Daily Analysis 2024022

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 22nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles more than 370 points, S&P 500 posts worst week since April as investors dump big tech

Stocks retreated Friday, as Wall Street wrapped up the week defined by a rotation out of this year’s megacap winners in favor of smaller names.

Dow……40288 -377.5 -0.93%
Nasdaq17727 -144.3 -0.81%
S&P 500.5505 -39.6 -0.71%

FTSE…..8156 -49.2 -0.60%
Dax……18172 -182.8 -1.00%
CAC……7535 -52.03 -0.69%

Nikkei..40064 -62.6 -0.25%
HSI……17418 -360.7 -2.03%
Shanghai.2982 +5.2 +0.17%

IDX….7294.50 -26.57 -0.36%
LQ45..919.53 -3.25 -0.35%
IDX30.459.72 -1.72 -0.37%

IDXEnergy..2455.72 -1.99 -0.08%
IDX BscMat1364.42 -18.94 -1.37%
IDX Indstrl.1018.75 -4.12 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.717.07 -1.74 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1429.56 +10.22 +0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…748.73 -1.20 -0.16%
IDXTechno3265.59 -30.53 -0.93%
IDX Transp 1356.94 -8.15 -0.60%
IDX Infrast 1593.69 -7.74 -0.48%
IDX Finance1400.34 -4.51 -0.32%
IDX Banking1250.41 -2.24 -0.18%
IDX Property…..639 -0.10 -0.60%

Indo10Yr.6.9880👍 -0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI…382.8649 +0.1226 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.517 +0.046 +1.02%
US5Yr 4.170 +0.053 +1.29%
US10Yr4.243 +0.046 +1.10%
US30Yr.4.451 +0.030 +0.68%
VIX..16.52 +0.59 +3.70%‼️

USDIndx 104.3960 +0.223 +0.21%
Como Indx….280.36 -5.23 -1.83%
BCOMIN…… 142.98 -1.68 -1.16%

IndoCDS..74.19 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/07)

IDR…..16191.00 +36.00 +0.22%
Jisdor.16199.00 +39.00 +0.24%

Euro…1.0882 -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM…19.83 +0.03 +2.46%
( 3212)
EIDO…..20.20 -0.07 -0.35%
EEM…..42.74 -0.39 -0.89%

Oil…….80.13 -2.23 -2.71%
Gold…..2446.60 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah..31050.00 -554.00 -1.75%
(Closed 19/07)
Nickel..16274.00 -195.00 -1.18%
(Closed 19/07)
Silver….29.30 -0.67 -2.24%
Copper.423.65 -2.35. -0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 108.45 -0.28 -0.26%
(19/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.124 +0.023 +1.09%
Ammonia China 2800.00 +16.67 +0.60%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.135.10 +0.10 +0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.00 -0.10 -0.07%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 -0.10 -0.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.60 -0.10 -0.07%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.20 +0.55 +0.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.65 +0.75 +0.70%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.90 +1.10 +1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.85 +1.10 +1.01%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3960 +22 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..404.75 -0.25 -0.06%
SoybeanOil 43.97 -0.36 -0.81%
Wheat…..542.75 +7.50 +1.40%

Wood pulp..5196 unch +0%
(Closed 21/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at merah semua, US bond yield juga naik, ini lanjut merah lagi keliatannya hari ini, biar beres dulu koreksi wave 2 lah, biar enak re-entry nya nanti dibawah

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali gold, semoga ANTM masih kebawa sentimen emas, tapi kalopun harus turun dulu ya gpp kita pasang trailing stop. oil down gas up coal down, kemaren2 ADRO dkk udah naik tinggi padahal coal price nya biasa biasa aja, biar ikut koreksi dulu lah sama index, kita masuk lagi pas firm beres bikin higher low

IHSG – MACD almost sell, stoch udah sell duluan, terakhir memang FNB tipis tapi vol transaksi juga turun, sabar tunggu beres koreksi

Walau banyak yang terlihat jalan tapi jangan terjebak pas index turun, yang menarik dicermati Healtcare yang baru mulai nongol dan consumer yang arahnya bagus dan memang sering jadi ganjel pas index merah

