Daily Analysis 20230331

March 31th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher a second-straight day, Dow jumps more than 100 points

The S&P 500 rose Thursday, as investors bet the worst of the regional bank crisis has passed.

Dow……32859 +141.4 +0.43%
Nasdaq12015 +87.2 +0.73%
S&P 500.4051 +23.02 +0.57%

FTSE…..7620 +56.2 +0.74%
Dax…..15522. +193.6 +1.26%
CAC……7263 +76.4 +1.06%

Nikkei…..27783 -100.9 +1.33%
HSI………20309 +116.7 +0.58%
Shanghai.3261 +21.2 +0.65%

IDX…..6808.95 -30.49 -0.45%
LQ45….939.61 -7.39 -0.78%
IDX30…489.36 -3.80 -0.77%

IDXEnergy…2086.28 -25.76 -1.22%
IDX BscMat 1182.35 +1.58 +0.13%
IDX Indstrl…1177.18 -3.52 -0.30%
IDXNONCYC.734.71 -5.93 -0.80%
IDX Hlthcare1536.27 -6.54 -0.42%
IDXCYCLIC…..825.62 -5.24 -0.63%
IDX Techno..5138.70 -100.36 -1.92%
IDX Transp..1799.82 -12.11 -0.67%
IDX Infrast…..810.54 -6.06 -0.74%
IDX Finance.1384.10 -3.58 -0.26%
IDX Banking.1137.27 -2.33 -0.20%
IDX Property…682 -3.6 -0.53%

Indo10Yr.6.8082 -0.0051 -0.07%
ICBI…..352.8497 +0.0169 +0.00%
US2Yr.4.1215 +0.0205 +0.50%
US5Yr 3.6802 -0.0017 -0.05%
US10Yr3.5470 -0.0190 -0.53%
US30Yr.3.7300-0.0350 -0.93%
VIX…… 19.02 -0.10 -0.52%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.264.38 +1.67 +0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.05 -0.78 -0.49%

IndoCDS..105.920 -0.986 -0.92%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/29)

IDR…..15047.50👍 -8.50 -0.06%
Jisdor.15062.00👍 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro……1.0907 +0.0064 +0.59%

TLKM….27.43 +0.03 +0.11%
(4132)
EIDO……23.51 -0.12 -0.51%
EEM……39.51 +0.39 +1.00%

Oil……74.37 +1.40 +1.92%
Gold.1997.70 +13.20 +0.67%
Timah 25814.00 +44.00 +0.17%
(Closed 03/29)
Nickel..23092.50 -717.50 -3.03%‼️
(Closed 03/30)
Silver…..23.99 +0.52 +2.23%
Copper..409.15 +0.50 +0.12%

Nturl Gas.2.104 -0.080 -3.66%‼️

Ammonia 3966.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.176.75 +0.15 +0.08%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.187.50 -5.25 -2.72%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price..200.00 -0.25 -0.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.90 +0.15 +0.11%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -1.55 -1.12%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.25 -2.25 -1.66%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.70 -1.60 -1.19%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3791 +101 +2.73%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..649.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil.54.37 -1.01 -1.82%
Wheat…..692.25 -12.50 -1.77%

Wood pulp…5200.00 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 03/30)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional ijo, IDX aja merah sendirian, hehehe… Tanda2 mau ijo lagi hari ini

Oil up gas down coal spot ijo tipis, future down, metal2 naik semua kecuali nikel yang drop, ANTM MDKA lanjut harusnya. CPO lanjut ijo, menarik dicermati

Nope, CPO belum ok chart nya…

IHSG – masih ok chart nya, despite ada gap dibawah… stoch macd up, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD FF acc, dari retracement pattern setelah wave 5 terakhir pas kemaren rejection candle di fibo 38, ada kemungkinan dibawa ke fibo 23 lagi dulu sebelum lanjut rally, tapi kalo liat index lain bagus kayanya dilanjut ke fibo 50 dulu sebelum koreksi. Pas sama resistace previous high di 6960, bakal jadi double bottom kalo lanjut breakout

sudutnya paling ok Basic Materials, lanjut Financials,Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals. Anehnya Consumer Non-Cyclicals melemah, profit taking dulu mungkin, Property juga, Financials mulai gerak malah melemah

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM ISAT

MACD Buy Signal banyak: ACES SMGR TINS GGRM LSIP MTMH SMDR WSKT LSIP MPMX

Kita sort lagi pake FF dan bandarmology

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID

Supertrend Buy Signal: MPMX

TLKM – stoch balik buy di atas, MACD rev down gone flat, BD FF acc, w% masih uptrend MFI down, tapi ketemu reg bear confirmed by 2 bear candle, lagi di area neckline CNH kaya ga kuat breakout, ga berani masuk dulu… Infra juga belum jalan sektornya

ISAT – stoch buy macddown MFI sw w%sw, BD dist FF acc, abisketemu reg bear RSI belum abc correction, belum cancelled juga, liat CNH dan IHNS nya sih menarik, tapi belum berhasil breakout aja, WNS

GGRM skip

ACES – technically ok semua, stoch up macd buy MFI up w% up BD FF acc kena hidbull div terus jalan, udah close diatas ma20, harusnya test level neckline CNH / tripple bottom di 550 an, udha bikin higher low, berani buy, stop loss kalo breakdown 436

SMGR – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, w% up, BD FF acc, reg bull div macd confirmed by ma10 and macd buy signal, mantul dari LR, belum bikin higher low, 833 udah masuk overbought, 3 candle terakhir flat, tunggu koreksi dan biin higher low dulu

TINS – stoch up macd buy BD FF dist, regbull div confirmed, tapi belum bikin higer low abis drop, lr mantul udah tutup gap, WNS sampe bikin higher low dan BD FF acc

WSKT – belum bikin higher low, skip