Daily Analysis 20221215

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 15th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 snaps 2-day winning streak after Fed raises rates and signals more hikes next year

Stocks slid Wednesday as investors absorbed the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate hike decision in its efforts to crush inflation.

Dow…….33966 -142.3 -0.42%
Nasdaq.11171 -85.9 -0.76%
S&P 500..3995 -24.3 -0.61%

FTSE…….7496 -6.96 -0.09%
Dax……..14460 -37.7 -0.26%
CAC……..6731 -14.2 -0.21%

Nikkei….28156 +201.4. +0.72%
HSI……..19674 +77.3 +0.39%
Shanghai..3177 +0.2 +0.01%
ST Times..3279 +7.3 +0.22%

IDX…….6801.75 -8.57 -0.13%
LQ45……951.16 -1.63. -0.17%

IDX Energy..2174.52 +20.45 +0.96%
IDX BscMat 1251.25 +0.04 +0.40%
IDX Indstrl…1180.40 +5.42 +0.46%
IDXNONCYC..727.53 -1.31 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1557.30 +19.22+1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.64 -3.35 -0.39%
*IDX Techno..5180.22 -110.75 -2.09%*
IDX Transp…1710.90 -5.60 -0.33%
IDX Infrast……850.80 +1.99 +0.23%
IDX Finance 1449.76 -6.72 -0.46%
IDX Banking 1171.79 -6.10 -0.52%
IDX Property….710 +3.00 +0.42%

*Indo10Yr.7.0177 -0.0059 -0.08%👍*
*ICBI….343.5693 +0.4287 +0.12%👍*
*US10Yr..3.5030 +0.0020 +0.06%*
*VIX……21.14 -1.41 -6.25%👍*

*USDIndx.104.0020 -1.034 -0.98%👍*
Como Indx.276.63 +1.60 +0.58%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.51 -0.45 -0.27%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15592.50 -64.00 -0.41%*
*Jisdor..15619.00 -42.00 -0.27%*

*Euro……1.0683 +0.0051 +0.47%👍*

TLKM……..23.68 -0.06 -0.25%
*(3699)*
EIDO……….22.82 -0.14 -0.61%
EEM……….38.61 +0.02 +0.05%

*Oil………..77.28 +1.89 +2.51%‼️*
Gold …..1818.70 -6.80 -0.37%
*Timah…..24644 +695 +2.90%*
*(Closed 13/12)*
Nickel…28489.50 +197.50 +0.70%
*(Closed 14/12)*
Silver………24.14 +0.15 +0.61%
Copper….387.80 +3.60 +0.94%

*Nturl Gas..6.356 -0.609 -8.74%‼️*

Ammonia..4856.67 -23.34 -0.48%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(13/12)

Coal price….404.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….379.10 +1.45 +0.38%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.20 -0.05 -0.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price…240.60 -6.40 -2.59%*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price…225.05 -9.50 -4.05%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…225.25 -9.85 -4.18%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3950 +63 +1.62%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….650.50 -3.00 -0.46%
SoybeanOil.62.84 -0.53 -0.84%
Wheat………749.25 -1.50 -0.20%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Market Asia masih ok kemaren, Europe dan US merah, antisipasi kebijakan fed naikin interest rate. Semoga kita tetep lanjut, kalopun koreksi tipis aja

Metal2 naik semua kecuali gold, Oil naik, gas drop, coal turun tipis. CPO naik lagi, coba kita liat chart nya

CPO – masih sideways…

IHSG – stoch buy, macd down rev, masih FNB, bandar last day dist, MFI up, masih wave 3, LR mantul, semoga panjang

Yang leading melemah semua, yang rising Transportation sama Basic Materials, sama Financials hopefully

Stochastic Buy Signal nya banyak banget, kita ambil beberapa aja ya… BBTN PTBA TINS AALI AKRA ASSA SCMA SIDO

Daily Analysis 20221214

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on cooler inflation report, notch second day of gains