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak: ACES ADRO ARTO INDF INKP SIDO UNTR BFIN ENRG INDY LPPF MAPA MPMX SMSM. Big accum ADRO UNTR LPPF SMSM

MACD Buy Signal: INCO

Daily Analysis 20240718

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 18th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq posts worst day since 2022, Dow gains 200 points as investors rotate out of tech

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite
retreated on Wednesday as the rotation out of high-flying technology shares and into more rate-sensitive names continued

Dow……41198 +243.6 +0.59%
Nasdaq17997 -512.4 -2.77%‼️
S&P 500.5588 -78.93 -1.39%

FTSE…..8188 +22.6 +0.28%
Dax……18437 -80.7 -0.44%
CAC……7571 -9.2 -0.12%

Nikkei..41098 -177.4 -0.43%
HSI……17739 +11.4 +0.06%
Shanghai.2963 -13.5 -0.45%

IDX….7224.22 -0.07 -0.00%
LQ45..910.07 +5.52 +0.61%
IDX30.454.82 +3.96 +0.88%

IDXEnergy..2416.50 -1.14 -0.05%
IDX BscMat1383.43 -4.42 -0.32%
IDX Indstrl.1018.09 +1.74 +0.17%
IDXNONCYC.714.86 +5.40 +0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1420.53 -5.96 -0.42%
IDXCYCLIC…752.71 -0.30 -0.04%
IDXTechno3322.92 -8.25 -1.15%
IDX Transp 1363.57 +7.70. +0.57%
IDX Infrast 1583.19 -0.59 -0.04%
IDX Finance1392.53 +5.34 +0.38%
IDX Banking1231.03 +7.67 +0.63%
IDX Property…..642 +1.40 +0.22%

Indo10Yr.7.0030 -0.0224 -0.32%
ICBI…382.8207 +0.6016 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.438 +0.017 +0.38%
US5Yr 4.081 +0.005 +0.12%
US10Yr4.160 +0.003 +0.07%
US30Yr.4.376 +0.004 +0.09%
VIX..14.48 +1.29 +9.78%‼️

USDIndx 103.7480👍 -0.522 -0.50%
Como Indx….286.06 +0.27 +0.09%
BCOMIN…… 147.03 -1.04 -0.70%

IndoCDS..72.75 +1.02 +1.42%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/07)

IDR…..16100.00 -79.50👍 -0.49%
Jisdor.16129.00 -74.00👍 -0.46%

Euro…1.0940 +0.0040 +0.37%

TLKM…20.30 +0.98 +5.08%‼️
( 3274)
EIDO….20.13 +0.06 +0.30%
EEM…..43.57 -0.72 -1.63%

Oil…….83.19 +2.39 +2.96%❗️
Gold…..2462.10 -11.50 -0.46%
Timah..32950.00 -221.00 -0.67%
(Closed 17/07)
Nickel..16519.00 -214.50 -1.28%
(Closed 17/07)
Silver….30.60 -1.03 -3.26%‼️
Copper.441.55 -9.45 -2.10%

Iron Ore 62% 109.39 -0.28 -0.26%
(16/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.050 -0.133 -6.09%
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(17/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.35 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.90 -0.35 -0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.50 -0.10 -0.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.85 -1.85 -1.31%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.60 -1.90 -1.78%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..107.20 -3.75 -3.38%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.40 -2.60 -2.34%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.85 -3.05 -2.75%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3921 -5 -0.13%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..411.75 +3.00 +0.73%
SoybeanOil 43.99 -0.96 -2.11%
Wheat…..539.25 +8.50 +1.60%

Wood pulp..5200 -20 -0.38%
(Closed 17/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nasdaq terjun bebas, DJI ijo lemparan dari nasdaq, europe mostly down, asia juga, US bond yield up, IHSG lanjut down lah hari ini

USD index down tapi metal2 juga down, Oil up gas drop coal down CPO down, koreksi semua dong kalo kaya gini

IHSG – all says down, Foreign Net Sell juga, masih koreksi dulu

Koq RSI nya belum ngikut turun sih ya, misleading jadinya

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA GOTO INCO MAPI MAPI MTEL PGAS DSNG RALS, big accum AKRA INCO MTEL PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO MAPI

Stochastic Continuation Signal & Big Accum: TINS

Daily Analysis 20240717

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 17th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rallies 700 points for best day in more than a year, Russell 2000 small-cap index jumps 3%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced to new highs on Tuesday, as the bull market broadened out beyond technology names on hopes of forthcoming interest rate cuts.

