What Technical Tools Can I Use to Measure Momentum?

Written by admin. Posted in Technical Analysis

[ad_1]

One of the main goals of every trader using technical analysis is to measure the strength of an asset’s momentum and the likelihood that it will continue. Momentum measures the speed at which the price of a security is moving, and there are a variety of indicators one can look at to measure this.

Most of the indicators used to measure momentum are interpreted by using certain values that suggest the asset may be getting overbought or oversold, which is a weakening of momentum, and would signal a reversal in the trend.

Momentum indicators are bound between two extreme levels. This is important because a cross through the center line of the indicator is interpreted to mean that momentum is either increasing or decreasing and that acts as an indicator to buy or sell.

Some of the main tools to measure momentum are the moving average convergence divergence (MACD), stochastics oscillator, price rate of change (ROC), and the relative strength index (RSI).

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

The MACD depicts the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price. It is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average from the 12-period exponential moving average. When this is calculated, a MACD line is created and a nine-period MACD line, known as the “signal line,” is transposed over the MACD line. This then functions as a trigger to buy or sell depending on where the MACD crosses the signal line.

Rate of Change

The rate of change is the speed at which a variable changes over a specific period of time. It is expressed as a ratio between a change in one variable relative to a corresponding change in another. Graphically, the rate of change is represented by the slope of a line and mathematically as the percentage change in value over a specific period of time and represents the momentum of a variable.

To calculate the ROC, one takes the current value of a stock and divides it by the value from a previous period, then subtracts one and multiplies by 100 for the percentage figure.

Rate of Change = [(Current Value of Stock/Previous Value of Stock) – 1]*100

A security with a high momentum has a positive ROC and outperforms the market in the short term whereas a low momentum security has a negative ROC and is likely to decline in value, which can be seen as an indicator to sell.

Stochastic Oscillator

The stochastic oscillator seeks to measure the closing price of a security to a range of its historical prices over a defined period of time. It is used to generate overbought and oversold trading signals using a 0–100 bounded range of values. Values over 80 are considered to be in the overbought range and values below 20 are considered to be in the oversold range. When values reach these points, they typically indicate a reversal of the trend.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes. The RSI looks at average gains or losses over 14 trading periods. Much like the stochastic oscillator, it uses a bounded range value of 0 to 100 to mark overbought or oversold conditions in the price of an asset. Values that are 70 or above indicate an overbought security, whereas values of 30 and below indicate an oversold condition.

[ad_2]

Source link

Metrics Definition

Written by admin. Posted in Technical Analysis

[ad_1]

What Are Metrics?

Metrics are measures of quantitative assessment commonly used for assessing, comparing, and tracking performance or production. Generally, a group of metrics will typically be used to build a dashboard that management or analysts review on a regular basis to maintain performance assessments, opinions, and business strategies. 

Understanding Metrics

Metrics have been used in accounting, operations, and performance analysis throughout history.

Metrics come in a wide range of varieties with industry standards and proprietary models often governing their use.

Executives use them to analyze corporate finance and operational strategies. Analysts use them to form opinions and investment recommendations. Portfolio managers use metrics to guide their investing portfolios. Furthermore, project managers also find them essential in leading and managing strategic projects of all kinds.

Overall, metrics refer to a wide variety of data points generated from a multitude of methods. Best practices across industries have created a common set of comprehensive metrics used in ongoing evaluations. However, individual cases and scenarios typically guide the choice of metrics used.

Choosing Metrics

Every business executive, analyst, portfolio manager, and the project manager has a range of data sources available to them for building and structuring their own metric analysis. This can potentially make it difficult to choose the best metrics needed for important assessments and evaluations. Generally, managers seek to build a dashboard of what has come to be known as key performance indicators (KPIs).

In order to establish a useful metric, a manager must first assess its goals. From there, it is important to find the best outputs that measure the activities related to these goals. A final step is also setting goals and targets for KPI metrics that are integrated with business decisions.

Academics and corporate researchers have defined many industry metrics and methods that can help shape the building of KPIs and other metric dashboards. An entire decision analysis method called applied information economics was developed by Douglas Hubbard for analyzing metrics in a variety of business applications. Other popular decision analysis methods include cost-benefit analysis, forecasting, and Monte Carlo simulation.

Several businesses have also popularized certain methods that have become industry standards in many sectors. DuPont began using metrics to better their own business and in the process came up with the popular DuPont analysis which closely isolates variables involved in the return on equity (ROE) metric. GE has also commissioned a set of metrics known as Six Sigma that are commonly used today, with metrics tracked in six key areas: critical to quality; defects; process capability; variation; stable operations; and, design for Six Sigma.

