Global update:

August 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Powell comments fuel 1,000-point market rout Friday as stocks slide for a second week

Stocks plummeted Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole speech the central bank won’t back off in its fight against rapid inflation.

Dow…….32283 -1000.4 -3.03%‼️
Nasdaq.12142 -497.6 -3.94%‼️
S&P 500..4058 -141.5 -3.37%‼️

FTSE…….7427 -52.4 -0.70%
Dax……..12972 -248.6 -1.88%
CAC……..6274 -107.3 -1.68%

Nikkei….28641 +162.4 +0.57%
HSI……..20170 +201.7 +1.01%
Shanghai..3236 -10.02 -0.31%
ST Times..3250 +1.7 +0.05%

IDX…….7135.25 -38.96 -0.54%
LQ45…1014.27 -7.21 -0.71%

IDX Energy…1904.45 +14.65 +0.78%
IDX Bsc Mat.1293.23 -6.09 -0.47%
IDX Industrl..1307.06 -9.66 -0.73%
IDXNONCYC..708.78 -1.63 -0.23%
IDX Hlthcare.1405.16 +1.88 +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.39 +0.04 +0.08%
IDX Techno..7976.84 -91.82 -1.14%
IDX Transp…1978.52 -19.78 -0.99%
IDX Infrast…..1035.59 +2.03 +0.20%
IDX Finance 1499.65 -4.63 -0.31%
IDX Banking..1134.19 -3.91 -0.34%
IDX Property…712 +2.80 +0.40%

Indo10Yr….7.1619 +0.0082 +0.12%
ICBI……..336.3949 -0.1514 -0.04%
US10Yr…..3.0350 +0.0090 +0.30%
VIX……….25.56 +3.78 +17.36%‼️

USDIndx 108.8030 +0.4020 +0.37%
Como Indx..299.09 +2.34 +0.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..159.48 +1.07 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14816.50 -8.00 -0.05%
Jisdor..14814.00 -13.00 -0.09%

Euro………0.9966 -0.0012 -0.12%

TLKM……..29.93 -0.48 -1.58%
(4434)
EIDO………23.56 -0.37 -1.55%
EEM………40.01 -0.60 -1.48%

Oil…………..93.06 +0.37 +0.40%
Gold ……..1749.80 -20.70 -1.17%
Timah. .24750.00 +440.00 +1.81%
( Closed 26/8)
Nickel….21695.50 +18.50 +0.09%
(Closed 27/8)
Silver…….18.83 -0.33 -1.72%
Copper….369.70 -0.25 -0.07%

Nturl Gas…..9.320 -0.041 -0.44%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(25/8)

Coal price….427.00 +14.25 +3.45%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….419.85 +9.85 +2.40%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.00 +7.30 +1.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….383.10 +8.85 +2.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….374.65 +9.65 +2.64%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….365.85 +9.50 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4181 -74 -1.74%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..664.25 +14.25 +2.19%
SoybeanOil…66.88 +0.97 +1.47%
Wheat……..805.25 +16.25 +2.06%

Wood pulp…6714.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US DJI NASDAQ drop 3% pas jum’at, ngeri banget… Europe merah juga tapi ga separah itu. Asia masih ada ijo di Nikkei Hangseng sama Kospi. Semoga IHSG ga separah itu dibantingnya. Sudah diperkirakan mau wave 2 tapi kalo terlalu dalem turunnya juga saham yang harusnya jadwal jadi ganjel index bisa ikut keseret

Gold silver copper merah, timah nikel ijo, oil ijo coal tipis, gas merah, semoga masih on track energy healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals jagain index

Sudah firm ya, MACD sell signal… Brace yourself for the ride downhill. Yang diluar healthcare energy dan consumer non-cyclicals mending dibuang kalo perlu cutloss dulu. Nanti belanja lagi dibawah. US merah dalem banget, IHSG kemungkinan besar ikut merah dalem, bisa jadi semua sektor juga keseret kebawah

IHSG – semua menunjukkan mau turun dulu, stoch down, macd sell, bandar distribusi, FNS, MFI down, LR down, PSAR down, ada gap dibawah, memang alligator dan supertrend masih up, tapi lagging indicator buat main major trend kan memang suka telat.

