Daily Analysis 20230724

July 24th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow ekes out narrow gain Friday for 10th straight positive day, longest rally since 2017

Stocks were mixed Friday as traders assessed the latest corporate earnings results, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average stretched its winning streak to 10 sessions.

Dow……35228 +2.5 +0.01%
Nasdaq14033 -30.5 -0.22%
S&P 500.4536 +1.5 +0.03%

FTSE…..7664 +17.7 +0.23%
Dax……16177 -27.00 -0.17%
CAC……7433 +47.9 +0.65%

Nikkei…32304 -186.3 -0.57%
HSI…….19075 +147.2 +0.78%
Shanghai.3168 -1.8 -0.06%

IDX…..6880.80 +16.51 +0.24%
LQ45….963.38 +1.84 +0.19%
IDX30…500.62 +1.03 +0.21%

IDXEnergy…1915.06 +18.87 +1.00%
IDX BscMat.1051.85 +5.09 +0.49%
IDX Indstrl…1188.92 -2.26 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC.761.89 +7.59 +1.01%
IDX Hlthcare1553.68 +19.77 +1.29%
IDXCYCLIC….927.18 -0.87 -0.09%
IDX Techno.4812.60 -70.69 -1.45%
IDX Transp..1932.87 +28.43 +1.49%
IDX Infrast… .856.63 +5.60 +0.66%
IDX Finance.1433.53 -1.14 -0.08%
IDX Banking.1207.16 +1.26 +0.10%
IDX Property..768 +2.50 +0.33%

*Indo10Yr.6.3227* -0.1661 -0.05%
*ICBI….368.9714* +0.0117 +0.05%
*US2Yr.4.8460* +0.001 +0.02%
*US5Yr 4.0950* -0.010 -0.24%
*US10Yr3.8370* -0.014 -0.36%
*US30Yr.3.9000*-0.020 -0.51%
*VIX…….13.60 -0.39 -2.79%*

*USDIndx 101.0710‼️* +0.1910 +0.19%
Como Indx…276.48 +1.78 +0.65%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….143.16 -0.61 -0.42%

*IndoCDS.82.67 +1.43 +1.76%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(20/07)*

*IDR…..15027.00‼️ +41.00 +0.27%*
*Jisdor.15026.00‼️ +35.00 +0.23%*

*Euro……1.1124* -0.0010 -0.09%

TLKM…25.65 +0.02 +0.08%
*(3854)*
EIDO….23.53 +0.06 +0.26%
EEM…..40.32 -0.06 -0.15%

*Oil…..77.07* +1.44 +1.90%
*Gold…2005.30* -6.10 -0.30%
Timah..28494.00 -221 -0.77%
*(Closed 21/07)*
*Nickel..20829.50 -502.50 -2.36%*
(Closed 21/07)
Silver…. 24.86 -0.10 -0.40%
Copper.381.80. -1.15 -0.30%

Iron Ore 62% 112.47 +0.04 +0.04%
(21/07)
Nturl Gas.2.747 -0.0230 -0.84%
Ammonia China..2816.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(20/07)

Coal price.133.00 +1.00 +0.76%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +1.75 +1.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.05 +1.10 +0.77%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.70 +2.70 +1.86%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price110.50 +0.75 +0.68%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.75 +2.15 +1.93%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.00 +2.65 +2.38%*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.25 +3.25 +2.92%*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..4043 -4 -0.10%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….536.25 -10.00 -1.83%
SoybeanOil 62.80 +0.38 +0.61%
*Wheat…697.50 -29.50 -4.06%‼️*

*Wood pulp..4380.00* unch +0%
(Closed 23/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US tipis2, Europe varied, asia juga varied, sideways dulu kayanya

USD index up, semua metal turun kecuali iron ore, oil coal ijo, gas merah, harusnya bagus buat MEDC ELSA AKRA ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY HRUM

IHSG – stoch down, MACD up, 833 about to rev up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD Acc, FNS, semoga ga keterusan net sell nya, keliatannya masih cari arah dulu sih abis kena terget IHNS nya sebelum beresin retracement pattern ke 7058

Halthcare Property Technology, Energy harusnya lanjut, Basic Materials melemah padahal belum jalan rally nya, tapi lagi konsol kayanya

Stochastic Buy signal: MEDC TPIA DOID ELSA SMDR. ELSA DOID Big Accum

MACD Buy Signal: PTBA HMSP, both big accum

Alligator Buy Signal: PGAS BSDE

MEDC – almost perfect, stoch buy, MACD up, 833 up, MFI up, w%uptrend, ada freq spike, FF acc tapi BD last day dist tipis, nahan harga kalo belum boleh jalan kemaren. Dari price pattern lagi testing mau tembus darvas box, vol breakout 2 hari terakhir, harga oil naik, harusnya lanjut rally sih

FQ spike firm, tinggal hajatannya… Yang punya hold, yang belum bisa entry di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

TPIA – stoch buy tapi MACD sell, BD FF dist, MFI down, w% downtrend, lagi testing support, jangan dulu ah… Malah harus recheck BRPT ini jangan2 ikut ngebalik ke bawah

BRPT – masih aman buat ditahan, tapi belum akan rally kayanya kalo stochastic nya gitu dan TPIA nya dibuangin. BD FF masih accum sih di BRPT

ELSA – udah jalan duluan dibanding MEDC, sempet stoch sell sekarang buy lagi, MACD up, MFI sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc terus, memang agak resiko sih kalo FOMO terus buy diatas gini, lagi di fibo 50, kalo firm tembus harusnya ke 61, kalo false break tunggu di 38. Amannya sih kalo mau masuk tunggu pullback ya, apalagi udah overbought terus2 an

PTBA – Stoch up, MACD buy, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, gap gede banget belum ketutup, reg bull div RSI MACD confirmed by ma 10 and MACD buy signal. Bisa buy

Belum ada spike

Coal price harusnya ga punya alasan buat turun lagi sih, malah walau belum terlalu deket tapi harusnya mulai persiapan winter

PGAS – technical ok,stoch rev buy, MACDup, MFI up w% uptrend, supertrend buy, alligator buy, PBV PER ok, bisnis ok, TAPI BD FF dist begitu harga naik, something’s fishy ini… yang punya sih masih hold, tapi yang mau entry nanti dulu deh, tunggu ada pullback

Spike juga bagus, bisa buy sih. Spec buy deh setengah dulu di closing price kemaren