Examples of Metrics

While there are a wide range of metrics, below are some commonly used tools:

Economic Metrics

Operational Company Metrics

From a comprehensive perspective, executives, industry analysts, and individual investors often look at key operational performance measures of a company, all from different perspectives. Some top-level operational metrics include measures derived from the analysis of a company’s financial statements. Key financial statement metrics include sales, earnings before interest and tax (EBIT), net income, earnings per share, margins, efficiency ratios, liquidity ratios, leverage ratios, and rates of return. Each of these metrics provides a different insight into the operational efficiency of a company.

Executives use these operational metrics to make corporate decisions involving costs, labor, financing, and investing. Executives and analysts also build complex financial models to identify future growth and value prospects, integrating both economic and operational metric forecasts.

There are several metrics that are key to comparing the financial position of companies against their competitors or the market overall. Two of these key comparable metrics, which are based on market value, include price-to-earnings ratio and price-to-book ratio.

Portfolio Management

Portfolio managers use metrics to identify investing allocations in a portfolio. All types of metrics are also used for analyzing and investing in securities that fit a specific portfolio strategy. For example, environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria are a set of standards for a company’s operations that socially conscious investors use to screen potential investments.

Project Management Metrics

In project management, metrics are essential in measuring project progression, output targets, and overall project success. Some of the areas where metric analysis is often needed include resources, cost, time, scope, quality, safety, and actions. Project managers have the responsibility to choose metrics that provide the best analysis and directional insight for a project. Metrics are followed in order to measure the overall progression, production, and performance.

Key Takeaways

  • Metrics are measures of quantitative assessment commonly used for comparing, and tracking performance or production.
  • Metrics can be used in a variety of scenarios.
  • Metrics are heavily relied on in the financial analysis of companies by both internal managers and external stakeholders.

[ad_2]

Source link

Daily Analysis 20230216

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close slightly higher, Nasdaq notches 3-day win streak as investors weigh retail sales and inflation data

Stocks ticked higher Wednesday as traders mulled what strong retail sales along with the latest U.S. inflation data mean for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hiking campaign.

Dow…….34129 +38.8 +0.11%
Nasdaq.12071 +110.5 +0.92%
*@S&P 500..4148 +11.5 +0.28%

FTSE…….7998 +43.98 +0.55%
Dax……..15506 +125.8 +0.82%
CAC……..7301 +87.1 +1.21%

Nikkei…..27502 -100.9 -0.37%
HSI………20812 -301.6 -1.43%
Shanghai..3280 -12.8 -0.39%

IDX…..6914.54 -27.32 -0.39%
LQ45….957.64 -2.67 -0.28%
IDX30…497.86 -1.46. -0.29%

IDXEnergy…2109.61 -2.13 -0.10%
IDX BscMat 1262.25 -6.02 -0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1158.36 -4.31 -0.37%
IDXNONCYC..759.46 +0.67 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare1617.13 +4.82 +0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…845.08 -1.58 -0.19%
IDX Techno5528.40 -72.11 -1.29%
IDX Transp1831.57 -23.15 -1.25%
IDX Infrast….859.10 -1.29 -0.15 %
IDX Finance1426.36 -9.74 -0.68%
IDX Banking1165.33 -10.61-0.90%
IDX Property….697 -6.40 -0.91%

Indo10Yr.6.7774+0.0081 +0.12%
ICBI..350.4552 -0.1658 -0.05%
US10Yr.3.8090 +0.0480 +1.28%
VIX……18.23 -0.68 -3.60%👍

USDIndx103.8220+0.5530+0.54%
Como Indx.270.38 -3.18 -1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..161.85 -2.49 -1.52%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15206.50 +39.50 +0.26%
Jisdor.15194.00 +26.00 +0.17%

Euro……1.0690 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM….24.96 -0.43 -1.69%
(3792)
EIDO……23.40 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……40.11 -0.34 -0.84%

Oil……..78.59 -0.47 -0.59%
Gold 1845.30 -20.10 -1.08%
Timah 26817 -711.00 -2.58%
(Closed 02/14)
Nickel.26026.50 -461.00 -1.74%
(Closed 02/15)
Silver…….21.63 +0.05 +0.25%
Copper..402.55 +1.50 +0.37%

Nturl Gas.2.466 -0.135 -5.19%‼️

Ammonia4406.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/14)

