.06%
(Closed 25/07)
Silver…27.99 -1.04 -3.58%
Copper.411.40 +2.65 +0.65%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.165 -0.040 -1.81%
Ammonia China 2823.33 -20.00 -0.70%
(Domestic Price)(25/07)

Coal price.134.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -0.15 -0.11%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.80 -0.15 -0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.40 -0.05 -0.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.25 -0.15 -0.14%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.70 +0.25 +0.22%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.00 +0.35 +0.31%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.95 +0.05 +0.04%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3918 -8 -0.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..420.75 +2.75. +0.66%
SoybeanOil 44.17 +0.07 +0.16%
Wheat…..537.75 -9.25 -1.69%

Wood pulp..5150 -10 -0.19%
(Closed 25/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI rebound, Nasdaq masih merah dalem,europe merah, asia pada merah dalem juga, US bond yield merah, ada harapan IHSG ijo tipis hari ini. Tapi lebih besar kemungkinan lanjut merah sih

USD index merah tipis, metal2 masih merah kecuali copper, oil up gas down coal mostly down, CPO slightly down. Masih belum bisa jalan ini. AKRA mungkin kalo oil turnaround menarik diambil

IHSG – akhirnya MACD sell signal, beneran double top, hayuk deh jelas jelasan turun dulu biar enak nanti belanjanya lagi pas beres wave 2

Slowing down semua, ya sesuai sama arah index lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT HEAL TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA HEAL CEKA. BBCA big accum juga, aneh banget ini, index MACD sell BBCA MACD buy

July 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks smoked, Nasdaq falls over 3.5% in worst day since 2022 after Tesla, Alphabet trigger Big Tech sell-off

Tesla shares close down 12% after earnings miss for biggest slump since 2020

Tesla
shares plummeted the most since 2020 after the electric vehicle maker reported weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings and another drop in automotive revenue.

The stock closed down 12% on Wednesday at $215.99. It’s now down 13% for the year, while the Nasdaq is up 16% over that stretch.

Dow……39854 -504.2 -1.25%
Nasdaq17342 -654.9 -3.64%‼️
S&P 500.5527 -128.6 -2.31%

FTSE…..8153 -13.7 -0.17%
Dax……18387 -170.2 -0.92%
CAC……7514 -84.9 -1.12%

Nikkei..39155 -439.5 -1.26%
HSI……17311 -158.3 -0.91%
Shanghai.2902 -13.4 -0.46%

IDX….7262.76 -51.10 -0.70%
LQ45..917.17 -6.09 -0.66%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2452.53 -15.42 -0.62%
IDX BscMat1359.81 -5.40 -0.40%
IDX Indstrl.1029.33 +5.69 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.707.89 -5.09 -0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1429.22 -5.38 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…745.41 +0.24 +0.03%
IDXTechno.3381.22 -57.51 -1.67%
IDX Transp 1387.38 +10.59 +0.77%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1583.38 -23.96 -1.49%
IDX Banking1242.87 -9.55 -0.76%
IDX Property…..644 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0256 -0.0047 -0.07%
ICBI…382.7787 +0.3092 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.433 -0.063 -1.40%
US5Yr 4.175 +0.009 +0.22%
US10Yr4.282 +0.019 +0.45%
US30Yr.4.542 +0.055 +1.23%
VIX..18.04 +3.32 +22.55%‼️

USDIndx 104.3910 -0.056 -0.05%
Como Indx….279.75 -0.69 -0.25%
BCOMIN…..138.78 -0.89 -0.64%

IndoCDS..73.23 -2.96 -3.88%❗️
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/07)

IDR…..16215.00❗️ +1.50 +0%
Jisdor.16224.00❗️ +20.00 +0%

Euro…1.0838 -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM…18.98 -0.38 -1.94%
( 3080)
EIDO…..20.02 -0.23 -1.11%
EEM…..42.10 -0.63 -1.46%

