Daily Analysis 20220930

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

Global Update:

September 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks crater as Apple leads losses in broad market sell-off

U.S. stocks cascaded Thursday — with Apple leading the way down — as renewed recession jitters permeated Wall Street and wiped gains from a fleeting relief bounce in the previous session.

Dow…….29226 -458.1 -1.54%
Nasdaq.10738 -314.1 -2.84%
S&P 500..3641 -78.8 -2.11%

FTSE…….6882 -123.8 -1.77%
Dax……..11976 -207.7 -1.71%
CAC……..5677 -88.1 -1.53%

Nikkei….26422 +248.1 +0.95%
HSI……..17166 -85.01 -0.49%
Shanghai..3045 -48.8 -1.58%
ST Times..3115 -1.2 -0.04%

IDX…….7036.20 -40.83 -0.58%
LQ45…1009.03 -4.47 -0.44%

IDX Energy…1907.88 +2.74 +0.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1240.34 -7.59 -0.61%
IDX Industrl..1280.10 -18.02 -1.39%
IDXNONCYC..698.39 -3.62 -0.52%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.36 +13.51 +0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.13 -3.93 -0.46%
IDX Techno..7046.09 -139.79 -1.95%
IDX Transp…1783.60 -29.09 -1.60%
IDX Infrast…….991.58 -8.00 -0.80%
IDX Finance 1481.03 -15.07 -1.01%
IDX Banking..1151.55 -9.60 -0.83%
IDX Property….696 -6.90 -0.98%

Indo10Yr….7.4039 -0.0064 -0.09%
ICBI……..332.0542 +0.2797 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.7470 +0.0420 +1.13%
VIX……….31.84 +1.66 +5.50%‼️

USDIndx 112.2540 -0.3500 -0.31%‼️
Como Indx..271.16 -0.66 -0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.43 +3.67 +2.59%
.
IndoCDS 167.34 +1.89 +1.14%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15262.50 -4.00 -0.03%‼️
Jisdor..15247.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9831 +0.0107 +1.10%‼️

TLKM……..28.85 -0.70 -2.37%
(4400)
EIDO……..23.45 -0.42 -1.76%
EEM……….35.01 -0.80 -2.23%

Oil…………..81.66 -0.15 -0.18%
Gold ……1670.80 +3.50 +0.21%
Timah. .20728.00 +48 +0.23%
( Closed 28/9)
Nickel…22468.50 +405.50 +1.84%
(Closed 28/9)
Silver…….18.82 -0.36 -1.91%
Copper….343.45 +5.40 +1.60%

Nturl Gas…..6.881 -0.136 -1.94%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/9)

Coal price….435.75 -0.25 -0.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.25 -10.50 -2.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….417.15 -6.85 -1.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.15 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.90 +9.65 +3.16%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….311.90 +9.90 +3.28%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3343 +118 +3.66%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………669.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil…63.86 +1.71 +2.75%
Wheat………896.25 -7.00 -0.77%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -10.00 -0.14%
(Closed 29/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merahnya dalem. Europe juga, asia juga merah kecuali jepang. Sabar, masih jadwal koreksi wave 2,keep cash aja

Metal2 naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal turun, CPO naik

IHSG – target wave 2 fibo 50 di 6968, tapi ada gap di 6740, jadi sangat mungkin index tutup gap dulu baru rebound

Healthcare gerak lagi, Consumer Non-Cyclicals lanjut, Infrastructure, Basic Materials ada pergerakan

Daily Analysis 2022029

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

Global update:

September 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rebound from 2022 low, Dow closes up more than 500 points and snaps six-day losing streak

The Dow Jones Industrial Average mounted a big comeback from its 2022 low as the Bank of England said it would buy bonds to stabilize its financial markets, a stunning reversal in the monetary tightening policies implemented this year by most central banks to stifle inflation.

Dow…….29684 +548.8 +1.88%
Nasdaq.11052 +222.1 +2.05%
S&P 500..3719 +71.8 +1.97%

FTSE…….7005 +20.8 +0.30%
Dax……..12183 +43.6 +0.36%
CAC……..5765 +11.2 +0.19%

Nikkei….26174 -397.9 -1.50%
HSI……..17251 -609.4 -3.41%
Shanghai..3045 -48.8 -1.58%
ST Times..3116 -49.2 -1.55%

IDX…….7007.03 -35.42 -0.50%
LQ45…1013.51 -2.48 -0.24%

IDX Energy…1905.14 -33.53 -1.73%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.94 -23.93 -1.88%
IDX Industrl..1298.12 -23.93 -1.88%
IDXNONCYC..702.01 -0.22 -0.03%
IDX Hlthcare.1463.85 -1.79 -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.06 -7.96 -0.92%
IDX Techno..7185.88 -64.96 -0.89%
IDX Transp…1812.69 -32.73 -1.77%
IDX Infrast…….999.58 -9.89 -0.98%
IDX Finance 1496.09 -7.18 -0.48%
IDX Banking..1161.15 -1.49 -0.13%
IDX Property….703 -7.10 -1.00%