Coal price.219.90 +0.40 +0.18%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price196.00 +1.50 +0.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 195.40 +2.50 +1.30%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 197.10 +3.00. +1.55%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 +2.50 +1.83%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 142.00+10.25 +7.78%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price140.00 +9.25 +7.07%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price139.00 +8.25 +6.31%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)….3935 -20 -0.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..674.00 -5.75 -0.85%
SoybeanOil..61.44 +0.91 +1.50%
Wheat…….780.25 -16.50 -2.07%

Wood pulp…6050.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 02/15)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo, asia yang kemaren masih pada merah, semoga hari ini ikutan ijo lagi

Oil merah, gas merah, coal gantian ijo, semoga lanjut dorong ADRO naik tinggi selain issue buyback. Metal2 masih merah kecuali silver copper, kemaren MDKA udah mulai jalan, jangan dulu entry tapi, sabar tunggu firm reversal, CPO merah lagi

IHSG – stoch balik sell, macd sw,last day NFS, MFI down, BD acc, alligator up, ST up, minor correction udah kena fibo 38 terus mantul, harusnya test resistance 6961, candle terakhir low lower shadow, bullish candle tanda perlawanan market ga mau dibawa turun, semoga ijo ikut US

Tinggal Healthcare, Infrastructure melemah, financials belum keliatan jalan padahal bank bank mulai gerak, BRIS gila 15% kemaren

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA BRIS BRPT AGRO BSSR

Definition, Analyst Uses, Types and Examples

Written by admin. Posted in Technical Analysis

[ad_1]

What Is a Technical Indicator?

Technical indicators are heuristic or pattern-based signals produced by the price, volume, and/or open interest of a security or contract used by traders who follow technical analysis.

By analyzing historical data, technical analysts use indicators to predict future price movements. Examples of common technical indicators include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Money Flow Index (MFI), stochastics, moving average convergence divergence (MACD), and Bollinger Bands®.

Key Takeaways

  • Technical indicators are heuristic or mathematical calculations based on the price, volume, or open interest of a security or contract used by traders who follow technical analysis.
  • Technical analysts or chartists look for technical indicators in historical asset price data to judge entry and exit points for trades.
  • There are several technical indicators that fall broadly into two main categories: overlays and oscillators.

How Technical Indicators Work

Technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate investments and identify trading opportunities by analyzing statistical trends gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume. Unlike fundamental analysts, who attempt to evaluate a security’s intrinsic value based on financial or economic data, technical analysts focus on patterns of price movements, trading signals, and various other analytical charting tools to evaluate a security’s strength or weakness.

Technical analysis can be used on any security with historical trading data. This includes stocks, futurescommodities, fixed-income, currencies, and other securities. In this tutorial, we’ll usually analyze stocks in our examples, but keep in mind that these concepts can be applied to any type of security. In fact, technical analysis is far more prevalent in commodities and forex markets, where traders focus on short-term price movements.

Technical indicators, also known as “technicals,” are focused on historical trading data, such as price, volume, and open interest, rather than the fundamentals of a business, such as earnings, revenue, or profit margins. Technical indicators are commonly used by active traders, since they’re designed to analyze short-term price movements, but long-term investors may also use technical indicators to identify entry and exit points.

Types of Indicators

There are two basic types of technical indicators:

  1. Overlays: Technical indicators that use the same scale as prices are plotted over the top of the prices on a stock chart. Examples include moving averages and Bollinger Bands®.
  2. Oscillators: Technical indicators that oscillate between a local minimum and maximum are plotted above or below a price chart. Examples include the stochastic oscillator, MACD, or RSI.

Traders often use many different technical indicators when analyzing a security. With thousands of different options, traders must choose the indicators that work best for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. Traders may also combine technical indicators with more subjective forms of technical analysis, such as looking at chart patterns, to come up with trade ideas. Technical indicators can also be incorporated into automated trading systems, given their quantitative nature.

Example of Technical Indicators

The following chart shows some of the most common technical indicators, including moving averages, the RSI, and the MACD.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020

In this example, the 50- and 200-day moving averages are plotted over the top of the prices to show where the current price stands relative to its historical averages. The 50-day moving averages is higher than the 200-day moving average in this case, which suggests that the overall trend has been positive. The RSI above the chart shows the strength of the current trend—a neutral 49.07, in this case. The MACD below the chart shows how the two moving averages have converged or diverged—slightly bearish, in this case.

[ad_2]

Source link