Daily Analysis 20240206

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower, S&P 500 slips from record as bond yields surge

Stocks fell Monday as Treasury yields spiked higher on concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. Lackluster results from McDonald’s also dampened investor sentiment.

Dow……38380 -274.3 -0.71%
Nasdaq15598 -31.3 -0.20%
S&P 500.4943 -15.8 -0.32%

FTSE…..7613 -2.7 -0.04%
Dax……16904 -14.2 -0.08%
CAC……7590 -2.3 -0.03%

Nikkei..36354 +196.2 +0.54%
HSI……15510 -23.6 -0.15%
Shanghai.2702-27.97 -1.02%

IDX…..7198.62 -40.17 -0.55%
LQ45….975.49 -9.18 -0.93%
IDX30…495.28 -4.32 -0.87%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1338.64 -7.30 -0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…852.04 -5.17 -0.60%
IDX Techno4069.31 -25.47 -0.62%
IDX Transp 1563.64 +2.63 +0.17%
IDX Infrast 1519.13 -7.81 -0.51%
IDX Finance.1492.16 -2.88 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1332.38 -2.91 -0.22%
IDX Property.. 690 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6531 +0.0445 +0.67%
ICBI…376.6494 -1.0915 -0.29%
US2Yr.4.474 +0.102 +2.33%
US5Yr 4.122 +0.136 +3.41%‼️
US10Yr4.160 +0.138 +3.43%‼️
US30Yr.4.343+0.119 +2.82%
VIX…13.67 -0.18 -1.33%

USDIndx 104.4520 ‼️+0.530 +0.51%
Como Indx..269.19 +0.45 +0.17%
BCOMIN……134.80 -1.81 -1.33%

IndoCDS..74.69 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15708.00‼️ +48.00 +0.31%
Jisdor.15705.00‼️ +17.00 +0.11%

Euro….1.0743 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM…25.14 -0.15 -0.61%
(3948)
EIDO……21.89 -0.17 -0.77%
EEM……38.70 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil…….72.78 +0.50 +0.69%
Gold..2041.40 -12.30 -0.60%
Timah..25550.00 – -%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..15948.00 -294.50 -1.81%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.42 -0.38 -1.67%
Copper.377.40 -4.75 -1.24%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 – -%
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.062 -0.029 -1.39%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 119.00 -0.90 -0.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.65 +3.75 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 +4.70 +3.95%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.124.00 +4.70 +3.94%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.15 -0.25 -0.25%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.20 -0.30 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.80 -0.25 -0.27%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.90 -0.30 -0.33%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3799 +19 +0.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 45.33 +0.60 +1.34%
Wheat….590.25 -9.50 -1.58%

Wood pulp..5104.00 +6.00 +0.12%
(Closed 05/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nyusul merah semua after asia market kemaren… Udah curiga begitu dari bond rate yang naik tinggi. Ini masih naik lagi, USD index juga naik, lanjut merah lagi sepertinya IHSG hari ini.

Metal2 lanjut merah semua, ANTM MDKA INCO TINS bubar dulu ini… Oil ijo, gas merah, coal spot merah dikit, future newcastle ijo tebel. Semoga ADRO lanjut. CPO naik dikit, AALI LSIP belum jelas kemana

IHSG – stoch up, macd ga jadi rev up, malah lanjut down, MFI sw, w% sw, masih FNB tapi agak turun, keliatannya bener lanjut wave C. Hati hati prefer keep cash

Tinggal heakthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA KLBF ADHI AGRO DSNG ERAA GTRA INDY PNLF SCMA INDS CINT. Big Accum KLBF AGRO SCMA

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR HEAL PTRO AMFG CINT, Big Accum UNVR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PTPP

Daily Analysis 20240205

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 05th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes at a record, rises for a fourth-straight week on strong tech earnings

The S&P 500
notched a fresh record high on Friday as quarterly results from technology companies including Facebook-parent Meta topped expectations and the January jobs report came in much better than expected.

