Daily Analysis 20230508

May 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow jumps 500 points to break four-day losing streak as regional banks and Apple shares surge

Stocks popped on Friday as regional bank shares climbed off their lows and market-darling Apple jumped after posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

Dow……33674 +546.6 +1.65%
Nasdaq12235 +269.02 +2.25%
S&P 500.4136 +75.03 +1.85%

FTSE…..7778 +75.7 +0.98%
Dax……15961 +226.8 +1.44%
CAC……7333 +92.2 +1.26%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.7 +0.12%
HSI………20049 +100.6 +0.50%
Shanghai.3335 -15.96 -0.48%

IDX…..6788.03 -56.40 -0.82%
LQ45….945.05 -7.23 -0.76%
IDX30…492.37 -3.97 -0.80%

IDXEnergy…1954.36 -56.40 -0.82%
IDX BscMat 1114.85 -24.79 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1145.31 -24.79 -2.29%
IDXNONCYC.734.03 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare1485.63 -17.47 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC….816.42 -0.50 -0.06%
IDX Techno..4874.77 -51.03 -1.04%
IDX Transp..1809.64 +5.44 +0.30%
IDX Infrast…..817.74 -4.33 -0.53%
IDX Finance.1378.19 +3.09 +0.23%
IDX Banking.1150.19 +3.07 +0.27%
IDX Property…703 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6543 -0.0048 -0.07%👍
ICBI….358.3823 -0.0739 -0.02%
US2Yr.3.9181 +0.1299 +3.43%‼
US5Yr 3.4104 +0.0852 +2.54%
US10Yr3.4350 +0.0580 +1.72%
US30Yr.3.7500 -0.0200 -0.54%
VIX…… 17.19 -2.90 -14.44%👍

USDIndx101.2140 -0.2110 -0.21%
Como Indx.261.60 +4.80 +1.87%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…153.56 +2.04 +1.35%

IndoCDS.100.49 +1.97 +2.00%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/05)

IDR…..14678.00👍 -7.00 -0.05%
Jisdor.14674.00👍 +42.00 +0.29%

Euro……1.1019 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM..28.60 +0.28 +0.99%
(4197)
EIDO….24.29 +0.13 +0.54%
EEM…..39.39 +0.52 +1.34%

Oil……71.34 +2.78 +4.05%‼
Gold.2024.80 -30.90 -1.50%
Timah..25600.00 -1117.00 -4.40%‼
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..24712.50 +629.50 +2.61%
(Closed 05/05)
Silver……25.93 -0.30 -1.13%
Copper…388.30 +2.00 +0.52%
Iron Ore 62% 103.55 -0.32 -0.31%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas.2.113 +0.0270 +1.29%

Coal price.169.65 -1.00 -0.59%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.168.50 -1.50 -0.88%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.60 +1.30 +0.75%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.60 +3.80 +2.13%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.127.15 +1.85 +1.48%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 +1.65 +1.37%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.20 +2.05 +1.72%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.55 +2.55 +2.14%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3597 +167.00 +4.87%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..596.50 +7.50 +1.27%
SoybeanOil54.33 +1.85 +3.53%
Wheat…..660.25 +15.25 +2.36%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng closing jum’at, US ijo, asia varied, IDX yang merah dalem, sekarang harusnya nyusul ijo tebel

Suku bunga fed naik lagi, USD index turun, biasanya bagus buat komoditas. Oil rebound kenceng, gas ijo, coal masih merah, CPO ijo tebel… Kita liat chart nya

CPO – Kalo MACD nya cross, kita assess AALI LSIP dkk

Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore merah, Nickel Copper ijo, jelek buat ANTM MDKA, bagus buat INCO. ANTM cut loss di rebound hari ini

IHSG – Stoch sell, MACD sell, BD Acc, FF dist, MFI flat, w% down, retracement pattern harusnya mantul dari fibo 23, ditambah factor US Europe closing ijo, harusnya testing neckline lagi ke atas. Tapi beware, kalo hari ini MACD ga berhasil ngebalik mending cuci gudang dulu…

Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI BRIS PNLF RMKE

MACD Buy Signal: ENRG MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: UNVR ADHI ISAT SMRA TKIM

BRIS – stoch buy, MACD rev up, MFI down, w% up, BD FF acc, lagi di fibo 23 dari terjunan setelah gorengan issue merger, keliatannya mau bikin CNH tunggu breakout. Financials belum jalan, kalo sector jalan, breakout, kita ikut Buy

Spike done, WNS

 

MYOR – stoch up macd buy, MFIsw, w% up, BD FF masih dist, kemungkinan besar sekarang masih wave 4, belum cukup retrace nya, tapi kalo liat bahwa ada reg bull div confirmed bisa jadi udah mau wave 5. Cuma BD FF masih dist dan IDX macd sell, WNS deh, kalo ngebalik acc baru ikut