Indo10Yr….7.4103 +0.0239 +0.32%
ICBI……..332.7745 -0.5936 -0.18%
US10Yr……3.7050 -0.2590 -6.53%‼️
VIX……….30.18 -2.42 -7.42%‼️

USDIndx112.6040 -1.4990 -1.31%‼️
Como Indx..271.82 +5.85 +2.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.05 +0.75%
.
IndoCDS 165.45 +53.61 +47.93%‼️‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15266.50 +142.50 +0.94%‼️
Jisdor..15243.00 +86.00 +0.58%‼️

Euro……..0.9724 +0.0135 +1.41%‼️

TLKM……..29.55 +0.71 +2.46%
(4504)
EIDO……….23.87 +0.28 +1.19%
EEM……….35.81 +0.31 +0.87%

Oil…………..81.81 +3.59 +4.59%‼️
Gold ……1667.30 +30.70 +1.88%‼️
Timah. .20680.00 +40 +0.19%
( Closed 27/9)
Nickel…22063.00 +380.00 +1.75%
(Closed 28/9)
Silver…….18.88 +0.54 +2.94%
Copper….338.05 +8.60 +2.61%

Nturl Gas…..7.019 +0.207 +3.04%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/9)

Coal price….436.00 -1.65 -0.38%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….419.75 -3.25 -0.77%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….424.00 -1.25 -0.29%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.15 +2.55 +0.78%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 +7.70 +2.59%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….302.00 +7.00 +2.37%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3225 -305 -8.84%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………670.50 +3.00 +0.45%
SoybeanOil…62.15 -0.24 -0.38%
Wheat………903.25 +31.75 +3.64%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US dan europe rebound, asia closing masih merah, kayanya hari ini ijo IHSG…

Oil rebound, semua metal ijo, gas naik, coal turn, cpo drop jauh

 

IHSG – masih jadwal koreksi wave 2, mungkin technical rebound hari ini ikut US dan europe

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – masih sideways, foreign masih inside, kita tunggu breakout triangle ke atas…

HMSP sama GGRM vol breakout

HMSP – naik tembus resistance minor with volume, stoch dan MACD jadi buy signal, MFIup, Bandar ngebalik jadi akum, foreign lanjut akum, bullish divergence confirmed by MACD buy signal, 2 bull candle and close above MA 10. Yang masih ok beli saham rokok, bisa pasang BOW di tengah candle kearen, di 905. saya pribadi skip…

GGRM – mirip HSMP, stoch buy macd buy MFI up, bandar dan foreign akum, supertrend buy, breakout minor resistance with volume, bullish divergence confirmed by MACD buy signal, 2 bull candle and close above MA 10, BOW tengah candle kemaren 23600 plus 1 tick

Infrastuctures – oscillators masih jelek, tapi dari elliot wave sekarang itungan fibonaccinya udah sampe level biasa mantul, lanjut wave 3

Belum ada buy signal baru…

TLKM big akum, FNB

TLKM – stoch buy macd belum, MFI flat, bandar dan foreign akum, elliot wave keliatannya lagi wave 3, bisa spec buy setengah, BOW. Firm macd dan vol breakut tambah setengah lagi

 

Daily Analysis 20220928

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

Global Update:

September 28th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends Tuesday down after notching a fresh bear market low, Dow slips more than 100 points

The S&P 500 fell deeper into a bear market on Tuesday after setting a new 2022 low, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield continued to climb to levels not seen in at least a decade.

Dow…….29135 -125.8 -0.43%
Nasdaq.10830 +26.6 +0.25%
S&P 500..3647 -7.8 -0.21%

FTSE…….6985 -36.4 -0.52%
Dax……..12140 -88.2 -0.72%
CAC……..5754 -15.6 -0.27%

Nikkei….26572 +140.3 +0.53%
HSI……..17860 +5.2 +0.03%
Shanghai..3094 +42.6 +1.40%
ST Times..3166 -16.5 -0.52%

IDX…….7112.45 -15.05 -0.21%
LQ45…1015.98 -4.2q -0.41%

IDX Energy…1938.67 +26.31 1.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1271.67 -12.34 -0.96%
IDX Industrl..1321.48 +3.30 +0.25%
IDXNONCYC..702.23 -2.06 -0.29%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.65 +4.14 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…..870.02 -2.78 -0.32%
IDX Techno..7250.75 +31.61 +0.44%
IDX Transp…1845.42 +7.88 +0.43%
IDX Infrast…..1009.48 +3.60 +0.36%
IDX Finance 1503.28 -5.05 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1162.64 -4.61 -0.39%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3864 +0.0317 +0.43%
ICBI……..333.3681 -0.2493 -0.07%
US10Yr……3.9640 +0.0860 +2.22%‼️
VIX……….32.60 +0.34 +1.06%

