Daily Analysis 20240305

March 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Stock rally stalls as week begins, Nasdaq falls from record despite Nvidia gain

Stocks retreated Monday, pushing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite off all-time highs, despite a rallying group of technology stocks tied to the artificial intelligence boom.

Dow……39890 -97.6 -0.25%
Nasdaq16208 -67.4 -0.41%
S&P 500.5131 -6.1 -0.12%

FTSE…..7640 -42.2 -0.55%
Dax……17716 -18.9 -0.11%
CAC……7956 +22.2 +0.28%

Nikkei..40109 +198.4 +0.50%
HSI…….16596 +6.5 +0.04%
Shanghai.3039 +12.3 +0.41%

IDX…..7276.75 -35.16 -0.48%
LQ45….981.95 -5.95 -0.60%
IDX30…498.38 -2.70 -0.54%

IDXEnergy..2115.02 +5.05 +0.24%
IDX BscMat.1252.18 -4.86 -0.39%
IDX Indstrl…1105.97 +2.19 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.706.78 -3.42 -0.48%
IDX Hlthcare1315.92 -2.72 -0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…847.16 -0.58 -0.07%
IDX Techno3581.25 -97.97 -2.66%
IDX Transp 1555.32 -9.00 -0.58%’
IDX Infrast 1598.74 -11.52 -0.72%
IDX Finance.1506.52 -10.11 -0.67%
IDX Banking.1364.02 -9.50 -0.69%
IDX Property.. 686 -4.1 -0.60%

Indo10Yr.6.6806+0.0052 +0.08%
ICBI…378.2586 -0.0048 -0.00%
US2Yr.4.612 +0.079 +1.74%
US5Yr 4.209 +0.047 +1.13%
US10Yr4.220 +0.034 +0.81%
US30Yr.4.352+0.021 +0.48%
VIX………13.49 +0.38 +2.90%

USDIndx 103.8320 -0.029 -0.03%
Como Indx..277.29 +0.18 +0.06%
BCOMIN…..138.30 +0.45 +0.33%

IndoCDS..70.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/03)

IDR…..15742.00‼️+38.00 +0.24%
Jisdor.15723.00‼️+27.00 +0.17%

Euro….1.0857 +0.0020 +0.18%

TLKM…25.04 -0.25 -0.97%
(4020)
EIDO……22.18 -0.30 -1.33%
EEM……40.39 -0.11 -0.26%

Oil…….78.86 -1.11 -1.39%
Gold..2122.20‼️ +26.30 +1.25%
Timah..26489.00 – -%
(Closed 01/03)
Nickel..17929.50 +161.00 +0.91%
(Closed 04/03)
Silver……24.13 +0.77 +3.29%
Copper.385.80 -0.55 -0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 113.89 -10.97 -8.79%‼️
(01/03)
Nturl Gas..1.930 +0.094 +5.11%
Ammonia China.2976.67 +16.67 +0.56%
(Domestic Price)(01/03/24)

Coal price.136.00 +4.00 +3.03%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 140.10 +4.10 +3.01%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.35 +2.47%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.85 +3.35 +2.47%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..111.10 +4.15 +3.88%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.60 +4.35 +4.09%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.15 +4.05 +3.89%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.75 +4.05 +3.94%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3940 -21.00 -0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……430.00 +5.25 +1.24%
SoybeanOil 45.17 +0.01 +0.02%
Wheat…564.00 +6.25 +1.12%

Wood pulp..5310.00 +20 +0.38%
(Closed 02/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe mostly merah, US bond rate up, USD index slightly down, merah dulu IHSG hari ini harusnya

Gold Silver Nickel up, copper iron ore down, oil down gas up coal jump, CPO down. Lanjut ini saham2 coal harusnya

IHSG – firm mau terjun wave C… Yang masih ijo ayo di TP, yang signal ngebalik force sellkalo perlu cutloss, kita prepare belanja lagi begitu mau rebound

Yang paling leading mostly yang akan turun duluan juga, so, masuknya jangan di infastructure. Energy, Basic Materials sama Transportation lah kalo new entry, cari saham contrarian

Stochastic Buy Signal: MEDC SSIA INCI IGAR, big accum MEDC

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA SSMS

MEDC – Pas dibawah buy signal bareng sama ELSA, dan karena ELSA fundamentally lebih ok jadi milih ELSA, ternyata MEDC Jalan dan ELSA tengelam… Tapi sekarang MEDC udah naik tinggi, sudah 27% di swing terakhir, udah sampe target retracement pattern, entry sekarang kurang bijak… tunggu dulu koreksi dan buy signal berikutnya deh

ESSA – menarik ini, stoch buy macd buy, MFI w%up, BD dist FF acc, triple bottom, check spike dulu

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder CC sw, dist tipis, bawahnya ZP KI akum, bisa sih ini harusnya, BOW ESSA, kalo break support triple bottom buang