Dow……38654 +134.6 +0.35%
Nasdaq15629 +267.3 +1.74%
S&P 500.4959 +52.4 +1.07%

FTSE…..7616 -6.6 -0.09%
Dax……16918 +59.2 +0.35%
CAC……7592 +3.5 +0.05%

Nikkei..36158 +146.6 +0.41%
HSI……15533 -32.7 -0.21%
Shanghai.2730 -40.6 -1.46%

IDX…..7238.79 +37.09 +0.52%
LQ45….984.67 +7.40 +0.76%
IDX30…499.60 +3.80 +0.77%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1345.94 +9.82 +0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…857.21 -0.25 -0.03%
IDX Techno4094.79. -13.25 -0.32%
IDX Transp 1561.00 -1.25 -0.32%
IDX Infrast 1526.94 +2.59 +0.17%
IDX Finance.1495.04+0.88 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1335.30+10.31+0.78%
IDX Property.. 690 -1.50 -0.22%

Indo10Yr.6.6086👍 -0.0119 -0.18%
ICBI…377.6006👍 +0.3813 +0.10%
US2Yr.4.372 +0.167 +3.97%‼️
US5Yr 3.986 +0.173 +4.54%‼️
US10Yr4.024 +0.150 +3.88%‼️
US30Yr.4.224+0.106 +2.57%‼️
VIX…13.85 -0.03 -0.22%

USDIndx 103.9220 ❗️+0.852 +0.83%
Como Indx..267.74 -1.97 -0.73%
BCOMIN……136.61 -0.89 -0.65%

IndoCDS..74.69 -2.02 -2.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15660.00 -104.50👍 -0.66%
Jisdor.15688.00 -87.00 -0.55%

Euro….1.0788 -0.0085 -0.78%

TLKM…25.29 -0.53 -2.05%
(3967)
EIDO……22.06 +0.03 +0.14%
EEM……38.65 -0.11 -0.28%

Oil…….72.28 -1.54 -2.09%
Gold..2053.70 -17.40 -0.84%
Timah..25550.00 -253.00 +0.98%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..16243.00 +1.00 +0.01%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.80 -0.44 -1.89%
Copper.382.15 -3.20 -0.83%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 -4.04 -3.05%‼️
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.092 +0.045 +2.20%
Ammonia China.3150.00 -86.67 -2.68%‼️
(Domestic Price)(02/02/02)

Coal price 119.90 +0.75 +0.65%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.90 +2.90 +2.48%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.90 +3.00 +2.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.30 +2.75 +2.36%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.40 +0.60 +0.61%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.50 +2.30 +2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.05 +0.05 +0.05%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.20 +0.70 +0.77%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3780 -15 -0.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 -4.50 -1.01%
SoybeanOil 44.73 -0.87 -1.91%
Wheat….589.75 -1.75 -0.29%

Wood pulp..5098.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, SP500 set new record high, europe mostly ijo, asia varied. US bond rates naik tinggi semua, USD index juga, jelek buat saham ini in general

Gold silver copper iron ore merah, tin nickel ijo, oil merah, gas coal ijo tebel, CPO merah. MDKA ANTM belum jadi, ELSA AKRA MEDC juga jadi ga asik, AALI LSIP belum aja, ADRO yang firm, coal yang lain belum

IHSG – stoch buy lagi, macdrev up, MFI w% sw, BD flat FNB, ikut efek US bond rates turun dulu ini mah…

Tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Daily Analysis 20240202

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 350 points higher, Nasdaq jumps 1% in rebound from Fed Day sell-off

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose Thursday, recovering from a brutal sell-off after the Federal Reserve held steady on rates but signaled that a March cut is unlikely

