Daily Analysis 20230814

August 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite slips Friday, falls two weeks straight for the first time in 2023

The Nasdaq Composite
ended Friday lower and notched its second consecutive losing week in 2023 as semiconductor stocks languished.

Dow……35281 +105..3 +0.30%
Nasdaq13645 -76.2 -0.56%
S&P 500.4464 -4.8 -0.11%

FTSE…..7524 -94.4 -1.24%
Dax……15832 -164.4 -1.03%
CAC……7340 -93.4 -1.26%

Nikkei…32474 closed +0%
HSI…….19075 -173.1 -0.90%
*Shanghai.3189 -65.3 -2.01%*

IDX…..6879.98 -13.30 -0.19%
LQ45….964.35 -2.14 -0.22%
IDX30…500.02 -1.43 -0.28%

IDXEnergy…1934.23 -6.72 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1110.71 +11.74+1.07%
IDX Indstrl…1202.52 -2.07 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.751.45 +1.23 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1478.86 -11.62 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC….920.31 +6.43 +0.70%
IDX Techno.4447.38 -37.30 -0.83%
IDX Transp..1863.62 +15.12 +0.81%
IDX Infrast… .859.90 +2.69 +0.31%
IDX Finance.1423.81 -4.31 -0.30%
IDX Banking.1223.61 -4.45 -0.36%
IDX Property..757 +1.80 +0.24%

*Indo10Yr.6.3948* -0.0016 -0.03%
*ICBI….369.4534* +0.2564 +0.07%
*US2Yr.4.8920* +0.042 +0.87%
*US5Yr 4.3030* +0.069 +1.63%
*US10Yr4.1580* +0.0430 +0.10%
*US30Yr.4.2640* -0.0040 -0.09%
*VIX…….14.84 -1.01 -6.37%👍*

*USDIndx 102.8420* +0.2190 +0.21%
Como Indx…279.74 -0.23 -0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….140.62 -1.94 -1.36%

*IndoCDS.81.21 +0.02 +0.02%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(11/08)*

*IDR…..15219.00‼️+34.00 +0.22%*
*Jisdor.15225.00 ‼️+21.00 +0.14%*

*Euro……1.0949 -0.0033 -0.30%*

TLKM…24.70 +0.13 +0.53%
*(3760)*
EIDO….22.92 -0.18 -0.78%
EEM…..39.56 -0.59 -1.47%

*Oil………83.19* +0.29 +0.35%
*Gold…1946.60* +1.70 +0.09%
*Timah..26457.00‼️* -428.00 -1.59%
*(Closed 11/08)*
Nickel..20327.50 -103.00 -0.50%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.02 -0.09%
Copper.371.90 -3.75 -1.00%

*Iron Ore 62% 105.37 +0.77 +0.74%*
(11/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7860 +0.0010 +0.04%
*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*
(Domestic Price)(10/08)

Coal price..144.00 +1.00 +0.70%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.50 +2.50 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.85 +2.60 +1.71%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.85 +2.35 +1.51%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price116.50 -1.00 -0.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.75 +0.50 +0.41%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.90 +0.35 +0.29%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.50 +0.40 +0.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3751 +24 +0.64%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………487.25 -9.00 -1.81%
SoybeanOil 60.22 -0.26 -0.43%
Wheat……653.75 -10.00 -1.51%

*Wood pulp..4620.00* unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Closing Jum’at US merah, europe ijo, asia kerah kecuali nikkei dan kospi.

USD index naik, kebanyakan metal turun, yang ijo Gold Iron Ore Oil Gas Coal CPO. Semoga ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA INDY ITMG rebound

IHSG – harusnya otw fibo 61,stoch almost buy, MACD still down, MFI down, w% sw, jum’at balik FNS makanya drop. Hopefully mau breakout triangle ke atas sih, ini lagi penentuan arah

Yang arahnya masih bagus Infrastructure, Financials, Property (walau kemaren melemah) sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO TPIA ADHI BRMS DOID ISAT PTPP TINS WIKA

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA ICBPMPMX MTMH SSMS

Alligator Buy Signal: ACES PNLF

ADRO – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w%sw, BD FF masih full dist, CNH belum berhasil jalan, skip dulu, walau terlihat ada spike

Spike nya bagus, tapi sabar dulu, tunggu firm BD FF rev acc

TPIA – dari banyak faktor bagus, stoch almost buy, MACD up, MFIup, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, double bottom forming, semoga breakout, news profit BRPT ikut dorong TPIA, bisa BOW ini. Saya skip karena udah pegang BRPT

Spike nya juga bagus, bisa masuk full load

ADHI – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, w% mulai naik, BD acc, FF masih dist, udah forming higher low, dari naik terakhir koreksi udah ke antara fibo 38-51, udah sah buat mantul, IHNS gagal breakout kemaren mungkin mau trial lagi. Fundamentally ga ok, tapi kalo mau spec buy bisa, nanti full load nya kalo berhasil breakout IHNS

Spike ga ada yang menarik, saya sih skip

ISAT – stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, LR slope up, tapi bahaya ini udah full inside bandar dan FF, udah wave 5, udah ketemu bearish divergence, kalo pada sell bisa langsung nyungsep, saya skip, pegang MTEL aja deh

PTPP – ini konstruksi gerak bareng, emang sektor infra nya jalan sih… Stoch buy, macd revup, MFI slowly up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, udah forming higher low, koreksi dari naikterakhir udah di fibo 78, udah hampir mau double bottom dan udah 2 candle ijo. Menarik sih. Check spike

Terakhir spike jual, belum dulu…

TINS – belum saatnya

WIKA – kemaren gagal jalan abis bikin higher low, sekarang mau forming double bottom? Yang jelas BD FF masih dist, belum dulu

BUKA – kemaren udah dibahas, surprisingly good. Kalo ada alokasi di porto bisa buy, setengah botol aja tapi lah, fundamentalnya masih parah. Saya skip, porto penuh dan ga ada yang layak dijual buat ganti BUKA

ICBP – abis run panjang,ketemu reg bear,stoch up sih, macdbuy,MFI up, w% masih uptrend, BD masih acc tipis, FF dist. Ga berani sih, kemungkinan drop nya lebih gede

MPMX – ABC correction harusnya udah done, stoch up macd buy mfi sw w% sw, BD FF acc, udah bikin higher low, tapi SRTG nya masih lesu, apa iya anak perusahaannya mau dia angkat sendirian?

Spike nya sih ok banget, bisa buy ini…

ACES – stoch up macd down, MFI down w% sw, BD FF dist, abis naik tinggi ketemu reg bear div, skip dulu ah…