Daily Analysis 20240725

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks smoked, Nasdaq falls over 3.5% in worst day since 2022 after Tesla, Alphabet trigger Big Tech sell-off

Tesla shares close down 12% after earnings miss for biggest slump since 2020

Tesla
shares plummeted the most since 2020 after the electric vehicle maker reported weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings and another drop in automotive revenue.

The stock closed down 12% on Wednesday at $215.99. It’s now down 13% for the year, while the Nasdaq is up 16% over that stretch.

Dow……39854 -504.2 -1.25%
Nasdaq17342 -654.9 -3.64%‼️
S&P 500.5527 -128.6 -2.31%

FTSE…..8153 -13.7 -0.17%
Dax……18387 -170.2 -0.92%
CAC……7514 -84.9 -1.12%

Nikkei..39155 -439.5 -1.26%
HSI……17311 -158.3 -0.91%
Shanghai.2902 -13.4 -0.46%

IDX….7262.76 -51.10 -0.70%
LQ45..917.17 -6.09 -0.66%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2452.53 -15.42 -0.62%
IDX BscMat1359.81 -5.40 -0.40%
IDX Indstrl.1029.33 +5.69 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.707.89 -5.09 -0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1429.22 -5.38 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…745.41 +0.24 +0.03%
IDXTechno.3381.22 -57.51 -1.67%
IDX Transp 1387.38 +10.59 +0.77%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1583.38 -23.96 -1.49%
IDX Banking1242.87 -9.55 -0.76%
IDX Property…..644 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0256 -0.0047 -0.07%
ICBI…382.7787 +0.3092 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.433 -0.063 -1.40%
US5Yr 4.175 +0.009 +0.22%
US10Yr4.282 +0.019 +0.45%
US30Yr.4.542 +0.055 +1.23%
VIX..18.04 +3.32 +22.55%‼️

USDIndx 104.3910 -0.056 -0.05%
Como Indx….279.75 -0.69 -0.25%
BCOMIN…..138.78 -0.89 -0.64%

IndoCDS..73.23 -2.96 -3.88%❗️
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/07)

IDR…..16215.00❗️ +1.50 +0%
Jisdor.16224.00❗️ +20.00 +0%

Euro…1.0838 -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM…18.98 -0.38 -1.94%
( 3080)
EIDO…..20.02 -0.23 -1.11%
EEM…..42.10 -0.63 -1.46%

Oil………..77.48 +0.06 +0.08%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.71 +0.70 +0.86%
(Brent)
Gold…..2443.90 -13.60 -0.55%
(Comex)
Gold……2394.89 -13.70 -0.57%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29790.00 +372.00 +1.26%
(Closed 24/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 24/07)
Silver……29.03 -0.33 -1.12%
Copper.408.75 -6.70 -1.61%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.165 -0.040 -1.81%
Ammonia China 2843.33 +10.00 +0.35%
(Domestic Price)(24/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.55 +0.35 +0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.95 +0.55 +0.40%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.45 +1.05 +0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.40 +1.15 +1.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 +2.85 +2.60%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 +2.70 +2.46%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.90 +2.55 +2.31%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 -27 -0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 44.10 -1.03 -2.28%
Wheat…..547.00 +4.25 +0.78%

Wood pulp..5160 -10 -0.19%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US merah dalem, Tesla sama Google drop, Nasdaq drop, DJI keseret juga. Europe merah, asia merah, lanjut merah dalem sepertinya hari ini. Brace yourselves guys

US bond yield kebanyakan naik, USD index turun, metal metal juga turun kecuali timah, ANTM masih kebawah dulu belum bisa re-buy, oil up gas down, coal up, tapi apa kuat ijo saham saham coal ADRO ITMG PTBA INDY kalo index merah dalem? CPO merah lagi, masih belum jalan lagi AALI LSIP

IHSG – sebelum nasdaq kebakaran juga indicator udah bilang mau turun sih, Foreign Net Sell tambah gede, 833 sell, MACD hampir sell, ada gap unclosed, ya kita tunggu beres wave 2 baru belanja lagi

Sekilas Energy sama Healthcare mau jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: GTRA JSMR PTRO SSIA KBLM MICE, JSMR big accum

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA MIKA BRAM MICE

JSMR – dari minor retracement pattern udah done, tapi kalo dari elliot wave gedenya harusnya belum cukup dalem koreksinya sebelum wave yang major. Dengan US nyungsep dan index juga jadwal koreksi, kayanya bukan akan langsung langsung lanjut JSMR, tapi beresin ABC correction gede nya dulu ke fibo 50 or 61, Forein juga distribusi…

