Daily Analysis 20240507

May 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 170 points to post fourth straight winning day, propelled by rate cut hopes

Stocks advanced Monday, with Wall Street building on the previous session’s strong gains as traders lifted Federal Reserve rate cut expectations

Dow……38852 +176.6 +0.46%
Nasdaq16349 +192.9 +1.19%
S&P 500.5181 +52.95 +1.03%

FTSE…..8214 closed +0%
Dax……18175 +173.6 +0.96%
CAC……7997 +39.1 +0.49%

Nikkei..38236 closed +0%
HSI…..18578 +102.4 +0.55%
Shanghai.3141 +35.9 +1.16%

IDX….7135.89 +1.17 +0.02%
LQ45..906.29 +2.96 +0.33%
IDX30..458.96 +1.04 +0.23%

IDXEnergy..2221.85 +22.79 +1.04%
IDX BscMat1332.92 +16.84 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1042.88 -18.66 -1.76%
IDXNONCYC.696.32 +4.64 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare1414.55 -0.48 -0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…756.03 +2.85 +0.38%
IDXTechno3414.18 +50.08 +1.49%
IDX Transp 1315.32 +16.59 +1.28%
IDX Infrast 1616.40 -1.52 -0.09%
IDX Finance1399.49 +4.35 +0.31%
IDX Banking.1213.81+9.32 +0.77%
IDX Property.. 633 +15.8 +2.56%

Indo10Yr.6.9824👍 -0.0444 -0.63%
ICBI…377.7043👍 +1.0191 +0.27%
US2Yr.4.833 +0.027 +0.56%
US5Yr 4.487 +0.005 +0.11%
US10Yr4.485👍 -0.024 -0.53%
US30Yr.4.638👍 -0.023 -0.49%
VIX..13.49 unch +0

USDIndx 105.0870❗️+0.06 +0.05%
Como Indx..287.61 +1.10 +0.38%
BCOMIN……158.05 +0.72 +0.46%

IndoCDS..75.25👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..16025.50 -57.50👍 -0.36%
Jisdor.16025.00 -69.00👍 -0.42%

Euro….1.0770 +0.0009 +0.08%

TLKM…19.42 -0.05 -0.21%
( 3112)
EIDO….20.99 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..42.51 +0.04 +0.09%

Oil…….78.48 +0.37 +0.47%
Gold..2331.30 +22.60 +0.96%
Timah..31983.00 closed +0%
(Closed 06/05)
Nickel..19246.50 closed +0%
(Closed 06/05)
Silver…….27.61 +0.92 +3.46‼️
Copper…461.50 +5.80 +1.27%

Iron Ore 62% 118.03 – -%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas..2.204 +0.054 +2.51%
Ammonia China.2983.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(03/05)

Coal price 145.30 +0.15 +0.10%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.95 +0.55 +0.38%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.10 +0.50 +0.34%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.20 +0.35 +0.24%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..109.35 +2.20 +2.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.45 +2.45 +2.25%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.95 +3.30 +3.01%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.95 +3.40 +3.10%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3863 +21 +0.55%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….469.00 +8.75 +1.90%
SoybeanOil 43.84 +0.76 +1.76%
Wheat..648.75 +26.25 +4.22%‼️

Wood pulp..5860 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo tipis, asia ijo juga, bond yield pendek naik, panjang turun, masih wajar, harusnya masih ijo IHSG hari ini.

USD index naik dikit, gold silver copper naik, bisa jadi waktunya untuk re-entry ANTM, kita liat signalnya. oil gas coal naik, oil kita liat chart nya soalnya kemaren drop dalem, kalo coal keliatannya ok akan lanjut. Masih hold ADRO dkk. CPO lanjut ijo, LSIP kalo ga salah udah gerak, kita check later

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI mulai up, w% up, tapi BD masih flat,masih FNS, masih ketahan belum rally lagi. Tapi keliatannya firm udah beres ABC correction nya, siap rally lagi

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Technology,Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI PGEO PTBA ABMM DOID, PGEO big accum

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ARTO BRIS CPIN AGRO ASSA SMIL TKIM. Big accum ADRO BRIS CPIN ASSA TKIM

PGEO – waks kalo kaya gini gerakannya sih ga berani ngejar lah…

ADRO – stoch up, macd akhirnya buy, MFI masih sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, masih HOLD ADRO, yang belum punya untuk masuk walau agak telat tapi asal bow masih bisa harusnya baru close diatas resistance, biasanya akan testing dulu level itu sebelum lanjut naik

Coal price trend nya naik…

Spike done

Udah diatas harga broker, harus hati hati… tapi dari 3 biggest holder 2 accum sih. semoga diangkat tinggi sebelum pada profit taking

BRIS – kecuali memang flat style ABC correction, harusnya belum beres koreksi nya, dibanding dengan elliot wave sebelumnya. Memang suka hype banget sih BRIS, kalo ga firm beres ABC correction nya kaya gini dan bank belum tentu jalan lagi, jadi takut kalo mau ambil bank syariah yang loncat2 gini

Relatively mending nunggu BTPS jalan

CPIN – dari PER udah kemahalan sih… Kalo trading doang masih ok tapi. Stoch buy, macd buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD acc, FF lanjut dist, abis drop ketemu reg bull mantul, udah bkin higher low, hovering di fibo 23, harsnya sih ke fibo 38 @5675, tapi kemaren pening gap, kalo hari ini tutup gap berani entry at gap closing plus 1 tick

Biggest holder YU udah accum lagi, bisa entry kalo dari sisi ini

ASSA – stoch up, macdbuy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD acc FF acc tipis, dari bottom mantul udah bikin higer low, harusnya bisa entry ini

Spike cakep

average aman, holder kalo ga flat pada akum, ok sih… BUY ASSA half candle kemaren plus 1 tick

TKIM – stoch down, macd revbuy, BD FF acc, MFI sw, w% uptrend, LR mentok atas, ga kerasa aman buat entry sekarang

Spike done

biggest holder accum sih, ini baru nembus ke atas aerage broker setelah journey nya jauh dari bawah. Biasanya mah malah jadi level jual…

Harga pulp and paper belum mantul, sabar dulu deh, WNS