Daily Analysis 20230918

Sept 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 300 points Friday, S&P 500 and Nasdaq suffer second straight week of losses

Stocks fell Friday as investors wrapped up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting.

Dow……34618 -288.9 -0.83%
Nasdaq13708 -217.7 -1.56%
S&P 500.4450 -54.8 -1.22%

FTSE…..7711 +38.3 +0.50%
Dax……15894 +88.2 +0.56%
CAC……7379 +70.2 +0.96%

Nikkei…33533 +364.99 +1.10%
HSI…….18183 +134.97 +0.75%
Shanghai.3118 -8.8 -0.28%

IDX…..6982.79 +23.46 +0.34%
LQ45….961.20 +5.59 +0.59%
IDX30…497.95 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…2153.14 +5.09 +0.24%
*IDX BscMat.1332.21. +26.87 +2.06%*
IDX Indstrl…1183.94 +2.55 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.743.59 +1.20 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1460.65 -29.20. -1.96%
IDXCYCLIC…884.56 -7.90 -0.88%
IDX Techno.4406.44 -3.66 -0.08%
IDX Transp..1837.08 +2.96 +0.16%
IDX Infrast….917.42 +0.17 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1388.61 -1.42 -0.10%
IDX Banking.1202.52 +0.73 +0.06%
IDX Property..722 -7.90 -1.08%

*Indo10Yr.6.6890‼️ +0.0371 +0.56%*
*ICBI..366.9027‼️-0.5138 -0.14%*
*US2Yr.5.037‼️* +0.023 +0.46%
*US5Yr 4.465* +0.046 +1.04%
*US10Yr4.336* +0.052 +1.21%
*US30Yr.4.421*+0.041 +0.94%
*VIX……13.79‼️ +0.97 +7.57%*

*USDIndx 105.3220‼️ -0.0830 -0.08%*
Como Indx…289.61 -0.68 -0.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.57 -1.74 -1.21%

*IndoCDS.77.71👍* -0.50 -0.64%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(15/09)*

*IDR…..15355.50‼️+0.50 +0.00%*
*Jisdor.15367.00‼️+10.00 +0.07%*

*Euro……1.0657 +0.0013 +0.12%*

TLKM…24.08 +0.08 +0.33%
*(3700)*
EIDO….22.77 +0.03 +0.13%
EEM….39.13 -0.15 -0.38%

*Oil………90.77* +0.17 +0.19%
*Gold…1946.20* +15.3 +0.79%
*Timah..25703.00* -192.00 -0.74%
*(Closed 15/09)*
*Nickel..19922.50‼️ -337.50 -1.66%*
(Closed 15/09)
*Silver…23.39 +0.46 +2.01%*
Copper.380.10 -1.75 -0.46%

*Iron Ore 62%121.29‼️ +0.73 +0.61%*
(15/09)
*Nturl Gas…2.643 -0.061 -2.26%*
*Ammonia China..3816.67* unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(15/09)

Coal price.160.50 +0.35 +0.22%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.166.15 +1.20 +0.73%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.169.10 +1.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.172.60 +0.50 +0.29%
(Des/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.25 +0.90 +0.74%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.15 +1.15 +0.93%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.70 +0.60 +0.48%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.15 +0.60 +0.48%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3785 +26 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………476.25 -4.25 -0.88%
SoybeanOil 62.06 +0.34 +0.55%
Wheat……604.25 +10.50 +1.77%

*Wood pulp..4820.00‼️unch +0%*
(Closed 17/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Jum’at US closing merah, Europe masih pada ijo kaya asia juga. Prepare hari ini merah ya

VIX jump, saham jadi volatile hati hati… USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, copper timah nickel merah. oil coal ijo gas merah, CPO ijo. Bagus ini buat ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd down rev,MFI sw, w%up, mulai FNB, BD acc, 833 udah buy, sign mau lanjut sih, tapi belum firm. Masih ada kemungkinan mau ABC correction. Kita tunggu financials jalan

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT EXCL AVIA BBKP BELI HSMP MMIX TAPG CEKA IPOL

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM ECII

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INKP TLKM HMSP TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: UNTR

BRPT – ga berani ngejar, udah wave 5, udah ketemu reg bear div

EXCL – harusnya ok ini, stoch buy, macd still down sih, BD FF acc, MFI down, w% sw, abis done CNH koreksi wave 4 terus ketemu hid bull reg bull div dan mulai jalan, confirmed by 2 bull candle tapi MA 10 belum. bisa spec buy

Spike kaya udah done targetnya, tapi belum ada spike jual, semoga beres wave 5 baru spike jual.

TLKM – BD FF rev acc, finally, stoch rev up, macd buy lagi, MFI up, w% sw, ga tembus support terus mulai mantul, reg bull div RSI, BUY TLKM

INKP – Done hajatan ini, wave 5, reg bear, BD rev dist, harusnya lanjut ABC correction…