Spike belum done tapi dikit lagi… kalo ada peristiwa gede gini bisa jadi ga sampe

Average udah diatas bandar, bandarnya juga udah berhenti akum, terakhir okya pas bikin higherlow sambil nyender di average nya, skip dulu

PTRO – setelah digoreng jadi 2 kali lipat, udah overvalued, udah ga masuk itungan lagi. Dan technical juga kebanyakan bilang mau turun dulu

AKRA – ini technically menarik banget, stoch up macd buy, MFI w% up slowly, BD FF masih akum tipis tipis, eg bull div abis beres ABC correction, sampe sekarang candle nya belum ketembus, belum cancelled, malah confirmed sama MACD buy signal. Check oil price kalo bagus udah ga harus mikir panjang lagi

Sayangnya oil price nya indikasinya mau turun, sabar dulu, just to be safe

Waks, spike terus drop, tunggu spike baru dulu

Average aman, tapi biggest holders lagi jualan, sabar dulu, begitu ngebalik bisa masuk. Kalo mau bottom fishing sebenernya boleh sih, tapi perpaduan oil price kebawah dan index juga kebawah ga bagus sih

MIKA – sebetulnya kalo dipotong technical pake indicator doang, jadi menarik, tapi liat bandarnya mulai balik dist tipis, belum beres ABC correction, dan yang paling parah PBV nya udah di 7, saya jadi skip

 

Daily Analysis 20240724

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 24th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close slightly lower as Wall Street gears up for major tech earnings

The S&P 500
hovered near the flatline Tuesday as traders readied for earnings reports from major technology behemoths.

Dow……40358 -57.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq17997 -10.2 -0.06%
S&P 500.5556 -8.7 -0.16%

FTSE…..8167 -31.4 -0.38%
Dax……18558 +150.6 +0.82%
CAC……7589 -23.4 -0.31%

Nikkei..39594 -4.6 -0.01%
HSI……17469 -166.5 -0.94%
Shanghai.2915 -48.9 -1.65%

IDX….7313.86 -8.11 -0.11%
LQ45..923.26 +0.02 +0.00%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2467.96 -24.87 -1.00%
IDX BscMat1365.21 +5.83 +0.43%
IDX Indstrl.1023.64 -8.34 -0.81%
IDXNONCYC.712.97 -4.10 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1434.60+9.42 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…745.17 -3.06 -0.41%
IDXTechno3438.72 +149.72 +4.55%‼️
IDX Transp 1376.79 +5.67 +0.41%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1405.23 -2.37 -0.17%
IDX Banking1252.42 -8.09 -0.64%
IDX Property…..644 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0303 +0.0219 +0.31%
ICBI…382.4694 -0.1720 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.496 -0.025 -0.55%
US5Yr 4.166 -0.009 -0.22%
US10Yr4.261 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.487 +0.014 +0.31%
VIX..14.72 -0.19 -1.27%

USDIndx 104.4470 +0.133 +0.13%
Como Indx….280.44 -2.65 -0.94%
BCOMIN…..139.67 -1.20 -0.85%

IndoCDS..76.19 -2.00 +2.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/07)

IDR…..16213.50❗️ -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16204.00❗️ -24.00 -0.15%

Euro…1.0850 -0.0041 -0.38%

TLKM…19.38 +0.01 +0.03%
( 3140)
EIDO…..20.24 -0.10 -0.47,%
EEM…..42.72 -0.38 -0.88%

Oil………..77.42‼️ -2.36 -2.96%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.01 -1.39 -1.69%
(Brent)
Gold…..2457.50 +12.60 +0.52%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.59 -1.05. -0.04%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29418.00 -470.00‼️ -1.57%
(Closed 23/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 23/07)
Silver……29.36 +0.08 +0.27%
Copper.415.45 -3.75. -0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.205 -0.074 -3.25%
Ammonia China 2833.33 +33.33 +1.19%
(Domestic Price)(23/07)

Coal price.134.70 -0.30 -0.22%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 -1.20 -0.86%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.40 -1.45 -1.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.25 +0.25 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.60 +1.65 +1.53%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.95 +1.55 +1.43%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.35 +1.75 +1.61%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3953 -21 -0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 45.13 +0.28 +0.62%
Wheat…..542.75 -5.25 -0.96%

Wood pulp..5170 -26 -0.50%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

Semua index regional merah, USD bond yield pendeh down panjang up, mendingan sih buat saham, tapi memang masih cocoksama jadwal koreksi IHSG, masih kemungkinan besar merah