Oil………..77.48 +0.06 +0.08%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.71 +0.70 +0.86%
(Brent)
Gold…..2443.90 -13.60 -0.55%
(Comex)
Gold……2394.89 -13.70 -0.57%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29790.00 +372.00 +1.26%
(Closed 24/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 24/07)
Silver……29.03 -0.33 -1.12%
Copper.408.75 -6.70 -1.61%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.165 -0.040 -1.81%
Ammonia China 2843.33 +10.00 +0.35%
(Domestic Price)(24/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.55 +0.35 +0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.95 +0.55 +0.40%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.45 +1.05 +0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.40 +1.15 +1.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 +2.85 +2.60%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 +2.70 +2.46%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.90 +2.55 +2.31%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 -27 -0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 44.10 -1.03 -2.28%
Wheat…..547.00 +4.25 +0.78%

Wood pulp..5160 -10 -0.19%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US merah dalem, Tesla sama Google drop, Nasdaq drop, DJI keseret juga. Europe merah, asia merah, lanjut merah dalem sepertinya hari ini. Brace yourselves guys

US bond yield kebanyakan naik, USD index turun, metal metal juga turun kecuali timah, ANTM masih kebawah dulu belum bisa re-buy, oil up gas down, coal up, tapi apa kuat ijo saham saham coal ADRO ITMG PTBA INDY kalo index merah dalem? CPO merah lagi, masih belum jalan lagi AALI LSIP

IHSG – sebelum nasdaq kebakaran juga indicator udah bilang mau turun sih, Foreign Net Sell tambah gede, 833 sell, MACD hampir sell, ada gap unclosed, ya kita tunggu beres wave 2 baru belanja lagi

Sekilas Energy sama Healthcare mau jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: GTRA JSMR PTRO SSIA KBLM MICE, JSMR big accum

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA MIKA BRAM MICE

JSMR – dari minor retracement pattern udah done, tapi kalo dari elliot wave gedenya harusnya belum cukup dalem koreksinya sebelum wave yang major. Dengan US nyungsep dan index juga jadwal koreksi, kayanya bukan akan langsung langsung lanjut JSMR, tapi beresin ABC correction gede nya dulu ke fibo 50 or 61, Forein juga distribusi…

Spike belum done tapi dikit lagi… kalo ada peristiwa gede gini bisa jadi ga sampe

Average udah diatas bandar, bandarnya juga udah berhenti akum, terakhir okya pas bikin higherlow sambil nyender di average nya, skip dulu

PTRO – setelah digoreng jadi 2 kali lipat, udah overvalued, udah ga masuk itungan lagi. Dan technical juga kebanyakan bilang mau turun dulu

AKRA – ini technically menarik banget, stoch up macd buy, MFI w% up slowly, BD FF masih akum tipis tipis, eg bull div abis beres ABC correction, sampe sekarang candle nya belum ketembus, belum cancelled, malah confirmed sama MACD buy signal. Check oil price kalo bagus udah ga harus mikir panjang lagi

Sayangnya oil price nya indikasinya mau turun, sabar dulu, just to be safe

Waks, spike terus drop, tunggu spike baru dulu

Average aman, tapi biggest holders lagi jualan, sabar dulu, begitu ngebalik bisa masuk. Kalo mau bottom fishing sebenernya boleh sih, tapi perpaduan oil price kebawah dan index juga kebawah ga bagus sih

MIKA – sebetulnya kalo dipotong technical pake indicator doang, jadi menarik, tapi liat bandarnya mulai balik dist tipis, belum beres ABC correction, dan yang paling parah PBV nya udah di 7, saya jadi skip

July 17th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rallies 700 points for best day in more than a year, Russell 2000 small-cap index jumps 3%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced to new highs on Tuesday, as the bull market broadened out beyond technology names on hopes of forthcoming interest rate cuts.

Dow……40955 +742.8 +1.85%
Nasdaq18509 +36.8 +0.20%
S&P 500.5667 +35.98 +0.64%

FTSE…..8165 -18.06 -0.22%
Dax……18518 -72.9 -0.39%
CAC……7580 -52.7 -0.69%

Nikkei..41275 +84.4 +0.43%
HSI……17727 -287.96 -1.60%
Shanghai.2976 +2.3 +0.08%

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.450.86 -3.78 -0.83%

IDXEnergy..2417.64 +2.49 +0.10%
IDX BscMat1387.86 +8.90 +0.65%
IDX Indstrl.1016.35 -1.85 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC.709.45 -5.57 -0.78%
IDX Hlthcare1426.48 +0.05 +0.00%
IDXCYCLIC…753.01 +12.03 +1.62%
IDXTechno3331.16 +37.96 +1.15%
IDX Transp 1355.87 +6.02. +0.48%
IDX Infrast 1583.78 -11.75 -0.74%
IDX Finance1387.19 -8.55 -0.61%
IDX Banking1223.36 -11.08 -0.90%
IDX Property…..641 -1.80 -0.28%

Indo10Yr.7.0254 -0.0059 -0.08%
ICBI…382.2191 +0.1713 +0.04%
US2Yr.4.421👍 -0.039 -0.87%
US5Yr 4.076 👍 -0.059 -1.42%
US10Yr4.157👍 -0.068 -1.61%
US30Yr.4.372 👍-0.087 -1.95%
VIX..13.10 -0.02 -0.15%

USDIndx 104.2700 +0.081 +0.08%
Como Indx….285.79 -2.60 -0.90%
BCOMIN…… 148.07 -2.60 -1.73%

IndoCDS..71.73 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/07)

IDR…..16179.50❗️+9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.16203.00❗️+29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0900 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM…19.32 -0.07 -0.34%
( 3130)
EIDO….20.08 -0.09 -0.42%
EEM…..44.29 +0.24 +0.54%

Oil…….80.80 -1.08 -1.32%
Gold…..2473.60‼️ +47.40 +1.95%
Timah..33171.00 -75.00 -0.23%
(Closed 16/07)
Nickel..16733.50 -28.00 -0.17%
(Closed 16/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.67 +0.09 +0.08%
(15/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.183 +0.021 +0.97%
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(16/07)

Coal price.134.40 -0.55 -0.41%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.25 +0.50 +0.36%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 +0.45 +0.32%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 140.70 +1.15 +0.82%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 +0.35 +0.33%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.95 +1.80 +1.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 111.00 +1.30 +1.19%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.90 +1.20 +1.09%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 +52 +1.34%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..408.75 +4.50 +1.11%
SoybeanOil 44.94 +0.03 +0.07%
Wheat…..530.75 -1.75 -0.33%

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 16/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI loncat tinggi banget, europe masih merah, asia varied, IHSG jelas merah agak dalem karena jadwal koreksi, US bond yield merah semua, normally kita ikut ijo hari ini, tapi koreksi belum cukup dalem, belum bisa di predict jadinya. Kalopun ijo akan tipis harusnya

USD index up tipis, gold iron ore up juga, metal2 lain down. Masih nahan ini ANTM ga ikut turun sama index. Oil down, gas up, coal up, CPO up, ELSA udahan harusnya run nya, chart oil firm kebawah ini

IHSG – semua indicator bilang harus turun dulu, tapi market US cerah banget, nuat hari ini sih mungkin ijo, tapi trend mid term nya lanjut turun dulu minimal tutup gap terdekat, atau area fibo 38 lah

Oil Price – hati hati yang pegang ELSA, kalo udah cukup profitnya mending pasang trailing stop, oil price nya ga mendukung

Coal – tanda tandanya sih mau naik, dan INDY yang paling belum ngikutin. Walau dari screening value investing, ADRO paling ok. Begitu index aman, dan ADRO nya buy signal, harusnya berani entry

Wah masih RSI nya seolah olah jalan, padahal udah 2 hari merah dalem. Hati-hati bisa misleading

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS MBMA HRTA MARK SMIL, pada ga jelas, BRIS buy signal tapi big dist

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS + big accum