Masih Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, disusul lagi sama Consumer Cyclicals. Industrials emerging, tapi index mau turun gini kayanya belum jalan lagi dulu

Global Update:

August 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher, extends rally to second day ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Thursday, extending a two-day rally ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.

Dow…….33292 +322.6 +0.98%
Nasdaq.12639 +207.7 +1.67%
S&P 500..4199 +58.4 +1.41%

FTSE…….7480 +0.2 +0.11%
Dax……..13272 +51.9 +0.39%
CAC……..6382 -5.2 -0.08%

Nikkei….28479 +165.5 +0.58%
HSI……..19968 +699.6 +3.63%
Shanghai..3246 +31.04 +0.97%
ST Times..3247 +14.3 +0.44%

IDX…….7174.21 -20.50 -0.28%
LQ45…1021.48 -5.13 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1889.80 +29.97 +1.61%
IDX Bsc Mat.1299.32 +2.74 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1316.72 +0.75 +0.06%
IDXNONCYC..710.41 -1.11 -0.16%
IDX Hlthcare.1403.28 -10.55 -0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.35 -4.85 -0.54%
IDX Techno..8068.66 +10.02 +0.12%
IDX Transp…1998.30 -3.72 -0.19%
IDX Infrast…..1033.56 -5.35 -0.51%
IDX Finance 1504.28 +0.52 +0.03%
IDX Banking..1138.10 -0.14 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.1292 -0.0299 -0.41%
ICBI……..336.5463 +0.2077 +0.06%
US10Yr…..3.0260 -0.0800 +1.70%
VIX……….21.78 -1.04 -4.56%

USDIndx 108.4010 -0.2760 -0.25%
Como Indx..296.65 -2.11 -0.71%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..158.41 +1.58 +1.01%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14824.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14827 .00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro………0.9978 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM……..30.41 -1.22 -3.86%‼️
(4509)
EIDO………23.93 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM………40.61 +0.86 +2.16%

Oil…………..92.69 -2.56 -2.78%
Gold ……..1770.50 +6.10 +0.35%
Timah. .24505.00 -225.00 -0.92%
( Closed 24/8)
Nickel….21903.50 +496.00 +2.32%‼️
(Closed 25/8)
Silver…….19.16 +0.08 +0.42%
Copper….369.95 +5.45 +1.50%

Nturl Gas…..9.361 +0.125 +1.35%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(24/8)

Coal price….417.50 +4.90 +1.19%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.75 -7.25 -1.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….413.00 +1.75 +0.43%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -1.25 -0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….375.50 -1.40 -0.37%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….366.00 -2.40 -0.65%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4255 -49 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..650.75 -6.50 -0.99%
SoybeanOil…65.86 -0.12 -0.18%
Wheat……..786.75 -26.50 -3.26%‼️

Wood pulp…6714.00 +4 +0.15%
(Closed 25/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe mostly ijo, asia ijo, ihsg merah. Sideways dulu kayanya, belum cukup dalem koreksinya ini buat wave 2

Gold nikel silver copper gas coal naik, oil timah cpo turun. Lanjut lagi ini coal keliatannya, mau nambah muatan cari momentum yang tepat ini harus

IHSG – Foreign mulai exit, MACD hampir sell, stoch down,LR jenuh, PSAR down, waspada koreksi…

Energy Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property kurang meyakinkan tapi kita liat nanti

Global update:

August 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks end Wednesday higher, Dow and S&P 500 snap three-day slide

Stocks rose Wednesday, snapping a three-day decline in the Dow and the S&P 500, as investors awaited more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation.

