Daily Analysis 20230405

April 05th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower Tuesday, Dow and S&P 500 snap four-day win streaks as economic worries loom

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell nearly 200 points on Tuesday as traders assessed a spike in oil prices and what that could mean for the global economy.

Dow……33402 -198.8 -0.59%
Nasdaq12126 -63.1 -0.52%
S&P 500.4101 -23.9 -0.58%

FTSE…..7635 -38.5 -0.50%
Dax…..15604. +22.6 +0.14%
CAC……7345 -1.00 -0.01

Nikkei…..28287 +99.3. +0.35%
HSI………20275 -134.6 -0.66%
Shanghai.3313 +16.2 +0.49%

IDX…..6833.18 +6.08 +0.09%
LQ45….943.14 +0.07 +0.01%
IDX30…491.43 +0.15 +0.03%

IDXEnergy…2146.81 +38.52 +1.83%
IDX BscMat 1172.17 -9.58 -0.81%
IDX Indstrl…1188.35 +6.10 +0.52%
IDXNONCYC.723.38 -1.11 -0.15%
IDX Hlthcare1532.85 -3.22 -0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…..818.58 -6.14 -0.74%
IDX Techno..5077.11 -23.62 -0.46%
IDX Transp..1787.67 +3.14 +0.18%
IDX Infrast…..807.03 -5.55 -0.68%
IDX Finance.1387.12 -5.98 -0.43%
IDX Banking.1140.57 -4.54 -0.40%
IDX Property…686 unch +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7691 -0.0287 -0.42%👍
ICBI…..353.9875 +0.4691 +0.13%👍
US2Yr.3.8211 -0.1485 -3.74%👍
US5Yr 3.3881 -0.1196 -3.42%👍
US10Yr 3.390 -0.0760 -2.22%
US30Yr.3.5950 -0.0380 -1.04%👍
VIX…… 19.00 +0.45 +2.43%

USDIndx101.5860 -0.5800 -0.57%👍
Como Indx.271.15 -0.19 -0.07%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…155.85 -2.44 -1.54%

IndoCDS..93.080 -1.980 -2.08%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/04)

IDR…..14898.50 -72.50 -0.48%👍
Jisdor.14913.00 -77.00 -0.51%👍

Euro……1.0958 +0.0056 +0.51%

TLKM….27.55 +0.05 +0.18%
(4108)
EIDO……23.62 -0.13 -0.55%
EEM……39.54 unch +0%

Oil……80.95 +0.53 +0.66%
Gold.2037.80 +37.40 +1.87%‼️
Timah 26040.00 +205.00 +0.79%
(Closed 04/03)
Nickel..23123.50 +63.00 +0.27%
(Closed 04/04)
Silver…..24.02 -0.13 -0.56%
Copper..404.55 -4.90 -1.20%

Nturl Gas.2.091 -0.026 -1.22%

Ammonia 3866.67 -100.0 -2.52%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/03)

Coal price.192.65 -7.35 -3.68%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.204.65 -7.35 -3.47%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.223.45 -10.55 -4.50%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.223.55 -10.70 -4.57%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.144.00 -4.95 -3.32%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.142.30 -3.95 -2.70%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.30 -3.45 -2.38%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3969 +84 +2.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..653.75 -4.00 -0.61%
SoybeanOil55.74 -0.94 -1.66%
Wheat…..691.50 -2.00 -0.29%

Wood pulp…5010.00 -50 -0.99%
(Closed 04/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah tipis, asia kemaren varied, IDX seharian merah closing ijo tipis, hari ini bisa jadi merah tipis atau ijo tipis lagi, belum rally tapi

Oil lanjut ijo, gas merah coal merah dalem, gold loncat, timah nikel naik, silver copper turun, ANTM MDKA lanjut rally ini, CPO ijo tebel

Gold – Stoch buy MACD up, ketemu reg bear, hari ini cancelled, semoga masih panjang

IHSG – stoch up macd up, 833 buy lagi, BD FF acc, MFIup, w% uptrend, testing fibo38 lagi, harusnya ngejar bikin double bottom pattern, test ke 6953 an

Energy, Basic Materials, Transportation, Consumer Cyclical, Technology. Mulai gerak lagi Property sama Infrastructure. Financials slown down lagi

Ga ada stochastic buy signal baru

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS TAPG EKAD

Alligator Buy Signal: ANTM ICBP TPIA BSSR LPPF RAJA INCI

Supertrend Buy Signal: ADRO ICBP

PGAS – stoch up, MACD buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF last day ngebalik acc, regbulldiv confirmed by ma10, baru aja bikin higher low minor, ketemu hid bull lanjut, spec buy half

Abis spike jual belum ada spike yang signifikan lagi

Harga aman

TAPG – CPO, mungkin mau jalan seiring harga cpo, tapi belum firm. stoch rev down, macd buy,MFI up, BD FF dist, w% down, kejedot fibo 23, dan upper channel LR, skip dulu

EKAD – saham value investing tapi liat past price movement rada gorengan, PBV ok, PER masih ok, kita entry parameterutama di spike aja sih disini kalo technical lagi ok. sementara stoch up macdbolakbalik, MFI up w% sw, BD FF tipis tipis cenderung dist, check spike dulu

Berantakan… skip dulu deh

ANTM – okay dan gold juga naik, tapi buat new entry kayanya ga pas. Kalo mau tunggu pullback

ICBP – stoch overbought, macdup, 833 buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF acc, bikin minor IHNS, berani spec buy, semoga breakout

Ga ada spike

Harga udah relatif tinggi, jangan terlalu aggressive

TPIA – chart kaya gini dan oil lagi naik, skip…

ADRO – supertrend buy, chart relatively ok, tapi udah masuk overbought, dan udah lari 18 %, mending tunggu pullback ke fibo 23, retracement pattern suggests tutup gap terus balik ke fibo 23 dulu