Dow……40955 +742.8 +1.85%
Nasdaq18509 +36.8 +0.20%
S&P 500.5667 +35.98 +0.64%

FTSE…..8165 -18.06 -0.22%
Dax……18518 -72.9 -0.39%
CAC……7580 -52.7 -0.69%

Nikkei..41275 +84.4 +0.43%
HSI……17727 -287.96 -1.60%
Shanghai.2976 +2.3 +0.08%

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.450.86 -3.78 -0.83%

IDXEnergy..2417.64 +2.49 +0.10%
IDX BscMat1387.86 +8.90 +0.65%
IDX Indstrl.1016.35 -1.85 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC.709.45 -5.57 -0.78%
IDX Hlthcare1426.48 +0.05 +0.00%
IDXCYCLIC…753.01 +12.03 +1.62%
IDXTechno3331.16 +37.96 +1.15%
IDX Transp 1355.87 +6.02. +0.48%
IDX Infrast 1583.78 -11.75 -0.74%
IDX Finance1387.19 -8.55 -0.61%
IDX Banking1223.36 -11.08 -0.90%
IDX Property…..641 -1.80 -0.28%

Indo10Yr.7.0254 -0.0059 -0.08%
ICBI…382.2191 +0.1713 +0.04%
US2Yr.4.421👍 -0.039 -0.87%
US5Yr 4.076 👍 -0.059 -1.42%
US10Yr4.157👍 -0.068 -1.61%
US30Yr.4.372 👍-0.087 -1.95%
VIX..13.10 -0.02 -0.15%

USDIndx 104.2700 +0.081 +0.08%
Como Indx….285.79 -2.60 -0.90%
BCOMIN…… 148.07 -2.60 -1.73%

IndoCDS..71.73 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/07)

IDR…..16179.50❗️+9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.16203.00❗️+29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0900 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM…19.32 -0.07 -0.34%
( 3130)
EIDO….20.08 -0.09 -0.42%
EEM…..44.29 +0.24 +0.54%

Oil…….80.80 -1.08 -1.32%
Gold…..2473.60‼️ +47.40 +1.95%
Timah..33171.00 -75.00 -0.23%
(Closed 16/07)
Nickel..16733.50 -28.00 -0.17%
(Closed 16/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.67 +0.09 +0.08%
(15/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.183 +0.021 +0.97%
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(16/07)

Coal price.134.40 -0.55 -0.41%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.25 +0.50 +0.36%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 +0.45 +0.32%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 140.70 +1.15 +0.82%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 +0.35 +0.33%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.95 +1.80 +1.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 111.00 +1.30 +1.19%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.90 +1.20 +1.09%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 +52 +1.34%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..408.75 +4.50 +1.11%
SoybeanOil 44.94 +0.03 +0.07%
Wheat…..530.75 -1.75 -0.33%

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 16/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI loncat tinggi banget, europe masih merah, asia varied, IHSG jelas merah agak dalem karena jadwal koreksi, US bond yield merah semua, normally kita ikut ijo hari ini, tapi koreksi belum cukup dalem, belum bisa di predict jadinya. Kalopun ijo akan tipis harusnya

USD index up tipis, gold iron ore up juga, metal2 lain down. Masih nahan ini ANTM ga ikut turun sama index. Oil down, gas up, coal up, CPO up, ELSA udahan harusnya run nya, chart oil firm kebawah ini

IHSG – semua indicator bilang harus turun dulu, tapi market US cerah banget, nuat hari ini sih mungkin ijo, tapi trend mid term nya lanjut turun dulu minimal tutup gap terdekat, atau area fibo 38 lah

Oil Price – hati hati yang pegang ELSA, kalo udah cukup profitnya mending pasang trailing stop, oil price nya ga mendukung

Coal – tanda tandanya sih mau naik, dan INDY yang paling belum ngikutin. Walau dari screening value investing, ADRO paling ok. Begitu index aman, dan ADRO nya buy signal, harusnya berani entry

Wah masih RSI nya seolah olah jalan, padahal udah 2 hari merah dalem. Hati-hati bisa misleading

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS MBMA HRTA MARK SMIL, pada ga jelas, BRIS buy signal tapi big dist

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS + big accum

Daily Analysis 20240716

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 16th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises 200 points to close at a record after Trump survives assassination attempt

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced on Monday as investors bet the unsuccessful assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump will lead to big gains for the Republican presidential candidate and the GOP at the polls in November.

Friendlier fiscal policies ahead were seen as further spurring a broadening out of the bull market that started to take shape last week. Small-cap shares and banks climbed on Monday.

Dow……40212 +210.8 +0.53%
Nasdaq18473 +74.1 +0.40%
S&P 500.5631 +15.9 +0.28%

FTSE…..8183 -69.96 -0.85%
Dax……18591 -157.3 -0.84%
CAC……7633 -91.6 -1.19%

Nikkei..41191 closed +0%
HSI……18015 -277.4 -1.52%
Shanghai.2974 +2.7 +0.09%,

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.454.63 -3.77 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2415.15 +0.67 +0.03%
IDX BscMat1378.96 -7.39 -0.53%
IDX Indstrl.1018.19 -0.65 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC.715.02 +1.14 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1426.43 -6.28 -0.44%
IDXCYCLIC…740.98 +2.22 +0.30%
IDXTechno3293.20 +17.36 +0.53%
IDX Transp 1349.85 +11.97 +0.89%
IDX Infrast 1595.54 -16.88 -1.05%
IDX Finance1395.74 -5.03 -0.36%
IDX Banking1234.43 -10.06 -0.81%
IDX Property…..643 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0313 +0.0118 +0.17%
ICBI…382.0478 -0.3250 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.460 +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.135 +0.028 +0.68%
US10Yr4.225 -0.022 -0.52%
US30Yr.4.459 +0.059 +1.34%
VIX..13.12 +0.66 +5.30%‼️

USDIndx 104.1890👍 -0.211 -0.20%
Como Indx….288.39 -2.05 -0.71%
BCOMIN…… 150.67 -1.41 -0.93%

IndoCDS..71.72 -0.08 -0.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)

IDR…..16170.00❗️+33.50 +0.21%
Jisdor.16174.00❗️+20.00 +0.11%

Euro…1.0895 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…19.39 -0.37 -1.85%
( 3136)
EIDO….20.16 -0.36 -1.73%
EEM…..44.04 -0.46 -1.02%

Oil…….81.88 -1.07 -1.28%
Gold…..2426.20 +8.80 +0.33%
Timah..33246.00 -449.00 -1.33%
(Closed 15/07)
Nickel..16923.00 -161.50 -0.95%
(Closed 15/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.58 +0.84 +0.77%
(12/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.162 -0.151 -6.53%‼️
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(12/07)

Coal price.134.95 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.75 +2.40 +1.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.05 +2.30 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.55 +2.00 +1.45%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 +1.85 +1.77%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.15 +4.25 +4.05%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.90 +3.69%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.50 +3.30%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3896 -39 -0.99%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..404.25 -10.50 -2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.91 -0.68 -1.49%
Wheat…532.50 -18.25 -3.31%‼️

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 15/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

dikira akan merah karena percobaan pembunuhan trump, US malah ijo, europe merah, asia mostly merah, US bond yield naik padahal

USD index down, tapi metal2 banyak down, cuma gold sama iron ore up. Oil Gas down, coal up high, CPO down. Harusnya ANTM ijo hari ini, yang lain keliatannya lanjut merah ikut index

IHSG – FNS, awal koreksi ini, harusnya ga akan terlalu pendek karena kemaren rally nya lumayan jauh. Sementara belum bisa short sell sabar aja tunggu koreksi selesai

Liat ini seolah olah financials mau nyusul, yang efeknya akan ngangkar index, tapi hampir pasti ini jadwal minggu ini sih merah dulu, koreksi sehat. Biasanya consumer yang jadi ganjel index biar ga nyungsep2 banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN BRMS IMAS SMDR. Big accum BBTN BRMS.

MACD Buy Signal: SSIA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal + big accum: BMRS ENRG