Dow……38520 +369.5 +0.97%
Nasdaq15362 +197.6 +1.30%
S&P 500.4906 +60.5 +1.25%

FTSE…..7622 -8.4 -0.11%
Dax……16859 -44.7 -0.26%
CAC……7589 -68.0 -0.89%

Nikkei..36011 -275.3 -0.76%
HSI……15566 +81.1 +0.52%
Shanghai.2771 -17.8 -0.64%

IDX…..7201.70 -6.24 -0.09%
LQ45….977.27 +3.05 +0.31%
IDX30…495.80 +1.09 +0.22%

IDXEnergy..2084.99 -21.36 -1.01%
IDX BscMat.1280.34 -3.72 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1087.06 -1.16 -0.11%
IDXNONCYC.696.28 -2.69 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare1336.12 +19.55+1.48%
IDXCYCLIC…857.46 +0.12 +0.01%
IDX Techno4108.04. -20.01 -0.48%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1526.25 -24.79 -1.56%
IDX Finance.1494.17 -19.73 -1.30%
IDX Banking.1324.99 -1.31 -0.10%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6205👍 -0.0215 -0.32%
ICBI…377.2193👍 +0.6214 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.205 -0.004 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.813 -0.026 -0.68%
US10Yr3.874 -0.037 -0.95%
US30Yr.4.118-0.055 -1.32%
VIX…13.88 -0.47 -3.28%‼️

USDIndx 103.0700❗️ -0.209 -0.20%
Como Indx..269.71 -2.70 -0.99%
BCOMIN……137.50 -1.76 -1.27%

IndoCDS..74.74 -1.96 -2.56%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/01)

IDR…..15764.50‼️ -18.00 -0.11%
Jisdor.15775.00 ‼️-28.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0873 +0.0059 +0.55%

TLKM…25.82 +0.66 +2.62%
(4073)
EIDO……22.03 +0.17 +0.78%
EEM……38.76 +0.37 +0.96%

Oil…….73.82 -2.03 -2.68%
Gold..2071.10 +3.70 +0.18%
Timah..26233.00 +228.00 +0.88%
(Closed 31/01)
Nickel..16242.00 -25.00 -0.15%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.24 +0.07 +0.29%
Copper.385.35 -5.25 -1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 135.13 -0.48 -0.35%
(31/01)
Nturl Gas..2.047 -0.088 -4.12%‼️
Ammonia China.3236.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(31/01/02)

Coal price 116.00 -0.50 -0.43%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.00 -1.10 -0.93%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.90 -1.80 -1.53%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.116.55 -1.00 -0.85%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .97.80 -1.80 -1.81%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.20 -2.70 -2.78%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.00: -0.65 -0.69%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.50 -1.20 -1.31%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3795 +3 +0.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.25 -1.00 -0.22%
SoybeanOil 45.60 -0.42 -0.91%
Wheat….602.50 +6.25 +1.05%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +6 +0.12%
(Closed 01/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah… US ijo, europe merah, asia varied, bond rates turun semua, USD index turun, harusnya ijo IHSG hari ini…

Metal2 varied, gold tin, silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah. Goldprice MACD buy tapi MDKA dibanting, curiga ada bocoran LK masih merah. Oil gas coal merah, CPO ijo tipis, market belum jelas mau kemana, tapi banyak technical buy signal. Boleh belanja asal tertib cutloss

IHSG – technical masih jelek, stoch down macd down MFI w% sw, BD flat, bagusnya FNB terus minggu ini. Idealnya sih dapet flat style ABC correction, jadi ga dibanting sampe dibawah 6900, kita liat aja gimana jalannya market

Tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials kebanting MDKA kayanya, tapi semoga BRPT INKP masih tetep manggung sebagai saham2 contrarian sih

Stochastic Buy Signal: SRTG UNTR AUTO BMTR DOID TINS ISSP UNIC KKGI. Big Acc SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO TBIG SGRO

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big acc: SMGR

Daily Analysis 20240201

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 01st, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower, Nasdaq drops 2% after Fed indicates March rate cut unlikely

Stocks fell on Wednesday after Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank likely wouldn’t be ready to cut rates in March.

Dow……38150 -317.01 -0.82%
Nasdaq15164 -345.9 -2.23%
S&P 500.4846 -79.3 -1.61%

FTSE…..7631 -35.7 -0.47%
Dax……16904 -68.6 -0.40%
CAC……7657 -20.7 -0.27%

Nikkei..36286 +19.3 +0.98%
HSI……15485 -218.4 -1.39%
Shanghai.2789 -41.98 -1.48%

IDX…..7207.94 +15.73 +0.22%
LQ45….974.22 +2.52 +0.26%
IDX30…494.71 +0.92 +0.19%

IDXEnergy..2106.35 +8.41 +0.40%
IDX BscMat.1284.06 -0.50 -0.04%
IDX Indstrl…1088.22 +0.41 +0.04%
IDXNONCYC.698.96 +5.21 +0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1316.57 -1.64. -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…857.34 -1.73 -0.20%
IDX Techno4128.05. +24.13+0.59%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1523.00 +7.96 +0.53%
IDX Finance.1513.90 +16.67+1.11%
IDX Banking.1326.30 +8.84 +0.67%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6420👍 -0.0135 -0.20%
ICBI…376.5979👍 +0.5122 +0.14%
US2Yr.4.209 -0.130 -2.99%👍
US5Yr 3.839 -0.135 -3.40%👍
US10Yr3.911 -0.125 -3.10%👍
US30Yr.4.173-0.078 -1.83%
VIX…14.35 +1.04 +7.81%‼️

USDIndx 103.2740❗️ -0.123 -0.12%
Como Indx.. – – -%
BCOMIN……139.27 -0.75 -0.54%

IndoCDS..76.70 -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/01)

IDR…..15782.50‼️ +2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15803.00 ‼️+7.00 +0.04%

Euro….1.0814 -0.0030 -0.28%

TLKM…25.16 -0.17 -0.67%
(3976)
EIDO……21.86 +0.11 +0.51%
EEM……38.39 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil…….75.85 -1.97 -2.53%
Gold..2067.40 +12.90 +0.63%
Timah..26006.00 -324.00 -1.22%
(Closed 30/01)
Nickel..16513.50 -246.00 -1.49%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.17 -0.11 -0.47%
Copper.390.60 -0.55 -0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 135.61 +0.06 +0.04%
(30/01)
Nturl Gas..2.134 +0.043 +2.06%
Ammonia China.3236.67 -23.33 -0.72%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 116.50 -3.05 -2.55%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.10 -2.40 -1.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 117.70 -2.70 -2.24%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.117.55 -2.25 -1.88%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .99.60 +3.45 +3.59%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.90 +3.25 +3.47%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +2.55 +2.80%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.70 +0.95 +1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3792 -47 -1.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……448.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 46.02 +0.02 +0.04%
Wheat….595.50 -10.25 -1.69%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +16 +0.32%
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, Europe merah, Asa china merah, jepang indo ijo. Bond rates turun jauh, USD index turun, bagus ini buat saham, tapi koq US merah ya

metal2 pada turun kecuali gold, aneh lagi, oil merah, gas ijo, coal newcastle merah, rotterdam ijo, CPO lanjut merah. AALI LSIP keluar dari LQ45 K100, wah rusak ini…

IHSG – lanjut NFB, stoch rev up, macd rev up, MFI sw, w%up,BD sw, ga tahu berapa panjang ini wave B mau jalan, minimum nya udah done sih sama upper shadow candle kemaren

Basic Materials, Healthcare, Infrastructure… Consumer Non-Cyclicals slown down

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA BBRI BMRI BRIS GOTO MEDC PGAS AGRO ENRG MNCN MYOR PTPP PWON TKIM. Big acc BBRI BRIS GOTO PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI ICBP MTEL PGAS, big accum semua

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ICBP PGAS MIKA