Daily Analysis 20230727

July 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises for a 13th straight day, posting its best winning streak since 1987

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Wednesday, notching its best winning streak since 1987 as traders digested a Federal Reserve rate hike and major corporate earnings.

Dow……35520 +82.1 +0.23%
Nasdaq14127 -17.3 -0.12%
S&P 500.4567 -0.7 -0.02%

FTSE…..7677 -14.9 -0.19%
Dax……16131 -80.1 -0.49%
CAC……7315 -100.4 -1.35%

Nikkei…32668 -14.2 -0.04%
HSI…….19365 -69.3 -0.36%
Shanghai.3223 -8.5 -0.26%

IDX…..6948.28 +30.57 +0.44%
LQ45….969.29 +5.44 +0.56%
IDX30…504.10 +2.87 +0.57%

IDXEnergy…1973.90 +27.87 +1.43%
IDX BscMat.1065.99 -1.50 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1212.34 +8.97 +0.75%
IDXNONCYC.748.95 -1.33 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1543.08 -9.00 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC….930.97 +4.22 +0.46%
IDX Techno.4768.08 -13.98 -0.29%
IDX Transp..1956.84 +22.99 +1.19%
IDX Infrast… .852.03 +0.99 +0.12%
IDX Finance.1434.25 +4.28 +0.30%
IDX Banking.1211.96 +6.23 +0.53%
IDX Property..756 -6.30 -0.82%

Indo10Yr.6.3408+0.0138 +0.22%
*ICBI….369.0492* -0.2372 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.8500 -0.029 -0.59%
US5Yr 4.1160 -0.052 -1.25%
US10Yr3.8750 -0.022 -0.56%
US30Yr.3.9320 -0.015 -0.38%
VIX…….13.19 -0.67 -4.83%👍

USDIndx 100.8870👍 -0.4620 -0.46%
Como Indx…280.87 -1.02 -0.3%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….146.18 -1.82 -1.23%

IndoCDS.80.21 -2.49 -3.01%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) *(25/07)*I

IDR…..15022.50‼ +24.50 +0.16%
Jisdor.15032.00 ‼+25.00 +0.17%

Euro……1.1088 +0.0025 +0.23%

TLKM…25.63 unch +0%
(3853)
EIDO….23.82 +0.19 +0.80%
EEM…..41.45 +0.24 +0.58%

Oil…..78.97 -0.36 -0.45%
*Gold…2013.40* +6.90 +0.34%
Timah..28899.00 +298.00 +1.04%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel..21563.00 -939.50 -4.18%‼
(Closed 26/07)
Silver…. 25.09 +0.16 +0.64%
Copper.390.70 -1.15 -0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 112.72 +0.21 +0.19%
(25/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6810 -0.0490 -1.79%
Ammonia China..3000.00 +3.45%‼
(Domestic Price)(26/07)

Coal price..134.00 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.65 +0.15 +0.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.95 -0.15 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.15 -0.40 -0.26%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price111.25 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.05 -3.15 -2.66%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.50 -3.55 -2.93%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 -3.70 -2.99%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..4063 -7 -0.17%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….548.25 -17.00 -3.01%‼
SoybeanOil 64.19 -1.07 -1.67%
Wheat……720.00 -40.25 -5.29%‼

*Wood pulp..4410.00* +30 +0.68%
(Closed 25/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI lanjut ijo, walau nasdaq dan SP500 merah tipis setelah rate fed naik 25 basis point

Yang lain merah, IHSG masih ijo, beware koreksi sekarang atau besok, antisipasi kenaikan minggu ini yang signifikan

USD index drop, Gold Silver ijo, copper merah, timah ijo nickel merah iron ore ijo, oil merah, coal tipis tipis, CPO juga

Harusnya bagus buat ANTM MDKA,yang lain keliatannya akan sideways or minor pullback dulu

Energy Technology Transportation

IHSG – stoch almost buy, macd up, mfi sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, testing neckline triple bottom, semoga tembus kenceng

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII EXCL INDY SRTG AALI ASSA AVIA JSMR MTEL INCI

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM TPIA PNBN AMFG IGAR

Aligator Buy Signal: GOTO MEDC SMDR

Supertrend Buy Signal: INCO IGAR

ASII – stoch buy, macd revup, MFI up, w% sw, BD masih dist but inside, FF acc, LR di edge lower channel mantul, bijaknya tunggu MACD sih sambil tunggu BD acc lagi

2 spie terakhir yang agak tinggi spike jual, sabar dulu

EXCL – stoch buy macdup, MFI down, BD FF rev acc, CNH about to breakout, nyusul nanti IHNS. Menarik banget, kita check spike karena sektornya masih setengah2, belum jalan…

Abis spike buang terus udah ada spike beli, lagi mulai jalan. ok sih, ada reg bear juga udah cancelled. Bisa buy EXCL

INDY skip dulu, prefer PTBA, tunggu 833 buy kalo MACD masih firm

SRTG – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher high, harusnya bisa specbuy ini, kita check spike

Yup, udah beberapa kali spike, harusnya tinggal jalan, tapi jangan full load dulu, rev acc nya baru satu hari dan vol nya juga menurun

AALI – lumayan kemaren jalannya dari bottom sekali swing, udah ada 15 % an, stoch buy lagi, macd masih up, 833 sell, BD rev dist, FF acc, curiganya sih mau koreksi dulu agak jauh, baru jalan lagi

Spike nya cakep, kita tunggu buy signal stoch 833 berikutnya

ASSA – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFIup, w% up rev, BD FF rev acc, udah jelas bikin lower low, tinggal apa jalan lagi breakout fibo 23 atau nggak

Mencurigakan, abis spike tinggi harga naik, terus spike lebih kecil 3 kali, spike jual, 1 spike beli lagi keliatannya, WNS deh

JSMR – stoch by, macd down, MFI down, w% down, BD FF rev acc, but inside, target CNH done, lagi bikin flag / pendant, belum breakout. WNS liat MACD

TPIA – masih sideways, tapi udah ga bikin lower low, dan spike nya cakep

Saya hold BRPT, karena udah punya duluan, yang belum punya bisa buy TPIA