Daily Analysis 20240119

January 19th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close near record highs
Big Tech led a stock market rally on Tuesday as Apple (AAPL) had its best day since May 2023.

Dow……37469 +201.9 +0.54%
Nasdaq15056 +200.03+1.35%
S&P 500.4780 +41.7 +0.88%

FTSE…..7459 +12.8. +0.17%
Dax……16567 +135.7 +0.83%
CAC……7401 +82.7 +1.13%

Nikkei..35466 -11.6 -0.03%
HSI…….15392 +114.9 +0.75%
Shanghai.2845 +12.2 +0.43%

IDX…..7252.97 +52.33 +0.73%
LQ45….972.96 +4.02 +0.41%
IDX30…498.80 -1.13 -0.23%

IDXEnergy..2180.61 +1.26 +0.06%
IDX BscMat.1283.51 +34.75+2.78%
IDX Indstrl…1113.24 -1.14 -0.10%
IDXNONCYC.703.37 -2.26 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1320.50+20.33 +1.56%
IDXCYCLIC…862.35 +2.35 +0.27%
IDX Techno4264.01 -4.02 -0.09%
IDX Transp 1695.63 -13.44 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1542.32 +14.76 +0.97%
IDX Finance.1504.08+0.28 -0.55%
IDX Banking.1324.28 -1.84 -0.14%
IDX Property.. 705 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6837 -0.0157 -0.23%
ICBI…374.9675 +0.2794 +0.07%
US2Yr.4.354 -0.007 -0.16%
US5Yr 4.045 -0.061 -1.51%
US10Yr4.147 +0.041 +1.00%
US30Yr.4.365 +0.052 +1.21%
VIX….14.13 -0.66 -4.46%

USDIndx 103.5360❗️ +0.086 +0.08%
Como Indx..265.46 +2.42 +0.92%
BCOMIN……134.38 +0.09 +0.06%

IndoCDS..78.18 +2.49 +3.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/01)

IDR…..15623.50 -19.50 -0.12%
Jisdor.15630.00 -9.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0875 -0.0002 -0.02%

TLKM…25.50 -0.09 -0.39%
(3986)
EIDO……22.20 +0.07 +0.29%
EEM……37.99 +0.31 +0.82%

Oil……..74.08 +1.52 +2.09%
Gold..2021.60 +15.10 +0.75%
Timah..25175.00 +58.00 +0.23%
(Closed 17/01)
Nickel..16162.00 +64.5 +0.40%
(Closed 18/01)
Silver……22.81 +0.14 +0.61%
Copper.374.50 +1.20 +0.32%

Iron Ore 62% 135.79 -0.96 -0.70%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas..2.714 -0.153 -5.34%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.0 – -%
(Domestic Price)(17/02)

Coal price.128.90 -0.60 -0.46%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.75 -0.45 -0.36%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.122.70 -1.00 -0.80%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 122.60 -0.50 -0.41%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.05 -0.05 -0.50%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .99.40 -1.30 -1.29%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price…95.75 -1.50 -1.54%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -1.50 -1.57%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3901 +83 +2.17%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……444.00 +1.75 +0.40%
SoybeanOil 47.62 -0.08 -0.17%
Wheat…585.50 +13.25 +0.51%

Wood pulp..5066.00+4.00 +0.08%
(Closed 17/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe rebound, asia rebound duluan, semoga lanjut tudei,

US bond rate yang pendek turun, yang panjang naik, fine aja kalo yang panjang tinggi mah, harusnya ga terlalu ngaruh dibanding yang pendek. USD index naik lagi, tapi ga banyak, metal2 naik kecuali iron ore, MDKA udah jalan duluan, baru buy signal kemaren. Oil up, gas drop, coal down, CPO up rada tinggi, semoga AALI LSIP finally jalan

IHSG – stoch revup, macd still down, 33 buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS walau mengecil, kalo dari level harga, ada 2 target titik koreksi, ke suppport 7046 dan closing dap dibawah 6900, kayanya sih akan dibawa ke support, kalo dibanting tutup gap bisa goyang Indonesia

Yang confirmed tinggal Healthcare, Infrastructure sama Basic Materials mengintai gantian jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA INTP MDKA TPIA BMTR HMSP WIFI, big accum MDKA WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: TINS WIFI

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ICBP ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF ELSA. INDF spike, ELSA Big accum

INTP – stoch buy, macd sw, MFI down, w% down, BD FF dist, posisi di support, kalo tembus buang

MDKA – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI up, w% up,BD big acc, FF masih dist, swing up udah bikin second higher low, tadi malem emas naik, bsia BOW sih, idealnya di tengah candle kemaren. Kia check spike dan bandar to be sure

Ada spike di desember sebelum naik, abis itu belum ada lagi

Biggest holder BK lagi jualan, RF lagi aggresif accum, KL akum juga

Pendek nya RF sama CC akum, pantesan mansek suggest buy ke cliennya, mereka accum sendiri

Idealnya dapet dibawah harga RF 2612…

TPIA – saham ARA, ga berani ngejar beginian…

BMTR – ga sekarang, nanti april kayanya kita liat lagi

WIFI – downtrend panjang, belum firm reversal, belum bikin higher low, ga ada spike, transaksi sepi, belum dulu deh

TINS – abis drop panjang udah bikin higher low, sideways rada lama, keliatan ada spike, kita check… Stoch buy MACD rev buy, MFI up, w%up, BD FF masih dist, mantul dari vol profile modus, harusnya bisa spec buy

SPike nya ok

HOlder terbesar YP akum, harga aman, bisa buy TINS

ICBP – stoch rev buy, macd stillup, MFI up, w% uptrend, harusnya sih lagi wave 5, BD big acc, sayangnya masih FNS, terlihat ada spike, breakout minor resistance, semoga tembus resistance berikutnya hari ini.

Spike target done sih

Biggest holder RX dan lagi dist, avg nya udah dibawah running price,buat new entry agak kurang baik, yang punya bisa hold, saya hold nya INDF

ISAT – apa iya mau lanjut elliot wave? ABC correction nya mini, kirain sekarang wave B doang lanjut koreksi C. Stoch up rev, macd up, 833 sell, MFI up w% down, BD FF accum, technical sih ok, lagi kejedot resistance sih, supertrend up, alligator up, technically ok buat buy, tapi sektornya belum jalan

Ada spike pas harga turun, harus dianggap spike jual,di check di bandarmology stockbit juga pas spike bandar dist. mencurigakan

Biggest holder TP KZ diem, RX accum dikit. Harga udah diatas avg bandar, saya sih skip…

INDF – masih sideways, masih hold, awas breakdown support buang

ELSA – saham value investing, stoch up, macd up, MFI sw w% sw, 833 down, BD FF acc, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya ke 426 minimal, lagi di level vol profile modus, hold