August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE

July 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks smoked, Nasdaq falls over 3.5% in worst day since 2022 after Tesla, Alphabet trigger Big Tech sell-off

Tesla shares close down 12% after earnings miss for biggest slump since 2020

Tesla
shares plummeted the most since 2020 after the electric vehicle maker reported weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings and another drop in automotive revenue.

The stock closed down 12% on Wednesday at $215.99. It’s now down 13% for the year, while the Nasdaq is up 16% over that stretch.

Dow……39854 -504.2 -1.25%
Nasdaq17342 -654.9 -3.64%‼️
S&P 500.5527 -128.6 -2.31%

FTSE…..8153 -13.7 -0.17%
Dax……18387 -170.2 -0.92%
CAC……7514 -84.9 -1.12%

Nikkei..39155 -439.5 -1.26%
HSI……17311 -158.3 -0.91%
Shanghai.2902 -13.4 -0.46%

IDX….7262.76 -51.10 -0.70%
LQ45..917.17 -6.09 -0.66%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2452.53 -15.42 -0.62%
IDX BscMat1359.81 -5.40 -0.40%
IDX Indstrl.1029.33 +5.69 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.707.89 -5.09 -0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1429.22 -5.38 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…745.41 +0.24 +0.03%
IDXTechno.3381.22 -57.51 -1.67%
IDX Transp 1387.38 +10.59 +0.77%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1583.38 -23.96 -1.49%
IDX Banking1242.87 -9.55 -0.76%
IDX Property…..644 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0256 -0.0047 -0.07%
ICBI…382.7787 +0.3092 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.433 -0.063 -1.40%
US5Yr 4.175 +0.009 +0.22%
US10Yr4.282 +0.019 +0.45%
US30Yr.4.542 +0.055 +1.23%
VIX..18.04 +3.32 +22.55%‼️

USDIndx 104.3910 -0.056 -0.05%
Como Indx….279.75 -0.69 -0.25%
BCOMIN…..138.78 -0.89 -0.64%

IndoCDS..73.23 -2.96 -3.88%❗️
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/07)

IDR…..16215.00❗️ +1.50 +0%
Jisdor.16224.00❗️ +20.00 +0%

Euro…1.0838 -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM…18.98 -0.38 -1.94%
( 3080)
EIDO…..20.02 -0.23 -1.11%
EEM…..42.10 -0.63 -1.46%

Oil………..77.48 +0.06 +0.08%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.71 +0.70 +0.86%
(Brent)
Gold…..2443.90 -13.60 -0.55%
(Comex)
Gold……2394.89 -13.70 -0.57%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29790.00 +372.00 +1.26%
(Closed 24/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 24/07)
Silver……29.03 -0.33 -1.12%
Copper.408.75 -6.70 -1.61%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.165 -0.040 -1.81%
Ammonia China 2843.33 +10.00 +0.35%
(Domestic Price)(24/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.55 +0.35 +0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.95 +0.55 +0.40%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.45 +1.05 +0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.40 +1.15 +1.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 +2.85 +2.60%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 +2.70 +2.46%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.90 +2.55 +2.31%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 -27 -0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 44.10 -1.03 -2.28%
Wheat…..547.00 +4.25 +0.78%

Wood pulp..5160 -10 -0.19%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US merah dalem, Tesla sama Google drop, Nasdaq drop, DJI keseret juga. Europe merah, asia merah, lanjut merah dalem sepertinya hari ini. Brace yourselves guys

US bond yield kebanyakan naik, USD index turun, metal metal juga turun kecuali timah, ANTM masih kebawah dulu belum bisa re-buy, oil up gas down, coal up, tapi apa kuat ijo saham saham coal ADRO ITMG PTBA INDY kalo index merah dalem? CPO merah lagi, masih belum jalan lagi AALI LSIP

IHSG – sebelum nasdaq kebakaran juga indicator udah bilang mau turun sih, Foreign Net Sell tambah gede, 833 sell, MACD hampir sell, ada gap unclosed, ya kita tunggu beres wave 2 baru belanja lagi

Sekilas Energy sama Healthcare mau jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: GTRA JSMR PTRO SSIA KBLM MICE, JSMR big accum

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA MIKA BRAM MICE

JSMR – dari minor retracement pattern udah done, tapi kalo dari elliot wave gedenya harusnya belum cukup dalem koreksinya sebelum wave yang major. Dengan US nyungsep dan index juga jadwal koreksi, kayanya bukan akan langsung langsung lanjut JSMR, tapi beresin ABC correction gede nya dulu ke fibo 50 or 61, Forein juga distribusi…

Spike belum done tapi dikit lagi… kalo ada peristiwa gede gini bisa jadi ga sampe

Average udah diatas bandar, bandarnya juga udah berhenti akum, terakhir okya pas bikin higherlow sambil nyender di average nya, skip dulu

PTRO – setelah digoreng jadi 2 kali lipat, udah overvalued, udah ga masuk itungan lagi. Dan technical juga kebanyakan bilang mau turun dulu

AKRA – ini technically menarik banget, stoch up macd buy, MFI w% up slowly, BD FF masih akum tipis tipis, eg bull div abis beres ABC correction, sampe sekarang candle nya belum ketembus, belum cancelled, malah confirmed sama MACD buy signal. Check oil price kalo bagus udah ga harus mikir panjang lagi

Sayangnya oil price nya indikasinya mau turun, sabar dulu, just to be safe

Waks, spike terus drop, tunggu spike baru dulu

Average aman, tapi biggest holders lagi jualan, sabar dulu, begitu ngebalik bisa masuk. Kalo mau bottom fishing sebenernya boleh sih, tapi perpaduan oil price kebawah dan index juga kebawah ga bagus sih

MIKA – sebetulnya kalo dipotong technical pake indicator doang, jadi menarik, tapi liat bandarnya mulai balik dist tipis, belum beres ABC correction, dan yang paling parah PBV nya udah di 7, saya jadi skip

July 17th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rallies 700 points for best day in more than a year, Russell 2000 small-cap index jumps 3%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced to new highs on Tuesday, as the bull market broadened out beyond technology names on hopes of forthcoming interest rate cuts.

Dow……40955 +742.8 +1.85%
Nasdaq18509 +36.8 +0.20%
S&P 500.5667 +35.98 +0.64%

FTSE…..8165 -18.06 -0.22%
Dax……18518 -72.9 -0.39%
CAC……7580 -52.7 -0.69%

Nikkei..41275 +84.4 +0.43%
HSI……17727 -287.96 -1.60%
Shanghai.2976 +2.3 +0.08%

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.450.86 -3.78 -0.83%

IDXEnergy..2417.64 +2.49 +0.10%
IDX BscMat1387.86 +8.90 +0.65%
IDX Indstrl.1016.35 -1.85 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC.709.45 -5.57 -0.78%
IDX Hlthcare1426.48 +0.05 +0.00%
IDXCYCLIC…753.01 +12.03 +1.62%
IDXTechno3331.16 +37.96 +1.15%
IDX Transp 1355.87 +6.02. +0.48%
IDX Infrast 1583.78 -11.75 -0.74%
IDX Finance1387.19 -8.55 -0.61%
IDX Banking1223.36 -11.08 -0.90%
IDX Property…..641 -1.80 -0.28%

Indo10Yr.7.0254 -0.0059 -0.08%
ICBI…382.2191 +0.1713 +0.04%
US2Yr.4.421👍 -0.039 -0.87%
US5Yr 4.076 👍 -0.059 -1.42%
US10Yr4.157👍 -0.068 -1.61%
US30Yr.4.372 👍-0.087 -1.95%
VIX..13.10 -0.02 -0.15%

USDIndx 104.2700 +0.081 +0.08%
Como Indx….285.79 -2.60 -0.90%
BCOMIN…… 148.07 -2.60 -1.73%

IndoCDS..71.73 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/07)

IDR…..16179.50❗️+9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.16203.00❗️+29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0900 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM…19.32 -0.07 -0.34%
( 3130)
EIDO….20.08 -0.09 -0.42%
EEM…..44.29 +0.24 +0.54%

Oil…….80.80 -1.08 -1.32%
Gold…..2473.60‼️ +47.40 +1.95%
Timah..33171.00 -75.00 -0.23%
(Closed 16/07)
Nickel..16733.50 -28.00 -0.17%
(Closed 16/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.67 +0.09 +0.08%
(15/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.183 +0.021 +0.97%
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(16/07)

Coal price.134.40 -0.55 -0.41%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.25 +0.50 +0.36%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 +0.45 +0.32%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 140.70 +1.15 +0.82%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 +0.35 +0.33%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.95 +1.80 +1.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 111.00 +1.30 +1.19%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.90 +1.20 +1.09%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 +52 +1.34%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..408.75 +4.50 +1.11%
SoybeanOil 44.94 +0.03 +0.07%
Wheat…..530.75 -1.75 -0.33%

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 16/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI loncat tinggi banget, europe masih merah, asia varied, IHSG jelas merah agak dalem karena jadwal koreksi, US bond yield merah semua, normally kita ikut ijo hari ini, tapi koreksi belum cukup dalem, belum bisa di predict jadinya. Kalopun ijo akan tipis harusnya

USD index up tipis, gold iron ore up juga, metal2 lain down. Masih nahan ini ANTM ga ikut turun sama index. Oil down, gas up, coal up, CPO up, ELSA udahan harusnya run nya, chart oil firm kebawah ini

IHSG – semua indicator bilang harus turun dulu, tapi market US cerah banget, nuat hari ini sih mungkin ijo, tapi trend mid term nya lanjut turun dulu minimal tutup gap terdekat, atau area fibo 38 lah

Oil Price – hati hati yang pegang ELSA, kalo udah cukup profitnya mending pasang trailing stop, oil price nya ga mendukung

Coal – tanda tandanya sih mau naik, dan INDY yang paling belum ngikutin. Walau dari screening value investing, ADRO paling ok. Begitu index aman, dan ADRO nya buy signal, harusnya berani entry

Wah masih RSI nya seolah olah jalan, padahal udah 2 hari merah dalem. Hati-hati bisa misleading

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS MBMA HRTA MARK SMIL, pada ga jelas, BRIS buy signal tapi big dist

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS + big accum

July 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow……40001 +247.2 +0.62%
Nasdaq18397 +113.6 +0.62%
S&P 500.5615 +30.8 +0.55%

FTSE…..8253 +29.6 +0.36%
Dax……18748 +213.6 +1.15%
CAC……7724 +97.2 +1.27%

Nikkei..41191 -1033.3 -2.45%
HSI……18293 +461.1 +2.59%
Shanghai.2971 +0.9 +0.03%

IDX….7327.58 +27.17 +0.37%
LQ45..920.38 +5.02 +0.55%
IDX30.458.40 +2.53 +0.56%

IDXEnergy..2414.48 -12.87 -0.53%
IDX BscMat1386.35 -2.49 -0.18%
IDX Indstrl.1018.84 +7.24 +0.72%
IDXNONCYC.713.88 +1.43 +0.20%
IDX Hlthcare1432.70+3.79 +0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…738.76 -2.67 -0.36%
IDXTechno3275.55 -17.7 -0.54%
IDX Transp 1337.88 +10.86 +0.82%
IDX Infrast 1612.42 +17.36 +1.09%
IDX Finance1387.39 -0.16 -0.01%
IDX Banking1244.49 +15.60 +1.27%
IDX Property…..643 +19.90 +3.19%‼️

Indo10Yr.7.0195 -0.0318 -0.45%
ICBI…382.2280 +0.7103 +0.19%
US2Yr.4.458 👍 -0.057 -1.26%
US5Yr 4.107 -0.037 -0.89%
US10Yr4.247 +0.038 +0.90%
US30Yr.4.400 -0.023 -0.52%
VIX..12.92 +0.07 +0.54%

USDIndx 104.4400👍 -0.608 -0.58%
Como Indx….290.41 +0.70 +0.24%
BCOMIN…… 152.09 +1.09 +0.72%

IndoCDS..71.72 -0.02 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)

IDR…..16136.50❗️ -58.00 -0.36%
Jisdor.16154.00❗️ -46.00 -0.28%

Euro…1.0868 +0.0035 +0.32%

TLKM…19.58 +0.25 +1.29%
( 3172)
EIDO….20.29 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM…..44.33 +0.27 +0.60%

Oil…….82.95 +0.56 +0.68%
Gold…..2418.20 +39.90 +1.68%
Timah..33695.00 -971.00 -2.80%
(Closed 12/07)
Nickel..16923.00 +55.50 +0.33%
(Closed 12/07)
Silver….31.63 +0.53 +1.70%
Copper.452.15 -6.95 -1.51%

Iron Ore 62% 109.58 +0.84 +0.77%
(10/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.313 -0.061 -2.56%
Ammonia China 2783.33 -66.67 -2.34%
(Domestic Price)(10/07)

Coal price.133.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.60 -1.45 -1.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.30 -0.80 -0.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.102.30 +0.45 +0.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.85 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 -0.25 -0.24%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3935 +17 +0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..410.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 46.15 +0.57 +1.25%
Wheat…571.25 +9.75 +1.74%

Wood pulp..5220 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 11/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe jum’at ijo, asia ijo kecuali jepang, US bond yield mostly merah, good for IHSG semua

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali tin copper, oil up gas down, coal down, CPO up, ayo ANTM AALI lanjut

IHSG – masih kenceng, semua indicator versi oscillators mentok atas, rawan koreksi, yang udah pada profit pasang trailing stop

Property nyusul Industrials, Transportation, Basic Materials dan Technology, Infrastructure juga terlihat balik bergerak

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM TOWR DRMA WIIM ASGR, big accum TLKM WIIM

Stochastic Continuation SIgnal and Big Accum: BBTN JSMR NISP