Stocks rose Tuesday after the release of new U.S. inflation data, while traders awaited a key Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….34109 +103.6 +0.30%
Nasdaq.11257 +113.1 +1.01%
S&P 500..4020 +29.1 +0.73%

FTSE…….7503 +56.9 +0.72%
Dax……..14498 +191.3 +1.34%
CAC……..6745 +94.4 +1.42%

Nikkei….27955 +112.5 +0.40%
HSI……..19596 +132.6 +0.68%
Shanghai..3176 -2.7. -0.09%
ST Times..3271 +31.6 +0.98%

IDX…….6810.32 +75.86 +1.13%
LQ45……952.79 +14.05 +1.50%

IDX Energy..2127.07 +1.43 +0.07%
IDX BscMat 1251.21 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1174.98 +4.96 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..728.83 +0.81 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1538.08 -2.34 -0.15%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.99 +8.52 +1.00%
*IDX Techno..5290.98 +219.79 +4.33%‼️*
IDX Transp…1716.50 +4.51 +0.26%
IDX Infrast……848.81 -4.10 -0.48%
IDX Finance 1456.46 +23.77 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1177.89 +21.68 +1.88%
IDX Property….707 -6.40 -0.89%

*Indo10Yr…7.0236 -0.0173 -0.25%*
*ICBI…….343.1406 -0.0539 -0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.5010 -0.1100 -3.05%*
*VIX……22.55 -2.45 -9.80%*

*USDIndx..104.0020 -1.0340 -0.98%👍*
*Como Indx.275.03 +5.66 +2.10%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.96 -0.05 -0.03%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15657.00 +29.50 +0.19%*
*Jisdor..15661.00 +19.00 +0.12%*

*Euro……1.0632 +0.0095 +0.90%*

TLKM……..23.74 +0.15 +0.64%
*(3718)*
EIDO……….22.96 +0.43 +1.92%
EEM……….38.59 +0.27 +0.72%

*Oil………..75.39 +2.22 +3.03%‼️*
*Gold …..1825.50 +33.20 +1.85%*
Timah…..23950 -340 -1.40%
*(Closed 12/12)*
*Nickel…28292.00 -1011.50 -3.45%‼️*
*(Closed 13/12)*
*Silver………23.99 +0.59 +2.51%*
Copper….384.20 +4.15 +1.09%

*Nturl Gas…..6.965 +0.441 +6.75%‼️*

Ammonia..4856.67 -33.33 -0.68%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(12/12)

Coal price….404.25 +4.25 +1.06%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….377.65 +4.65 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.65 +2.40 +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….247.00 -3.25 -1.30%
(Des/Rotterdam)
‘Coal price….234.55 -0.70 -0.30%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….235.10 -2.30 -0.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3887 +146 +3.90%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.50 -0.50 -0.08%
*SoybeanOil.63.37 +1.90 +3.09%*
Wheat………750.75 -4.00 -4.00%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo, asia kemaren kebanyakan ijo, semoga IHSG hari ini lanjut rally…

Oil naik tinggi, gas naik tinggi, coal naik ke 404, energy lanjut… Gold Silver Copper naik (USD index turun), timah nikel turun. CPO naik tinggi. MDAK ANTM perlu dicermati, AALI LSIP semoga mulai bullish, CPO nya semoga ga bolak balik ngedrop

IHSG – Regular Bullish Divergence RSI

Ada juga reg bull div di MACD

IHSG – masih NFS, tapi BD udah akum, stoch almost buy, freq analyzer ga ada spike, tapi secara umum naik, berarti transaksi lebih banyak yang nilainya besar, kemaren ada vol spike dari transaksi GOTO, belum bisa mewakili index, divergence RSI dan MACD biasanya kuat, harusnya jalan wave 3 ini, yang sebelumnya tertunda

Bagusnya: Financials bangun, jeleknya, yang leading keliatan cape: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Energy, keliatannya kalo property sama consumer non-cyclicals udahan dulu, energy yang lanjut, mungkin nanti ditemenin sama basic materials dan infrastructure yang banyak BUMN perlu windress

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII GOTO TLKM TPIA ACES DSNG TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN AKRA

Daily Analysis 20221213

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 500 points higher to start the week as investors await Fed meeting, inflation data

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Monday, clawing back some of the steep losses from the previous week, as traders looked ahead to a highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting and new inflation data.

