Daily Analysis 20230620

June 20th, 2023

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Juneteenth National Independence Day

Dow……34299 closed +0%
Nasdaq13690 closed +0%
S&P 500.4410 closed +0%

FTSE…..7588 -54.2 -0.71%
Dax……16201 -158.4 -0.96%
CAC……7314 -74.6 -1.01%

Nikkei…..33370 -335.7 -1.00%
HSI………19912 -127.5 -0.64%
Shanghai.3256 -17.5 -0.63%

IDX…..6686.06 -12.49 -0.19%
LQ45….950.03 -2.13 -0.22%
IDX30…494.32 -1.23 -0.25%

IDXEnergy…1794.50 -5.10 -0.28%
IDX BscMat.1007.11 -1.26. -0.12%
IDX Indstrl…1175.34 -1.29 -0.11%
IDXNONCYC.745.99 +1.34 +0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1499.03 -7.34 -0.49%
IDXCYCLIC…882.08 +0.44 +0.42%
IDX Techno.4479.09 -54.04 -1.07%
IDX Transp..1937.92 +17.06+0.89%
IDX Infrast…..853.05 -1.56 -0.18%
IDX Finance.1392.28 -2.39 -0.17%
IDX Banking.1171.10 -0.79 -0.07%
IDX Property..741 +7.40 +1.01%

Indo10Yr.6.3675 +0.0195 +0.31%
ICBI..366.3123 -0.5515 -0.15%
*US2Yr.4.7600* +0.040 +0.85%
*US5Yr 3.9860* unch +0%
*US10Yr3.8300*+0.063 +1.67%
*US30Yr.3.9200*+0.067 +1.74%
*VIX……14.19 +0.65 +4.80%*

*USDIndx102.5220 +0.2790 +0.27%*
*Como Indx.270.91* closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……149.00 closed +0%

*IndoCDS.83.19👍 -0.02 -0.02%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(16/06)*

*IDR…..14994.50‼️+54.50 +0.36%*
*Jisdor.14994.00‼️ +49.00 +0.33%*

*Euro……1.0926 -0.0011 -0.10%*

TLKM…26.71 closed +0%
*(3992)*
EIDO….23.21 closed +0%
EEM…..40.88 closed +0%

Oil………71.29 -0.49 -0.68%
*Gold…1964.10* -7.20 -0.37%
Timah..26951.00 -274.00 -1.01%
*(Closed 16/06)*
Nickel..22509.00 -434.50 -1.89%
(Closed 19/06)
Silver……24.26 -0.06 -0.32%
Copper..387.45 -2.40 -0.62%

*Iron Ore 62% 113.02* +0.09 +0.08%
(16/06)
Nturl Gas.2.662 +0.043 +1.64%

Coal price.128.35 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.80 -0.25 -0.19%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.20 -0.45 -0.33%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.55 -0.85 -0.61%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price114.05 -1.00 -0.87%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.15 -1.85 -1.61%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.45 -1.20 -1.07%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.65 -1.10 -0.98%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)..3758* +16 +0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……597.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 57.87 closed +0%
Wheat…701.50 closed +0%

*Wood pulp..4300.00* unch +0%
(Closed 19/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US market closed, Europe Asia merah semua kemaren.

USD index naik, wajarnya semua komoditi turun, yang ijo cuma Gas, Iron Ore sama CPO. Masih prepare market merah lagi hari ini

USD index naik, wajarnya semua komoditi turun, yang ijo cuma Gas, Iron Ore sama CPO. Masih prepare market merah lagi hari ini

Energy, Basic Materials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: AGII

MACD Buy Signal: BBKP

Alligator Buy Signal: AKRA ANTM INKP PTBA SMDR

AGII – stoch buy, macd buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD 2 hari rev acc, FF dist tipis but inside, rejection di fibo23 terus konsol, tunggu spike sih ini keliatannya ok masuk

udah ada spike ternyata, bisa buy stoploss ketat di breakdown support, previous low

BBKP – belum sih, cuma regbul div aja yang confirmed, tapi terjun nya luar biasa dan bikin lower low terus, amannya emang nunggu berhasil bikin higher low, dan perbankan jadwal jalan

AKRA – kalo dari elliot wave, jadwalnya nerusin ABC correction. stoch sih up,macd up, MFI down, w% uptrend, tapi jelas BD FF dist, jualan mereka, skip deh

ANTM – stoch up rev, overbought, MACD still up, MFI up, w%uptrend, BD FF last day dist, minor correction ketemu hid bear, masih hold sih, tapi yang baru mau entry bukan saatnya… Either tunggu pullback lebih jauh, atau sekalian BOB kalo complete pattern CNH nya

INKP – yang punya HOLD, baru breakout double bottom, yang mau entry pas retest neckline masuknya, kalo breakdown neckline cutloss. Stoch up rev, overbought, MACD masih up, MFI up, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, mau nabrak fibo 23 so ada kemungkinan kejedot, yang udah ambil dari bawah pasang trailing stop bijak

PTBA – technically bukan waktu yang baik untuk buy, kecuali emang ngejar deviden. Stoch sell, MACD masih up, MFI masih up,w% jua, tapi BD dist, FF lama big dist, baru kemaren acc tipis, ada gap di bawah, ada kemungkinan deviden trap, dari bottom udah naik 43%. Ga ok, kalo trader ambil setelah dibanting deviden trap, kalo kejar deviden harusnya ambil dari buy signal awal, jadi kalo dibanting juga ga jauh dari harga awal beli average nya