Dow…….32969 +59.6 +0.18%
Nasdaq.12432 +50.2 +0.41%
S&P 500..4141 +12 +0.29%

FTSE…….7471 -16.6 -0.22%
Dax……..13220 +25.8 +0.39%
CAC……..6387 +24.7 +0.39%

Nikkei….28313 -139.3 -0.49%
HSI……..19269 -234.5 -1.20%
Shanghai..3215 -61.02 -1.86%
ST Times..3233 -12.7 -0.39%

IDX…….7194.71 +31.44 +0.44%
LQ45…1026.61 +3.61 +0.35%

IDX Energy…1859.83 +15.55 +0.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.57 -4.59 -0.35%
IDX Industrl..1315.97 +10.02 +0.77%
IDXNONCYC..711.52 -2.66 -0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.83 -0.05 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.20 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX Techno..8058.64 +183.16 +2.33%
IDX Transp…2002.03 -8.51 -0.42%
IDX Infrast…..1038.90 +0.78 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1503.76 +2.60 +0.17%
IDX Banking..1138.23 -0.07 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 +2.04 +0.34%

Indo10Yr….7.1587 -0.0283 -0.39%
ICBI……..336.3387 +0.6148 +0.18%
US10Yr…..3.1060 +0.0520 +1.70%
VIX……….22.82 -1.29 -5.35%

USDIndx 108.6770 +0.0530 +0.05%
Como Indx..298.86 +2.55 +0.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.83 -0.80 -0.51%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14848.00 +10.50 +0.07%
Jisdor..14851 .00 -42.00 -0.28%

Euro………0.9969 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..31.63 +0.55 +1.77%
(4697)
EIDO………23.92 +0.16 +0.67%
EEM………39.75 -0.01 -0.03%

Oil…………..95.25 +1.50 +1.60%
Gold ……..1764.40 +3.50 +0.20%
Timah. .24505.00 +40.00 +0.16%
( Closed 23/8)
Nickel….21407.50 -443.50 -2.03%‼️
(Closed 24/8)
Silver…….19.08 -0.02 -0.10%
Copper….364.50 -3.40 -0.92%

Nturl Gas…..9.236 -0.006 -0.06%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(23/8)

Coal price….412.60 -5.00 -1.20%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -5.00 -1.18%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.25 -8.75 -2.08%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.25 +1.25 +0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….376.90 -2.05 -0.54%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….368.40 -2.60 -0.70%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4304 +67 +1.58%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..657.25 +2.00 +0.31%
SoybeanOil…65.98 -0.94 -1.40%
Wheat………813.25 +12.75 +1.59%

Wood pulp…6704.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 24/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US ijo, IDX mau ikut ijo atau merah ya? Karena udah run 2 hari, kayanya opening ijo dulu terus closing merah. Yang pegang sektor non Energy Healthcare dan Consumer Non-cyclicals mending TP TP in dulu, minimal setengahnya

Europe mayoritas ijo, Asia mayoritas merah…

Oil Gold TImah CPO naik, Nikel Silver copper gas coal turun

Kesempatan ini buat BOW coal. CPO naik tapi ga terlalu significant kita coba liat efeknya ke AALI dan LSIP dari signal hari ini

IHSG – berhasil ijo lagi kemaren, disaat index regional lain pada merah. Di diskusi group2 wa dan telegram mulai keluar optimistic forecast: Mau bikin new All Time High… Bukannya ga ngarep itu kejadian, tapi index bikin new ATH itu harusnya gambaran dari keadaan ekonomi Indonesia, dan terpengaruh juga sama kondisi global. Kondisi ancaman perang dunia ke-4 dan krisis energi gini sepertinya sih bukan sentimen positif untuk sekarang2 bisa bikin new record high. Indicator2 technical nya juga kurang mendukung ke arah situ

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cycicals, Technology

Energy – Still all good…

Kalopun turun keseret index aja keliatannya

Global Update:

August 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 fall Tuesday, notching three-day losing streak

Stocks fell Tuesday following its worst day since June as investors braced for a hawkish message from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….32910 -154.02 -0.47%
Nasdaq.12381 -0.3 -0.00%
S&P 500..4129 -9.3 -0.22%

FTSE…….7488 -46.7 -0.61%
Dax……..13194 -36.3 -0.27%
CAC……..6362 -16.7 -0.26%

Nikkei….28453 -341.8 -1.19%
HSI……..19503 -153.7 -0.78%
Shanghai..3276 -1.6 -0.05%
ST Times..3246 -16.4 -0.50%

IDX…….7163.27 +55.8 +0.78%
LQ45…1023.00 +8.32 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1844.28 +58.98 +3.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.17 +21.23 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1305.95 +8.32 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..714.18 +0.95 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.88 +8.63 +0.61%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.39 +4.75 +0.53%
IDX Techno..7875.48 +51.01 +0.65%
IDX Transp…2010.54 -7.43 -0.37%
IDX Infrast…..1038.13 +8.32 +0.81%
IDX Finance 1501.17 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Banking..1138.31 +2.75 +0.24%
IDX Property…707 +3.00 +0.43%

Indo10Yr….7.1870 +0.009 +0.13%
ICBI……..335.7238 -0.2426 -0.07%
US10Yr…..3.0540 +0.0170 +0.56%
VIX……….24.11 +0.31 +1.30%

USDIndx 108.6240 -0.4220 -0.39%
Como Indx..296.31 +3.48 +1.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.63 +0.08 +0.05%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14837.50 -54.00 -0.36%
Jisdor..14893 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………0.9970 +0.0028 +0.28%‼️

TLKM……..31.08 -0.03 -0.10%
(4629)
EIDO………23.76 +0.41 +1.76%
EEM………39.76 +0.21 +0.53%

Oil…………..93.75 +3.52 +3.90%
Gold ……..1760.90 +12.50 +0.71%
Timah. .24795.00 -330.00 -1.33%
( Closed 22/8)
Nickel….21851.00 -543.00 -2.42%‼️
(Closed 23/8)
Silver…….19.10 +0.10 +0.53%
Copper….367.90 +2.55 +0.70%

Nturl Gas…..9.242 -0.551 -5.63%‼️

Ammonia….3733.33 -16.67 -0.44%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/8)

Coal price….417.60 -0.75 -0.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 -20.50 -4.60%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -20.25 -4.60%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -7.75 -2.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….379.00 -27.10 -6.67%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….371.00 -26.45 -6.65%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4237 +74 +1.78%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..655.25 +26.25 +4.17%‼️
SoybeanOil…66.92 +0.57 +0.86%
Wheat………800.50 +12.25 +1.55%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih lanjut merah walau ga terlalu dalem, europe sama asia juga, kecuali IDX yang maksa tutup gap jadi ijo sendiri, so kemungkinan besar lanjut kebawah hari ini, sesuai jadwal wave 2

Oil naik, ELSA sama MEDC lanjut kayanya, gold silver copper ijo, timah nikel merah, kayanya tapi ga akan ngaruh banyak ke MDKA ANTM INCO TINS. Market globalnya lagi jelek

Gas turun gede, coal turun dikit, masih diatas 400, masih long bullish

CPO naik, consumer lagi naik juga, kita assess AALI sama LSIP nanti

Udah beres tutup gap, keliatannya lanjut ke bawah, hati hati yang pegang barang, kalo profit TP setengah dulu lah, kalo masih pede mau naik, jaga2 ready cash untuk belanja lagi nanti di ujung wave 2

IHSG – prepare worst case scenario, dibawa tutup gap 6740. Walau dari theory elliot wave 2 berhenti di fibo 38 @6973 juga sah sah aja

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals