27 Apr 2023

Daily Analysis 20230427

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 close lower Wednesday as First Republic woes eclipse Big Tech earnings

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
lost more than 200 points as investors’ worries over First Republic overshadowed their excitement around Big Tech earnings.

Dow……33302 -228.96 -0.68%
Nasdaq11854 +55.2 +0.47%
S&P 500.4055 -15.6 -0.38%

FTSE…..7853 -38.5 -0.49%
Dax……15796 -76.4 -0.48%
CAC……7467 -64.95 -0.86%

Nikkei…..28416 -203.6 -0.71%
HSI………19757 +139.4 +0.71%
Shanghai.3264 -0.8 -0.02%

IDX…..6910.15 +88.34 +1.29%
LQ45….963.21 +14.87 +1.57%
IDX30…502.17 +8.08 +1.64%

IDXEnergy…2097.25 +30.69 +1.49%
IDX BscMat 1163.77 +5.61 +0.48%
IDX Indstrl…1227.68 +20.28 +1.68%
IDXNONCYC.715.67 +8.65 +1.22%
IDX Hlthcare1531.12+15.21 +1.00%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.00 +0.69 +0.09%
IDX Techno..4831.13 -9.64 -0.20%
IDX Transp..1777.92 +46.15 +2.66%
IDX Infrast…..818.64 +10.28 +1.27%
IDX Finance.1390.61 +0.81 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1158.39 +6.52. +0.57%
IDX Property…692 +8.00 +1.18%

Indo10Yr.6.7162 -0.0427 -0.63%👍
ICBI….356.6914 +1.1217 +0.32%👍
US2Yr.3.9480 +0.0008 +0.02%
US5Yr 3.4941 +0.0467 +1.35%
US10Yr3.4450+0.0450 +1.32%
US30Yr.3.7050+0.0490 +1.34%
VIX…… 18.84 +0.08 +0.43%

USDIndx101.4670 -0.3960 -0.39%
Como Indx.264.94 -3.84 -1.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.19 +0.52 +0.35%

IndoCDS..95.070 +0.010 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/04)

IDR…..14836.00 -103.00 -0.69%👍
Jisdor.14882.00 +27.00 +0.18%

Euro……1.1040 +0.0062 +0.56%

TLKM..29.16 +0.75 +2.64%
(4340)
EIDO…24.26 +0.54 +2.28%
EEM……38.41 +0.22 +0.58%

Oil……74.31 -2.93 -3.79%‼
Gold.1999.90 -8.00 -0.40%
Timah..25584.00 -1062.00 -3.99%‼
(Closed 25/04)
Nickel..23658.50 +398.00 +1.71%
(Closed 26/04)
Silver……25.18 -0.10 -0.40%
Copper…385.70 -1.65 -0.43%

Nturl Gas.2.311 -0.0075 -3.14%‼

Ammonia 3050.00‼ unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(25/04)

Coal price.190.15 +1.10 +0.58%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 +3.15 +1.69%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +1.25 +0.65%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.10 +0.50 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.140.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.134.90 -3.10 -2.25%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.00 -2.75 -2.05%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.90 -2.50 -1.88%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3571 -67 -1.84%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..601.00 -6.75 -1.11%
SoybeanOil52.50 +0.36 +0.69%
Wheat…..642.00 -11.00 -1.68%

Wood pulp..4110.00‼ -50.00 -1.20%
(Closed 26/04)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, Europe merah, Asia varied, IHSG sama Hangseng jalan. Hari ini koreksi sehat dulu keliatannya

oil gas merah, coal ijo, metal2 merah semua kecuali nikel, pas buat INCO. CPO masih merah lagi

IHSG – kemaren opening jump, tutup gap, closing lebih tinggi, candle long lower shadow, harusnya lanjut sih. Stoch up, MACDup, MFI flat, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, breakout resistance fibo 38, dikit lagi double bottom nya firm. Semoga lanjut rally nya

Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, kita liat yang sambil big accum: INCO JPFA APIC SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN PTBA AVIA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: BTPS

Supertrend Buy Signal: INDF ASSA HEAL PTPP SMDR

INCO – stoch buy macd up MFI down w% sw, BD FF acc, udah bikin higher low, posisi di modus volume profile, Elliot wave besarnya masih perkiraan wave 3, walau koreksi jauh tapi ga break bottom wave 2, bisa buy ini

Belum ada spike baru

Harga masih aman

JPFA – Abis drop jauh, sabar tunggu higher low

APIC – wah, saham hajatan, ga berani ah volatile banget gini ngejarnya

Udah tinggal ditunggu guyurannya ini sih

SMDR – stoch buy, macd up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, abis gorengan, koreksi udah sampe fibo 61, ok buat mantul, bikin double bottom, breakout resistance, menarik, kita check spike

Udah ada spike, tapi belum terlalu significant

harga sih aman, tinggal idealnya tunggu spike yang significant kita baru ikut entry

CPIN – sabar tunggu higher low

PTBA – stoch almost buy, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, FF acc BD dist, mencurigakan… itungan proyeksi Elliot wave udah beres wave 5, dan ketemu reg bear div, jangan dulu deh… Buat new entry ga berani

LSIP – masuk saham value investing, stoch buy MACD buy MFI down w% sw, BD FF ngebalik buy, double bottom setelah bikin higher low, ok sih buat BOW setengah candle kemaren, soale pas CPO price juga turun.

Belum ada spike baru

Harga sih aman banget… BOW setengah botol dulu

BTPS – stoch rev down, MACD still up, 833 sell MFI sw w% sw, BD FF dist, udah bikin higher low sih, tapi skip dulu, belum waktunya

INDF – stoch buy macd up,MFI flat, w%uptrend, BD dist, FF acc, baru breakout resistance / neckline CNH, ketemu reg bear RSI, bisa BOW sih ini, stoploss kalo breakdown neckline lagi

Belum ah, ada reg bear ga ada spike bd dist… skip dulu

ASSA – stoch sell macd up 833buy.BD acc FF acc tipis, MFI down, w% uptrend, telat sih entry nya harusnya di MACD kemaren, walau sekarang ikut 833 bisa jadi ok continuation