Daily Analysis 20230503

May 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow tumbles more than 300 points as banking sector worries reignite before Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as traders’ fears around contagion in the regional banking sector returned ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.

Dow……36885 -367.2 -1.08%
Nasdaq12081 -132.1 -1.08%
S&P 500.4120 -48.3 -1.16%

FTSE…..7773 -97.5 -1.24%
Dax……15727 -195.4 -1.23%
CAC……7838 -108.3 -1.45%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.8 +0.12%
HSI………19934 +39.2 +0.20%
Shanghai.3323 closed +0%

IDX…..6863.30 -52.41 -0.76%
LQ45….955.61 -6.14 -0.64%
IDX30…498.12 -2.88 -0.58%

IDXEnergy…2031.80 -63.06 -3.01%‼
IDX BscMat 1150.71 -20.46 -1.75%
IDX Indstrl…1184.32 -22.91 -1.90%
IDXNONCYC.722.64 -4.03 -0.55%
IDX Hlthcare1509.31-32.36 -2.10%
IDXCYCLIC….813.38 +2.56 +0.32%
IDX Techno..4983.33 -53.74 -1.09%
IDX Transp..1813.01 +3.13 +0.17%
IDX Infrast…..813.26 -8.79 -1.07%
IDX Finance.1384.16 -1.38 -0.10%
IDX Banking.1157.43 +6.39 +0.56%
IDX Property…697 -2.60 -0.37%

Indo10Yr.6.7290 +0.0139 +0.21%
ICBI….357.1434 +0.1426 +0.04%
US2Yr.3.9923 -0.1484 -3.58%‼
US5Yr 3.4690 -0.1638 -4.51%‼
US10Yr3.4330-0.1370 -3.84%‼
US30Yr.3.7140-0.0950-2.49%
VIX…… 17.78 +1.70 +10.57%‼

USDIndx101.9580 -0.1930 -0.19%
Como Indx.260.64 -5.68 -2.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.16 -0.33 -0.21%

IndoCDS..96.04 +5.93 +6.57%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/05)

IDR…..14713.50 +39.50 +0.27%
Jisdor.14703.00 +42 +0.29%

Euro……1.1006 +0.0031 +0.28%

TLKM..28.54 +0.03 +0.11%
(4196)
EIDO….24.25 -0.43 -1.74%
EEM….38.62 -0.38 -0.97%

Oil……71.59 -4.04 -5.40%
Gold.2024.90 +33.70+1.69%
Timah..26088.00 closed +0%
(Closed 28/04)
Nickel..24955.50 +696.50+2.87%
(Closed 02/05)
Silver……25.62 +0.37 +1.47%
Copper…386.60 -6.80 -1.73%

Nturl Gas.2.217 -0.0960 -4.15%

Coal price.187.55 +2.40 +1.30%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 +2.40 +1.28%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.194.00 +2.40 +1.25%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.25 +2.40 +1.23%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.10 -0.30 -0.22%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.132.50 -0.30 -0.23%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 -0.30 -0.23%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.85 -0.20 -0.15%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3412 +59 +1.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..580.00 -4.50 -0.77%
SoybeanOil51.79 -0.02 -0.04%
Wheat….609.25 -9.90 -1.46%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe merah, asia kecuali IDX ijo

Oil Gas drop lagi, Coal ijo. Metal ijo semua kecuali copper. CPO ijo

 

IHSG – kejedot neckline double bottom, financials belum jalan, masih koreksi or sideways dulu kayanya. Stoch up rev MACD still up, 833 sell,MFI sw, w% sw, FNS, BD flat. DI fibo 38, harusnya sih rebound dari titik ini

Property di quadrant leading, melemah tapi kemaren bertahan ga merah. Infrastructure Transportation, Basic Materials, Healthcare, Technology improving

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BFIN SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI BFIN SGER

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF

ARTO skip

BFIN Skip

SMRA – stoch buy macdup MFI up w% sw, BD akum tipis, FF dist, udah bikin higher low, testing breakout cnh belum berhasil, amannya BOB, karena kalo index lagi koreksi/sideways, susah buat breakout sendiri

BMRI – stoch up rev, MACD buy, MFI up, w% sw, BD FF last day acc, abis bikin new ATH dan kena reg bear belum retrace ABC, FInancials belum jalan, skip dulu

INDF – Stoch up macdbuy MFI up W% uptrend, FNS BD dist, lapkeu bagus, alligator buy, CNH breakout, BOW

Ga ada spike sih