Dow…….34005 +528.6 +1.58%
Nasdaq.11144 +139.1 +1.26%
S&P 500..3991 +56.2 +1.43%

FTSE…….7446 -30.7 -0.41%
Dax……..14306 -64.1 -0.45%
CAC……..6651 -27.1 -0.41%

Nikkei….27842 -58.7 -0.21%
HSI……..19464 -437.2 -2.20%
Shanghai..3179 -27.9 -0.87%
ST Times..3240 -6.3 -0.19%

IDX…….6734.45 +19.33 +0.29%
LQ45……938.75 +5.74 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2125.64 +11.31 +0.54%
IDX BscMat 1250.80 +2.00 +0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1170.02 +2.52 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC..728.03 +8.72 +1.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1540.42 +11.23 +0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.47 +0.37 +0.04%
*IDX Techno..5071.19 -122.03 -2.35%*
IDX Transp…1711.99 +17.98 +1.06%
IDX Infrast……852.91 -2.05 -0.24%
IDX Finance 1432.70 +2.51 +0.18%
IDX Banking 1156.21 +3.00 +0.26%
IDX Property….708 – -%

*Indo10Yr…7.0409 +0.0050 +0.07%*
*ICBI…….343.1945 +0.0670 +0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.6110 +0.0440 +1.23%*
*VIX……25.00 +2.17 +9.51%‼️*

*USDIndx..105.0360 +0.2260 +0.22%*
Como Indx..269.37 +3.09 +1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.01 -1.83 -1.08%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15627.50 +44.50 +0.29%*
*Jisdor..15642.00 +55.00 +0.35%*

*Euro……1.0537 +0.0004 +0.04%*

TLKM……..23.59 +0.28 +1.20%
*(3690)*
EIDO……….22.76 +0.28 +1.25%
EEM……….38.09 -0.12 -0.31%

*Oil………..73.17 +2.15 +3.03%‼️*
Gold ……1792.30 -18.40 -1.02%
Timah…..24290 – -%
*(Closed 09/12)*
*Nickel…29303.50 +481.00 +1.67%*
*(Closed 12/12)*
Silver………23.40 -0.31 -1.32%
Copper….380.05 -7.80 -2.01%

*Nturl Gas…..6.524 +0.217 +3.44%*

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….400.25 -2.25 -0.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….373.00 -9.10 -2.38%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….361.25 -11.25 -3.02%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….250.25 -10.65 -4.08%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….235.25 -18.65 -7.35%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….237.40 -17.50 -6.86%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3741 -246 -6.17%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….654.00 +10.00 +1.55%
*SoybeanOil.61.47 +1.93 +3.24%‼️*
*Wheat…….754.75 +20.50 +2.79%*

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Great, US rebound, kemaren IHSG surprisingly berhasil closing ijo sih, despite GOTO yang nyeret kebawah dari awal sesi 1. Asia lain merah, europe merah, semoga semua hari ini menghijau

Metal2 umumnya turun biasanya gini kalo USD index nya naik, nikel yang naik sendiri. Oil ijo, gas ijo, giliran Coal yang merah, waktunya belanja saham coal ini kayanya, buy on dip. CPO masih kacaw, ini drop lagi

IHSG semoga outlook nya cerah begini…

 

IHSG – stoch 833 sudah buy, MACD masih down, stoch 1066 sudah melandai, masih NFS tapi makin kecil, bandar sudah start akum, MFI naik, sudah firm tutup gap, tinggal mantulnya sih. Semoga rally panjang wave 3…

 

Masih primadonanya Energy sama Healthcare, yang lain mulai loyo, mungkin mau gantian sama infrastucture dan basic materials

Yang jelas kita tunggu dan doakan cepet financials bangun

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN CPIN ERAA BSDE MMLP PMMP WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF MEDC ASSA

Daily Analysis 20221212

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 300 points Friday, posts worst week since September

Stocks finished lower Friday, with all the major averages posting losses for the week as worries persisted over continued rate hikes.