USDIndx114.1030+0.0030 +0.00%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..140.72 -1.68 -1.18%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (27/9)

IDR……15124.00 -5.50 -0.04%‼️
Jisdor..15155.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼️

Euro……..0.9589 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..28.84 -0.07 -0.24%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.59 -0.18 -0.76%
EEM……….35.50 -0.04 -0.11%

Oil…………..78.22 +1.70 +2.22%
Gold ……1636.60 +5.20 +0.32%
Timah. .20640.00 +397 +1.96%
( Closed 26/9)
Nickel…21683.00 -460.00 -2.08%
(Closed 27/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.01 -0.05%
Copper….329.45 +0.35 +0.11%

Nturl Gas…..6.812 -0.217 -3.09%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/9)

Coal price….437.65 -0.35 -0.08%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.00 +0.10 +0.02%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.25 +0.25 +0.06%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.60 -0.15 -0.05%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.55 +2.95 +1.00%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.00 -1.00 -0.34%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3530 -16 -0.45%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………667.50 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil…62.39 -0.07 -0.11%
Wheat………871.50 +13.50 +1.57%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 27/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali singapore sama indonesia

Kayanya kita ijo tipis dulu hari ini…

Oil gold timah copper naik, silver nikel gas cpo turun. Coal spot turun tipis, future nya naik tipis, masih belum kuat buat angkat saham coal

Basic materials mungin rada rebound hari ini

IHSG – closing price kemarin sudah dibawah MA 50, pemain MA bilang udah downtrend. Sudah koreksi sampe fibo 38, belum firm buat mulai buy, tunggu fibo 50, jaga2 kalo harus tutup gap

Healthcare melemah, techno ga jadi jalan, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Financials (tapi resiko tinggi ini kalo index masih mau turun), Transportation

Daily Analysis 20220927

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

Global Update:

September 27th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches new closing low for 2022, Dow falls into bear market as dollar surges

The S&P 500 notched a new closing low for 2022 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped into a bear market as interest rates surged and turmoil rocked global currencies.

Dow…….29261 -329.6 -1.11%
Nasdaq.10803 -65.0 -0.60%
S&P 500..3655 -38.2 -1.03%

FTSE…….7021 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..12228 -56.3 -0.46%
CAC……..5769 -14.02 -0.24%

Nikkei….26432 -722.3 -2.66%
HSI……..17855 -78.1 -0.44%
Shanghai..3051 -37.1 -1.20%
ST Times..3182 -45.1 -1.40%

IDX…….7127.50 -51.08 -0.71%
LQ45…1020.20 -5.44 -0.53%

IDX Energy…1912.36 -79.32 -3.98%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.21 -17.44 -1.34%
IDX Industrl..1318.18 -36.96 -2.73%
IDXNONCYC..704.29 -4.28 -0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1461.51 -3.75 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..872.80 -2.52 -0.29%
IDX Techno..7219.13 -166.50 -2.25%
IDX Transp…1837.53 -24.35 -1.31%
IDX Infrast…..1005.88 -11.88 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1508.33 +3.22 +0.21%
IDX Banking..1167.25 +3.68 +0.32%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3547 +0.0364 +0.50%
ICBI……..333.6174 -0.9262 -0.28%
US10Yr……3.8780 +0.1810 +4.90%‼️
VIX……….32.26 +2.34 +7.82%‼️

USDIndx114.1030+0.9110 +0.80%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.40 -3.77 -2.58%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15129.50 +92.00 +0.61%‼️
Jisdor..15119.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️

Euro……..0.9590 -0.0097 -1.00%‼️

TLKM……..28.91 +0.20 +0.70%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.77 -0.17 -0.71%
EEM……….35.54 -0.44 -1.22%

Oil…………..76.52 -2.22 -2.82%‼️
Gold ……1631.60 -24.00 -1.45%‼️
Timah. .20243.00 – –
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…22143.00 -1246.50 -5.33%‼️
(Closed 26/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.57 -3.01%‼️
Copper….329.10 -5.20 -1.56%

Nturl Gas…..7.029 +0.038 +0.54%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….438.00 +2.80 +0.64%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.90 +12.70 +3.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 +13.85 +3.37%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.75 -1.25 -0.38%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.60 -2.40 -0.81%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….296.00 -2.75 -0.92%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3546 -187 -5.00%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………666.25 -10.50 -1.55%
SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.22 -1.92%
Wheat………858.50 -22.50 -2.56%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dari semua index, cuma FTSE yang closing ijo tipis, sisanya merah. Komoditi yang ijo cuma coal sama natural gas, masih dukung lanjut bursa merah hari ini. Masih jadwal lanjut wave2, walau minggu rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin

IHSG – masih half way ke perkiraan ujung wave 2 di closing gap 6740. Masih hati2 banget belanja. Mungkin hari ini rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin. Tapi belum waktunya untuk agresif belanja

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Transportation