USD index up, Metal2 down kecuali gold silver, oil gas coal CPO down, asli ini sih lanjut merahnya, ga ada ganjel

IHSG – indicator masih bilang down, FNS juga, masih bagusan pegang cash, yang di saham hanya yang contrarian dan sektor consumer

melandai semua kecuali energy sama healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA MDKA SIDO MIKA SILO, big accum BBCA MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ACES BBCA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ERAA

Daily Analysis 20240723

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 23th, 2024

Good morning,

US tech stocks ripped higher on Monday as investors assessed the political landscape following President Joe Biden’s exit from the presidential race and braced for the start of megacap tech earnings.

Dow……40415 +127.9 +0.32%
Nasdaq18008 +280.6 +1.58%
S&P 500.5564 +59.4 +1.08%

FTSE…..8199 +43.1 +0.53%
Dax……18407 +235.1 +1.29%
CAC……7622 +87.50 +1.16%

Nikkei..39599 -464.8 -1.16%
HSI……17635 +218.2 +1.25%
Shanghai.2964 -18.1 -0.61%

IDX….7321.96 +27.48 +0.38%
LQ45..923.25 +3.72 +0.40%
IDX30.462.24 +2.51 +0.55%

IDXEnergy..2492.82 +37.11 +1.51%
IDX BscMat1359.38 -5.05 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl.1031.98 +13.23 +1.30%
IDXNONCYC.717.07 unch +0%
IDX Hlthcare1425.18 -4.38 -0.31%
IDXCYCLIC…748.23 -0.50 -0.07%
IDXTechno3289.00 +23.41 +0.72%
IDX Transp 1371.12 +14.19 +1.05%
IDX Infrast 1601.87 +8.18 +0.51%
IDX Finance1407.61 +7.27 +0.52%
IDX Banking1260.51 +10.10 +0.81%
IDX Property…..644 +5.00 +0.78%

Indo10Yr.7.0084 +0.0204 +0.29%
ICBI…382.6415 -0.3684 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.521 +0.004 +0.09%
US5Yr 4.175 +0.005 +0.12%
US10Yr4.255 +0.012 +0.28%
US30Yr.4.473 +0.022 +0.49%
VIX..14.91 -1.61 -9.75%‼️

USDIndx 104.3140 -0.082 -0.08%
Como Indx….283.09 +2.73 +0.97%
BCOMIN…… 140.87 -2.10 -1.47%

IndoCDS..74.19 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/07)

IDR…..16220.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%
Jisdor.16228.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0891 +0.0009 +0.08%

TLKM…19.37 -0.46 -2.02%
( 3143)
EIDO…..20.34 +0.14 +0.67,%
EEM…..43.11 +0.33 +0.76%

Oil………..79.78 -0.37 -0.46%
Gold…..2444.90 -1.70 -0.07%
Timah..29888.00 -1162.00 -3.74%‼️
(Closed 20/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 20/07)
Silver……29.28 -0.02 -0.07%
Copper.419.20 -4.45. -1.05%

Iron Ore 62% 108.45 -0.28 -0.26%
(19/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.278 +0.154 +7.25%
Ammonia China 2800.00 +16.67 +0.60%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.135.00 -0.10 -0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.40 +0.40 +0.29%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 +0.15 +0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.85 +0.25 +0.18%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.00 -0.20 -0.19%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..107.95 -0.70 -0.64%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.40 -1.50 -1.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.60 -1.25 -1.14%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3988 +28 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..415.00 +10.25 +2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.85 +0.88 +2.00%
Wheat…..548.00 +5.25 +0.97%

Wood pulp..5196 unch +0%
(Closed 22/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield naik, masih cari arah ini IHSG, harusnya turun tapi US nya lagi bagus

USD index merah, metal2 juga merah, oil merah gas ijo tebel, coal tipis tipis, CPO ijo, ayo dong ADRO koreksi dulu, mau buy di 2900 an nih, hehehe

IHSG – technical masih bilang down, BD lagi tarik ulur, foreign masuk tipis, masih sideways dulu sepertinya

Wah BMTR belum jadi lari Industrials udah melemah, emang ASII sih yang nge drive nya, dan selalu sesuai index. masih paling aman pegang saham saham yang defensif di Consumer dan yang biasa contrarian

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, ASII BBNI BMRI GGRM ITMG MEDC PTBA SRTG ADMR DOID MNCN, big accum BMRI ITMG PTBA . Tapi terasa jebakan betmen

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM ADMR.ADMR ada gossip mau masuk LQ45 di 31 Juli

Daily Analysis 2024022

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 22nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles more than 370 points, S&P 500 posts worst week since April as investors dump big tech

Stocks retreated Friday, as Wall Street wrapped up the week defined by a rotation out of this year’s megacap winners in favor of smaller names.

Dow……40288 -377.5 -0.93%
Nasdaq17727 -144.3 -0.81%
S&P 500.5505 -39.6 -0.71%

FTSE…..8156 -49.2 -0.60%
Dax……18172 -182.8 -1.00%
CAC……7535 -52.03 -0.69%

Nikkei..40064 -62.6 -0.25%
HSI……17418 -360.7 -2.03%
Shanghai.2982 +5.2 +0.17%

IDX….7294.50 -26.57 -0.36%
LQ45..919.53 -3.25 -0.35%
IDX30.459.72 -1.72 -0.37%

IDXEnergy..2455.72 -1.99 -0.08%
IDX BscMat1364.42 -18.94 -1.37%
IDX Indstrl.1018.75 -4.12 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.717.07 -1.74 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1429.56 +10.22 +0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…748.73 -1.20 -0.16%
IDXTechno3265.59 -30.53 -0.93%
IDX Transp 1356.94 -8.15 -0.60%
IDX Infrast 1593.69 -7.74 -0.48%
IDX Finance1400.34 -4.51 -0.32%
IDX Banking1250.41 -2.24 -0.18%
IDX Property…..639 -0.10 -0.60%

Indo10Yr.6.9880👍 -0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI…382.8649 +0.1226 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.517 +0.046 +1.02%
US5Yr 4.170 +0.053 +1.29%
US10Yr4.243 +0.046 +1.10%
US30Yr.4.451 +0.030 +0.68%
VIX..16.52 +0.59 +3.70%‼️

USDIndx 104.3960 +0.223 +0.21%
Como Indx….280.36 -5.23 -1.83%
BCOMIN…… 142.98 -1.68 -1.16%

IndoCDS..74.19 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/07)

IDR…..16191.00 +36.00 +0.22%
Jisdor.16199.00 +39.00 +0.24%

Euro…1.0882 -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM…19.83 +0.03 +2.46%
( 3212)
EIDO…..20.20 -0.07 -0.35%
EEM…..42.74 -0.39 -0.89%

Oil…….80.13 -2.23 -2.71%
Gold…..2446.60 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah..31050.00 -554.00 -1.75%
(Closed 19/07)
Nickel..16274.00 -195.00 -1.18%
(Closed 19/07)
Silver….29.30 -0.67 -2.24%
Copper.423.65 -2.35. -0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 108.45 -0.28 -0.26%
(19/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.124 +0.023 +1.09%
Ammonia China 2800.00 +16.67 +0.60%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.135.10 +0.10 +0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.00 -0.10 -0.07%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 -0.10 -0.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.60 -0.10 -0.07%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.20 +0.55 +0.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.65 +0.75 +0.70%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.90 +1.10 +1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.85 +1.10 +1.01%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3960 +22 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..404.75 -0.25 -0.06%
SoybeanOil 43.97 -0.36 -0.81%
Wheat…..542.75 +7.50 +1.40%

Wood pulp..5196 unch +0%
(Closed 21/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at merah semua, US bond yield juga naik, ini lanjut merah lagi keliatannya hari ini, biar beres dulu koreksi wave 2 lah, biar enak re-entry nya nanti dibawah

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali gold, semoga ANTM masih kebawa sentimen emas, tapi kalopun harus turun dulu ya gpp kita pasang trailing stop. oil down gas up coal down, kemaren2 ADRO dkk udah naik tinggi padahal coal price nya biasa biasa aja, biar ikut koreksi dulu lah sama index, kita masuk lagi pas firm beres bikin higher low

IHSG – MACD almost sell, stoch udah sell duluan, terakhir memang FNB tipis tapi vol transaksi juga turun, sabar tunggu beres koreksi

Walau banyak yang terlihat jalan tapi jangan terjebak pas index turun, yang menarik dicermati Healtcare yang baru mulai nongol dan consumer yang arahnya bagus dan memang sering jadi ganjel pas index merah

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak: ACES ADRO ARTO INDF INKP SIDO UNTR BFIN ENRG INDY LPPF MAPA MPMX SMSM. Big accum ADRO UNTR LPPF SMSM

MACD Buy Signal: INCO