Dow…….33476 -305.02 -0.90%
Nasdaq.11005 -77.4. -0.70%
S&P 500..3934 -29.1 -0.73%

FTSE…….7477 +4.5 +0.06%
Dax……..14371 +106.2 +0.74%
CAC……..6677 +30.3 +0.46%

Nikkei….27901 +326.6 +1.18%
HSI……..19901 +450.6 +2.32%
Shanghai..3207 +9.6 +0.30%
ST Times..3246 +9.9 +0.31%

IDX…….6715.12 -89.11 -1.31%
LQ45……933.01 -11.21 -1.19%

IDX Energy..2114.33 -55.96 -2.58%
IDX BscMat 1248.80 -4.64 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl…1167.50 -17.33 -1.46%
IDXNONCYC..719.31 -7.88 -1.08%
IDX Hlthcare.1529.19 -19.22 -1.24%
IDXCYCLIC…..863.09 -9.55 -1.11%
IDX Techno….5193.21-93.46 -1.77%
IDX Transp…1694.01 -6.02. -0.35%
IDX Infrast……854.97 -7.60 -0.88%
IDX Finance 1430.18 -8.54 -0.59%
IDX Banking 1153.21 -7.07 -0.61%
IDX Property….708 -4.20 -0.60%

Indo10Yr…7.0359 -0.0219 -0.31%
ICBI…….342.9951 +0.2918 -0.09%
US10Yr..3.5670 +0.0760 +2.18%
VIX……22.83 +0.54 +2.42%

USDIndx..104.8100 -0.0030 -0.002%
Como Indx..266.28 -0.12 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..169.84 -0.85 -0.50%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15583.00 -37.50 -0.24%
Jisdor..15587.00 -37.00 -0.24%

Euro……1.0533 -0.0024 -0.23%

TLKM……..23.31 -0.34 -1.44%
(3633)
EIDO……….22.48 -0.37 -1.62%
EEM……….39.02 -0.26 -0.66%

Oil………….71.02 -0.44 -0.62%
Gold ……1810.70 +9.20 +0.51%
Timah…..24290 -335 -1.36%
(Closed 09/12)
Nickel…28822.50 -659.00 -2.23%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver………23.72 +0.47 +2.03%
Copper….387.85 -0.50 -0.13%

Nturl Gas…..6.307 +0.372 +6.27%

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….402.50 +7.00 +1.77%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.85 +3.25 +0.86%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..372.50 +2.50 +0.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….260.90 +4.40 +1.72%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….253.90 +3.15 +1.26%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….254.90 +2.90 +1.15%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3987 +36 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….644.00 +1.50 +0.23%
SoybeanOil…59.54 -0.94 -1.55%
Wheat………734.25 -12.00 -1.61%

Wood pulp…6510.00 -40 -0.61%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah pas jum’at, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG yang turun dalem, harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal metal varied, yang kesorot nikel yang turun agak besar. Oil masih turun, gas rebound tinggi, coal naik lagi ke atas 400 (harusnya aman ini lanjut rebound nya), CPO naik dikit, tapi masih belum firm trend nya

IHSG – diluar ada dalam area support kuat, technical nya index jelek banget, masih FNS terus, bandar juga banyakan distribusi, memang selama GOTO ARB terus berat banget ngangkat index, market cap nya terlalu besarbuat digendong yang lain. Tapi semoga di banks mulai akum, jadi tinggal nunggu mentoknya GOTO nanti mulai rebound index

Disini financials mulai ada kehidupan. Leading nya masih energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals, sama property tapi keliatan mulai lesu

Stoch Buy Signal: BUKA KLBF ADHI

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA